AUD/JPY could MOVE DOWN!Hey tradomaniacs,
after previous fakeout to the topside AUD/JPY could continue its correction to the downside.
These fakotus after often a move by institutional traders to liquiddate the retailers in order to have enoug liquidity for their oen positions.
JPY is overall strong due to the previous news aswell as DXY which is still moving upwards.
Market is pretty choppy and indecisive so be carefully trading!
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Peace and good trades
Irasor
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Audjpysell
AUDJPY D, reversal pattern forming.AUDJPY has made multiple hits to this Daily resistance zone over the past few months. Once again price has returned to this zone and we see some signs of rejection. In addition, price appears to be forming an ascending flag pattern which is often followed by a bearish breakout. If price does continue to respect this zone over the next few weeks or months, we can look out for a breakout into a sell. There will be other possible short term trades before this happens but this setup once it plays out will be a really nice sell.
Note: if this does not happen, we can see price break through this Daily resistance zone and continue buying.
AUDJPY SELL OR LONG?*ENG*
- Price reaching our stress zone.
- We are expecting some confluence around this zone.
- If price breaks, look for longs.
*PT*
- Preço a atingir a nossa stress zone.
- Estamos a aguardar alguma dificuldade e indecisão do preço nesta zona.
- Se o preço quebrar, procurar por entradas em long.
Trend reversal in AUDJPY?AUDJPY could be creating a tripe top formation after price failed to break the 76.90 resistance level. AUDJPY has also dropped below the supportive trend line that I have drawn in my chart.
If price stays below this supportive trend line then it will likely that AUDJPY will continue to drop.
AUDJPY - New StructurePrice has now broken out of the respected ascending trendline and reached our first level of interest, we now expect to see price continuing to the downside. If you are patient, you may see a pullback into the marked structure, this may be a great opportunity to get involved in a sell position.
64% are net short according to the IG Client Sentiment
62% are short according to our COT source.
AUDJPY / SELL IDEAOn the chart we see price has broken the trendline and hit its key support level where it was rejected - It is a key level as we can see multiple rejections on the chart if you look further back
It then retraced to the trendline and was rejected again
Once price has broken support we can look for sell entries to the target shown on the chart
AUDJPY - SHORT {500pip Swing}With a clean double top on the daily and a new lower high just formed, we can now expect a sell to at least 50% of the mini bullrun that started on this pair since around the 18 of March 2020. We have a bearish divergence on the MACD from an indicator perspective and a supporting trendline currently holding price, a break and retest of the trendline would initiate a sell off on the AUDJPY. Stops are 120pips for a Take profit target of 500pips
AUDJPY - SELL OPPORTUNITYAUD - BEARISH
1️⃣ Australia's Victoria state Premier confirmed a record 723 additional coronavirus cases and announced that face masks are now mandatory across the state, while there were later comments from Australian PM Morrison that the coronavirus spike in Victoria state is very concerning.
2️⃣ Consumer prices in Australia declined by 0.3% year-on-year in Q2 2020. This was the first drop in consumer prices since Q3 1997.
3️⃣ All major economic data RBA is negative.
4️⃣ Weaker-than-expected domestic data, which showed that Building Approvals fell to an eight-year low in June.
JPY - BULLISH
1️⃣ The Japanese Yen gains as accelerating coronavirus infection rates continued to dampen hopes of recovery for the United States economy.
2️⃣ The recent escalation of diplomatic tensions between the world's two largest economies forced investors to take refuge in traditional safe-haven assets.
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Technical
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- We looking to short #AUDJPY on SBR level + SMA 50 area.
- AUDJPY in bearish zone.
AUDJPY, 8hr tf, double top possibility and triangle patternThere is a possibility AUDJPY forming a double top on the daily chart. Price also broken below the ascending trend line which has supported AUDJPY for 4 months.
Taking a deeper look into 8hr chart there is a possiblity of triangle pattern also forming. Price already broken below the support and currently we are on the retest process of broken support.
Sell AUDJPY 75.20-25
Stop loss 75.65
Take profit 1 @74.30
Take profit 2 @73.40
AUD/JPY breaking through supportHope you all have a fantastic day !
I would appreciate any likes and follows from this idea, that would encourage me to publish more ideas and analysis.
AUD/JPY has been in nice uptrend for some time now, however we can see that price has been breaking below this ascending support line. We believe price will go lower from this point.
Let us know what you think about this idea.
Trade safe !