AUDUSD
Levels discussed on Livestream 16th September 16th September
DXY: Look to trade slightly lower to 100.55 support, should stay below 101 to maintain bearish
NZDUSD: Sell 0.6150 SL 15 TP 75 (Hesitation at 0.6110)
AUDUSD: Sell 0.67 SL 30 TP 60
GBPUSD: Buy 1.32 SL 20 TP 60
EURUSD: Buy 1.1145 SL 20 TP 55
USDJPY: Sell 139 SL 50 TP 100
USDCHF: Sell 0.8430 SL 40 TP 80 (Hesitation at 0.84)
USDCAD: Sell 1.3560 SL 20 TP 70
Gold: Needs to stay above 2570 to climb and test 2600 ATH round number resistance level
Aussie H4 | Heading into resistanceThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.6798 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 0.6840 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 0.6687 which is an overlap support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
The downward trend of the AUDUSD currency pair in the 4-hour timI think this currency pair has started a 5-Wave downtrend and is currently completing its second wave.
I am waiting for the start of the third wave and I will start my sell positions from these points
This will probably start with the fundamental news of the dollar this week
Aussie Dollar looks a little weak Mid September 2024
This is a trade idea Short that might work early this next week until the FOMC meeting on Thursday when the Aussie-dollar could in fact breakout to the upside on news of a US interest rate cut.
But do you ever get the sense and strange feeling that they have taken measures to now allow the greenback to fall lower as in recent weeks.....
5 Minute Chart:
AUDUSD Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.67300 zone, AUDUSD is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 0.67300 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUDUSD Big Week AheadFundamentally, Aussie is a buy since the Aussie Central Bank remains steadfast in keeping rates higher for longer. But we do see a clear downtrend formed on the 4-hour chart with lower highs and lower lows. With a plethora of central bank releases next week, as well as Aussie employment change release on Wednesday, this pair can present some volatility and good trading opportunities on shorter time frames/time horizons. A weak employment report (I.e. a “big miss”) could send the pair down below support at .618 fib level and possibly erase the gains it has made over the last month.
AUD/USD "AUSSIE" BANK MONEY HEIST PLAN ON BULLISH SIDEHola ola My Dear,
Robbers / Money Makers & Losers,
This is our master plan to Heist AUD/USD "AUSSIE" BANK based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 2h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan.....
AUDUSD Long Daily / 4hr ChartTrade Pair: AUDUSD
Positioning: Long
Thinking:
AUDUSD has bounced off the 100 SMA on the daily chart and worked as support.
Price has closed above the 50 SMA on the daily chart
Price looks like it is recovering from a pullback
Entry Price: 0.67226
Stop Loss: 0.66515
Take Profit: 0.67994 or trail the stop if you see a strong move 0.68000
Please ensure you use appropriate risk management.
Happy pip hunting!
AUD/USD Appreciates Amid US Data, Eyes Key Supply AreaThe AUD/USD pair saw an upward movement as recent US economic data increased expectations for a more aggressive Federal Reserve rate cut next week. Despite these gains, the market remains cautious, with the US Producer Price Index (PPI) rising above forecasts, largely driven by higher service costs. This inflationary uptick has complicated the outlook, as the Federal Reserve is still widely expected to deliver a 25-basis point interest rate cut at its September meeting.
From a technical standpoint, the AUD/USD is approaching a critical supply area, which could trigger a potential pullback later today. This level has historically acted as resistance, and with fundamentals remaining largely unchanged ahead of Monday, traders should be wary of a possible reversal to retrace yesterday’s gains.
The Commitment of Traders (COT) report provides further insight, showing that retail traders are still heavily long this week, while institutional or "smart money" remains bearish on the pair. This divergence between retail and institutional positioning strengthens the case for a near-term pullback as the pair approaches overbought conditions.
While the fundamentals remain steady, with no major developments expected until next week’s Federal Reserve meeting, market participants are closely watching for signs of a reversal at the current technical levels. A pullback to recover the ground covered by yesterday’s candle is a scenario many traders are anticipating. However, with the Fed’s decision looming and mixed signals from the PPI data, volatility could remain high as the market navigates this critical period.
✅ Please share your thoughts about AUD/USD in the comments section below and 👍 HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Bearish reversal?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which is an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 0.6758
1st Support: 0.6684
1st Resistance: 0.6813
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AU Bears "Head" Down to Target .6570Here I have AUD/USD on the Daily Chart!
From Friday's High @ .67672 to its Low @ .66597, we can see we get the Confirmation of a strong reversal pattern with the Break of the Neckline of the Head & Shoulders!
Now what I'd like to see off the same High and Low of Friday is Price give us a 38.2% Retracement of the Low & Pullback to test the Neckline for potential Sell Entries.
( .67008 - .6697 )
Swing High of Head to Neckline = 126.9 Pips
Neckline - 126.9 = .6570 (Target)
Fundamentals:
AUD's undoing comes from a mix of a rise in Unemployment to 4.2% and Retail Sales ending August coming in @ 0%
With the horrible run of jobs reports for the USD to start September, it managed to recover to end the week and give the idea that a 50 bps Rate Cut is less likely sitting at a 30% change and a 25 bps Rate Cut more likely at a 70% chance at the Sept 18th meeting.
-RBA Interest Rate sits @ 4.35%
-Fed Interest Rate sits @ 5.5%
This upcoming week will be VERY news heavy for USD seeing as there is:
-Core CPI, CPI m & y on Wednesday, Sept. 11th
-Core PPI/ PPI m/m & Unemployment Claims on Thursday, Sept 12th!
AUD/USD Struggles Near Weekly Lows as US CPI Data The AUD/USD currency pair exhibited a period of consolidation near the 0.6640 level, marking a weekly low, during the initial half of the trading day. This stability came amid a notable absence of significant economic data, although the US Dollar experienced a slight retreat, influenced by the strengthening of the Japanese Yen.
The situation shifted dramatically following the release of the United States Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures. Although the overall CPI numbers met market expectations, the annual core CPI unexpectedly rose by 0.3%, exceeding both forecasts and the previous figure of 0.2%. This development tempered hopes for an aggressive 50-basis-point rate cut by the Federal Reserve in their upcoming meeting, leading to a subsequent decline in the AUD/USD pair.
From a technical standpoint, the pair has already reached its take-profit target, and the Australian Dollar has shown a reaction to a Demand area with a noticeable spike recorded yesterday. The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report paints a contrasting picture: while retail traders are increasing their long positions on the AUD, institutional investors, often referred to as "smart money," are opting for short positions. This divergence between retail sentiment and institutional positioning suggests that while retail traders are optimistic about the AUD, the underlying institutional sentiment remains bearish.
Considering these dynamics, there is a significant likelihood that the AUD/USD pair could continue to decline, potentially retesting the lower Demand area in the coming days. Traders are advised to remain vigilant and monitor key technical levels, as the mixed signals from retail and institutional participants may lead to heightened market volatility.
✅ Please share your thoughts about AUDUSD in the comments section below and 👍 HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
AUD_USD RISKY SHORT|
✅AUD_USD is retesting a resistance level of 0.6700
From where I am expecting a bearish reaction
With the price going down but we need
To wait for a reversal pattern to form
Before entering the trade, so that we
Get a higher success probability of the trade
SHORT🔥
✅Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!✅
AUDUSD H4 | Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our sell entry at 0.6687, an overlap resistance close to the 127.2% Fibonacci extension
Our take profit will be at 0.6602, an overlap support close to 50% Fibo retracement.
The stop loss will be placed at 0.6749, which is an overlap resistance
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider.You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.