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7 dimensions analysis for AUDCHF 🕛 TOPDOWN Analysis - Preparing for a Potential Reversal Overview: The market is showing signs of a potential reversal, with the yearly low almost confirmed. A long-wick pinbar, often indicative of retests and undercuts, has appeared. Vigilance is required for any reversal candles on lower time frames. On the monthly time frame, a robust demand area marked by a significant pinbar and heavy volume at the bottom suggests a potential reversal. The monthly close also forms a monthly engulfing candle, and the last liquidity sweep is evident. The weekly time frame corroborates the notion of a confirmed low and an inducement at a critical first-order block. This marks the third pullback and hints at a weak impulsive leg. Additionally, the weekly record session count aligns with this analysis. 😇 7 Dimension Analysis Time Frame: Daily 1️⃣ Swing Structure: Bearish 🟢 Structure Behavior: Indicative of a Breakout from Sideways (BoS). 🟢 Swing Move: The corrective move has nearly reached its target level. 🟢 Inducement: 50% correction completed. 🟢 Internal Structure: Awaiting high confirmation. 🟢 Supply Area: Located here. Key Points: Trendline breakout is awaited. Resistance with a liquidity candle. A fake breakout with a V-shaped move in the extended market. No follow-through at resistance, marked by a strong reversal candle at the Change in Polarity (CIP) area. 2️⃣ Pattern 🟢 CHART PATTERNS Continuation Rising Wedge Shakeout Continuation 🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS Notable Observations: Record session count after strong bull session candles, followed by a reversal candle. A long-wick, strict candle. Momentum indicators indicate both a fakeout and FOMO. Further insights may emerge during opening sessions. A blended combo of 2 classic reversal patterns. 3️⃣ Volume: Volume during the fakeout was not substantial. 4️⃣ Momentum RSI: 🟢 Zone: Superbullish 5️⃣ Volatility Bollinger Bands: 🟢 Middle Band: Signifying a reversal expectation. 🟢 Walking on the Band: Possibly in the final stages; a minor correction may be in order. 6️⃣ Strength ADX: Bulls are currently dominant, with a minor correction noted. 7️⃣ Sentiment ROC: The AUD is stronger than CHF. ✔️ Entry Time Frame: H1 ✅ Entry TF Structure: Bearish ☑️ Current Move: Corrective at the daily master time frame and impulsive at H1. ✔ Support Resistance Base: H1 trendline is broken. ☑️ Candles Behavior: Momentum-indicated corrections. ☑️ FIB Trigger Event: Completed ☑️ Trend Line Breakout: Confirmed ☑️ Final Comments: Sell for correction. 💡 Decision: Sell 🚀 Entry: 0.5870 ✋ Stop Loss: 0.5933 🎯 Take Profit: 0.5751 😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: (Ratio not provided) 🕛 Expected Duration: 1:2.32 (Risk-Reward ratio not specified) SUMMARY: The analysis suggests a potential reversal scenario based on various technical factors. The market shows signs of weakening bullish momentum and the emergence of bearish patterns. Awaiting a trendline breakout is advisable, and a sell strategy for correction is proposed. Specific entry, stop-loss, and take-profit levels are provided, although the risk-reward ratio is not explicitly mentioned.
Short
by Optimum369
DeGRAM | AUDCHF confluence level to short the marketAUDCHF is slowly approaching the psychological level at 0.58000, fibo cluster, resistance, and dynamic resistance. Price action has previously reacted to the resistance level by dropping from it. This recent bullish move is a pullback against the major bearish trend because the trend on the 4-hourly chart is bearish. We expect the price to bounce off the resistance and retest support. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
7
DeGRAM | AUDCHF trend continuation opportunityAUDCHF has reached a support level, but noctice it made shallow lower low. Price action is likely to retrace from support and retest the highs. The market is pulling back against the major bearish trend, projected pullback is equal to the previous pullback that occurred before. We expect selling opportunities at the resistance and fibo levels. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
4
Aud Chf LongA reversal analysis for the AUD/CHF currency pair from the 57518 level involves examining the historical price action, identifying potential reversal points, and analyzing relevant technical indicators to assess the probability of a reversal occurring. Please note that as an AI language model, I don't have access to real-time data, so the analysis provided here is based on hypothetical scenarios and the knowledge available up to September 2021. Historical Context: First, let's take a look at the historical price movement of the AUD/CHF pair leading up to the 57518 level. We need to consider both long-term and short-term trends to get a comprehensive understanding. Key Support and Resistance Levels: Identify significant support and resistance levels on the chart. These levels can act as crucial reference points and can provide insight into potential reversal areas. Candlestick Patterns: Analyze the candlestick patterns at the 57518 level. Look for key reversal patterns like doji, hammer, shooting star, or engulfing patterns. These patterns can signal potential reversals. Momentum Indicators: Review momentum indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) or Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Divergence between price and the indicator can indicate a potential reversal. Volume Analysis: Examine trading volumes around the 57518 level. Significant volume spikes or divergences can provide clues about possible changes in market sentiment. Fibonacci Retracement: Apply Fibonacci retracement levels from recent swing highs to lows to identify potential support or resistance levels that coincide with the 57518 level. News and Events: Consider any upcoming economic data releases or geopolitical events that might impact the AUD/CHF pair. Sudden news can trigger sharp reversals. Sentiment Analysis: Evaluate market sentiment through sources like CFTC Commitments of Traders (COT) report or sentiment indicators. Extreme sentiment can indicate a potential reversal. Timeframe Analysis: Assess the reversal analysis across different timeframes (daily, weekly, monthly) to get a more comprehensive view. Remember that a reversal analysis is not a guarantee of future market movement. It is crucial to use risk management techniques, set stop-loss orders, and combine multiple analyses before making any trading decisions. Additionally, consulting with a qualified financial advisor or professional trader is recommended for personalized guidance based on current market conditions.
Long
by realtrademaster
DeGRAM | AUDCHF fibo cluster and resistanceAUDCHF is slowly approaching the confluence levels following the channel breakout: fibo cluster, resistance, and trendline. Price action has previously reacted to resistance levels by dropping from it. The market is pulling back against the major bearish trend because the trend on the 4 hourly chart is bearish. We expect the price to retest support. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
4
7 Dimension analysis for AUDCHF 😇 7 Dimension Analysis Analysis Time Frame: Daily 1: Price Structure: The current price structure is bearish, characterized by a Breakout from Sideways (BoS) behavior. The move is impulsive and nearing completion, with a major weekly demand area acting as support. The inducement is not yet confirmed, and there have been 3 pullbacks during the last corrective leg. Notably, there are no unmitigated order blocks during the entire impulsive leg, indicating no significant resistance until the Choch level. Confluence is observed on the daily, weekly, and monthly time frames, with a demand zone present in the same area. 2: Pattern 🟢 TREND LINES: Trend lines are acting as resistance levels, and a closing above them will provide final confirmation. 🟢 CHART PATTERNS: A potential Head and Shoulders pattern is forming, but a massive volume and engulfing bar at the last leg's low point add complexity. Additionally, there is a weekly liquidity sweep and a Fakeout Within 1 Bar pattern. These patterns suggest that the price may move sideways from here to form a proper demand base. 🟢 CANDLE PATTERNS: A Change in Guard pattern appeared at the bottom, indicating a potential reversal. Momentum (Engulfing) occurred with massive volume, adding to the potential bearish reversal signal. Momentum Fakeout Reversal also occurred with significant volume. A Narrow Range is forming with 3 candle squeezes yet to be confirmed. The last corrective and current impulsive candles are inside the reversal candle. Today's session opened low but experienced bullish control throughout the day. 3: Volume: Volume on the Fakeout is good, indicating significant market interest. Volume on the demand is heavy at the initial point, showing strong buying activity. 4: Momentum RSI: 🟢 Zone: The RSI is currently in a sideways zone. 🟢 Range Shift: Initially sideways to bullish. 🟢 Divergence: Hidden divergence with low momentum observed. Momentum has been holding in the bullish zone for a prolonged period. 5: Volatility Bollinger Bands: 🟢 Middle Band: A resistance breakout will be crucial for the initial upside move. 🟢 Squeez: Just started, suggesting potential low volatility ahead. 🟢 Headfake: Only one candle so far, not yet confirmed. 6: Strength ADX: The trend is currently bearish. But initial reversal can start from this zone 7: Sentiment ROC: The rate of change indicates that AUD is gaining strength. ✔️ Entry Time Frame: H1 ✅ Entry TF Structure: Bullish ☑️ Current Move: Impulse Move with one Choch. ✔ Support Resistance Base: Weekly support area and Fakeout. ☑️ Candles Behavior: Engulfing pattern making a valid low ☑️ FIB Trigger Event: Activated. ☑️ Trend Line Breakout: Confirmed. ☑️ Final Comments: Consider buying as an initial test entry. 💡 Decision: Buy 🚀 Entry: 0.5850 ✋ Stop Loss: 0.5795 🎯 Take Profit: 0.6090 😊 Risk to Reward Ratio: 1:3 🕛 Expected Duration: 5 Days Summary: The analysis suggests a bearish price structure with an impulsive move nearing completion. Various chart patterns and candlestick formations add complexity to the overall scenario. The RSI indicates a sideways zone, and the ADX confirms the bearish trend. A potential bullish entry is identified based on the current move, support resistance, and FIB trigger event. The risk-to-reward ratio is calculated at 1:3, and the expected duration for the trade is 5 days.
Long
by Optimum369
Bearish Opportunity on AUDCHF - Trend Line & RSI Confirm AUDCHF Trade Idea: Entering a Bearish Position with Clear Risk-Reward Strategy Hello traders, I have identified a bearish opportunity in the AUDCHF currency pair on the 4-hour chart, and I'd like to share my trade plan with you. The market sentiment is currently in favor of sellers, with a bearish trend line and no sign of divergence on the Momentum indicator (RSI). Trade Plan: Entry Price: 0.58326 Stop-Loss Price: 0.58874 Risk Reward 1:1: 0.5778 Risk Reward 1:2: 0.5723 Amount at Risk: $90 USD Position Sizing: 0.14 Lots Trade Rationale: I'm looking to initiate a sell limit order at 0.58326, as the price action indicates a strong bearish trend in the AUDCHF pair. To manage the potential risk, I've set my stop-loss at 0.58874, which allows for a reasonable risk-reward ratio of 1:1. If the trade goes as planned, the first target for profit-taking is at 0.5778, offering a 1:1 risk-reward ratio. For a potentially bigger gain, I have a secondary target at 0.5723, providing a 1:2 risk-reward ratio. Risk Management: Risk management is a crucial aspect of every trade. With this setup, I'm putting $90 USD at risk, which represents a small portion of my trading capital. By limiting my position size to 0.14 Lots, I aim to protect my account from excessive drawdown while still allowing room for potential gains. Please note that trading involves risks, and the market may not always move as expected. Therefore, it's essential to stay disciplined and follow your trading plan diligently. Remember, this analysis is not financial advice, and I encourage you to do your research and consider your own risk tolerance before entering any trades. If you decide to follow this trade idea, make sure to manage your positions and risk accordingly. Happy trading and best of luck! Disclaimer: This post is for educational and informational purposes only. Trading in the financial markets carries inherent risks, and past performance is not indicative of future results. Always trade responsibly and consult with a qualified financial advisor before making any trading decisions.
Short
by T-Q
Aud Chf Long In this analysis, we will focus on the AUD/CHF forex pair within the limits of 0.57889 to 0.57408, aiming to identify potential signs of a bullish reversal. This range implies a downward movement in the pair's price, and we will assess the technical and fundamental factors that could contribute to a potential bullish reversal within this specific range. Technical Analysis: a. Support Level: The lower limit of 0.57408 represents a significant support level, where the pair's price has previously shown a strong tendency to bounce back upwards. This level indicates a potential area where bullish reversal patterns could emerge. b. Oversold Conditions: Utilizing oscillators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI), we observe if the AUD/CHF pair is oversold within the specified limits. An RSI reading below 30 or displaying bullish divergences suggests that selling pressure may have exhausted, setting the stage for a potential upward movement. c. Candlestick Patterns: Analyzing candlestick patterns, such as hammer, bullish engulfing, or morning star, can provide further insights. If these patterns appear near the lower limit, it may indicate a bullish reversal signal, reflecting buyers' emergence and potential price recovery. Fundamental Analysis: a. Macroeconomic Factors: Monitoring relevant economic developments in Australia and Switzerland can contribute to a bullish reversal analysis. Positive factors may include an improvement in Australian economic indicators like GDP growth, employment data, or increased consumer confidence. Additionally, favorable Swiss economic data, such as strong exports or positive monetary policy actions, can also support a bullish outlook. b. Central Bank Policies: Monitoring the monetary policies of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the Swiss National Bank (SNB) is crucial. Any hints of a dovish stance by the RBA or a hawkish tone by the SNB can impact the AUD/CHF pair's dynamics, potentially favoring a bullish reversal. c. Market Sentiment and Risk Appetite: Assessing broader market sentiment and risk appetite is essential. If global markets exhibit a positive risk-on sentiment, characterized by increased investor confidence and a preference for riskier assets, it can positively influence the AUD/CHF pair's performance and contribute to a bullish reversal. Conclusion: Considering the technical analysis indicators such as significant support levels, potential oversold conditions, and relevant candlestick patterns, coupled with positive fundamental factors like improved economic indicators and supportive central bank policies, there is a possibility of a bullish reversal within the specified limits of 0.57889 to 0.57408 for the AUD/CHF forex pair. However, it is crucial to monitor ongoing market developments and adapt the analysis accordingly, as forex markets are subject to volatility and unforeseen events that may impact price movements.
Long
by realtrademaster