EURUSD GOING UPEUR/USD: Why It’s Heading Higher
Technical Analysis:
The EUR/USD is showing bullish momentum, breaking above key resistance levels. The pair is trading above its 50-day and 200-day moving averages, confirming an uptrend. A bullish crossover in the MACD and rising RSI suggest further upside potential. Key resistance is at 1.10, with support holding strong at 1.085. A breakout above 1.10 could open the path toward 1.12.
Fundamental Analysis:
The Euro is supported by robust economic data, including better-than-expected PMI figures and hawkish signals from the ECB. Meanwhile, the USD is under pressure as the Fed signals a pause in rate hikes amid cooling inflation. Diverging monetary policies and improving sentiment in the Eurozone favor further EUR/USD gains.
Keep an eye on upcoming ECB speeches and U.S. employment data for potential volatility.
AUDUSD
#AUDUSD WEEKLYAUDUSD (Weekly Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is currently testing a channel support level that has consistently acted as a strong base for upward movements in the past. This indicates a potential area for bullish momentum to emerge if the support holds.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity is anticipated if the price confirms a bounce from the channel support, signaling a potential move toward the upper boundary of the channel.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: Near the channel support level after confirmation of a bounce.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the channel support to limit downside risk in case the pattern fails.
- Take Profit: Target the midline or the upper boundary of the channel for potential upside gains.
Market Sentiment:
The price action at the channel support reflects a possible bullish sentiment, with buyers likely to regain control if the support remains intact. Waiting for confirmation of a bounce is recommended before entering the trade to ensure alignment with market direction.
#AUDUSD 1HAUDUSD (1H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price has broken below a key trendline support, indicating a potential shift in market momentum toward the downside. The breakdown suggests that buyers could not maintain control, and selling pressure has begun to dominate.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity may arise if the price retests the broken trendline as resistance and confirms rejection, signaling further bearish movement.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: After the price retests the broken trendline and shows signs of rejection.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the retest level or the recent swing high to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target the next support levels or significant price zones below for potential downside objectives.
Market Sentiment:
The breakdown of the trendline support highlights a bearish sentiment in the short term. Waiting for a retest provides a more strategic entry point, minimizing risk and aligning with market confirmation. Proper risk management is essential.
Bearish drop?The Aussie (AUD/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Pivot: 0.6218
1st Support: 0.6181
1st Resistance: 0.6246
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
USD/JPY : Ready for more Fall?! (READ THE CAPTION)Upon analyzing the USD/JPY chart in the daily time frame, we see that the pair is currently trading around the 157.060 level. Given the recent price action, I anticipate a significant correction in USD/JPY in the near future.
The first potential target for this decline is 156.25, so keep a close eye on this level! Stay tuned for updates as we track this movement together.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments below!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
AUDJPY GOING DOWNWe almost had the first part (you can take a look at the blue arrow on the 3rd of January), and it indeed reached the exact price we wanted it to (red dotted line)
However it has come back up since then, which shows that there's still a high buying volume for this asset.
But at some point, it is to come down and break the first red to reach the second lower red.
We made two possibilities for you to get the scheme.
GOLD MICRO ANALYSISAnd this is what the micro view looks like. If you've not seen our precedent post on the macro view, you should check it out so you get the global scheme of the move.
The red line has to be reached at some point over the next few weeks, maybe even days, because Gold has a "desert area" to cross : this is the area where there's no blue lines, which are basic KL.
What we believe is that when there 's no or not enought KL, the price moves way faster, hence the green drawing.
Could the Aussie bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement and could bounce to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 0.6182
1st Support: 0.6159
1st Resistance: 0.6243
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.62600 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.62600 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDUSD Retest of Key breakout area at 0.62060-Fakeout or Retest.Following US CPI coming out as expected, (showing a slight uptick in inflation for December) TVC:DXY pushed back to 108.6-108.4 area:
-> A rising wedge was identified on AUD/USD with an exit on the upside following CPI release.
-> Aussie is trading at a key area around 0.6260, whether it will be a retest of the top of the wedge or a reclaim of this resistance and become a fakeout is still to be determined.
Bulls narrative:
-> Bulls see the current set up as a breakout from a wedge followed by a three leg pullback (5 min the time frame), they want a retest of 0.6260 followed by a follow through buying around 0.6260 and a reclaim of the 5 min EMA. bulls need to see follow through buying and consecutive bull bars. Previous 4H close above 0.62070 shows the market is willing to go above.
Bears narrative
-> After breakout there was no significant follow through buying followed by 5 consecutive bear bars on the 30 min. >A reclaim of the 0.62025 on the 4H timeframe would open the door to downside targets for at least a test of the bottom of the wedge at 0.61700. W
-> Bears want weak buying around the 0.6260 and trap bulls for follow through selling and put them in a loosing trade
For now, trade favors bulls with potential for upside targets around the daily 20EMA and a retest of the 0.62800 and 0.63000 area. If none of these scenarios play out in the coming hours, market will go sideways to down.
Aussie rises after US core CPI declines to 3.2%The Australian dollar is higher for a third consecutive trading day. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6233, up 0.63% at the time of writing.
The US inflation report for December was a mixed bag, as headline CPI rose while the core rate declined. Headline CPI rose to 2.9% y/y from 2.7% in November, matching the market estimate. Monthly, headline CPI rose to 0.4%, up from 0.3% and above the market estimate of 0.3%.
The more important story was the decline in core CPI, which excludes food and energy and is more closely watched by the Federal Reserve than the headline data. Core CPI eased to 3.2% y/y in December, down from 3.3% over the past three months and below the market estimate of 3.3%. Monthly, core CPI ticked lower to 0.2% in December, down from 0.3% a month earlier and in line with the market estimate.
The decline in core CPI was small but still significant, as the core rate showed downward movement after remaining unchanged for three months. Investors responded by raising the probability of a quarter-point cut in March at 29%, up from 19% prior to the inflation release, according to CME's FedWatch. The Fed meets at the end of the month and is virtually certain to hold rates.
Australia releases the December employment report early on Thursday. Australia's labor market remains solid, although the economy as a whole is struggling. Job growth increased by a strong 35.6 thousand in November, beating expectations. Will the positive trend continue? The market estimate for December stands at 15 thousand, which would mark a nine-month low. The unemployment rate has been low and fell to an eight-month low in November at 3.9%. It is expected to creep up to 4.0% in December.
The Reserve Bank of Australia meets on Feb. 18 and the strength of the labor market is a key consideration in the central bank's decision-making. As long as the labor market remains solid and does not deteriorate quickly, the RBA can afford to hold off on a rate cut. If, however, the employment report is softer than expected, it would put pressure on the RBA to lower rates at next month's meeting.
AUD/USD is testing resistance at 0.6231. Above, there is resistance at 0.6255
0.6189 and 0.6171 are providing support
AUDUSD BUY SIGNAL. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
AUD/USD SHORT FROM RESISTANCE
Hello, Friends!
AUD/USD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 2H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.613 area.
✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Ghost Traders FX AUD/USD 4H Continuation [SHORT]Price formed a weak low @ 0.613 on Friday last week.
It looks to me that most of this rally has just been big money taking profit on short positions as opposed to any real buying pressure on AUD or we would of seen a faster recovery, not a slow drip up.
Price has rejected the previous 4H ranges BOS and close back below it forming strong consolidation.
I'm anticipating news today sweep one last time below the low set @ 0.613, tapping into a key level used in 2020 COVID recovery and the Higher Time Frame analysis heading into full swing.
Goodluck gang.
AUDUSD H1 | Bearish Reversal Based on the 4-hour chart analysis, the price is rising toward our sell entry level at 0.6221, which is a key resistance near the 127% Fibonacci extension. This level is expected to act as a potential reversal point in the bearish setup.
Our take profit is set at 0.6172, an overlap support.
The stop loss is set at 0.6133, below the recent swing low and a key support zone, providing room for price fluctuations while protecting against invalidation of the bearish setup.
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AUD/USD steady as consumer sentiment slips lowerThe Australian dollar is showing little movement on Tuesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6174, down 0.06% at the time of writing.
The Australian consumer remains pessimistic about the economic outlook. The Westpac consumer sentiment index fell 0.7% in January from -2% in December 2024. This brought the index down to 92.1 in January, down from 92.8 a month earlier.
The Westpac report found that confidence over employment has been falling and interestingly, a majority of consumers expect interest rates to move higher, despite signals that the Reserve Bank of Australia's first rate move will be a cut rather than a hike. The RBA hasn't moved on rates in over a year and the current cash rate of 4.25% continues to squeeze businesses and consumers. Australia releases third-quarter inflation on Jan. 29 and the central bank will be watching. That inflation reading could result in a historic rate cut if inflation is lower than expected.
We'll get a look at the US Producer Price Index later today, with mixed numbers expected. PPI is projected to jump from 3.0% to 3.4% y/y while decreasing monthly from 0.4% to 0.3%. Core PPI and is expected to jump to 3.8% y/y from 3.4% and from 0.2% to 03% m/m. If the PPI report indicates an acceleration as is expected, the money markets will likely lower their expectations for a rate cut.
Currently, the money markets have priced in a quarter-point cut at the Jan. 29 meeting at below 3% and at the March meeting at around 20%. Federal Reserve members are sounding hawkish and have signaled that the market shouldn't expect a rate cut anytime soon.
AUD/USD tested resistance at 0.6193 earlier. Above, there is resistance at 0.6209
0.6162 and 0.6146 are providing support
AUD/USD steady as consumer sentiment slips lowerThe Australian dollar is showing little movement on Tuesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6174, down 0.06% at the time of writing.
The Australian consumer remains pessimistic about the economic outlook. The Westpac consumer sentiment index fell 0.7% in January from -2% in December 2024. This brought the index down to 92.1 in January, down from 92.8 a month earlier.
The Westpac report found that confidence over employment has been falling and interestingly, a majority of consumers expect interest rates to move higher, despite signals that the Reserve Bank of Australia's first rate move will be a cut rather than a hike. The RBA hasn't moved on rates in over a year and the current cash rate of 4.25% continues to squeeze businesses and consumers. Australia releases third-quarter inflation on Jan. 29 and the central bank will be watching. That inflation reading could result in a historic rate cut if inflation is lower than expected.
We'll get a look at the US Producer Price Index later today, with mixed numbers expected. PPI is projected to jump from 3.0% to 3.4% y/y while decreasing monthly from 0.4% to 0.3%. Core PPI and is expected to jump to 3.8% y/y from 3.4% and from 0.2% to 03% m/m. If the PPI report indicates an acceleration as is expected, the money markets will likely lower their expectations for a rate cut.
Currently, the money markets have priced in a quarter-point cut at the Jan. 29 meeting at below 3% and at the March meeting at around 20%. Federal Reserve members are sounding hawkish and have signaled that the market shouldn't expect a rate cut anytime soon.
AUD/USD tested resistance at 0.6193 earlier. Above, there is resistance at 0.6209
0.6162 and 0.6146 are providing support
AUDUSD Selling Trading IdeaHello Traders
In This Chart AUDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET
today AUDUSD analysis 👆
🟢This Chart includes_ (AUDUSD market update)
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This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Chart
AUD/USD Downtrend Testing Post-COVID LowsChart Analysis:
The AUD/USD pair remains in a persistent downtrend, with prices recently testing a critical horizontal support level near 0.6170.
1️⃣ Downtrend Line:
A steep descending trendline (red line) highlights sustained bearish momentum.
Price has yet to break above this line, signaling continued pressure on the downside.
2️⃣ Key Support Level:
Horizontal support at 0.6170 has held so far, forming a potential base for near-term consolidation or bounce attempts.
3️⃣ Moving Averages:
50-day SMA (blue): Trending downward at 0.6386, reinforcing the bearish bias.
200-day SMA (red): Declining at 0.6589, confirming a longer-term downtrend.
4️⃣ Momentum Indicators:
RSI: At 35, approaching oversold territory but not yet signaling a reversal.
MACD: Bearish momentum persists as the MACD line stays negative, though slightly stabilizing.
What to Watch:
A decisive close below 0.6170 could trigger further downside, potentially targeting 0.6100.
Conversely, a break above the descending trendline would challenge the bearish structure and open the door for recovery toward the 50-day SMA.
Watch for signs of momentum divergence on the RSI as the pair nears critical support.
AUD/USD remains vulnerable within its prevailing downtrend. However, the horizontal support at 0.6170 offers a focal point for traders monitoring potential breakout or breakdown scenarios.
-MW
AUD/USD Retests Key Support: Will the Downtrend Continue?AUD/USD remains in a downtrend, facing multiple rejections from the falling trendline. The price is currently retesting the breakdown of a key support level.
If it fails to break above the marked green zone, we could see a potential downward move toward the previous swing low.
XAU/USD : Reasons for Falling! (READ THE CAPTION)In the 4-hour timeframe, we can see that after reaching $2697 and hitting all targets last Friday, gold eventually closed around the $2690 zone. Today, gold showed a bearish sentiment, dropping by over 300 pips and correcting to as low as $2664.
Currently, gold is trading around $2670, and if it stabilizes below this level within the next 4 hours, further declines can be expected. Potential bearish targets are $2663, $2658.8, and $2652.5, respectively.
This analysis will be updated soon, so stay tuned for a trading setup in the lower timeframes!
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Bearish drop?USD/JPY has reacted off the pivot and cold drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6203
1st Support: 0.6162
1st Resistance: 0.6222
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.