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AUDJPY

AUDJPY broke the uptrend line. Is it time to sell?The AUD/JPY pair recently made a significant break on the daily chart. The price broke through two significant zones: 1. The uptrend line, which has been supporting prices since August 2024. 2. The sideways range, between 99.70 and 102.00, which had served as a consolidation area for several weeks. These breakouts indicate a loss of buying momentum, with sellers taking control of the market. Currently, the price is at 98.15, below the 50% Fibonacci retracement of the recent upward movement, with the 38.2% retracement (97.44) as the next intermediate support. Bearish Continuation Forecast With the loss of support at 99.70, if the price comes back to the breaking point at 99.50 and it works as a resistance, the downward movement should continue, especially since the breakout was accompanied by a large-bodied daily candle, indicating sellers' conviction. If the price loses the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement at 97.44, the next targets would be: 94.60 - Target projected by the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement, in addition to being a significant psychological zone. 90.00 - A long-term support, marked by the low of the July 2024 bearish movement. This scenario will be reinforced if buyers fail to defend the next support zones. Possibility of Retracement, an Alternative Scenario Although the breakout indicates weakness at the moment, there is a possibility of a pullback to retest the 99.70 region or the broken uptrend line. If price manages to break above this level, there is a chance that the AUDJPY will resume the uptrend. In this case, the short-term targets would be: 102.00 - Former resistance and the top of the lateralization. 104.75 - An important level that acted as resistance in May 2024. For the price to initiate a stronger reversal, a sustained breakout above 100.00 would be necessary, which would cast doubt on the strength of the sellers. The AUD/JPY presents a dominant bearish outlook after the recent breakouts. The next critical zone will be the support at 97.44, which will determine whether the price will continue its downward trajectory or make a pullback to retest the broken levels. This is a crucial time to observe the price reaction at the support and resistance zones, seeking confirmation for both scenarios. Disclaimer: 74% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK.
Short
by Marketscom
AUDJPY Channel Up approaching its bottom.The AUDJPY pair has been trading within a Channel Up pattern since the August 05 Low and yesterday broke below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line). The previous Low of the pattern was priced on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level as well as when the 1D RSI started rising after almost hitting the oversold (30.00) barrier. As a result we are looking for a buy below 97.500, targeting 104.000 (just under the -0.236 Fibonacci extension, which was the last Higher High). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
1
Bearish drop?AUD/JPY is rising towards the pivot which lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support. Pivot: 100.20 1st Support: 99.09 1st Resistance: 100.86 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
AUD/JPY Clear breakthrough, trend trading.Hi guys, we are coming up with yet another fantastic opportunity, which we will express our attention onto Resistance and Support line. The AUD/JPY has been trading in a very tight range since the beginning of October up until now. There is an extremely strong resistance line which has been physically broken once sitting above the level of 101.700 , in between that time the pair has been trading just below the Resistance of 101.600 to it's lower end at the support of 99.778. For now my analysis would be targeting the lower end of 99.700 to 99.800 level and then for us to see another retest towards the two goals which I have set up as follows As a pending order - BUY LIMIT at level of 99.778 with following take profits - Take profit 1 : 101.161 Take profit 2 : 101.673 Enjoy this fantastic analysis which has brought me a lot of success the past two months, hence the fact that it was trading in a very obvious range and allowed for very easy entries to follow up and catch quite a few good pips of movement.
Short
by DG55Capital
AUD/CHF: Watching for the Perfect Resistance TestFor this setup, I’m only looking to sell if price moves into the marked resistance zone (~0.57592). Patience and discipline are key—no zone, no trade. 📉 Market Context: The bearish structure is intact, with lower highs and lower lows showing sellers are in control. The marked resistance zone (~0.57592) is a critical area to watch for rejection. Stop-Loss: Set at 0.57984, above the resistance zone, to invalidate the setup. Target: Aiming for the support level at 0.56833, the next major area of interest. 🎯 Risk Management: Risking 1% of capital on this trade to ensure proper account management. Position size will be calculated based on the entry, stop-loss, and the 1% risk rule. 🧠 Psychology Tip: "Discipline in risk is non-negotiable." 📌 No matter how good a setup looks, risking more than you planned is a fast track to inconsistency. Stick to your 1%, and let probabilities do the heavy lifting.
Short
by CurlyTrader_xo
Buy AUD/JPY Bullish ChannelThe AUD/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bullish Channel pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 101.04, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 101.94 2nd Support – 102.54 Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING Thank you.
Long
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
3
AUD/JPY: Potential Retest Setup for a Bearish Move Watching for a retracement into the highlighted resistance zone (~100.387) before considering a bearish continuation. This setup aligns with the current market structure and offers an opportunity to join the trend if conditions are met. 📉 Key Observations: Recent break below support turned the zone into potential resistance. Anticipating a retest in this area to confirm rejection before any short entry. The overall market structure remains bearish with lower highs and lower lows. 🎯 Plan: Wait for price to retest and reject the resistance zone. First target: 98.053, the next significant support level. Stop-loss: Above 101.250 to allow for potential volatility. 🧠 Entry Psychology Tip: "Be okay with missing the trade if it doesn’t meet your plan." 📌 Letting the market prove itself before entering builds confidence in your setup and keeps you disciplined. Stay focused on execution, not on the outcome.
Short
by CurlyTrader_xo
AUDJPY Correction to the Down side after channel breakoutAUDJPY has recently broken and closed above a descending channel, indicating a potential shift in momentum. However, the overall market trend remains sideways, suggesting consolidation. The price is approaching a resistance level near 101.00, where previous sell-offs occurred, indicating that bears may be active in this zone. If the price rejects this resistance and the upward trendline, a decline toward the support zone around 100.75 is possible. Given the current sideways movement, the market may bounce off the top of the range and subsequently move toward the channel border. Monitoring price action around the 101.00 resistance level will be crucial to confirm a potential reversal
Short
by RTED_Investing
AUDJPY ShortThis price made a pullback from the bearish momentum formed in July - August, and has been confirming the fib levels between that range. Also, it has been forming a rising flag since it touched the lowest low, which IMO is a strong indicator of a strong bearish momentum. As for now is on the 0.5 fib level 99.95, and I do anticipate that the price will continue with the bearish momentum. An analysis using a shorter timeframe will follow so that we can know our entry position.
Short
by Vapari_Inc
AUDJPY Sellers In Panic! BUY! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the AUDJPY next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 100.36 Bias -Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 100.89 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
3
AUD/JPY Approaching Key Breakdown: Will the Bulls Hold the Line?AUD/JPY is trading within a converging wedge pattern, showing a potential downside setup. The price is approaching a crucial support level marked by the red ascending trendline. This support has held multiple times in recent sessions, but any break below it could open the way for further losses. The pair is also testing resistance at the upper boundary of the wedge. A rejection from this area may push prices downward towards the ascending trendline, where a break could lead to a deeper fall, targeting the blue horizontal support near 100.000. If AUD/JPY breaks below 100.000, it could trigger a bearish continuation, suggesting a move toward the 99.510 level or lower. Conversely, if bulls defend the trendline, the price could attempt a reversal within the wedge, aiming for a retest of recent highs.
Short
by TopGBanks
1
Heading into 61.8% Fibonacci resistance?AUD/JPY is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 101.56 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 102.37 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 100.34 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
1