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AUDUSD - 4H Why we need to Buy?!The FX:AUDUSD has shown strong bullish momentum after hunting liquidity below the 2022 low on the daily and weekly timeframes. ✅ Breakout & Retest: The pair successfully broke the descending channel's resistance and is now pulling back to the breakout zone, confirming its strength. ✅ Higher High Formation: A higher high structure supports the bullish bias, indicating potential continuation towards previous highs and beyond. 📌 I expect another bullish push from this key support zone. 🔔 Follow for real-time updates!
Long
by Sober_Trading
XAU/USD : Bull or Bear (READ THE CAPTION)By analyzing the 4-hour gold chart, we see that, as expected, the price continued its upward movement following yesterday's analysis, hitting the $2752 and $2764 targets, delivering a 200-pip return. After reaching $2764, gold corrected from $2766 down to $2757, and it is currently trading around $2759. If the price stabilizes below this level, we could see further corrections. ⚠ Important Note: Today, we have the FOMC meeting and the U.S. interest rate decision, which could lead to high market volatility. I strongly recommend avoiding trading during these critical hours! THE MAIN ANALYSIS : Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
30
Bearish drop?AUD/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6262 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6324 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance. Take profit: 0.6176 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
Australian dollar extends losses on soft Aussie CPIThe Australian dollar is down for a third straight trading day and has declined 1.3% this week. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6228, down 0.37% on the day.  Australia's annual inflation rate dropped to 2.4% in the fourth quarter of 2024 from 2.8% in Q3. This was below the market estimate of 2.5% and was the lowest reading since Q1 2023. Electricity prices were sharply lower due to an energy bill rebate and services inflation dropped to 4.3% from 4.6%, its lowest level in three quarters. On a quarterly basis, CPI remained unchanged at 0.2% in Q4, below the market estimate of 0.3%. The Reserved Bank of Australia's trimmed mean CPI, a key indicator of underlying inflation, slowed to 0.5% q/q in Q4, lower than 0.8% in Q3 and below the market estimate of 0.6%. Annually, trimmed mean CPI fell to 3.2%, compared to a revised 3.6% in Q3 and below the market estimate of 3.3%. The soft inflation report has raised expectations that the RBA will lower rates at the Feb. 18 meeting, with the market pricing in a quarter-point cut at 80%. That would bring the cash rate to 4.10%, its lowest since Oct. 2023. Today's inflation report has added significance as it is the final tier-1 event prior to next month's rate meeting. Investors are awaiting the Federal Reserve's rate announcement later today, although it would be a massive surprise if the Fed did not maintain the current benchmark interest rate of 4.25%-4.5%. The Fed has cut rate three consecutive times, including a jumb0 half-point chop in September 2024, but the resilient US economy has stalled plans to aggressively lower rates further and currently the Fed is projected to cut rates only once or twice in 2025. AUD/USD is testing support at 0.6228. Below, there is support at 0.6204 0.6262 and 0.6286 are the next resistance lines
by OANDA
AUD/USD Resistance Rejection and Bearish OutlookAUD/USD represents the Australian Dollar against the US Dollar in the forex market. The current price is 0.62300, with a target price of 0.60000, indicating a bearish outlook. The expected price drop suggests a potential gain of 200+ pips if the trade moves as anticipated. The analysis is based on the support and resistance pattern, a key concept in technical trading. The price has reached a strong resistance level and is facing rejection, signaling selling pressure. A rejection at resistance often indicates a shift in momentum, leading to a possible downward move. Traders anticipate the price to decline toward the next support level at 0.60000. This setup suggests bearish dominance as long as resistance holds. If the price fails to break above resistance, further downside movement is likely. Proper risk management is crucial, as market conditions can change.
Short
by AndrewsMarket-Mastery
AUD/USD Sell-Off Continues! More Pain Ahead? The AUD/USD pair is showing clear signs of bearish continuation as price respects a higher timeframe Fair Value Gap (FVG), rejecting attempts to push higher. Additionally, high-impact news against the Australian Dollar has accelerated downside momentum, reinforcing the bearish bias. Key Observations: ✅ HTF FVG Respect – Price reacted strongly to the daily FVG, showing a rejection pattern. ✅ Bearish Momentum – Fundamentals align with technicals, pushing AUD lower. ✅ Sell-Side Liquidity Target – Eyes on 0.61305 as a major liquidity grab zone. Trade Outlook: Expect further downside movement, but watch for potential retracements into the FVG before continuation lower. If price remains below 0.62703, the probability of a deeper sell-off increases. DYOR and manage risk accordingly! 📉🔥
Short
by INSIDER_INTEL
1
FOREX AUDUSD LONGAUDUSD appears to have formed a fakeout at the lower end of the range. This suggests that traders who entered short positions when support was broken are now either closing their positions or adding to their losing trades to avoid liquidation. This dynamic could fuel the price toward 0.64, where the 21-week exponential moving average is located. I'm watching for the price to reach the nPOC zone. However, if the price finds support around the 21-day EMA within the next 1–2 days, I plan to enter with half of my position.
Long
by BOT721
AUD/USD's Potential Bearish Flag BreakdownChart Analysis: The AUD/USD pair is trading within a short-term rising channel, providing a near-term bullish framework amid a broader bearish trend. 1️⃣ Rising Channel: The pair remains within the bounds of a green-shaded rising channel, suggesting upward momentum persists in the short term. A break below the channel’s lower boundary near 0.6240 could signal a return to bearish dominance, while a move above 0.6300 would strengthen bullish prospects. 2️⃣ Moving Averages: 50-day SMA (blue): Positioned at 0.6327, acting as the next key resistance level above the rising channel. 200-day SMA (red): At 0.6578, remains well above the current price, reflecting the pair’s long-term bearish bias. 3️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: At 47.66, indicating neutral momentum and the potential for either continuation or reversal within the channel. MACD: Near zero but improving, suggesting waning bearish momentum. What to Watch: A sustained break above 0.6300 and the 50-day SMA would open the door for further gains. Alternatively, failure to hold the rising channel support at 0.6240 could lead to renewed selling pressure, targeting the 0.6200 psychological level and below. The AUD/USD pair’s near-term direction hinges on its ability to maintain the rising channel structure while contending with the overhead 50-day SMA resistance. -MW
by FOREXcom
AUD/USD slides on Trump tariff threatsThe Australian dollar is in negative territory on Tuesday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6252, down 0.62%.  Investors are keeping a closer eye on the third-quarter inflation report, which will be released early on Wednesday. CPI is expected to ease to 2.5% from 2.8%. This is the final tier-1 event prior to the Reserve Bank of Australia's rate meeting on Feb. 18 and could be the determining factor as to whether the RBA finally lowers interest rates. The markets have priced in about an 80% chance of a quarter-point cut at the February meeting. The RBA has maintained the cash rate at 4.35% since Nov. 2023 and has been an outlier among other major central banks, most of which have entered an easing cycle. The US dollar is showing broad strength today, after US President Trump said on Monday that he would impose tariffs on steel, aluminum and copper imported to the U.S. Trump reiterated that he plans to levy a baseline universal tariff on all imports. Trump's tariff plans would likely raise inflation and could destabilize the financial markets, which displayed strong swings during Trump's first week in office. China's services and manufacturing sectors both decelerated in January and missed expectations. The non-manufacturing PMI fell to 50.2, down from 52.2 in December and shy of the forecast of 51.8. With the exception of November, service activity has been stagnant, with readings barely above the 50 level, which separates expansion from contraction. Domestic demand weakened and the uncertainty surrounding Donald Trump's trade policies have dampened foreign sales. The manufacturing sector is struggling and contracted in January, easing to 49.1, compared to 50.1 in December and missing the market estimate of 50.1. This was the first contraction since September 2024 and the sharpest decline in five months. Manufacturing output and foreign orders weakened in January and the weak global economy could mean further headwinds in 2025 for the manufacturing sector. China's government has implemented stimulus measures in order to boost the economy and GDP hit 5% in 2024. Still, deflation has persisted and consumer spending remains weak. The government will have to inject further stimulus in order to boost domestic consumption, a key engine of economic growth. AUD/USD is testing support at 0.6278. Below, there is support at 0.6225 0.6366 and 0.6419 are the next resistance lines
by OANDA
Potential bearish drop?The Aussie (AUD/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support that aligns with the 138.2% Fibonacci extension. Pivot: 0.6283 1st Support: 0.6217 1st Resistance: 0.6326 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
AUD/USD slides on soft Chinese dataThe Australian dollar is in negative territory on Monday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6276, down 0.59%. The Australian dollar is coming off its best weekly performance since Nov. 2023, gaining 2% against the US dollar. China's services and  manufacturing sectors both decelerated in January and missed expectations. The non-manufacturing PMI fell to 50.2, down from 52.2 in December and shy of the forecast of 51.8. With the exception of November, service activity has been stagnant, with readings barely above the 50 level, which separates expansion from contraction. Domestic demand weakened and the uncertainty surrounding Donald Trump's trade policies have dampened foreign sales. The manufacturing sector is struggling and contracted in January, easing to 49.1. compared to 50.1 in December and missing the market estimate of 50.1. This was the first contraction since September 2024 and the sharpest decline in five months. Manufacturing output and foreign orders weakened in January and the weak global economy could mean further headwinds in 2025 for the manufacturing sector. China's government has implemented stimulus measures in order to boost the economy and GDP hit 5% in 2024. Still, deflation has persisted and consumer spending remains weak. The government will have to inject further stimulus in order to boost domestic consumption, a key engine of economic growth. Australia releases the National Australia Bank business confidence index early on Tuesday. The index fell sharply to -3 in November, down sharply from 5 in October. The markets are expecting a rebound for December, with a forecast of 3 points. Investors are also keeping an eye on the third-quarter inflation report, which will be released on Wednesday. CPI is expected to ease to 2.5% from 2.8%. This is the final tier-1 event prior to the Reserve Bank of Australia's rate meeting on Feb. 18. AUD/USD is testing support at 0.6284. Below, there is support at 0.6256 0.6308 and 0.6336 are the next resistance line
by OANDA
AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉⭐ Entry 📈 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A Bull trade can be initiated at any price level. however I advise placing sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 4H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. Goal 🎯: 0.64700 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, Sentimental Outlook The AUD/USD (The Aussie vs U.S Dollar) market is expected to move in a bullish direction, driven by several key factors. 🟤Improving Australian Economic Data - Employment Data: Australia's employment data has been strong, with the unemployment rate decreasing to 3.5%. - GDP Growth: Australia's GDP growth rate has been steady, with a 2.2% annual growth rate. - Inflation Rate: Australia's inflation rate has been within the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) target range, which could lead to a rate hike. 🟣Rising Commodity Prices - Iron Ore Prices: Iron ore prices have been rising due to strong demand from China and supply disruptions. - Coal Prices: Coal prices have been increasing due to strong demand from Asia and supply constraints. - Gold Prices: Gold prices have been rising due to safe-haven demand and central bank buying. 🟢Weakening US Dollar - US Dollar Index: The US Dollar Index (DXY) has been weakening due to a decline in US bond yields and a decrease in US economic growth expectations. - Federal Reserve Policy: The Federal Reserve has been dovish, with a pause in rate hikes, which could weaken the US dollar. 🟡Technical Factors - Trend Line Breakout: The AUD/USD pair has broken above a key trend line, which could indicate a bullish trend. - Moving Average Crossover: The 50-day moving average has crossed above the 200-day moving average, which could indicate a bullish trend. 🟠Sentimental Factors AUD/USD sentiment analysis and market positioning are indicating a slightly bullish tone. Here's the breakdown: - Bullish Sentiment: 55% of traders and investors are bullish on AUD/USD, expecting the pair to rise ¹. - Bearish Sentiment: 35% of traders and investors are bearish on AUD/USD, expecting the pair to fall. - Neutral Sentiment: 10% of traders and investors are neutral on AUD/USD, expecting the pair to trade sideways. In terms of market positioning, the AUD/USD pair has seen a decrease in short positions, with CAD and AUD shorts decreasing, as reported by Rabobank ¹. This could indicate a potential bullish trend. However, it's essential to note that market sentiment can change rapidly and may not continue to drive the AUD/USD pair higher. Trading Alert⚠️ : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 🚨Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 🚨Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Long
by Thief_Trader
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Bounces Back: Are Further Gains Ahead?Market Analysis: AUD/USD Bounces Back: Are Further Gains Ahead? AUD/USD started a decent increase above the 0.6200 and 0.6250 levels. Important Takeaways for AUD USD Analysis Today - The Aussie Dollar rallied after forming a base above the 0.6165 level against the US Dollar. - There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6290 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen. AUD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.6165 support. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear the 0.6200 resistance to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar. There was a close above the 0.6250 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 0.6330 zone. A high was formed near 0.6330 and the pair recently saw a minor pullback. There was a move below the 0.6310 level. The pair declined below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6164 swing low to the 0.6330 high. On the downside, initial support is near a key bullish trend line at 0.6290 and the 50-hour simple moving average. The next major support is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6164 swing low to the 0.6330 high at 0.6245. If there is a downside break below the 0.6245 support, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6200 level. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6165. On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near 0.6330. The first major resistance might be 0.6350. An upside break above the 0.6350 resistance might send the pair further higher. The next major resistance is near the 0.6365 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6400 resistance zone. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Bearish drop off pullback resistance?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which has been identified as a pullback support. Pivot: 0.6301 1st Support: 0.6183 1st Resistance: 0.6397 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
1
Ghost Traders FX AUD/USD Continuation on Range Fill [LONG]Bias: Long Reasons: Last week we got the close above .63 on the daily/weekly I was looking for to signal strength coming back into AUD/USD. This doesn't mean we're long-term bullish just yet as Trump stimulated price up here through hurting the DXY with dovish comments on Tariffs - he's already strengthened it to start the week discussing Tariffs on Colombia. It's likely to me that price fills the range up to .636 before clearing out the long sentiment retail has, which could be as low as .6 - 611 before price turn long-term bullish. Considerations: Trump being president makes longer trades more dangerous so keep this in mind, you may want to just be in and out.
Long
by GTFX_Trading
AUD/USD "The AUSSIE" Forex Market Heist Plan on Bullish🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the AUD/USD "The AUSSIE" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : Traders & Thieves with New Entry A bull trade can be initiated at any price level. However I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Using the 2H period, the recent / nearest low or high level. Goal 🎯: 0.63800 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. Fundamental Outlook 📰🗞️ The AUD/USD pair is looking interesting right now, with some mixed signals from the latest analysis. On one hand, the pair has stabilized at its horizontal support area, which could lead to a bullish continuation, with the price potentially breaking above the range's resistance. On the other hand, some experts are warning of a potential reversal, with the pair showing signs of exhaustion and a possible shift in momentum. In terms of fundamentals, the Australian Consumer Inflation Expectations for July increased 6.3% annualized, while the Australian Employment Change for June came in at 88.4K and the Unemployment Rate at 3.5% . The US Initial Jobless Claims for the week of July 9th are predicted at 235K, and US Continuing Claims for the week of July 2nd are predicted at 1,383K. The US PPI for June is predicted to increase 0.8% monthly and 10.7% annualized. The forecast for the AUD/USD turned bullish after the pair stabilized at its horizontal support area, with short-term volatility likely to rise as bulls and bears fight for control. However, the Ichimoku Kinko Hyo Cloud continues to apply downside pressure, suggesting a rocky path higher. Traders should monitor the CCI after it has formed a positive divergence in extreme oversold territory followed by a breakout above -100. Overall, it's a bit of a mixed bag, but the bullish scenario is gaining traction. The AUD/USD pair could move in a bullish direction. BULLISH FACTORS: Strong US Economy: A strong US economy could lead to an increase in demand for the US dollar, which could put upward pressure on the AUD/USD pair. Interest Rate Differentials: The interest rate differential between the US and Australia is expected to remain positive, which could support the US dollar and put upward pressure on the AUD/USD pair. Commodity Prices: A rise in commodity prices, particularly iron ore, could put upward pressure on the Australian dollar and support the AUD/USD pair. Trading Alert⚠️ : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🫂
Long
by Thief_Trader