AUDJPY
Failed to make a wipe outThe previous trading week price did not make the anticipated liquidity sweep, as a result we ought to approach this pair in a more cautious way. In this case patience is key. The abrupt drop spiked the immediate 4h demand zone and price started to consolidate, this could be an internal accumulation, looking for a hike to the upside in order to catch a nice bearish move…
AUDUSD Reversal? Is Risk Off happening? AUDJPY in a potential daily trend change. Risk off is on the table. Traded 50% short on Friday morning in NY and sold off pretty much all day. A 2nd chance short at 50% HWB short 91.90 would be a gift. If stocks keep selling off though, would expect it to head down to the 91.262 early in the week.
AUDJPYAUDJPY on the 30-minute chart has had higher lows but also lower highs and may have
a symmetrical triangle pattern. Price is currently at or above the following :
(1) the POC line of the long-term volume profile (2) the mean line of the long-term anchored
VWAP (blue line ) and the convergence of the EMA 200 ( red) and EMA 21 ( green). On the
stochastic RSI the lines are moving upward from a bottom well below 20 and suggest bullish
divergence. Given these confluences, I conclude that AUDJPY is set up to move higher over
the intermediate term.
AUD/JPY; Fade the rallies; Long term Short BiasPretty much everything is aligned in favor for this pair to post significant loses in the near future. (Including the sentiment indicators which are in firmly bearish territory!)
E.g., Fade the rallies!
- China's reopening is a dud - to say the least -, more importantly, with substantial long term implications;
- The commodity picture is strongly DEflationary, across the board; (US hard landing ; is Crude is going to hold around $60, or not?!; etc.)
- Japan is gaining it's industrial stride, benefiting from a deflationary (raw materials) environment and it's rapidly rising significance as the regional key stone vs. China;
- Australia (without much China) has the significance of a distant (albeit important) military outpost and that's all! (At the end of the day Australia bears even far less significance than India, which is simply too far from the developed world to play any notable role. - Australia happens to be even more removed and distance/sea lanes do matter nowadays, far more than at any time during the past 50 years!)
- ... and the list goes on . (A list which is rather long, all of it in favor of Japan.)
AUDJPY - FUNDAMENTAL + TECHNICAL BIAS#AUDJPY
These days, AUDJPY is slightly UP due to MARKET RISK ON. The reason for that was that the MARKET SENTIMENT was somewhat POSITIVE with FED UPDATES. JPY WEAK AFTER BOJ MEETING.
Because of that, XXXJPY CURRENCIES went UP very fast. It still has an effect. Anyway, they said that the BOJ MONETARY POLICY will be relaxed even more.
Therefore, after JPY becomes PRICE, XXXJPY PRICES may be UP in the future. Even now, we see that the MARKET is somewhat MARKET RISK ON. We expect AUDJPY to RETRACE to higher resistance. Anyway, if the AUDJPY goes upside down again, the VIX should go down and the JPY should go up, and STOCKS should go up. The dollar should continue to strengthen as it has in recent days.
AUDJPY can definitely SELL at 89.25 LEVEL. But somehow, after that, AUDJPY may go UP to 95.54 LEVEL. Anyway, if JPY becomes WEAK, if the UP SIDE STRUCTURE is BREAK, there is a very good situation to BUY AUDJPY.
AUDJPY is getting excitingly bullishToday we say the break above the downtrend trendline, and this is after the uptrend trendline has been respected. HH and HL pattern validates an uptrend and we should continue the price journey north. A little pullback is healthy, and this is where we'll go for our long position.
AUD/JPY Short PositionHere is my analysis for a potential short position I have taken on AUD/JPY.
The original analysis was spotted on the M15 chart showing a large RSI divergence, However the main analysis was done on H1 graph.
My Reasoning for this short is:
- Large RSI divergence on both M15 and H1 graph.
- Large Supply zone hit where a lot of retracements have been before.
- Strong start rejection in resistance zone.
- MACD crossover forming.
- Lower volume on MACD too.
I believe this will be a larger swing position with 2 positions personally taken both risking 1% combined.
Position 1:
Entry - 91.135
TP - 90.112
SL - 91.650
Position 2:
Entry - 91.134
TP - 89.735
SL - 91.854
Both positions holding a 2.00 roughly RR ratio with risking 1% of capital combined.
AUDJPY SHORTHi Traders,
A possibility to look for sell Entry near the 91.3 area. Can look for entry with a trendline break or we can look for a rejection coming out from the fibonacci level area.
My TP will be at 90.1 area. We have new Australian and Japanese news coming in this week.
Always trade with a stop loss along with Money management. Avoid over leveraging.
Follow me and hit the Boost if you like my charts.
Thank you. 👍
AUDJPY to stall at trend of lower highs?AUDJPY - 24h expiry
The downward trending resistance line at 91.30 should provide the ideal target and fade level as medium term bears build positions into the current strength.
Previous support level of 90.50 broken.
The trend of higher intraday lows has also been broken.
Further downside is expected.
Risk/Reward would be poor to call a sell from current levels.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
We look to Sell at 91.22 (stop at 91.65)
Our profit targets will be 90.25 and 90.05
Resistance: 91.30 / 91.90 / 92.32
Support: 90.00 / 89.15 / 88.50
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AUDJPY Trading Plan - 14/May/2023Hello Traders,
Hope you all are doing good!!
I expect AUDJPY to go Up after finishing the correction.
Look for your BUY setups.
Please follow me and like if you agree or this idea helps you out in your trading plan.
Disclaimer: This is just an idea. Please do your own analysis before opening a position. Always use SL & proper risk management.
Market can evolve anytime, hence, always do your analysis and learn trade management before following any idea.