Audjpysignal
Tumbles below 97.50, dropping to four-day lowsThe FX:AUDJPY post of four straight days of losses stays below the 97.50 area on Monday, breaking below a key support level at the time of writing. The AUD/JPY is trading at 97.24, down y 0.01%, as Tuesday’s Asian session begins.
From a daily chart perspective, the pair is upward biased, but it fell below the Tenkan-Sen at 97.31, which could exacerbate a test of the 97.00 figure. The pair would witness further downside action below the latter, like the Senkou Span A at 96.86, before slumping toward the Kijun-Sen at 96.41. Once cleared, up next would be. the 96.00 mark.
On the other hand, if AUD/JPY climbs past the November 20 high at 97.72, that could exacerbate a test of the 98.00 figure. Once cleared, up next would be the year-to-date (YTD) high at 98.60, ahead of the 99.00 figure.
Looking for a rebound into 98.00The FX:AUDJPY snuck over the 97.50 level just ahead of the Friday closing bell, trying to claw back some of the midweek's losses after the pair tumbled from a Wednesday peak of 98.66.
The AUD/JPY closed out the trading week with some gains, up nearly 1.2% from Monday's opening bids near 96.40, but the back half of the week was marred by a 1.75% decline that only saw a minor paring back in late Friday trading.
With the Aussie (AUD) bouncing off a technical confluence of the 200-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA) and a rising trendline drawn from late October's swing low into 94.25, the pair is set for a bullish continuation as long as broad-market fundamentals keep risk appetite on the high side.
Daily candlesticks are flashing warning signs that the current bullish push could be running out of gas.
The AUD/JPY is at risk of getting pulled back towards the 50-day SMA near 95.50, and long-term technical support is far below current price action at the 200-day SMA rising from 93.00.
November's rise out of October's consolidation phase could face a near-term bearish breakdown, with the last swing low into the 96.00 handle acting as the immediate support level for bears to beat.
AUDJPY → Hits 13-month high, buyers eye 98.00The FX:AUDJPY extended its gains on risk appetite improvement on Tuesday, as investors speculated the US Federal Reserve wouldn’t raise rates due to a soft October inflation report. Therefore, traders seeking risks bought high-beta currencies to the detriment of the Japanese Yen's (JPY's) safe-haven status. The pair is trading at 97.87, which is a gain of more than 1.90%.
The daily chart portrays the cross-pair as upward biased after hitting a new 13-month high, shy of reclaiming the 98.00 mark, which, once cleared, could pave the way to test last year´s high of 98.60, ahead of challenging the psychological 100.00 mark.
Nevertheless, the AUD/JPY uptrend seems overextended, and in the event of a pullback, the first support would be the November 7 high at 97.59, previous resistance levels, turned support. A decisive break would expose the Tenkan-Sen at 96.98 before sliding to the July 5 high at 96.83. Once this demand zone is cleared, the next stop would be the Senkou Span A at 96.49.
AUDJPY → Struggles at Kijun-Sen aiming for 97.00FX:AUDJPY began the Asian session with minuscule losses of 0.08%, as Wall Street’s turned negative towards the end of Monday’s trading session, ahead of the release of the US CPI data. The pair is trading at 96.68 after hitting a weekly high of 96.85.
From a technical standpoint, the AUD/JPY is neutral biased, facing resistance at the Tenkan-Sen level at 96.81. A breach of that area can open the door to test 97.00, followed by the 2023 high of 97.63m before reaching the 98.00 mark.
On the other hand, failure to conquer the Tenkan-Sen could expose the pair to some selling pressure, with bears targeting Monday’s low of 96.18. Up next would be the psychological 96.00 figure, followed by the Kijun-Sen at 95.83, and the top of the Ichimoku Cloud (Kumo) at 95.00.
AUDJPY Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
AUDJPY Technical Analysis And Trade IdeaIn this video, we offer an in-depth analysis of the AUDJPY currency pair, with a primary focus on the prevailing bullish price swing evident on the 1D and 1W timeframes. Notably, the pair is approaching a critical resistance level, suggesting the possibility of a retracement. Throughout our discussion, we delve deep into the intricate aspects of technical analysis, covering the prevailing market trend, price dynamics, market structure, and other key elements essential to effective technical analysis. As we progress through the video, we will explore a potential trading opportunity in greater depth.
It's crucial to underscore that the content shared in this video is intended purely for educational purposes and should not be interpreted as financial advice. It is paramount to acknowledge that participating in forex trading carries a significant level of risk. Therefore, it is imperative to prudently incorporate robust risk management strategies into your trading plan.
DeGRAM | AUDJPY confluence level for selling opportunityAUDJPY broke and closed below the resistance at 95.000, which is psychological as well.
The market also broke the ascending channel, indicating a trend shift.
Price at confluence level, where resistance is at 95.000, dynamic resistance and fibo level 50.0%.
We expect a bearish move from the confluence.
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Dead cat bounce on AUD/JPY?Once again we saw AUD/JPY rally above 96 before reversing lower, which is a pattern we have seen occur four times since January 2022. A shooting start reversal formed on Friday and the cross fell around -4% Tuesday’s low, breaking a bullish trendline before finding support at the 200-day EMA, February high and 96 handle.
We’ve seen two modest up days since, but now we’re looking for evidence of a swing high around 95 – as this houses the weekly S1 pivot, 50% retracement level and cycle highs.
The initial target is 94, a break of which brings 93 in focus. But if risk off returns, then a break of 93 seems plausible.
AudJpy- Where to sell for 1:3 R:R?Yesterday, like all the Jpy pairs, AudJpy was also affected by the verbal intervention from BoJ.
The pair dropped quickly 200 pips, but more importantly, it broke under important confluence support at 95.
This level is offering now a good resistance point and, with the pair in recovery at this moment, rallies should be sold.
In conclusion, prices close to 95 are good opportunities for bears and, considering a target at 92 next important support, a good 1:3 R:R could be achieved
DeGRAM | AUDJPY trend continuation opportunityAUDJPY is making higher highs, an indication of the bullish trend.
The market pulled back to the kill zone and 50% fibo retracement level.
The price is oversold at the support level, which creates a buying opportunity.
We expect a retest of the major resistance level since we have pinbars as a sign of level rejection.
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DeGRAM | AUDJPY channel breakingAUDJPY dropped and broke the ascending channel,indicating a trend shift.
The market is basically consolidating on the daily chart, and the price recently bounced off the consolidation border.
We expect a bearish move from the kill zone, where we have resistance and fibo 38.2%, and the channel border as dynamic resistance.
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DeGRAM | AUDJPY in consolidationAUDJPY is essentially consolidating. It's trading in the descending channel.
Price created a confluence level where we have a resistance + bearish harmonic pattern, dynamic resistance, and fibo cluster.
We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone.
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DeGRAM | AUDJPY confluence zone for sellAUDJPY broke and closed below the resistance at 94.000, which is psychological as well.
The market also broke the ascending channel, indicating a trend shift.
Price at confluence level, where resistance is at 94.000 + fibo level 38.2%.
We expect a bearish move from the kill zone.
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AUDJPY ____ BEARISH MOVE CONTINUATIONHello traders,
AUDJPY has printed 2 weekly bearish candles in the retracement of the bullish move on the weekly chart. Also, you will also notice I have marked out the weekly demand order block which I am expecting the price to get to.
I'm looking to join in the bearish continuation once the price trades into the weekly supply order block. The blue line you see is a key level on the daily timeframe that the price is yet to mitigate.
Follow for more updates.
Cheers,
Jabari