AUDJPY - Short active ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDJPY.
Technical analysis: Here we can see that price failed to break previous high and then changed the character, filled perfectly the imbalance and then rejected from institutional big figure 92.000, so I opened a short position.
Fundamental analysis: On Wednesday we have news on AUD, will be released yearly CPI, one of the most important macroeconomic indicator. Pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis.
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AUDJPY
AUD/JPY Downbeat Data and Cautious Sentiment Weigh.The AUD/JPY currency pair continues to face downward pressure, hovering around its intraday low after experiencing a decline from its eight-day high. The pair's movement is influenced by the release of key economic data, including Australia's employment report and Japan's trade numbers for the month of April. As the AUD/JPY pair is considered a risk barometer, qualitative factors will play a significant role in determining its direction, particularly due to the light economic calendar.
The AUD/JPY pair is currently experiencing selling pressure, pushing it to refresh its intraday low near 91.20. This rapid decline amounts to nearly 50 pips, triggered by the disappointing Australian jobs report for April, which came in below expectations. Furthermore, the pair is also weighed down by the negative yield and cautious sentiment prevailing in the market.
Australia's employment change figure for April came as a surprise, showing a decline of 4.3K jobs compared to the expected increase of 25K and the previous month's figure of 53K. Additionally, the unemployment rate in Australia rose to 3.7% from the previous 3.5%.
Earlier in the day, Japan's merchandise trade balance total for April showed improvement, reaching ¥-432.4B, surpassing the expected ¥-613.8B and the previous month's ¥-755.1B. However, both imports and exports for April experienced a decline on a year-on-year basis, with imports contracting by 2.3% and exports growing by 2.6%, falling short of market forecasts of -0.3% and 3.0% respectively. These figures represent a decrease from the previous month's values of 7.3% and 4.3% for imports and exports respectively.
On the previous day, Australia's wage price index for the first quarter of 2023 remained unchanged at 0.8% quarter-on-quarter (QoQ), failing to meet the market consensus of 0.9%. However, the year-on-year (YoY) numbers showed improvement, reaching 3.7%, surpassing the expected 3.6% and the previous reading of 3.3%. In contrast, Japan's preliminary reading of the first quarter (Q1) 2023 gross domestic product (GDP) figures revealed a growth rate of 0.4%, exceeding the market's expectation of 0.1% and the previous reading of 0.0%.
It is worth noting that the AUD/JPY pair's recent upward momentum was driven by the market's improved risk appetite, mainly due to diminishing concerns regarding a US default. Additionally, hopes of increased investment from China also supported the pair's recovery, as the National Development and Reform Commission of the People's Republic of China (NDRC) announced measures to stimulate consumption and stabilize and expand manufacturing investment.
However, the lack of further positive catalysts, along with a cautious sentiment ahead of significant Australian data and doubts regarding the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) hawkish stance, has led the risk barometer pair to consolidate its weekly gains.
Despite the positive performance on Wall Street, S&P 500 Futures show slight losses, and US Treasury bond yields remain stagnant near multi-day highs. Specifically, the yields on the 10-year and two-year Treasury bonds have risen to their highest levels since May 01 and April 24 respectively, with a four-day uptrend near 3.57% and 4.16%. However, they have slightly decreased to 3.55% and 4.13% respectively at the time of writing.
Looking ahead, with a light economic calendar, the AUD/JPY pair may consolidate its recent gains if market sentiment continues to deteriorate.
From a technical analysis standpoint, it is worth considering that the price of AUD/JPY may experience a new pullback around the 50% and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement levels. These levels coincide with the dynamic trendline, adding to their significance. This potential pullback could serve as a temporary pause in the downward movement before the price resumes its upward trajectory.
AUDJPY Will Go Higher From Support! Long!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDJPY.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 91.593.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 92.566.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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AUD/JPY Set To Grow! BUY!
My dear followers ,
My technical analysis for AUD/JPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 91.592
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Goal - 92.625
My Stop Loss - 90.987
About Used Indicators:
The average true range ATR plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDJPY is almost reach PRZAfter the Potential Reversal Zone has been reach, And white trend line has been crossed, find your best position to go short.
The target is not determine yet, however, watch out for the second white trend line below.
Secure your profit, and find another short position.
Use your own strategy.
Draw trend line always. It is the most essential thing in trading. And close your position when your trend line has been crossed.
Watch out, anticipation for WXYXZ
Where is the thirth (blue) trend line show up? Let's see on the picture below.
I wish you get your best profit.
Thank you.
AUDJPY Long Idea H1In AUDJPY, we have a strong Yen that is driving the price to the 90.600 area, where there is a demand zone and where the market could create a bullish setup due to the significant amount of orders present in that zone. The entry is expected around 90.700 with a target at 91.600.
Let me know what you think.
Happy trading, everyone.
AUDJPY - Price is in Ascending Channel on the 4 Hour Time FramePrice is trending upwards making higher highs on the 4hr timeframe. Price is at the lower level of the trend which seems like it has found support to go back up again. Please watch price either make higher highs going back up or breakout of this channel.
Please trade carefully and use your own analysis to learn how to spot trends like this.
Good Luck Trading.
AUD/JPY Made Double Top , Time To Short It With 200 Pips TargetThis Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
AUDJPY Will Go Down From Resistance! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDJPY.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 91.256.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 88.079.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
AUDJPY ShortHello guys
This pair has been forming a falling flag, a major indication of bullish momentum, but it is in the earlier stages of formation. I anticipate that the market will continue with the formation, according to the higher timeframes.
My entry point is at 90.7 with stop loss at 91.7, and I am targeting a 1:5 R:R ration for this trade.
Remember, risk only 1% of your account.
A big fall on AUDJPY - Selling at 92.20 There are many reasons to like this trade.
1) AUDJPY is overbought on H4. It showed a strong reaction at 92.25 and dropped.
2) It has made a double top on H4 with divergence.
3) There is a big pattern to sell.
4) There is a M15 sell pattern as well.
The move at a minimum should be aiming for 91.40 and then hopefully lower.
Good luck!
AUD/JPY : Volume Profile 📊 and Price Action Analysis 📋On AUD/JPY is nice to see strong sell-off from the price 92.18, there are nice to see strong volume area....
Where is lot of contract accumulated...
I thing that sellers from this area will be defend this short position...
and when the price come back to this area, strong sellers will be push down the market again...
Rejection of higher prices + Strong volume area is my mainly reason for this short trade....
Happy trading
Dale
AUD/JPY pulls back from the resistance level, more drop?AUD/JPY has retraced from the resistance level at 92.35 area. Along with that, we also have the formation
of a bearish reversal candlestick pattern in the resistance level. So, it is possible to see more fall in
AUD/JPY towards the 90 level. My recommendation is to sell the rallies in AUD/JPY as long as price
stays below the resistance level
AUDJPY UPDATE I posted about AUDJPY before and I’m a show in this chart because it has been performing expected. Currently it seems that it is having a retracement and may try to break above the resistance level/ double top that it created. However, it is not clear that it will keep the clean structure that he has right now. Manage risk is a top priority I will keep updating. Note. AUDJPY has a correlation with CADJPY and other JPY pairs