AUDCHF - Potential Bullish OpportunityThe AUD/CHF currency pair has recently exhibited notable price action, presenting an opportunity for technical analysis. Employing harmonic pattern recognition and key support levels, this report aims to outline potential bullish movements and associated trade parameters.
Harmonic Pattern Formation:
A Harmonic Pattern (XABCD) has emerged within the AUD/CHF pair, signaling a potential reversal from the prevailing bearish sentiment. This pattern, identified at a crucial support area, suggests an imminent bullish trajectory.
Key Support Area:
The formation of the Harmonic Pattern coincides with a significant support level, adding credence to the potential bullish outlook. This confluence strengthens the likelihood of a reversal and subsequent upward movement in price.
Technical Entry Strategy:
Entry: Consider initiating a long position near 0.58778, strategically positioned to capitalize on the anticipated bullish momentum.
Stop Loss: Implement a stop loss order at approximately 0.58274 to mitigate potential downside risk and preserve capital in the event of adverse price movements.
Profit Targets:
Target 1 (TP-1): Set the initial profit target at 0.59293, aligning with the expected bullish move following confirmation of the pattern.
Target 2 (TP-2): Establish a secondary profit target at 0.59794, aiming to capitalize further on the anticipated upward price trajectory.
Trade Management:
As with any trade, it is essential to remain vigilant and adapt to evolving market conditions. Monitor price action closely, particularly the breakout of the bearish 4-hour trendline, as confirmation of this breakout will validate the bullish bias and support trade execution.
Conclusion:
In summary, the AUD/CHF currency pair presents a compelling opportunity for bullish movement, supported by the formation of a Harmonic Pattern at a key support area. By adhering to the specified entry, stop loss, and profit target levels, traders can effectively capitalize on the anticipated upward price momentum while managing risk appropriately.
*Note: Trading involves inherent risks, and it is recommended to conduct thorough analysis and exercise prudent risk management strategies.*
Audchfsignal
AUDCHF / Long Trade Signal ✅💡Hello Traders!
This is my idea for AUDCHF. I expect a bull run until the resistance level at the price of 0.59400.
The price reacts perfectly from the supply zone, and I see the bullish candle as a confirmation of a long trade opportunity.
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AUDCHF - Capture Bullish Opportunity with Anti-Butterfly PatternTrend Analysis:
AUDCHF is currently exhibiting a Bullish trendline on the 4-hour time frame, indicating a favorable upward trajectory in the market sentiment. Additionally, the currency pair adheres to Dow Theory principles, further reinforcing the bullish bias.
Fibonacci Retracement:
A retracement to the 0.786 Fibonacci level has been observed, signaling a temporary pullback within the overarching bullish trend. This retracement was met with upward rejection, indicating robust buying pressure at this level.
Harmonic Pattern:
The AUDCHF pair has formed an Anti-Butterfly Harmonic pattern (XABCD), suggesting a potential reversal and continuation of the bullish momentum. Point D of the pattern serves as a significant turning point, indicating a high probability of a bullish move.
Trade Setup:
Based on the technical analysis, a prudent entry point is near 0.59175, aligning with the anticipated bullish momentum. A stop-loss order should be placed near 0.58852 to mitigate potential downside risk.
Profit Targets:
The first profit target (TP-1) is set at 0.59529, representing a conservative price level where partial profits can be taken. The second profit target (TP-2) is positioned at 0.59862, capturing additional upside potential as the bullish trend unfolds.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the technical analysis suggests a favorable opportunity for a bullish trade setup in the AUDCHF currency pair. Traders are advised to closely monitor price action around the specified entry, stop loss, and profit target levels to capitalize on the anticipated bullish move effectively. As always, risk management remains paramount in executing successful trades.
AUDCHF On the monthly charts we have a long term bearish trend forming new lows. There are imbalances likely to be cleared when there is a bullish correction.
On the lower time frames, we signs of a bullish correction forming though we do not yet have a clear confirmation. On the 4 hour,we have internal bullish structure with minor bearish correction. Once we have a clear break, we will go long on this pair targeting the previously mentioned imbalances.
FX Wars Episode 3 - The revenge of the AUD (vs CHF)As a wise trader once said:
"Trading is a simple game. What makes it so complicated is the presence of the SNB."
In short and simple terms:
I'm buying the AUD against the CHF for a long-term swing trade.
The reasons for this are short and sweet:
- As predicted back in February, Swiss inflation fell below 2% in July.
- As predicted, Swiss inflation fell much faster than the SNB had expected (currently at 1.4%)
- As predicted, the SNB raised interest rates for the last time in June and paused in September
- Tomorrow the SNB will not raise rates, but the market will start to price in possible SNB rate cuts for 2024
- My forecast: 1st rate cut by the SNB in 2024 will be by March or June
- As predicted in this trade idea, the Swiss economy is increasingly weakening and flirting very aggressively with a possible recession, which would seal 2-3 possible rate cuts in 2024
AUDCHFOn the monthly charts we have a long term bearish trend forming new lows. There are imbalances likely to be cleared when there is a bullish correction.
On the weekly charts,we have a disequilibrium and unmitigated supply at 0.607 price handle, price is seeking to correct it.
On the 4-hour chart, we have a shift in market structure confirming the bullish correction. We have two recommended entries,the high probability entry in green or the low probability yet conservative entry in red targeting the weekly unmitigated supply at 0.607
AUDCHF H4 / JPY Basket Bullish, Short Trade Execution💡Hello Traders!
I expect a reversal on AIDCHF as it reacted twice from the OB H4. I see this move as a short trade signal. I expect the price to retrace until the OB level of 0.57500, representing also reh FIB 0.618 level.
Traders, if my proposal resonates with you or if you hold a divergent viewpoint regarding this trade, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments. I welcome the opportunity to hear your perspectives.
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AUDCHF - Long from support ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDCHF.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I am looking for a long. I wait price to go a little bit lower and then to reject from trendline + support + institutional big figure 0.58000.
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DeGRAM | AUDCHF equal measured moveAUDCHF is slowly approaching the resistance and fibo extension levels.
The market has previously reacted to the resistance level by dropping.
Price created an equal measured move, or AB=CD pattern.
We expect the price to bounce off the resistance and retest support.
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AUDCHF,🔴Is it bearish...?🔴(Details on caption)
Well as you can see, the price hit the daily FVG did the stop hunt, and had a bearish reaction, after the first bearish leg the price moved higher and hit the daily bearish order block and now we can see the market structure shift in the 1-hour chart, so we can expect the price move down to sell-side liquidity.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️04/03/2024
🔎 DYOR
💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
DeGRAM | AUDCHF in consolidation zoneAUDCHF is in sideways movement on the D chart, indicating a consolidating market.
The market is trading in the descending channel; it rebounded along the border of the channel.
Price dropped from the level and 61.8% fibo retramcement level.
We might see some sharp moves from the resistance.
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DeGRAM | AUDCHF breakout and pullback AUDCHF broke and closed above the descending channel.
The market is in a bearish trend on the 4-hourly chart as well as on the daily.
Price has created the confluence level where we have resistance 88.6% fibo level and bearish harmonic pattern.
We expect a false breakout of the resistance and a pullback.
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AUDCHF Next Move ?Pair : AUDCHF ( Australian Dollar / Swiss Franc )
Description :
Completed " 12345 " Impulsive Waves and " A " Corrective Waves
Break of Structure and Completed the Retracement
RSI - Divergence
CHoCH
Bullish Channel as an Corrective Pattern in Short Time Frame and Rejection from Lower Trend Line
DeGRAM | AUDCHF divergence and double bottomAUDCHF is in consolidation zone on the D chart.
The market decelerated at the support level and rebounded following the double bottom, then it created the divergence.
We might see some sharp moves because the price has reached daily support level.
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AUDCHF Trade IdeaThe AUDCHF currency pair has reached into a crucial support level. The price seems fairly overextended, suggesting a possible correction. It's worth considering a possible short trade setup on a retracement into the 61.8 Fibonacci zone. It is crucial to emphasize that this information is shared solely for educational purposes and should not be considered as financial advice.
DeGRAM | AUDCHF kill zone and fibo clusterAUDCHF is approaching the resistance level, the kill zone, the fibo cluster, and the harmonic pattern.
Price created the reaction zone; it was the level where bullish and bearish moves started.
The market is moving against the major trend.
We expect a drop from the kill zone and a continuation of the bearish trend.
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7 Dimension Analysis for AUDCHF 🕛 TOPDOWN
Yearly: A robust and enduring bearish trend has persisted in this pair for the last 50 years.
Monthly: The monthly trend aligns with the bearish sentiment, displaying some inside moves.
Weekly: The market exhibits a strong bearish structure, currently within a descending triangle.
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: H4
1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bearish
🟢 Structure Behavior: Break of Structure (BoS)
🟢 Swing Move: Impulsive
🟢 Inducement: Completed
🟢 Impulsive Move: Initiated, indicating the opportune time to enter the market.
🟢 Support Breakout: A significant break of the long support level, accompanied by a major supply and distribution area. Support breakout; the CIP now acts as resistance.
🟢 Traps: Observations of fakeouts at the top and shakeouts.
🟢 Time Frame Confluence: 4H, Daily, Weekly, Monthly
2️⃣ Pattern
🟢 CHART PATTERNS: Reversal patterns like Double Top, a bearish breakout from a Consolidation Rectangle, and continuation patterns like Shakeout Continuation.
🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS: Waiting for market open to observe specific candlestick patterns such as Gaps (Novice, Pro, Window), Kicker Sash, Separating Line, Hero, Piercing/Dark Cloud, and Open Low/High.
3️⃣ Volume
🟢 Fixed Range: Bearish volume dominating throughout the consolidation.
🟢 Massive Volume: Significant volume observed at the breakout level.
4️⃣ Momentum RSI
🟢 Zone: Entered the super bearish zone.
🟢 Range Shift: Confirmed a shift into the super bearish zone.
🟢 Loud Moves: Previous bearish entries initiated with loud moves.
🟢 Grandfather Father Son Entries: A 5-star bearish entry.
5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands
🟢 Middle Band: Acting as resistance.
🟢 Contraction: Beginning, with a W pattern observed, though the overall trend suggests potential ignoring.
🟢 Dual Band Derivation: Supported.
🟢 Band Puncher: Indicating price consolidation in this area.
6️⃣ Strength According to ROC
🟢 Values: CHF stronger than AUD (6.55 vs. 1.14).
7️⃣ Sentiment
If we combine and analyze all these parameters, it's evident that the pair is in a super bearish trend. Hence, the strategy is to wait for corrections and then seek selling positions.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: H4
✅ Entry TF Structure: Short
☑️ Current Move: Impulsive
✔ Support Already Broke
☑️ Candles Behavior: Favoring sellers
💡 Decision: Aggressively sell
🚀 Entry: 0.5690
✋ Stop Loss: 0.5801
🎯 Take Profit: 0.5356
2nd Exit if Internal Structure changes, also Exit 3rd Trendline Breakout, FOMO
😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 3
🕛 Expected Duration: 60 days
SUMMARY:
The comprehensive analysis indicates a super bearish trend. The strategy is to aggressively sell, considering the confirmed break of structure, significant supply, and distribution areas. The risk-to-reward ratio is set at 3, anticipating a 60-day duration for the trade.