XAU/USD: A Huge Fall Ahead? (READ THE CAPTION)By re-examining the gold chart on the 30-minute timeframe, we can see that the price once again moved exactly as expected and finally managed to rise back above $3100, reaching as high as $3136.5! Currently, gold is trading around $3120, and I expect we will soon see further decline in gold. The potential downside targets are $3115, $3105, and $3100 respectively. This analysis will be updated again!
The Last Analysis :
AUDUSD
AUDUSD INTRADAY key resistance retest at 0.6390 AUDUSD maintains a bullish bias, supported by the prevailing upward trend. Recent intraday movement indicates a corrective pullback toward a key consolidation zone, offering a potential setup for trend continuation.
Key Support Level: 0.6266 – previous consolidation range and pivotal support
Upside Targets:
0.6390 – initial resistance
0.6420 and 0.6550 – extended bullish targets on higher timeframes
A bullish breakout from 0.6390 would suggest continuation of the uptrend, confirming buying momentum.
However, a decisive reversal and daily close below 0.6390 would invalidate the bullish structure, opening the door for further retracement toward 0.6266, with additional support at 0.6100 and 0.6030.
Conclusion
AUDUSD remains bullish above 0.6390. A bounce from this level supports further gains. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before positioning for the next move.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
AUD/USD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
We are going short on the AUD/USD with the target of 0.621 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
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Market Analysis: AUD/USD Gains Pace, Bulls Are Back?Market Analysis: AUD/USD Gains Pace, Bulls Are Back?
AUD/USD started a decent increase above the 0.6150 and 0.6200 levels.
Important Takeaways for AUD USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar rebounded after forming a base above the 0.6000 level against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6260 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.5940 support. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear the 0.6065 resistance to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar.
There was a close above the 0.6200 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 0.6315 zone. A high was formed near 0.6314 and the pair recently started a consolidation phase.
There was a move below the 0.6300 level. The pair remained above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.5913 swing low to the 0.6314 high.
On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6260 level. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6260. The next major support is near the 0.6220 zone. If there is a downside break below the 0.6220 support, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6205 level.
Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6065 and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.5913 swing low to the 0.6314 high.
On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near 0.6315. The first major resistance might be 0.6340. An upside break above the 0.6340 resistance might send the pair further higher.
The next major resistance is near the 0.6385 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6450 resistance zone.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
Aussie H4 | Potential bullish bounceThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 0.6264 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 0.6170 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support.
Take profit is at 0.6390 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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AUDUSD(20250414)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Collins: It is currently expected that the Fed will need to keep interest rates unchanged for a longer period of time. If necessary, the Fed is "absolutely" ready to help stabilize the market; Kashkari: No serious chaos has been seen yet, and the Fed should intervene cautiously only in truly urgent situations; Musallem: The Fed should be wary of continued inflation driven by tariffs.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
0.6256
Support and resistance levels:
0.6374
0.6330
0.6301
0.6210
0.6182
0.6138
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 0.6301, consider buying, the first target price is 0.6330
If the price breaks through 0.6256, consider selling, the first target price is 0.6210
Week of 4/13/25: AUDUSD AnalysisDaily bias is bullish, prior week ended bullish with a V shape recovery showing that bulls are in control. As always our MTF internal structure dictates our immediate bias (bullish) and until it breaks, we're continuing our longs.
Price is reaching an important level at the extreme of the HTF supply level so once price gets there, it's good to see what happens next.
Major News: Unemployment Claims - Thursday
AUDUSD: Expecting Bearish Movement! Here is Why:
The analysis of the AUDUSD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to tank due to the rising pressure from the sellers.
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Bitcoin is not going back to 100k anytime soon!!Good day traders, back against it with this bitcoin idea I’m currently on back on what price has shown us in recent weeks.
1W- Here price is still very much bearish as we can see that the market is in an expansion meaning any idea of price moving higher is what we all wish for but price does not care so overall here we bearish and need to be ready alert to price always wanting to move higher by taking recent highs.
4H- Now here we can see price shot higher for the liquidity that was resting above the recent broken highs, keeping in mind that our weekly bias is still bearish we than wanna see a shift in structure on the 1 hour TF to give us our first confirmation of many confirmations we use to come at a decision. After price respects our idea than we wanna see price go take the equal lows(Sellside liquidity) below.
Now I wanna make this bold prediction, and it’s my opinion by the way it’s not a fact or anything like that right. In my opinion I don’t think bitcoin will see 100k for the rest of 2025. And my prediction is based on my analysis only!!
AUDUSD Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for AUDUSD is below:
The market is trading on 0.6377 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.6324
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.6403
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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———————————
WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUD_USD BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅AUD_USD is going up now
And the pair made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 0.6200 which is now
A support and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are locally
Bullish biased and we will be
Expecting a further move up
After a potential pullback
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUD/USD - Sellers remain in control!The AUD/USD pair has been in a clear and consistent downtrend on both the 4-hour and daily timeframes. Sellers have maintained firm control over price action, driving the pair lower while it continues to respect the prevailing bearish market structure. Each failed bullish attempt further validates the dominance of the bears, reinforcing the narrative that the path of least resistance remains to the downside.
Recently, however, the 4-hour chart witnessed a sharp move to the upside, tapping into and filling a previously unmitigated 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG). Despite this temporary rally, the broader structure remains bearish, with the market still printing lower highs and lower lows, a classic hallmark of a sustained downtrend. As such, the current momentum favors a continuation lower, potentially targeting the green imbalance/FVG zone on the 4H timeframe, which aligns with the next logical area of liquidity.
This green FVG also coincides with the golden pocket retracement zone (61.8%–65%), adding confluence and strengthening its validity as a potential support area. A reaction here could provide an opportunity for a short-term bullish correction or even the start of a larger reversal, depending on how price behaves around this level.
That said, a bullish scenario is not entirely off the table. Should price decisively break above the red FVG to the upside, and ideally close above it with conviction, it may signal a potential shift in market sentiment. This would be the first sign of buyers regaining control, suggesting a possible trend reversal or at least a deeper retracement toward higher time frame resistance zones.
Until such confirmation is seen, however, bearish momentum prevails. Traders can continue to favor short setups, with particular interest around premium zones on the 4H chart. Any bullish setups should be approached cautiously and ideally considered only at key areas of support like the green FVG, especially where it aligns with high-probability fib levels.
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AUDUSDWe await a retest and withdrawal of liquidity and a correction to the area we specified at points 0.6135 and 0.61084. From this area, we wait for a confirmation candle and a buy entry, targeting 0.62555. But noticing any movement in the market may change the goals. This is a region, so we will wait and see what update we publish.
AUDUSD Will Fall! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.622.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.602.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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AUD/USD Breakdown: Bears in ControlThe AUD/USD pair has officially broken below its medium-term ascending channel on the daily chart, signaling a strong shift in momentum. After failing to hold above the resistance zone at 0.6311 – 0.6386, the pair reversed sharply and is now trading around 0.6213.
🔍 Key technical highlights:
A confirmed breakout beneath the channel support, accompanied by strong bearish candles, suggests growing seller dominance.
Both the EMA 34 and EMA 89 are now positioned well above the current price, reinforcing a medium-term bearish trend.
A potential short-term pullback to the 0.6240 – 0.6266 area may occur before further downside continuation.
📉 Next downside target: If bearish momentum persists and price fails to reclaim the broken support, the pair is likely to slide toward the marked support at 0.59142.
💬 With the USD gaining strength amid hawkish Fed expectations and the AUD facing domestic economic headwinds, selling the rallies remains the favored strategy in the current environment.
AUDUSD(20250411)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The annual rate of the US CPI in March was 2.4%, a six-month low, lower than the market expectation of 2.6%. The market almost fully priced in the Fed's interest rate cut in June. Trump said inflation has fallen.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
0.6195
Support and resistance levels:
0.6328
0.6278
0.6246
0.6144
0.6112
0.6062
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 0.6246, consider buying, the first target price is 0.6278
If the price breaks through 0.6195, consider selling, the first target price is 0.6144
Bearish drop?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 0.6228
1st Support: 0.6130
1st Resistance: 0.6314
CAD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 102.61
1st Support: 101.62
1st Resistance: 103.68
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
AUDUSD Long – Fair Value Gap + Macro Confluence + Bullish LEI AUDUSD Swing Long Setup – Technical + Macro Confluence
✅ Bias: Long AUD/SD
Based on a multi-factor thesis:
Macro: RBA steady; AUD LEI rising steadily (87 → 96), Endogenous improving
USD Weakness: Fed dovish + GDP downgraded = downside pressure
Seasonality: USD historically weak entire April
BTC/USD more sells incoming? 66k?!Good morning traders, I’m back again with another beauty guys!! I’m sure everyone is asking what’s happening in the markets recently, well Trump(era) is happening.
Back to the charts, here I have a 1 hour TF, yesterday we saw very big moves in price following the news that the tariffs are on hold, but that doesn’t or shouldn’t take always our market sentiments and our biases we had coming into this new week.
This setup is basically a continuation set up but for now I’m only focusing on the relative equal lows because we understand that’s there is sell stops resting below those lows. For the rest of the day we can expect price to deliver lower price for the rest of the week but my question is this…can price drop to the 66k level?
Good luck traders and remember we study price and time not technical analysis!
AUDUSD(20250410)Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
0.6079
Support and resistance levels:
0.6339
0.6242
0.6179
0.5980
0.5917
0.5820
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 0.6179, consider buying, the first target price is 0.6242
If the price breaks through 0.6079, consider selling, the first target price is 0.5980
Could the Aussie reverse from here?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6206
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6321
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.6067
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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AUD/USD Bearish Trade Setup – Trendline Rejection & SBR Zone📉 Trendline & Market Structure
🔵 Downward trendline connects lower highs (🔴🔴🔴), showing a bearish trend.
🔵 Price is forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming the downtrend.
🟦 SBR Zone (Support Became Resistance)
🔵 SBR Zone (🟦) was previously a support but now acts as resistance.
🔵 Price is testing this area → Possible rejection and move down.
📌 Trade Setup
✅ Entry: Short (Sell) near SBR zone if rejection occurs.
❌ Stop Loss: 0.60650 (🔺 Above SBR Zone)
🎯 Target Point: 0.59150 (🔻 Downside goal)
📉 Potential Drop: -2.08% (-125.4 pips)
📊 Confirmation Checklist
✔️ Price must reject 🟦 SBR Zone.
✔️ Bearish candles like Pin Bars or Engulfing confirm entry.
✔️ DEMA (9) at 0.60175 → If price drops below, trade is valid.
⚠️ Risk Management
🚀 Good Risk-to-Reward Ratio → Worth considering if rejection occurs.
🔄 Invalidation: If price breaks above 0.60650, setup is canceled.