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Audchfsetup

FX Wars Episode 3 - The revenge of the AUD (vs CHF)As a wise trader once said: "Trading is a simple game. What makes it so complicated is the presence of the SNB." In short and simple terms: I'm buying the AUD against the CHF for a long-term swing trade. The reasons for this are short and sweet: - As predicted back in February, Swiss inflation fell below 2% in July. - As predicted, Swiss inflation fell much faster than the SNB had expected (currently at 1.4%) - As predicted, the SNB raised interest rates for the last time in June and paused in September - Tomorrow the SNB will not raise rates, but the market will start to price in possible SNB rate cuts for 2024 - My forecast: 1st rate cut by the SNB in 2024 will be by March or June - As predicted in this trade idea, the Swiss economy is increasingly weakening and flirting very aggressively with a possible recession, which would seal 2-3 possible rate cuts in 2024
Long
by PrimeTrading
2
AUDCHF H4 / JPY Basket Bullish, Short Trade Execution💡Hello Traders! I expect a reversal on AIDCHF as it reacted twice from the OB H4. I see this move as a short trade signal. I expect the price to retrace until the OB level of 0.57500, representing also reh FIB 0.618 level. Traders, if my proposal resonates with you or if you hold a divergent viewpoint regarding this trade, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments. I welcome the opportunity to hear your perspectives. ____________________________________ Follow, like, and comment to see my content: www.tradingview.com
Short
by GoodTradeST
7 Dimension Analysis for AUDCHF 🕛 TOPDOWN Yearly: A robust and enduring bearish trend has persisted in this pair for the last 50 years. Monthly: The monthly trend aligns with the bearish sentiment, displaying some inside moves. Weekly: The market exhibits a strong bearish structure, currently within a descending triangle. 😇 7 Dimension Analysis Time Frame: H4 1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bearish 🟢 Structure Behavior: Break of Structure (BoS) 🟢 Swing Move: Impulsive 🟢 Inducement: Completed 🟢 Impulsive Move: Initiated, indicating the opportune time to enter the market. 🟢 Support Breakout: A significant break of the long support level, accompanied by a major supply and distribution area. Support breakout; the CIP now acts as resistance. 🟢 Traps: Observations of fakeouts at the top and shakeouts. 🟢 Time Frame Confluence: 4H, Daily, Weekly, Monthly 2️⃣ Pattern 🟢 CHART PATTERNS: Reversal patterns like Double Top, a bearish breakout from a Consolidation Rectangle, and continuation patterns like Shakeout Continuation. 🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS: Waiting for market open to observe specific candlestick patterns such as Gaps (Novice, Pro, Window), Kicker Sash, Separating Line, Hero, Piercing/Dark Cloud, and Open Low/High. 3️⃣ Volume 🟢 Fixed Range: Bearish volume dominating throughout the consolidation. 🟢 Massive Volume: Significant volume observed at the breakout level. 4️⃣ Momentum RSI 🟢 Zone: Entered the super bearish zone. 🟢 Range Shift: Confirmed a shift into the super bearish zone. 🟢 Loud Moves: Previous bearish entries initiated with loud moves. 🟢 Grandfather Father Son Entries: A 5-star bearish entry. 5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands 🟢 Middle Band: Acting as resistance. 🟢 Contraction: Beginning, with a W pattern observed, though the overall trend suggests potential ignoring. 🟢 Dual Band Derivation: Supported. 🟢 Band Puncher: Indicating price consolidation in this area. 6️⃣ Strength According to ROC 🟢 Values: CHF stronger than AUD (6.55 vs. 1.14). 7️⃣ Sentiment If we combine and analyze all these parameters, it's evident that the pair is in a super bearish trend. Hence, the strategy is to wait for corrections and then seek selling positions. ✔️ Entry Time Frame: H4 ✅ Entry TF Structure: Short ☑️ Current Move: Impulsive ✔ Support Already Broke ☑️ Candles Behavior: Favoring sellers 💡 Decision: Aggressively sell 🚀 Entry: 0.5690 ✋ Stop Loss: 0.5801 🎯 Take Profit: 0.5356 2nd Exit if Internal Structure changes, also Exit 3rd Trendline Breakout, FOMO 😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 3 🕛 Expected Duration: 60 days SUMMARY: The comprehensive analysis indicates a super bearish trend. The strategy is to aggressively sell, considering the confirmed break of structure, significant supply, and distribution areas. The risk-to-reward ratio is set at 3, anticipating a 60-day duration for the trade.
Short
by Optimum369
Half Way Between Support & Resistance 📚 An Orderbook AnalyticsHi, I think AUD could hit 0.579 on the AUDCHF market until 2024 Q1. The price confirmed a bounce from the green support line. The next resistance is around 0.579. I defined these levels from the supply/demand view. These seem to be a level where many investors buy or sell. Precisely, investors keep buying or selling until the price hits either of these areas, and when it does, orderbook analytics suggest many now-open orders will fill and the market setup changes. If we appreciate a pullback to support, the potential profit could be up to +1% with a good 5.47 Risk-Reward Ratio. Although I don't think the current price as an ideal entry, with or without a pullback to the support level, I have a bullish idea on the AUDCHF market for the upcoming two months. (It is not an investment advice. My analytics are my subjective matter. Do your research, but feel free to extend it with my opinion as one from the many.) - Essa
Long
by Darthessa
2