What’s Flowing: AUDUSD Short (CONTD.)The AUDUSD is demonstrating a bearish breakdown, aligning with the current downward momentum. The pair has recently breached key support levels, with selling pressure increasing in the highlighted zones.
Key Observations:
1. Price Action: The pair is trading below critical resistance areas, moving toward the lower bounds of the channel.
2. Bearish Momentum: Clear signs of sellers dominating, with the price rejecting upper levels and closing near session lows.
Strategy:
Traders looking to capitalize on this movement can monitor the following:
• Short Entries: Ideal near minor pullbacks into resistance zones around 0.6480–0.6520.
• Targets: Downside levels near 0.6440 and below, depending on momentum strength.
• Stops: Tight stops above the 0.6520 resistance for effective risk management.
Stay cautious of any reversals or macroeconomic events impacting the Australian Dollar. For more refined strategies, reach out for insights tailored to managing AUDUSD flows effectively.
AUDUSD
AUDUSD H1 | Bearish Reversal Based on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 0.6482, which is an overlap resistance and a 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit will be at 0.6441, a swing low support level.
The stop loss will be at 0.6521, an overlap resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
What’s Flowing: AUDUSD ShortThe AUDUSD is demonstrating a bearish breakdown, aligning with the current downward momentum. The pair has recently breached key support levels, with selling pressure increasing in the highlighted zones.
Key Observations:
1. Price Action: The pair is trading below critical resistance areas, moving toward the lower bounds of the channel.
2. Bearish Momentum: Clear signs of sellers dominating, with the price rejecting upper levels and closing near session lows.
Strategy:
Traders looking to capitalize on this movement can monitor the following:
• Short Entries: Ideal near minor pullbacks into resistance zones around 0.6480–0.6520.
• Targets: Downside levels near 0.6440 and below, depending on momentum strength.
• Stops: Tight stops above the 0.6520 resistance for effective risk management.
Stay cautious of any reversals or macroeconomic events impacting the Australian Dollar. For more refined strategies, reach out for insights tailored to managing AUDUSD flows effectively.
AUDUSD H1 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is approaching our sell entry at 0.6501, which is a pullback resistance close to a 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit will be at 0.6485, a pullback support level.
The stop loss will be at 0.6520, a pullback resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
AUD/USD: Consolidation Amid Strength in Both CurrenciesAUD/USD: Consolidation Amid Strength in Both Currencies
The AUD/USD pair remained relatively steady last week, consolidating as both the Australian dollar (AUD) and the US dollar (USD) stood out as some of the strongest currencies in the forex market. While both currencies are supported by robust fundamentals, differing factors drive their respective strengths, creating an interesting dynamic for the pair.
Strength in the Australian Dollar
The Australian dollar’s strength stems from the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) ability to maintain its current monetary policy. With interest rates at 4.35%, the RBA faces less urgency to implement sharp rate cuts, supported by:
- **GDP Annual Growth Rate:** Australia’s economy is growing at 1.00% annually, showing moderate but steady expansion.
- **Inflation and Employment:** Relatively high inflation and low unemployment provide the central bank room to hold rates steady, balancing growth with price stability.
These factors position the AUD as one of the more stable and attractive currencies among major forex pairs.
The Resilient US Dollar
On the other hand, the US dollar remains strong, bolstered by robust economic data and the Federal Reserve’s stance on interest rates:
- **Initial Jobless Claims (Nov. 16):** Better-than-expected at 213K, indicating a healthy labor market.
- **S&P Global Services PMI Flash (Nov.):** Surprising to the upside at 57.0, reflecting strong activity in the services sector.
However, additional data from the US this week showed signs of slowing economic activity, adding pressure to the dollar:
- **Chicago Fed National Activity Index (Oct):** Fell to -0.40, below the expected -0.2.
- **Dallas Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov):** Declined to -2.7, worse than the forecast of -2.4.
- **New Home Sales (Oct):** Slumped to 0.61M, missing expectations of 0.73M.
- **Richmond Fed Manufacturing Index (Nov):** Dropped to -14, underperforming the forecast of -10.
- **Durable Goods Orders (Oct):** Increased by only 0.2%, below the forecast of 0.5%.
- **Chicago PMI (Nov):** Dropped sharply to 40.2, well below the expected 44.
While the US economy remains stronger overall, these data points highlight areas of cooling, which tempered the dollar’s momentum.
Seasonality No Longer Supportive
Unlike earlier in the quarter, seasonality now provides less support for AUD/USD. As the year-end approaches, seasonal patterns often shift toward favoring the US dollar due to increased demand for liquidity and a cautious risk environment. This shift adds another layer of resistance for the Australian dollar, which typically performs better during periods of stronger global growth sentiment.
Conclusion
AUD/USD is in a unique position as both currencies are supported by strong fundamentals. While the Australian dollar benefits from steady domestic conditions and inflationary pressures, the US dollar is bolstered by robust economic performance and higher interest rates.
However, signs of cooling in the US economy, as reflected in recent data, have given the AUD a short-term advantage. With seasonality no longer providing support, the pair’s near-term trajectory will depend on further macroeconomic developments and risk sentiment shifts.
What are your thoughts on AUD/USD? Could the Australian dollar take the lead, or will the US dollar maintain its upper hand? Share your insights in the comments!
AUDUSD Long Term Selling Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart AUDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today AUDUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (AUDUSD market update)
🟢What is The Next Opportunity onAUDCAD Market
🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit
This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Chart
AUDUSD Will Move Lower! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 6h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.651.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.645.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
AUD/USD BEST PLACE TO SELL FROM|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/USD is making a bullish rebound on the 6H TF and is nearing the resistance line above while we are generally bearish biased on the pair due to our previous 1W candle analysis, thus making a trend-following short a good option for us with the target being the 0.644 level.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
AUD/USD Analysis 1HThe price has broken above the resistance zone in gray and is now forming a triangle pattern.
✅ My idea:
If the price continues to rise, the first target is the red resistance zone, followed by the second resistance in the green zone.
Using the measurement from the bottom of the triangle to its top, the green zone aligns with the projected target.
🚨 Plan:
Wait for confirmation before entering to avoid false moves. Manage your risk with appropriate stop-loss levels.
👉 Follow me for more updates and trading ideas!
AUDUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 0.6541, which is an overlap resistance.
Our take profit will be at 0.6453, a multi-swing support level.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.6618, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 161.8% Fibo extension
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
AUDUSD-The first interest rate cut is postponed until next year?The AUDUSD currency pair is below the EMA200 and EMA50 in the 4H timeframe and is moving in its downward channel. In case of a valid failure of the channel ceiling, we can see the supply zones and sell within those zones with the appropriate risk reward. The loss of the drawn support range will pave the way down for this currency pair.
The Australian government’s plan to reform the central bank by splitting its board into two divisions is close to becoming law.Prime Minister Anthony Albanese’s administration is pushing through dozens of bills in the Senate during the final parliamentary session of the year to implement these major reforms.
In this process, the government and the minority Green Party reached a last-minute agreement to revive stalled legislation. Previous negotiations had failed because the Greens demanded an immediate interest rate cut by Treasurer Jim Chalmers, which critics argued could undermine the central bank’s independence. Now, with sufficient political support, these long-awaited reforms are set to be enacted soon, potentially reshaping Australia’s monetary and economic policies.
Australia’s four major banks—ANZ, Commonwealth Bank, National Australia Bank, and Westpac—have adjusted their forecasts for when the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will make its first interest rate cut. Westpac and NAB now expect this to occur in May 2025, while CBA and ANZ continue to anticipate a February 2025 cut, albeit with caution. The next RBA meeting is scheduled for December 9–10, 2024.
S&P Global Ratings, in its outlook for the global economy in Q1 2025, stated, “Risks are increasing as the new U.S. administration’s policies are likely to heighten inflationary pressures and tighten financial conditions.” The agency predicts global GDP growth of about 3% in 2025, with U.S. economic growth dropping below 2% and China moving toward 4% growth.
According to Bloomberg, economists anticipate that China’s exports will hit a record high this year as international customers place orders early to avoid potential tariffs threatened by Trump. Meanwhile, Australia, known as a safe haven for heavy-duty pickup trucks, is set to experience its most significant automotive shift in years, with new models arriving, including the first off-road hybrid vehicle from China’s BYD.
Australia, famous for its love of SUVs and petrol-fueled pickups, remains one of the laggards in adopting electric vehicles. According to the Australian Automobile Association, EV sales in Q3 dropped by 25% compared to Q2, accounting for just 6.6% of the market—the lowest share since 2022. However, the arrival of new hybrid models like the BYD Shark 6 could transform Australia’s automotive market and boost demand for electric and hybrid vehicles.
Meanwhile, a spokesperson for China’s Ministry of Commerce reiterated the country’s opposition to unilateral U.S. tariffs. He urged the U.S. to adhere to World Trade Organization (WTO) rules and emphasized that imposing tariffs would not solve America’s economic challenges. China’s stance against unilateral tariff increases, including those threatened by Trump, remains consistent.
On the other hand, the U.S. economy grew at a robust pace in Q3, primarily driven by a significant surge in consumer spending as inflation continued to ease. GDP rose at an annual rate of 2.8% during this period. Consumer spending, the primary engine of economic growth, increased by 3.5%, marking the highest rate this year.
According to the GDPNow model, the real GDP growth rate (seasonally adjusted annual rate) for Q4 2024 was revised to 2.7% on November 27, up from 2.6% on November 19. Following the release of the U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis’ Personal Income and Outlays report, real personal consumption expenditures growth for Q4 was revised upward from 2.8% to 3.0%.
TradeCityPro | AUDUSD Analysis Preparing for Movement👋 Welcome to the TradeCityPro channel!
Let’s examine the key triggers for AUDUSD, which appears poised for an interesting move.
🌍 Fundamental Overview:
Supported by stable commodity prices, especially iron ore, a key driver of Australia's economy.
Recent Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) comments suggest a balanced stance with no immediate rate hikes.
Bolstered by strong economic data and expectations of prolonged higher interest rates by the Federal Reserve.
Mixed global risk sentiment keeps the USD favored as a safe-haven currency.
⏱ 4-Hour Timeframe
AUDUSD has been in a long-term downtrend, losing multiple supports and forming successive lower highs and lows. However, the price has recently stabilized, ranging between 0.64501 and 0.65412.
📉 Short Position Trigger:
After breaking the 0.64501 support, initiate a short trade targeting 0.62910.
📈 Long Position Trigger:
In case of a false breakdown of the support or prolonged consolidation within the range, open a riskier long trade above 0.65412 , Safer long entries can be considered once higher highs and lows are confirmed.
📝 Final Thoughts
This analysis reflects our opinions and is not financial advice.
Share your thoughts in the comments, and don’t forget to share this analysis with your friends! ❤️
Uptrend for AUDUSD, upto 0.69, Is my analysis wrong? {27/11/202}Educational Analysis says AUDUSD may move UP from this range, according to my technical.
Broker - FXCM
Why BULL RUN?
Because this pair has been juggling around for months in this range, I finally changed the character to show a sign of an uptrend, and I am looking to buy and hold this position on this pair.
Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future.
Please check the comment section to see how this turned out.
DISCLAIMER:-
This is not an entry signal. THIS IS ONLY EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ANALYSIS.
I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
AUDUSD - Short Trade IdeaThis is a short idea on AUDUSD.
I'm anticipating lower prices towards a higher timeframe ascending trendline, after price took out buyside liquidity from a descending trendline and then displacing lower.
The trendline in the image is one isolated to around these timeframes, and not the HTF narrative. Besides that, I'm basing it off a Daily iFVG and Daily -OB. First target is the most recent low that price made.
Stoploss at immediate swing high, but completely possible for price to come up during a high impact news event to take out the buyside liquidity above. Either a sweep, or this idea is completely wrong.
Good luck and safe trading.
- R2F
AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.64900 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.64900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUD/USD 1H AnalysisThe price is approaching a key resistance zone (red), where we could see sellers step in and push the price lower. However, we need confirmation before considering a short trade.
✅ What I’m looking for:
Clear rejection signals at the resistance (e.g., bearish candlesticks, high selling volume).
Strong confirmation that sellers are back in control.
🚨 Plan:
Patience is key. Wait for confirmation before entering a short position to avoid unnecessary risk.
What’s your view on AUD/USD? Let me know!