AUDUSD ( TRADING BELOW TURNING LEVEL ) ( 4H )AUDUSD
HELLO TRADERS
If the price trades below the turning level, it indicates downward pressure towards the first support zone. However, if the turning level is broken and the price stabilizes above the channel, the upward movement will likely become active, targeting the first resistance level.
Tendency , the price is under downward pressure , until trading below turning level around 0.667 .
Upward Zone : for an upward movement to occur , the price needs to break through the turning level at 1.101 , leading to rise that could reach the resistance level (1) at 0.675 , if the price breaks and stabilizing above this level it may attempt to reach resistance zone between 0.679 and 0.685 .
Downward Zone: as long as the price remain below the turning level at 1.094 , it may drop towards the support level (1) at 0.659 , if the price breaks this level with a 4h candle closing below it , it suggest further decline towards the support zone between 0.651 and 0.643
CORRECTIVE : currently price it will be attempt to retest to reach a turning level at 0.667 before dropping .
TARGET LEVEL :
RESISTANCE LEVEL : 0.675 ,0.679 , 0.685 .
SUPPORT LEVEL : 0.659 , 0.651 , 0.643 .
AUDUSD
Levels discussed on 22nd August22nd August
DXY: Needs to break 101.10 to trade down to 100.80 (strong support), could range between 100.80 and 101.60
NZDUSD: Buy 0.6170 SL 20 TP 45
AUDUSD: Looking for reaction at 0.68 resistance level
GBPUSD: Buy 1.3060 SL 30 TP 75
EURUSD: Buy 1.1100 SL 30 TP 60
USDJPY: Sell 144.40 SL 50 TP 100
USDCHF: Sell 0.8490 SL 20 TP 40
USDCAD: Sell 1.3570 SL 30 TP 45
Gold: Some upside potential to 2518, beyond that, could trade up to 2530 (ATH)
AUDUSD H4 | Bearish breakoutBased on the H1 chart analysis, we can see that the price is falling to our sell entry at 0.6730.
Our take profit will be at 0.6639, a pullback support
The stop loss will be placed at 0.6801, which is above the swing-high resistance level.
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Could the Aussie reverse from here?The price is currently at the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could drop from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6752
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci projection.
Stop loss: 0.6865
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which lines up with the 100% Fibonacci projection.
Take profit: 0.6643
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which is slightly below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Navigating RBA Hawkishness and Economic Red Flags
R1 0.6799– 11 July high – Strong
R2 0.6753 – 21 August high– Medium
S1 0.6637 – 19 August low– Medium
S2 0.6563 – 15 August low – Strong
This week's RBA Minutes came out confirming the recent more hawkish leaning RBA decision. The central bank hinted at the fact that the cash rate would stay where it is for an extended period of time, while the possibility of additional tightening was also discussed. We've also seen the Australian Dollar getting added help from risk on flow and broad based US Dollar selling. There is some cause for concern however, after the Commonwealth Bank was out calling for a quicker deterioration in the Australian economy than the RBA. The Commonwealth Bank sees an RBA rate cut in November. Key standouts on Wednesday’s calendar come from UK public finances, Canada producer prices, and the Fed Minutes.
Levels discussed on Livestream 21st August21st August
DXY: Look for retracement to complete, continuation of the downside, below 101.30 could trade down to 100.80 (hesitation at 101.10)
NZDUSD: Buy 0.6170 SL 20 TP 45
AUDUSD: Looking for reaction at 0.68 resistance level
GBPUSD: Buy 1.3055 SL 40 TP 80
EURUSD: Buy 1.1150 SL 30 TP 100 (hesitation at 1.12)
USDJPY: Wait for retracement to complete before continuation to downside.
USDCHF: Sell 0.85450 SL 20 TP 40
USDCAD: Buy 1.3650 SL 20 TP 40
Gold: Below 2500 could trade lower to retest 2480 support, look for reaction there.
Aussie H4 | Bullish uptrend to resume?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.6717 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 0.6662 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support.
Take profit is at 0.6790 which is a swing-high resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
AUDUSD Excellent sell opportunity approaching.The AUDUSD pair is approaching the 1-year Resistance Zone that has been in effect since June 2023 and has to this date priced 4 rejections. As long as the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line) holds, the market will continue to apply extreme selling pressure every time the price hits that Zone.
Wait for the most optimal sell entry on this level and target the top of the Support Zone at 0.63650. Notice also how perfectly the 1W RSI has been trading within a Rectangle and is also approaching its top, i.e. the most optimal long-term sell entry.
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BUY AUDUSD looks to be retesting highs on daily RSI strong 1HR
AUDUSD has broken out of a consolidation zone on the 1HR timeframe with bullish RSI strength & the Daily chart looks bullish to be wanting to retest the highs on Daily.
Stop loss: Under the zone 1hr or a tighter Stop will be a better yielder.
Gold Surges to $2531: New ATH with Key Demand Zones in Focus By reviewing the latest #gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we can see that after yesterday's analysis and reaching the key level of $2486, the price was met with strong demand and has since established a new all-time high, reaching $2531! With this recent rise, a Fair Value Gap (FVG) has formed in the $2520 to $2506 range, which I expect to be filled in the short term. The uptrend remains intact, and there are no strong signs of a reversal or decline. The key demand zones to watch are $2506 to $2469 and $2477 to $2486.
Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me !
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((2+4+7+13+15+18+26+36+38+69+87+101+183+209+1000+1002+1000000000+1000000001+ 1000000853)^♾️*69) + 1 !
Bearish reversal?AUD/USD is reacting off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that is slightly below the 88% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6728
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which is slightly below the 88% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6798
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.6643
Why we like it:
There is an overlap support level which lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
AUDUSD - 4hrs ( Buy Trade Target Range 150 PIP ) Pair Name : AUD/USD
Time Frame : 4hrs Chart / Close
Scale Type : Large Scale
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spreading knowledge among us and to clarify the most importan+t points of entry, exit and entry with more than 5 reasons
We seek to spread understanding rather than make money
Key Technical / Direction ( Long )
Type : Mid Term Swing
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Bullish Break
0.66900 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level / W
- Visible Range Lvn
- Pattern Break
- Day / week high Break
- Fixed Range Hvn
Bearish Reversal
0.68600 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level / D
- Pattern Target
- Visible Range Hvn
- 3 Quarter High
- Fibo Golden Zone
RBA's Bullock says no rate cuts coming, Aussie soarsThe Australian dollar has started the week with slight gains. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6685 in the European session, up 0.24% on the day at the time of writing. Earlier today, the Australian dollar rose as high as 0.6694, marking a one-month high.
Hawkish remarks from Reserve Bank of Australia’s Governor Bullock sent the Aussie flying on Friday. Bullock reiterated that there would be no interest rate cuts in the “near term”. Bullock used the same language after the meeting on August 6 and when she clarified that this meant a period of at least six months, the Australian dollar responded with strong gains. The RBA statement at the meeting expressed the Bank’s frustration that inflation remains too high and is coming down slower than the central bank had expected.
Will we gain any insights from Tuesday’s RBA minutes release? The minutes will indicate that the Board discussed the possibility of a rate hike, but that isn’t really news since the Board did the same thing at the previous two meetings. If the minutes show that the RBA has little appetite for a rate cut, that could send the Australian dollar lower as the markets are at odds with Bullock’s hawkish message.
The markets have fully priced in a rate cut of 25 basis points in November and expect further cuts early in 2025. The rate statement noted that inflation remained too high and was coming down slower than expected.
China will announce its loan prime rates (LPR) on early Tuesday. A month ago, China’s central bank surprised the markets and lowered the rates for the one-year and five-year LPRs for the first time in close to a year. The central bank is expected to maintain the one-year LPR at 3.35% and the five-year loan rate at 3.85%.
AUD/USD is testing resistance at 0.6691. Close by, there is resistance at 0.6713
0.6650 and 0.6628 are the next support levels
Levels discussed on Livestream 19th August19th August
DXY: Looking for reaction at 102 support, needs to stay below 102.35, beyond 102 could trade down to 101.45
NZDUSD: Buy 0.61 SL 20 TP 50
AUDUSD: Buy 0.6720 SL 25 TP 75
GBPUSD: Retest 1.29 Buy 1.2915 SL 25 TP 55
EURUSD: Sell 1.0985 SL 25 TP 90
USDJPY: Wait for retracement to complete, Sell 146.80 L 40 TP 150
USDCHF: Sell 0.8610 SL 20 TP 50
USDCAD: Sell 1.3680 SL 15 TP 45
Gold: Break 2510 could trade up to 2520
Bearish reversal?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support which acts as a pullback support.
Pivot: 0.6716
1st Support: 0.6641
1st Resistance: 0.6797
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Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
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AUDUSD - Bullish Continuation / Fib EntryFX:AUDUSD is showing signs of a bullish continuation after rebounding from a significant support zone and continuing the higher highs and higher lows rally. A pullback to the buy zone offers a favorable risk-reward ratio for a long position. Traders should consider entering within the highlighted buy zone, with a stop loss set below 0.65604 anticipating continuation of the bullish momentum!
AUDUSD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance )
Risk Disclaimer:
Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
AUDUSD Breakout And Potential RetraceHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.67500 zone, AUDUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.67400 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
AUD/USD breaks outThe US dollar selling resumed and the AUD/USD having outperformed yesterday on the back of stronger Aussie data, has broken out above 0.6635-45 resistance just now. Can it hold its gains into the close? The breakout certainly suggests more gains could be on the way in the early parts of next week. Apart from PMI data, there is not much Aussie data to look forward to next week. So, the focus will be on the People’s Bank of China on Tuesday, followed by global PMIs on Wednesday and then the Jackson Hole Symposium at the end of the week. Can the AUD/USD extend its rise towards the July high near 0.6800?
PBOC interest rate decision
Chinese investors are looking at a relatively calm week following the release of important data in the preceding weeks. Overall, we saw mixed-to-weak data pointers, underscoring the need to lower interest rates. The People’s Bank of China last month cut interest rates in a surprise move. The 1-y Loan Prime Rate, which commercial banks use to lend to households and businesses, was trimmed to 3.35% from 3.45%, while 5-y Loan Prime Rate, which is an interest rate applied by commercial banks for mortgage loans, was trimmed to 3.85% from 3.95%. This time, no changes are expected, as the Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) and 7-day reverse repo rates have remained steady throughout August.
Jackson Hole Symposium
The Economic Policy Symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, draws central bankers, finance ministers, and financial market participants from across the globe. The Fed has historically used this convention to signal major policy changes. Are we going to see the biggest hint yet that the FOMC will embark on a rate cutting cycle starting at their 18 September meeting? Recent data showing stronger retail sales and jobless claims indicate that a 25-basis point cut at the September FOMC meeting seems more probable than a 50-basis point reduction that was priced in a couple of weeks ago. However, given the Fed’s increasing emphasis on the labour market, the upcoming non-farm jobs report on September 6 will be crucial in determining the final decision.
By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at FOREX.com