AUDUSD
AUDUSD Long 14/10/24Asset Class: Forex
Income Type: Weekly
Symbol: AUDUSD
Trade Type: Long
Trends:
Short Term: UP
Long Term: Up
Set-Up Parameters:
Entry: 0.67402
Stop: 0.66922
TP 0.69823 (5:1)
Trade idea:
Confirmation Entry, 1D DBR , Downtrend Reversal to Uptrend from a Daily DZ, RSI oversold.
!!Be aware of pending Economic Reports. If price is within 20 pips of proximal value at time of major impact report, then Confirmation entry.
Trade management:
**When price hits 1:1 or T1, consider moving stop to entry in case of pullback.
** Put alarm above the SL as there is a FVG just below it, if the price pullback close to the SL consider moving the SL below the FVG@0.66736
**Disclaimer**:
The trading strategies, ideas, and information shared are for educational and informational purposes only. They do not constitute financial advice or a recommendation to buy or sell any securities, currencies, or financial instruments. You should do your own research or consult with a licensed financial advisor before making any trading decisions. The author assumes no responsibility for any losses incurred from following these trading ideas.
Aussie H4 | Potential bearish reversalThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.6761 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 0.6820 which is a level that sits above the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level and an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 0.6697 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Bearish drop for the Aussie?The price has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6747
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance.
Stop loss: 0.6791
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit: 0.6688
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUD/USD – Inverse Head & Shoulders Breakout on 4H On the 4-hour chart, AUD/USD has broken through the neckline of an inverse head and shoulders pattern. The first target is the initial resistance level, with the potential to reach a second resistance.
Trading Scenarios:
1. Long: Take advantage of the breakout to target the first resistance.
2. Short: At the second resistance, consider reducing positions or opening a short if the price shows signs of reversal.
AUDUSD SELL TF H4 TP = 0.6653On the H4 chart the trend started on Oct. 1 (linear regression channel).
There is a high probability of profit taking. Possible take profit level is 0.6653
This level, which I have outlined above, is certainly not a “finish” level. But it is the level that has the “highest percentage of hits on target.”
Using a trailing stop is also a good idea!
Please leave your feedback, your opinion. I am very interested in it. Thank you!
Good luck!
Regards, WeBelievelnTrading
#AUD/USD 1HAUD/USD 1H – Falling Wedge Pattern
The AUD/USD pair on the 1-hour chart is showing a falling wedge pattern, which is a classic bullish reversal setup. This pattern indicates that the price, currently in a downtrend, may soon reverse and move higher.
#Pattern Overview:
-Falling Wedge: The pattern is defined by two downward-sloping, converging trendlines. The price moves within this narrowing range as selling pressure weakens over time, which often leads to a bullish breakout.
#Forecast:
-Buy Signal: The anticipated move is a breakout above the upper resistance trendline of the wedge. This breakout is considered a strong buy signal, suggesting the price will move upward as the bearish momentum fades.
#Trading Strategy:
- *Entry Point: Enter a buy position when the price decisively breaks out of the wedge and closes above the resistance line.
- Targets: Initial targets for the move upward could be based on nearby resistance levels or prior price action highs.
-Stop Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss below the most recent swing low inside the wedge, ensuring protection in case of a false breakout.
This setup points to a buying opportunity upon breakout, as the AUD/USD pair is likely to climb after confirming the bullish reversal.
Aussie H4 | Potential bullish bounceThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards a multi-swing-low support and could potentially reverse off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.6697 which is a multi-swing-low support that aligns close to a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.6622 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 0.6792 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
#AUDUSD 1HOn the AUD/USD 1-hour chart, the price has reached a key support level. This level represents an area where buying interest has previously stepped in, preventing further declines in price. The support zone indicates a potential reversal point, as the selling pressure may weaken and buyers could start to dominate.
Forecast: Buy
Given the strong support level, a buy opportunity is anticipated. Traders may consider entering a long position if the price holds above this support, with a potential upside toward nearby resistance levels. It's important to monitor the price action closely for confirmation that the support is holding before executing the trade.
#AUDUSD: Chart Analysis 02/10/2024FX:AUDUSD
Audusd is in verge of finishing the ab=cd pattern, there is more chance that price is going to fill the liquidity gap at our take profit area. That area remain a key level for bears where we can see USD will have a strong influence in the market. Currently the fundamental and technical suggest a strong bull move on AUDUSD.
AUD/USD Declines Amid Geopolitical Tensions and Key Economic DatThe Australian Dollar (AUD) is trading lower against the US Dollar (USD) after key economic data released on Thursday added downward pressure to the risk-sensitive AUD/USD pair. The market is also reacting to rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East, with risk appetite fading as concerns mount. According to the Israeli Broadcasting Authority (IBA), Israel’s security cabinet has decided to issue a strong response to a recent Iranian attack, which saw Iran launch over 200 ballistic missiles and drone strikes on Israel on Tuesday night.
This escalating conflict has weighed heavily on risk assets like the Australian dollar, as investors move toward safe-haven currencies such as the US dollar in times of geopolitical instability.
Geopolitical Tensions Drive Risk-Off Sentiment
The increased volatility in the Middle East is driving investors to reassess their exposure to risk-sensitive assets, with the AUD/USD pair feeling the impact. Rising tensions between Israel and Iran have spooked markets, dampening risk appetite and pushing traders toward safe-haven currencies like the US dollar. As geopolitical risks escalate, risk-off sentiment is likely to continue pressuring the Australian dollar, which is highly sensitive to global risk sentiment.
Key Economic Data Adds to AUD's Weakness
Adding to the AUD’s woes, the recent economic data released on Thursday has contributed to its decline against the USD. The data has underscored the challenges facing the Australian economy, with weaker-than-expected results further diminishing the currency’s appeal. In contrast, the US dollar has remained buoyant, supported by stronger economic fundamentals and hawkish expectations for the Federal Reserve.
Technical Outlook: AUD/USD Faces Further Downside
From a technical perspective, the AUD/USD pair reversed after touching a key Supply area, which aligned with our previous forecast. This reversal is consistent with the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, which shows that retail traders have aggressively increased their long positions, typically a contrarian indicator signaling further downside.
The pair is now poised for a potential continuation of the downtrend, with bears likely eyeing additional levels of support as the US dollar strengthens amid both geopolitical concerns and a favorable economic backdrop.
Conclusion: Bearish Outlook for AUD/USD
The combination of rising geopolitical tensions in the Middle East and weaker domestic economic data has placed significant pressure on the Australian dollar. As risk sentiment continues to shift away from risk-sensitive assets like the AUD, the pair is likely to experience further downside, especially if geopolitical risks escalate and the US dollar remains strong.
Traders should monitor developments in the Middle East closely, as well as any further economic data that could influence the direction of the AUD/USD pair. For now, the bearish momentum remains intact, and the pair could see continued weakness in the near term.
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Falling towards 78.6% Fibonacci support?AUD/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6688
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6621
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 0.6751
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level.
Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us!
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDUSD: Short Term SellEntry: 0.6727
Stop Loss: 0.6800 (73 pips above entry)
Take Profit: 0.6600 (127 pips below entry, offering a 1.7:1 reward-to-risk ratio)
Reasoning:
With global risk-off sentiment growing and commodity prices showing signs of weakness, AUD/USD could face further downside pressure. This setup capitalizes on potential bearish momentum, offering a strong risk-to-reward opportunity.
AUDUSD What Next? BUY!
My dear followers,
This is my opinion on the AUDUSD next move:
The asset is approaching an important pivot point 0.6720
Bias - Bullish
Safe Stop Loss - 0.6683
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market.
Goal - 0.6782
About Used Indicators:
For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDUSD - Follow the Bulls!Hello TradingView Family / Fellow Traders. This is Richard, also known as theSignalyst.
📈AUDUSD has been overall bullish, trading inside the rising channel in green.
Moreover, it is approaching a massive demand zone in blue.
🏹 The highlighted blue circle is a strong area to look for buy setups as it is the intersection of the demand zone and lower green trendline acting as a non-horizontal support.
📚 As per my trading style:
As #AUDUSD is around the blue circle zone, I will be looking for bullish reversal setups (like a double bottom pattern, trendline break , and so on...)
📚 Always follow your trading plan regarding entry, risk management, and trade management.
Good luck!
All Strategies Are Good; If Managed Properly!
~Rich
EURUSD and AUDUSD top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Take Hit, Turn RedMarket Analysis: AUD/USD Take Hit, Turn Red
AUD/USD declined below the 0.6855 and 0.6830 support levels.
Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline from well above the 0.6900 level against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6755 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to clear the 0.6950 zone. The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline below the 0.6855 support against the US Dollar.
The pair even settled below 0.6800 and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a clear move below 0.6750. A low was formed at 0.6715 and the pair is now consolidating losses. On the upside, an immediate resistance is near the 0.6755 level.
There is also a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at 0.6755. The 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6942 swing high to the 0.6715 low sits above the trend line.
The next major resistance is near the 0.6830 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6942 swing high to the 0.6715 low, above which the price could rise toward 0.6855.
Any more gains might send the pair toward the 0.6900 handle. A close above the 0.6900 level could start another steady increase in the near term. The next major resistance on the AUD/USD chart could be 0.6945.
On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6715 zone. The next support sits at 0.6700. If there is a downside break below 0.6700, the pair could extend its decline. The next support could be 0.6650. Any more losses might send the pair toward the 0.6620 support.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AUD/USD - Bullish Outlook with OTE Entry and High Probability SeIn this analysis of AUD/USD, we observe price respecting a high-probability bullish order block on the daily chart. The current price action suggests a potential continuation to the upside, with the order block acting as a strong support zone. This level also represents an Optimal Trade Entry (OTE), aligning with the Fibonacci retracement golden zone (between the 61.8% and 78.6% levels), further confirming its validity as a strong buy area.
Additionally, upcoming high-impact USD news on Thursday, including CPI data and unemployment claims, could introduce volatility and influence price action. Traders should stay alert and consider managing risk accordingly.
The chart indicates that price is currently reacting positively to this confluence of technical factors, and I expect a bullish move targeting the next buy-side liquidity level. Should this level be breached, further upward momentum can be anticipated. Stops should be placed just below the order block for effective risk management.
Key Points:
- OTE Entry: Price is respecting a high-probability bullish order block, which aligns with the Fibonacci golden zone, offering an optimal trade entry.
- Upcoming high-impact USD news on Thursday, which may introduce volatility.
- Targeting buy-side liquidity as the next key level, maintaining a bullish bias.
Disclaimer: This is not financial advice. Always conduct your own research (DYOR) before making any investment decisions.
Bearish drop?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which acts as an overlap support.
Pivot: 0.6750
1st Support: 0.6687
1st Resistance: 0.6809
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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