AUDNZD
AUDNZD: Bullish Cross can take it higher for a new sell entry.AUDNZD is currently forming a Golden Cross on the 1D timeframe, which is technically bullish (RSI = 59.438, MACD = 0.004, ADX = 24.813). The symmetric sequence on the 1D RSI with the February-April phase indicates that the Cross can indeed push the price higher, over Fibonacci 0.618 and then decline to form the Lower Low at the bottom of the long term Channel Up. We are already on a sell since June 7th (see idea below) but we will add another on Fib 0.618 targeting the Channel's bottom (TP = 1.062500) again.
Prior idea:
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AUDNZD - Bullish Long Term & Short Term Trend?Analysis:
Looking at the charts we can clearly see that price was in an upwards trend. We've seen price form higher highs and higher lows, until recently when we saw this trend change and price started to make a move to the downside. In our opinion price is still in a long term upwards trend, however the short term trend was to the downside, but we are actually bullish on this pair for a number of reasons. The first one being that we are at the 61.8% fib retracement level which is often classed as the strongest fib retracement level, so we have strong reasoning on why we think that buyers will step in at this level and push price higher. To further add to our bullish thesis, at this area we also have a strong level of support. Looking back in the past we've seen price reach this area previously and consolidate showing that this is a pretty strong level, and another reason on why we think buyers will step in here, but these aren't the only confluences we have to back our idea up. Price is forming a long term ascending triangle which is a bullish chart pattern, meaning that we expect price to be bullish and head to the upside which favours our idea. The bottom trendline for this pattern also lines up with our area of support and the 61.8% fib retracement level, so this is now looking like a very strong level to enter at. Finally for the technicals, we saw price respecting this short term downwards trendline until recently. Price was able to break out of this downwards trend signalling to us that the bears are no longer in control and it's time for the bulls to step in and push price higher. Again this favours our bullish thesis. Looking at the fundamentals as well we see that the AUD is the 6th strongest major currency whereas the NZD is the 5th strongest major currency. Whilst this doesn't go in our favour, there isn't a massive difference here and this also isn't the full picture. Taking a look at the COT report, we see that the AUD stayed pretty neutral with roughly the same decrease in long and short positions, however this isn't the same for the NZD. In fact we saw a big increase in short positions which signals to us that there is weakness to come for the NZD. Again this would be bullish for this pair. Overall almost everything we pay attention to is pointing to bullishness on this pair and with such a great opportunity setting up we have a great setup on our hands which is why we are bullish on AUDNZD.
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Stay Safe - The JPI Team
Disclaimer:
This does not constitute as financial advise. We are not responsible for any monetary loss that you endure. Trading is hard to be profitable with and we take losses just like everyone else does too. Our ideas won't always be correct which is why we urge you to always do your own analysis first before entering into the market but please feel free to use our analysis to assist you with yours.
AUDNZD Falling Wedge PatternAs we can see, we spotted falling wedge pattern, clearly seen on 1H timeframe and the price has broken the pattern, and you can see candle shape in daily timeframe that show you why i looking for sell
You can come in with me with the take profit and stop loss area that I have set on the chart above
let see
dyor
AUDNZD I Retrace upward and potential downsideWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** AUDZD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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AUDNZD Long Term Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart AUDNZD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today AURNZD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (AUDNZD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity on EURUAD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Charts
AUDNZD ____ INCOMING BULLISH RALLYHello Guys,
You would recall that at a certain point, I was looking for a short on this pair (inserted below) this short was to form the retracement to go long long-term. However, I was unable to join the bearish move as I was stopped out at breakeven.
Since then, I have kept AUDNZD on my radar and right now, It is approaching a weekly order block which could generate the much-needed demand for it to commence the bullish rally.
I would suggest you monitor this pair also when it trades into the weekly order block. You can also notice that I have set an alert on my chart to know when price trades into the order block.
Follow me for more updates like this.
AUDNZD (Previous analysis)
Cheers,
Jabari
AUDNZD Potential UpsidesHey Traders, in the coming week we are monitoring AUDNZD for a buying opportunity around 1.07500 zone, AUDNZD was trading in a downtrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 1.07500 support zone.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDNZD: W28, 2023This could turnout to be a breakout or a retracement. Either way, there is a likely rise. Sustained breakout from the next resistance could lead to the top resistance.
DISCLAIMER NOTICE!
This is only my opinion and not a kind of financial advice to set up a trade or invest. Trading or investing without knowledge is highly risky.
EURNZD I Short to middle of channelWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** EURNZD Analysis - Listen to video!
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AUDNZD Halfway through the bearish leg. You can still sell.AUDNZD crossed under the 1day MA50 this week for the first time since May 24th.
That is the bearish leg from the Falling Resistance to the Rising Support in order to form the new Higher Low.
The 1day RSI just entered the 4 month Support Zone, where the price Low was formed at the bottom of the Support Zone.
This is still a good sell. Target 1.061500.
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Daily Market Analysis - THURSDAY JULY 06, 2023Key News:
USA - ADP Nonfarm Employment Change (Jun)
USA - Initial Jobless Claims
USA - Services PMI (Jun)
USA - ISM Non-Manufacturing PMI (Jun)
USA - JOLTs Job Openings (May)
USA - Crude Oil Inventories
During Wednesday's trading session, the Dow Jones Industrial Average concluded the day with a decline, driven by the release of the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes for June. The minutes indicated a growing interest among policymakers in resuming interest rate hikes. However, in the tech sector, major players showcased mostly positive performance. Notably, Meta (formerly known as Facebook) soared to a 52-week high as anticipation mounted for its upcoming Twitter competitor.
Specifically, the Dow Jones Industrial Average recorded a decrease of 0.38%, translating to a decline of 129 points. Similarly, both the Nasdaq and the S&P 500 experienced a modest 0.2% decrease during the trading session.
Dow Jones Industrial Average Index daily chart
The release of the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes from June, which occurred on Wednesday, shed light on the members' sentiment regarding future rate hikes. The minutes revealed that a significant majority of the members, described as "almost all," expressed support for the notion of resuming rate hikes. This position was motivated by concerns about persistently high inflation levels, which were deemed "unacceptably high."
Furthermore, the minutes indicated a hawkish stance among some members, with a preference for raising rates rather than pausing during the June meeting. These members highlighted their worries about a tight labor market, recognizing that such conditions could potentially drive up wages and inflation even further.
However, while the discussion expressed a general inclination towards resuming rate hikes, the decision to implement such actions in July will largely depend on upcoming data. Pantheon Macroeconomics suggests that the forthcoming data expected to be released this week and next will play a crucial role in shaping the Fed's decision-making process.
It is worth noting that approximately 90% of traders, as indicated by the Fed Rate Monitor Tool, anticipate that the Federal Reserve will indeed resume rate hikes in July.
Effective Fed Funds Rate
Investor concerns regarding a potential global economic slowdown were heightened due to underwhelming services data from China. However, the impact of these concerns on the broader market was somewhat mitigated by the strong performance of prominent technology companies. Notably, Meta (previously known as Facebook) experienced a significant surge of over 3%, reaching 52-week highs. This impressive performance came ahead of the launch of Meta's rival Twitter app, Threads, scheduled for Thursday. It is noteworthy that Twitter had recently announced its decision to temporarily restrict the number of posts users can read on its platform.
Meta Platforms stocks daily chart
Despite Apple's 0.6% decline, the company's market capitalization remains above $3 trillion, demonstrating its significant value in the market. In contrast, Microsoft experienced a slight increase in its stock price. Wedbush, a prominent research firm, predicts that Microsoft will also join the exclusive $3 trillion club alongside Apple by early 2024. This projection is based on the belief that advancements in artificial intelligence (AI) will be a major driver of Microsoft's growth and valuation. Wedbush noted in a statement on Wednesday that, considering the potential of AI and through a sum-of-the-parts valuation, Microsoft's overall value should propel it to the esteemed $3 trillion club within the next few years.
Microsoft stock daily chart
During the US Independence Day holiday, major currencies displayed a noticeable trend of trading within narrow ranges in relation to the US dollar. Among the G10 currencies, the New Zealand dollar (NZD) emerged as the top performer. This could be attributed to the unwinding of long positions in the Australian dollar/New Zealand dollar (AUD/NZD) pair, which likely contributed to the NZD's relative strength in the market.
AUD/NZD daily chart
Throughout this week, European markets have faced consistent declines, with yesterday's losses being notably significant. The downward trend in the markets is expected to persist today.
The market weakness witnessed yesterday was primarily fueled by concerns surrounding disappointing services Purchasing Managers' Index (PMI) data from both China and Europe. These underwhelming data releases have heightened worries about a potential global economic slowdown. Furthermore, the increasing risks related to interest rates have contributed to weakness in sectors such as basic resources, energy, and financials, amplifying the overall market downturn. These negative sentiments have had a spill-over effect on Asian markets as well, reflecting the widespread concerns about the global economic landscape.
Employed Usually Works Full time Chart
US Employed Persons status
Today's highly anticipated release of the ADP payrolls report is expected to show a robust figure of 225,000, slightly lower than the previous month's 278,000. Despite this slight decrease, it is important to note that the current level of job vacancies suggests that we are unlikely to see a weak jobs report in the upcoming months. Consequently, it is less probable that the labor market will serve as the catalyst for the Federal Reserve to signal a pause in its policies in the near future.
US Purchasing Managers Index (ISM)
The Federal Reserve has expressed concerns regarding the persistence of services inflation, highlighting its potential impact on the economy. Today's ISM services report is anticipated to reveal a modest uptick in headline activity, reaching around 51.3. However, special attention will be given to the prices paid component, which experienced a decline to 56.2 in May, marking a three-year low. This data will provide insights into the pricing pressures faced by service providers.
As for Independence Day, please note that trading hours may be affected due to the holiday in the United States.
The Unemployment Rate is a key economic indicator that measures the percentage of the labor force that is unemployed and actively seeking employment. It provides insights into the health of the labor market and is closely monitored by economists, policymakers, and market participants.
AUDNZD - BEARISH DOUBLE TOP📉Hello Traders👋🏻
The AUDNZD Price Reached A Resistance Level (1.10520-1.10881) !
Currently, The Price Formed a Double TOP📉
The Neckline is Broken🔥
So, I Expect a Bearish Move📉
i'm waiting for a retest...
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TARGET 1: 1.07720🎯
TARGET 2: 1.05827🎯
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AUDNZD IS IN TRIANGEL PATTERNbased on Daily timeframe, AUDNZD is in triangle pattern.
and if you see with EMA than you see, at present time AUDNZD trade near it's 50 EMA.
and on RSI, it's defend our 40 level on RSI.
so with price action, EMA & RSI, we can see AUDNZD can touch upr line of this pattern.