AUD/JPY BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
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The BB upper band is nearby so AUD/JPY is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 95.252.
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Audjpy-short
AUD/JPY: Rejection at Key ResistanceThis is a high-conviction short setup on AUD/JPY based on a powerful rejection pattern that has formed on the 4-hour chart. As you can see, the price spiked into the critical resistance zone between 95.00 and 95.55 but was immediately and forcefully rejected, leaving behind a long "Exhaustion Spike."
This is a classic sign of buyer exhaustion and seller dominance. It tells us that despite the recent rally, there is significant supply waiting at these higher levels. This price action provides a clear opportunity to short the pair in anticipation of a significant move down.
🏦 Fundamental Analysis
The fundamental backdrop provides a strong tailwind for this trade, with two key drivers:
1️⃣ Central Bank Divergence: The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is in an easing cycle, having recently cut rates to 3.85% with more cuts expected. In stark contrast, the Bank of Japan (BoJ) is on a path of normalization, having already raised its rate to 0.50%. This divergence in monetary policy is structurally bearish for AUD/JPY.
2️⃣ Imminent Catalysts: This week is packed with event risk that is skewed to the downside for this pair. We have the RBA interest rate decision on Tuesday, July 8th , and the U.S. tariff deadline on Wednesday, July 9th . A dovish RBA or a "risk-off" move from the tariff news would likely accelerate the decline in AUD (a risk currency) and strengthen the JPY (a safe-haven currency).
📊 Technical Analysis
The price action on the chart confirms the bearish bias:
1️⃣ 4-Hour Rejection: The "Exhaustion Spike" at the 95.00 - 95.55 supply zone is the primary signal. It shows a clear failure by buyers and a strong takeover by sellers at a key level.
2️⃣ Long-Term Trend: On the daily chart, the price is trading below the critical 200-day moving average , confirming the long-term trend remains bearish.
3️⃣ Waning Momentum: There is a clear bearish divergence on the daily RSI. The price made a higher high, but the momentum indicator made a lower high, signaling that the rally is internally weak and losing steam.
📋 Trading Setup
This is a swing trade designed to capture a significant correction with a simple "set and forget" plan.
📉 Direction: SHORT / SELL
👉 Entry: Sell Limit @ 94.85
⛔️ Stop Loss: 95.60
🎯 Take Profit: 91.10
💡 Rationale: The entry is placed strategically to capitalize on a potential retest of the rejection area. The stop loss is placed safely above the rejection wick and the major resistance zone. The take profit targets the major structural support from the May 2025 lows, offering an excellent risk-to-reward ratio.
AUD/JPY SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
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We are now examining the AUD/JPY pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 93.578 level.
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AUD/JPY SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
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Previous week’s green candle means that for us the AUD/JPY pair is in the uptrend. And the current movement leg was also up but the resistance line will be hit soon and upper BB band proximity will signal an overbought condition so we will go for a counter-trend short trade with the target being at 93.835.
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AUDJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Sell!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDJPY.
Time Frame: 30m
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is on a crucial zone of supply 93.507.
The above-mentioned technicals clearly indicate the dominance of sellers on the market. I recommend shorting the instrument, aiming at 93.232 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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AUD/JPY SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
AUD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 93.511
Target Level: 93.135
Stop Loss: 93.760
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
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AUDJPY Will Go Lower! Short!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDJPY.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 93.565.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 92.996 level.
P.S
The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce.
Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news.
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AUDJPY Will Go Lower From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDJPY.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a significant resistance area 92.915.
Due to the fact that we see a positive bearish reaction from the underlined area, I strongly believe that sellers will manage to push the price all the way down to 92.593 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUD/JPY BEARS ARE STRONG HERE|SHORT
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We are targeting the 92.544 level area with our short trade on AUD/JPY which is based on the fact that the pair is overbought on the BB band scale and is also approaching a resistance line above thus going us a good entry option.
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AUD/JPY BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are now examining the AUD/JPY pair and we can see that the pair is going up locally while also being in a uptrend on the 1W TF. But there is also a powerful signal from the BB upper band being nearby, indicating that the pair is overbought so we can go short from the resistance line above and a target at 88.446 level.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUD/JPY SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so AUD-JPY is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 90.143.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUD/JPY BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
AUD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 92.152
Target Level: 91.545
Stop Loss: 92.554
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 1h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUD/JPY BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
AUD/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: short
Entry Level: 90.909
Target Level: 88.668
Stop Loss: 92.394
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 8h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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AUD/JPY SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
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We are going short on the AUD/JPY with the target of 85.454 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
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AUD/JPY BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
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AUD/JPY is trending down which is evident from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a classical trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 93.883.
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AUDJPY Will Go Down! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The price is testing a key resistance 94.552.
Taking into consideration the current market trend & overbought RSI, chances will be high to see a bearish movement to the downside at least to 94.086 level.
P.S
Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback.
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AUD/JPY BEARS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/JPY pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 2H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 93.209 area.
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AUD/JPY BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/JPY pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 1H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 92.334 area.
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AUD/JPY BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/JPY is trending down which is clear from the red colour of the previous weekly candle. However, the price has locally surged into the overbought territory. Which can be told from its proximity to the BB upper band. Which presents a beautiful trend following opportunity for a short trade from the resistance line above towards the demand level of 94.234.
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AUDJPY Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDJPY.
Time Frame: 8h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 98.074.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 96.232.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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AUD/JPY BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
It makes sense for us to go short on AUD/JPY right now from the resistance line above with the target of 96.652 because of the confluence of the two strong factors which are the general downtrend on the previous 1W candle and the overbought situation on the lower TF determined by it’s proximity to the upper BB band.
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AUD/JPY BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
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AUD/JPY pair is in the downtrend because previous week’s candle is red, while the price is obviously rising on the 9H timeframe. And after the retest of the resistance line above I believe we will see a move down towards the target below at 95.787 because the pair is overbought due to its proximity to the upper BB band and a bearish correction is likely.
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AUDJPY Will Move Lower! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDJPY.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is testing a major horizontal structure 97.822.
Taking into consideration the structure & trend analysis, I believe that the market will reach 97.277 level soon.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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