AUDUSD Will Collapse! SELL!
My dear subscribers,
AUDUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details:
The market is trading on 0.6886 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
My Stop Loss - 0.6919
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.6832
About Used Indicators:
The average true range (ATR) plays an important role in 'Supertrend' as the indicator uses ATR to calculate its value. The ATR indicator signals the degree of price volatility.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUDUSD
AUDUSD - Look for Reversal Long (INTRADAY) 1:4!USD has reached a seven-week high following the NFP news, driving USD pairs downward. A correction could be expected before USD resumes its bullish momentum if conditions hold.
This presents a potential opportunity to capture some pips, especially with DVX reacting to the SBR Zone, similar to the current behavior in AUDUSD.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
Are The Bulls Still Up To IT?On this pair, we see that the Weekly chart is ready to resume its long held bearishness. Over the past few days, we have witnessed prices rally all the way up (a Bullish retracement inside a bearish swing), driving prices into our marked out Weekly reversal zone. As expected, the zone held, and we began to see reversals, with prices turning bearish from that point.
But the thing is this, that bullish retracement on the weekly came as a result of a bullish extension on the daily chart. The pertinent question before us now is whether or not the bulls of the daily chart will be able to come in strongly enough to contain the current bearish push and hold prices in a bullish trend.
Here is my take.
It is common knowledge that the lower time frames move in consonance with (in obedience to) the higher timeframes... lol (the word "obedience" got me laughing for a bit. But let's cyt back to the chase)
Now we have seen the daily printing a bullish narrative. But we are all expected to believe that the bullish trend sustained by the daily has the primary intention and purpose of driving prices in the direction of the higher timeframe, which in this case is the weekly chart. We therefore believe that all of that bullish push was to drive prices into the Weekly reversal zone. With that being fulfilled, price is expected to move in the direction of the Weekly over and above the daily direction. This is the regular theory and philosophy of the forex market.
But will that narrative hold sway this time around?
We see prices now dipping bearish. This is an extension for the Weekly chart, and at the same time a retracement on the daily bullish swing.
In the event that the Daily zone holds (which is less likely), we will expect to see prices reverse bullish, begin totally and move to take out Daily liquidity target above. This will result in a deeper retracement inside the Weekyl zone, or a complete breach of the zone. Where the zone is breached, we will look to see the market print higher prices and go all the way up.
On the other hand, if the bearish perspective of the Weekly holds, we will expect to see the Daily zone breached, at which point we will expect prices to dip towards the weekly liquidity target below.
So guys, who do you thing is gonna win the day, the Bulls of the Daily or the Bears of the Weekly? share your thoughts in the comment section
Bearish reversal off major overlap resistance?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot which is an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support level which has been identified as an overlap support.
Pivot: 0.6822
1st Support: 0.6749
1st Resistance: 0.6867
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WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST SEPT 7-11th: AUDUSDAUD | AUDUSD:
Look at the Weekly TF. Price is sitting in the +FVG, therefore my bias for the week is bullish.
I'm only interested in longs at this point.
Should price close hard below the +FVG, then that invalidates my bias. I will start to look for sell setups.
Check the comments section below for updates regarding this analysis throughout the week.
Enjoy!
May profits be upon you.
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AUDUSD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in this analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
Sell AUD/USD Triangle BreakoutThe AUD/USD pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent breakout from a Triangle Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours.
Possible Short Trade:
Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position Below the Broken Trendline Of The Triangle After Confirmation. Ideally, This Would Be Around 0.6870
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.6835
2nd Support – 0.6804
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.6916. This helps limit potential losses if the price falls back unexpectedly.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
COT Analysis - Currency SectorA few weeks ago I was calling for shorts on 6J, longs on DX, and shorts on ZB. Those trades are well underway, with partials already taken.
This week, COT strategy is supportive of longs for DX. Of particular interest is 6A (AUD). The commercials are more short this market than they have been in over 3 years. This is a very bearish signal. I will be focusing on shorting AUD this week, as in my opinion, it has the greatest potential for a significant down move.
Have a great weekend.
AUDUSD What Next? BUY!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for AUDUSD is below:
The market is trading on 0.6791 pivot level.
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation.
Target - 0.6854
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.6753
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Trade Idea: AUD/USD Bounce at Support ZoneAUD/USD is currently moving downward, and I anticipate a bounce when the price reaches the upcoming support zone. This level has shown strength in the past, making it a likely spot for a rebound. I’m ready to take advantage of this potential upward move once it hits this support.
AUDUSD H4 I Bearish Reversal Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is rising toward our sell entry at 0.6871, which is a pullback resistance aligning with a 38.2% FIbo retracement.
Our take profit will be at 0.6807, an overlap support level close to 38.2% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.6938, the swing-high resistance level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
AUD/USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
AUD/USD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 1H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.686 area.
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AUDUSD - 4hrs ( Sell Trade Target Range 120 PIP ) 🟢Pair Name : AUD/USD
Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close
Scale Type : Large Scale
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spreading knowledge among us and to clarify the most importan+t points of entry, exit and entry with more than 5 reasons
We seek to spread understanding rather than make money
🟢Key Technical / Direction ( Short )
Type : Mid Term Swing
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Bearish Break
0.68500 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level
- Visible Range hvn
- Channel Break
- Head & Shoulder Break
- Fixed Range Hvn
- Fibo Golden
Bullish Reversal
0.67200 Area
AUDUSD / AFTER BREAKOUT THE CHANNEL - 4HAUDUSD / 4H TIME FRAME
HELLO TRADERS
After the breakout channel , the price continues to rise, indicating the market is in an uptrend and buyers are dominating, putting upward pressure on the asset.
The price level of 0.689 is identified as a key support level. As long as the price stays above this, the uptrend is likely to
If the price remains above 0.689, the analysis expects it to move toward the supply zone between 0.697 and 0.701, where there might be resistance or selling pressure.
If a 4-hour candle closes below the 0.689 support level, it signals a potential bearish move. In this case, the price may decline and head towards the demand zone between 0.683 and 0.680.
My Target : supply zone between 0.697 and 0.701.
Levels discussed 2nd October2nd October
DXY: Consolidating, could retrace to 101.10 (23.6%), looking to break above 101.40 and trade up to 101.80 (stay above 100.90 to maintain bullish)
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6265 SL 20 TP 55
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6860 SL 20 TP 40 (forming H&S pattern)
GBPUSD: Sell 1.3240 SL 30 TP 80
EURUSD: Sell 1.1045 SL 20 TP 40
USDJPY: Could continue ranging, Buy 144.80 SL 40 TP 120
USDCHF: Sell 0.8470 SL 15 TP 55
USDCAD: Buy 1.3475 SL 20 TP 60
Gold: Could trade up to 2665, could be held briefly along bearish trendline.
#AUDUSD 4HAUD/USD 4-Hour Chart Forecast:
The AUD/USD pair is showing bullish potential on the 4-hour chart, signaling a buy opportunity. The price action appears to be testing a key resistance level, which, if broken, could lead to further upside movement.
Key factors supporting the buy forecast:
Resistance Breakout: The pair is challenging a significant resistance zone. A confirmed breakout above this level would likely trigger strong bullish momentum, potentially leading to new highs in the short term.
Bullish Pattern Formation: The chart may be forming a bullish technical pattern, such as an ascending triangle or inverse head and shoulders, which often indicates an impending breakout.
Momentum Indicators: Technical indicators like the RSI or MACD might be showing bullish divergence or a breakout above key levels, reinforcing the potential for further gains.
Traders looking to take advantage of the buy opportunity should watch for a confirmed breakout above the resistance level before entering the trade. Stop-loss orders can be placed below the breakout level or recent swing lows to manage risk. Profit targets should be set at key resistance levels or prior highs. Monitoring for any failure to break resistance is essential, but overall, the technical outlook supports a buy strategy for AUD/USD on the 4-hour chart.
Euro extends losses as eurozone CPI slows to 1.8%The euro continues to lose ground and is trading at 1.1080 in the North American session, down 0.49% on the day. The euro is down for a third consecutive day and has declined 0.9% during that time.
Eurozone inflation eased to 1.8% y/y in September, down from 2.2% in August and below the market estimate of 1.9%. This was the lowest rate since April 2021 and below the European Central Bank’s inflation target of 2%. The drop in inflation was largely driven by the sharp decrease in energy prices. Monthly, inflation declined by 0.1%, down from the 0.1% gain in August.
Services inflation, which has been a headache for the ECB, dropped from 4.1% to 4.0%. The core rate, which is a better indicator of long-term inflation trends, fell to 2.7%, down from 2.8% in August and below the market estimate of 2.8%. Inflation declined across the bloc, with Germany, France, Italy and Spain all recording inflation rates below 2%.
The ECB has approached the new rate-cutting cycle with caution, as high services inflation and wage growth are reminders that the battle against inflation isn’t over. The markets expect the ECB to remain on the sidelines at the October meeting and re-evaluate a possible rate cut in December.
The Federal Reserve is expected to be aggressive in its rate-cutting cycle, which started last month with a large cut of 50 basis points. On Monday, Fed Chair Powell poured cold water on expectations for another jumbo rate cut, saying that the economy was in “solid shape” and that the Fed was not in any rush to cut rates quickly. Powell’s remarks have lowered market odds of a 50-bps cut to 40%, compared to 58% one week ago, according to CME’s FedWatch.
EUR/USD pushed below support at 1.1096 and tested support at 1.1058 earlier. The next support level is 1.1001
1.1153 and 1.1191 are the next resistance lines
Levels discussed on Livestream (1st October)1st October
DXY: If price can break 101, could trade up to 101.40 (61.8% area)
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6290 SL 20 TP 40
AUDUSD: Sell 0.6885 SL 20 TP 60
GBPUSD: Sell 1.3350 SL 20 TP 45
EURUSD: Sell 1.1075 SL 20 TP 65
USDJPY: Stay above 143.45, Buy 144.90 SL 50 TP 150
USDCHF: Continue higher, look for reaction at 0.8510
USDCAD: Buy 1.3545 SL 20 TP 50
Gold: Needs to stay below 2649 to trade lower, below 2630 could trade down to 2616
Aussie H1 | Approaching overlap supportThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.6899 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 0.6860 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 0.6941 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
AUDUSD 01-10-24Hello Traders,
I know this is not the most trading instrument, but if you do, this is the trendline on 15min that AUDUSD is following and I have also drawn some recent levels, I think that the trend is almost to the exhaustion phase and might break the trendline to invite fresh seller, try to wait for LL/LH formation before entering the short trade
NOTE: THIS IS NOT A FINANCIAL ADVICE
AUDUSD: Top of Megaphone hit. Reversal expected.AUDUSD is almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 68.054, MACD = 0.006, ADX = 53.204) as the price reached the HH trendline at the top of the Megaphone pattern. The 1D MACD printed a sequence almost identical to the December 28th 2023 top, which soon after declined to the 0.5 Fibonacci level. Consequently, we take this as a strong sell signal, aiming at the 0.5 Fib (TP = 0.66500).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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