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AUDUSD

#AUDUSD 1DAYAUDUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price has been in a downtrend but has now broken above the downtrend resistance, signaling a potential shift in market direction. A breakout from this level suggests that buyers are gaining strength, possibly leading to further bullish movement. Forecast: A buy opportunity may arise as the breakout indicates a change in trend. Waiting for a retest of the breakout level for confirmation can provide a stronger entry point. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered after a successful breakout and retest of the previous resistance as support. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed below the breakout level to minimize risk. - Take Profit: Target key resistance zones where price may face selling pressure. Market Sentiment: The breakout of the downtrend resistance suggests that bullish momentum is increasing. A confirmed retest with strong price action can provide better confirmation for an upward move.
Long
by PIPSFIGHTER
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?AUD/USD is falling towards the support level which is a pullback support that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6304 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6254 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 0.6375 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
AUD/USD Trades Near Year’s High After RBA DecisionAUD/USD Trades Near Year’s High After RBA Decision Today, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) eased monetary policy, cutting the interest rate from 4.35% to 4.10%, according to Forex Factory. As reported by Reuters: → This marks the first easing since the 2020 pandemic; → RBA Governor Michele Bullock stated that market expectations for two more cuts this year are “ambitious”; → The bank’s leadership remains cautious about further easing prospects. While analysts had accurately predicted the February rate cut, AUD/USD saw volatility without a significant move, possibly because market participants are more focused on Trump’s tariff plans, which could impact global trade and Forex markets. Technical Analysis of AUD/USD Today Since mid-December, the AUD/USD pair has mostly traded within the 0.6200–0.6300 range, except for early February’s sharp drop when Trump’s tariff policies shook currency markets. However, demand appears resilient: → After plunging to around 0.6100, the price quickly rebounded into the range; → Arrows highlight rapid recoveries after short-term dips; → A blue ascending trend channel is forming on the chart. These factors suggest growing appeal for the Australian dollar, with the 0.6300 level potentially acting as support going forward. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
AUDUSD Bullish AUD/USD has successfully broken a strong resistance level, signaling bullish momentum. After the breakout, we may see a retracement to the previous resistance area, which could now act as support before the next leg up. If buyers continue stepping in, further upside movement is expected. 🔹 Key Levels to Watch: ✅ Support: Retesting the previous resistance zone ✅ Bullish Confirmation: Holding above support could fuel further upside Always follow proper risk management and wait for confirmation before entering trades
Long
by Pipsview_Analysis
Falling towards 50% Fibonacci support?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance which acts as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 0.6301 1st Support: 0.6259 1st Resistance: 0.6376 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
AUD/USD: Australian Dollar Strengthens Ahead of RBA DesicionThe Australian dollar has been rising, gaining around 1.5% over the past three sessions against the U.S. dollar. The current bullish movement continues as the market awaits the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) decision in the coming hours. The RBA is expected to cut interest rates by 25 basis points , bringing the new rate to 4.1%. However, the market has already priced in this decision, as expectations for a rate cut have been consistent for several days. This has allowed upward momentum to persist, as any bearish reaction to the RBA's move may have already been absorbed into the price. Additionally, as the trade war between the U.S. and China escalates, Australia's economic ties with China have strengthened, boosting confidence in the region and supporting a bullish outlook for the Australian dollar. Breakout from Sideways Range Until recently, AUD/USD had been trading within a key range, with resistance at 0.62923 and support at 0.61929. But the recent bullish move has broken through this resistance, leading to stronger buying pressure in the short term. As long as price remains above the upper boundary of this range, the Australian dollar could maintain its upward momentum in the near term. RSI Indicator: Overbought Signals? Not everything is bullish, as the RSI indicator is now approaching 70, the overbought zone. If the RSI remains above this level for the next few sessions, it could signal an imbalance between buyers and sellers, as well as the potential for short-term selling corrections. Key Levels to Watch: 0.61929 – Distant Support: Lower boundary of the previous range. Frequent price oscillations at this level could revive the previous downtrend seen since September 2024. 0.62923 – Key Support: Aligns with the Ichimoku Cloud barrier and the 50-period Simple Moving Average (SMA). A tentative level where short-term bearish corrections could occur. 0.64323 – Major Resistance: Corresponds to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. If the bullish bias pushes price toward this level, it could signal the beginning of a stronger uptrend in the short term. By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
by FOREXcom
#AUDUSD 4HAUDUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price is forming an expanding pattern, indicating increased volatility and uncertainty in market direction. Additionally, a sell engulfing candlestick has appeared, suggesting strong bearish momentum and potential downside movement. Forecast: A sell opportunity is anticipated as the expanding pattern, combined with the sell engulfing area, signals increased selling pressure. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: A sell position can be considered near the recent resistance area where the sell engulfing pattern has formed. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed above the recent swing high to manage risk. - Take Profit: Target lower support levels for potential downside movement. Market Sentiment: The formation of an expanding pattern with a sell engulfing candlestick suggests that bearish pressure is increasing. Monitoring price action and confirmation signals before entry will help align with the prevailing trend.
Short
by PIPSFIGHTER
RBA Poised to Reduce Cash Rate by 25 Basis PointsThe Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) will meet this Tuesday and is widely anticipated to deliver its first rate cut in four years amid easing inflationary pressures. I am ‘reasonably’ convinced that the central bank will reduce the Cash Rate this week, a belief based on inflation and growth data that delivered prints south of the RBA’s recent projections (released on 5 November 2024). Following nine consecutive meetings on hold, markets are pricing in a 90% probability that the RBA will reduce the Cash Rate by 25 basis points (bps) to 4.10% from 4.35% (per the ASX 30-Day Interbank Cash Rate futures). Markets are also pricing for an additional 50 bps of cuts by the year-end, lowering the Cash Rate to 3.6%. I am not holding my breath for anything illuminating to come out of the RBA’s accompanying rate statement and press conference. I believe we will see the Board underscore a cautious tone, echoing the ‘data dependent’ approach. The central bank will likely shine the spotlight on the disinflation progress but stop short of providing anything concrete to signal further cuts. The RBA will also release their detailed quarterly updated forecasts on growth (GDP ), unemployment, inflation, and the Cash Rate. Traders will look at these metrics closely for any revisions. I expect slightly lower revisions to GDP and inflation, but I do not see much change in forecasts for the Cash Rate. Inflation and GDP: Main Drivers Behind a Rate Cut In Q2 24, headline Australian inflation came in lower than expected, decelerating to 2.4% (from 2.8% in Q3 24) and marking the lowest quarterly reading since early 2021. This not only places headline inflation within the lower boundary of the RBA’s inflation target band of 2-3%, but the trimmed mean inflation rate – the RBA’s preferred measure of underlying inflation – also exhibited signs of softness, cooling to within touching distance of the RBA’s upper target band (3.0%) at 3.2% in Q4 24 (year-on-year ) from 3.5% in Q3 24. GDP cooled to 0.8% in Q3 24 (YY), down from 1.0% in Q2 24 and marked the slowest pace of economic growth since late 2020. Quarterly (Q3 24), GDP grew by 0.3%, following a slight increase of 0.2% in the previous quarter (Q2 24). However, while inflation is trending in the right direction and growth remains subdued – providing some legroom for the RBA to cut the Cash Rate this week – the central bank’s easing cycle will likely be slow and steady this year. Coupled with underlying inflation trending just north of the RBA’s inflation target, the central bank still faces a reasonably solid jobs market. Employment increased by 56,300, comfortably surpassing the market’s median estimate of 15,000 and was above November’s revised reading of 28,200, and wage growth remains steady. AUD/USD Shaking Hands with Resistance The AUD/USD currency pair (Australian dollar versus the US dollar) finished last week locking horns with daily resistance between US$0.6417 and US$0.6364 (this area comprises several ratios , a horizontal resistance level, and an ascending resistance extended from US$0.6170). What is also interesting is the approach to the above-noted resistance could prompt sellers to enter the fray this week. Following a lower low of US$0.6088 in early February, this likely encouraged breakout selling. With these orders now flushed out of the market (bear trap) and the recent higher high (US$0.6368) potentially exciting buyers, this, coupled with price testing resistance last week, could be a bull trap in the making to push things lower.
Short
by FPMarkets
Watch NZDUSD and AUDUSD because of RBNZ & RBA next weekThe RBA and the RBNZ are expected to deliver rate decisions next week, so there might be an slight opportunity for the bulls to capture a move higher, before those Banks deliver. Also, the current weakness in DXY could give a small helping hand for the bulls. That said, the positivity might be short-lived, as both Banks are expected to announce cuts, with the RBNZ potentially going for the bigger 50 bps cut. Let's see what happens. MARKETSCOM:AUDUSD MARKETSCOM:NZDUSD FX_IDC:AUDUSD FX_IDC:NZDUSD 74.2% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Past performance is not necessarily indicative of future results. The value of investments may fall as well as rise and the investor may not get back the amount initially invested. This content is not intended for nor applicable to residents of the UK. Cryptocurrency CFDs and spread bets are restricted in the UK for all retail clients.
by Marketscom
Buy the Dips? AUD/USD Eyes 0.65 After BreakoutAs mentioned, I remain bullish on AUD/USD and expect a rise to 0.65. Over the past 10 days, the pair has remained virtually unchanged, fluctuating within a tight 50-pip range between 0.6250 and 0.63. However, yesterday, AUD/USD showed some strength and broke above 0.63. I believe this breakout is genuine, and we could see further acceleration to the upside. My target remains 0.65, and I will stay bullish as long as the 0.62 zone holds. Buying dips should continue to be the preferred strategy. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by Mihai_Iacob
4
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Long
by reventioaxie
AUDUSD sideways consolidation continuesThe AUDUSD currency pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. However, the recent price action since 24th December 2024, appears to be protracted sideways consolidation. The key trading level is at 0.6311, which is the current swing high. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 0.6311 level could target the downside support at 0.6220 followed by 0.6183 and 0.6163 levels over the longer timeframe. Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 0.6311 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 0.6330 resistance level followed by 0.6350. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation