AUD/USD) Resistance level pullback Short Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update
analysis of the AUD/USD pair on the 2-hour timeframe, showing a possible bearish setup. Here's a breakdown of the idea behind it:
Key Observations:
1. Current Trend:
The pair was in an uptrend, as indicated by the rising channel (parallel trendlines). However, it has now broken out of that channel.
2. Resistance Level:
The price has reached a resistance zone around 0.64000, and it seems to be rejecting this level.
3. 2 Timeframe Demand Zone:
Around the 0.63300 – 0.63400 range, this area previously acted as a demand zone (support), and the chart suggests price might retest it.
4. Projected Move:
First, a pullback up into the resistance zone could occur.
Then a drop to the demand zone.
If the demand zone fails to hold, the price could head down toward the key support/FVG (Fair Value Gap) around 0.61000 – 0.61500.
5. EMA (200):
The 200 EMA is below the price, suggesting longer-term bullish pressure, but it's starting to flatten, which could signal weakness in the uptrend.
6. RSI Indicator:
RSI is around 52, showing neutral momentum—neither overbought nor oversold, allowing room for movement in either direction.
Mr SMC Trading point
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Idea Summary:
The chart suggests a potential reversal from the uptrend into a downtrend, triggered by a failure to break above resistance. The two key targets for a bearish move are:
First: the 2TF demand zone
Final: the key support/FVG zone
Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Audsusdsell
AUDUSD Short Scenariomarket is in overall downtrend, but it created a upwards correction and retrace to a key market level where it got resisted, also broke a upwards movement structure, so we are forecasting we should see price drop down to the recent main Lower Low
Entry: 0.70042
Invalidation: 0.70494
Target: 0.68298
The trend has collapsed, is it time to sell? let's take a look aThe trend has collapsed, is it time to sell? let's take a look at Aud / Usd
If you refer to the collapsed trend analysis, this pair is already showing early symptoms of a downtrend.
if the Elliott wave notation is correct, it is possible that the downtrend (forming wave 2) will last for the next few months with the target price at 0.62000
can we sell now? hmmm .... let's wait a few days to see the confirmation and risk limits.