20.11.24 Morning ForecastPairs on Watch -
FX:GBPUSD
FX:AUDUSD
OANDA:JP225USD
A short overview of the instruments I am looking at for today, multi-timeframe analysis down to what I will be looking at for an entry. Enjoy!
AUDUSD
AUD/USD: Seeking dips for move to 66cAUD/USD has risen for a thirds day from its multi-week low, and shows the potential to head for 66c It is the second day in a row the market closed just off its daily high and the daily RSI (2) is not yet overbought.
However, the October high makes a likely interim resistance level which could spark a pullback before dip buyers return. Bulls could seek dips down towards the weekly pivot near 0.6500 in anticipation of its next leg higher, with 0.6560, 0.6584 (November VPOC) and the 0.6600 handle coming into focus.
AUDUSD 1hr Price ActionWait for the price leave the consolidation zone.
If it comes out in Long, wait for the retest in the support and look to enter in Long.
If it goes short, wait for the Retest at resistance and look to go short.
London Session Update: AUDUSD & USDJPY ContinuationThe AUDUSD offered an excellent entry point at 0.6450. Meanwhile, the USDJPY is performing as anticipated, and we expect a continuation in these pairs.
Heading into 38.2% Fibonacci resistance?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6543
1st Support: 0.6448
1st Resistance: 0.6596
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Bearish reversal?AUD/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6540
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6598
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6453
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support.
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AUDUSD H1 - AUD (Strongest) Against USD (Weakest) = UpTrend (3)This indicates which currencies are GAINING value and which are LOSING value.
As a result, we see which pairs to trade.
By trading the currency gaining the most value against the currency losing the most value = We aspire to ride the strongest trends, obtain the highest performance, be in the safest trades and to avoid the choppy chaotic charts.
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This layout displays the Value, Performance and Pressure behind each currency.
Let's break it down by panel.
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In the top panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Performance All 8 Currencies.
We see the performance of all 8 major currencies.
Most recent bars:
AUD (Orange line) is the strongest currency.
USD (Red line) is the weakest currency.
So, we bought the AUDUSD pair because both currencies are going opposite ways (AUD going up / USD going down).
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In the second panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Pair Performance.
We see the Performance of the 2 currencies of the pair on chart.
The AUD (Orange line) and the USD (Red line) + the Pressure of the Pair in the background.
The brighter the color in background = The higher is the performance for the pair on chart.
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In the 3rd panel: Indicator: The 'Template'. (Over 10 years in R&D to paint the chart perfectly.)
Resistance was broken.
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In the 4th panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Pressure.
We see the Pressure behind each currencies of the pair on chart.
The Higher is the line = More Upside pressure.
The Lower is the line = More Downside pressure.
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5th panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Value of the Base currency (AUD).
Displays the Value of the AUD + Intensity Background (Up/Down)
6th panel: Indicator 'Currencies' / Settings: Value of the Quote currency (USD).
Displays the Value of the USD + Intensity Background (Up/Down)
Strategy for 5th and 6th panels:
Blue Background (One Currency Gaining Value)
AGAINST
Red Background (One Currency Losing Value)
= Pair Trending.
(If you want to learn more about this, we have recorded a video. Comment 'Video'.)
AUDUSD buyAfter consolidating around the discount zone without any BOS to the downside we get a COCH to the upside further confirmed by a retest & rejection of the discount zone.
This indicated that price could travel up in the next few days heading upto 0.65601
For further confirmation we could wait for the price to break through the bearish order blocks above it or when we have a bullish BOS.
London Session Focus: USDJPY Momentum & Potential AUDUSD BuyThis morning during the London session, my primary focus is on the USDJPY. We anticipate a momentum low developing below the current price level.
Additionally, the AUDUSD has flagged a potential buying opportunity around the 0.6450 level.
The EURUSD and GBPUSD (Cable) are also showing potential for bullish moves; however, their price structures are currently less defined than those of the above-mentioned pairs.
Trade wisely and happy trading!
#AUDUSD: 1350+ Pips Swing Entry! One Not To Miss! FX:AUDUSD
Dear Traders,
Due to DXY strong bullish presence AUDUSD dropped heavily, price is likely to fall to the previous yearly low. From where we can expect a strong reversal taking price to the new level. We are targeting 1350+ pips.
GBPUSD FALLINGStill going down after already a huge drawdown ;
the blue lines are the main recent interesting KL, reaching it one by one, slightly bouncing then still going down seems like the next move ;
but it s the same as fibonacci, it might bounce harder on one and even change the whole trend to a new uptrend.
BTC LATEWe thought it would go back up right now, but it turns out it made an unexpected line cutting (white cut line) ;
it s going towards the next LL KL, hitting some key points then going back up pretty quick before wednesday ;
it is now a smooth drawdown pattern, where it falls smoothly and calmly before hitting one big red candle.
AUD/USD BULLSEYE STRAT 11/11/24- USD expected to withstand selling pressure; oil rally, president trump re-elected + pres trump stock rally, cpi expected to hold according to economic data matches SEIIV4L Strategic Cpi signal,
(*) buy lows @ significant decline after full decline
(*) Dxy will have fake selling pressure due to uninformed investors, this will allow market to hit Tp1 currently 1.7% away from target (0.64478)
(*) Expect AUSSIE employment securities to rally AU dollar after decline total of 7.4% chopped down to to definite TP's (0.66787) 3.6& (0.68229) - 5.8%.
- Market retracement range/range trading: 0.24% , 0.35% , 0.44%
NEW NASDAQ ROUTEThe potential drop in the NASDAQ in the coming days could be driven by several key factors. First, macroeconomic uncertainties, including geopolitical tensions or the persistence of high interest rates, could increase market volatility. Additionally, recent disappointing quarterly earnings from major tech companies, which are often heavily weighted in the index, add downward pressure. Lastly, technical signals such as the breach of critical support levels or a decline below the 50-day moving average could trigger accelerated sell-offs. Investors should closely monitor these indicators to assess risks and adjust their portfolios accordingly.
AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.64900 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.64900 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUD/USD Analysis on the 1-Hour ChartIn this analysis of AUD/USD, we are currently observing a clear downtrend, with sellers dominating the market. A key resistance zone, marked in pink, has been identified based on previous price action where sellers entered the market to push prices lower.
At the moment, the price is still far from this resistance zone. However, our strategy is to prepare for a potential scenario where the price retraces back to this area. If the price reaches the pink zone, there is a strong likelihood that sellers could return, resuming the downtrend.
Trading Plan:
Long Positions: For traders holding long positions, this resistance zone is an excellent area to consider reducing positions to secure profits, as a rejection from this level could lead to a decline.
Short Positions: If the price shows signs of rejection or bearish confirmation (e.g., a bearish candlestick pattern, divergence, or weakening momentum) upon reaching the pink zone, it could provide an opportunity to enter a short position in alignment with the prevailing downtrend.
Risk Management: Use a stop loss just above the pink resistance zone to manage risk in case of a breakout.
This approach combines disciplined risk management with technical analysis, ensuring that we capitalize on potential market movements while minimizing exposure to unexpected reversals.
MORE ACCURATE ROUTE FOR GOLDour idea is still valid but needs a little bit of clarification : we thought gold would follow some kind of round top pattern ;
now it seems like a 3/4 tops and a HH, then a drawdown to 2500s by next week.
However it will come back up at some point soon, around the beginning of 2025, so stay advised and don't try to sell it under 2500.
AUD/USD Reaches New Low: Technicals Highlight Bearish TrendThe AUD/USD pair has sunk below 0.65000, hitting a low of 0.64529, reflecting a persistent bearish trend for the Australian dollar. This decline aligns with the strong US dollar index at 106.4 amidst robust post-election performance. The RBA's steady interest rate at 4.35% and lackluster employment growth in Australia indicate ongoing economic pressures that may limit the Aussie’s recovery. Meanwhile, anticipated rate cuts by the Fed could introduce USD vulnerabilities, adding complexity to the pair's future trajectory. Traders should closely monitor economic indicators and central bank policies in both regions for potential market shifts.
AUD/USD SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
Hello, Friends!
AUD-USD downtrend evident from the last 1W red candle makes longs trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 0.653 area still presents a good opportunity for us to buy the pair because the support line is nearby and the BB lower band is close which indicates the oversold state of the AUD/USD pair.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
BTC BEARISHCorrection from yesterday : BTC is clearly going down for now ;
as it is not a real asset indexed on some real currency (even though it is really strong of course), it does not follow the same logical paths as gold and nasdaq, so it is really tough to know;
bears are starting to take over for BTC, and it might be the beginning of a slow fall for bitcoin.
US100/NASDAQ STILL GOING UPThe white lines are yesterday's projections, which are a little late ;
the setup is still valid and a little late but will make NASDAQ rise once again ;
more precisely this time, we put together a possible route for this, stopping and reversing at KL and previous HH and LL.
XAUUSD FAKE BULLSAs Gold started an impressive bearish era, losing more than 200 points against all odds, now seems like a good time for it to calm down ;
Gold going down, as well as VIX in some way, shows that the economy is getting better, Gold only rises when the world falls apart (war, inflation, pandemics).
So with such a great leader it seems obvious that now gold is to come back to normal levels, and should not rise again, at least not so sharp, but for how long ?
AUDUSD Continues Downtrend with High-Probability Weekly FVG AUDUSD has maintained a strong downtrend, recently wicking into a weekly Fair Value Gap (FVG) that previously broke structure, confirming this FVG as high-probability. The recent close below the weekly FVG reinforces a bearish bias, indicating that sellers are still in control.
The next target for this move is the sellside liquidity at 0.63541. This setup aligns with the prevailing trend, making it a high-probability continuation to the downside.
Always remember: DYOR (Do Your Own Research).
