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Aussie H4 | Heading into a swing-high resistanceThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.6545 which is a swing-high resistance. Stop loss is at 0.6571 which is a level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension. Take profit is at 0.6514 which is a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by Tradu
Australia's CPI slows, raising rate cut expectationsThe Australian dollar is showing limited movement on Wednesday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6495, up 0.08% on the day. Australia's inflation rate headed lower in May. Headline CPI rose 2.1%, after gains of 2.4% in the previous three months. This was below the market estimate of 2.3%. Monthly, CPI eased to 0.4%, driven by lower petrol and housing costs. The key core CPI indicator, annual trimmed mean inflation, also dropped sharply, to 2.4% from 2.8%, its lowest level since Nov. 2021. The soft inflation report has boosted the case for the Reserve Bank of Australia to lower rates at the July meeting. The markets have priced in a 90% probability of a quarter-point cut, up from 81% prior to the inflation release. The markets have priced in three more rate cuts this year, following rate cuts in February and May. The markets are counting on the RBA to be dovish in the second half of 2025. With inflation not only within the RBA's target of 2-3% but also falling, the markets expect that the RBA will be keen to lower rates in order to preserve economic growth. Federal Reserve Chair Powell testified before a House Committee on Tuesday and had a cautious message for lawmakers. Powell said that the Fed was committed to keeping inflation contained and that the Fed planned to maintain rates until the impact of tariffs on inflation was more clear and reiterated that inflation still remained above the Fed's 2% target. Powell has faced blistering criticism from President Trump for not lowering rates. In his testimony, Powell said that Trump's attacks were "having no effects" on Fed policy. AUD/USD pushed above resistance at 1.3726 and is testing resistance at 1.3727. Above, there is resistance at 1.3750 1.3713 and 1.3702 are the next support levels
by OANDA
AUD/USD Shows Bullish Hints, Can Gains Be Sustained?Market Analysis: AUD/USD Shows Bullish Hints, Can Gains Be Sustained? AUD/USD started a decent increase above the 0.6440 and 0.6465 levels. Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today - The Aussie Dollar rebounded after forming a base above the 0.6370 level against the US Dollar. - There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 0.6470 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen. AUD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.6370 support. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear the 0.6400 resistance to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar. There was a close above the 0.6440 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 0.6470. Finally, the pair tested the 0.6520 zone. A high was formed near 0.6519 and the pair recently started a consolidation phase. The pair dipped and tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6372 swing low to the 0.6519 high. On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6485 level. The next major support is near the 0.6465 zone. If there is a downside break below the 0.6465 support, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6445 level. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6405. On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near 0.6520. The first major resistance might be 0.6550. An upside break above 0.6580 might send the pair further higher. The next major resistance is near the 0.6600 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward 0.6650. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Australian dollar jumps on Israel-Iran cease fireThe Australian dollar is up sharply on Tuesday. In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6504, up 0.70% on the day. Investors' risk appetite is higher today after Israel and Iran agreed to a ceasefire in their 12-day war. The markets have reacted favorably to lower oil prices as fears that Iran would close the Straits of Hormuz, which would have disrupted global oil supplies, have diminished. Risk appetite has returned and risk currencies like the Australian dollar have posted strong gains today. The Israel-Iran war has triggered sharp swings in oil prices and there are fears of an oil price shock if the fragile ceasefire does not hold. An oil price shock would send petrol prices higher and boost inflation, complicating the Reserve Bank of Australia's plans to lower interest rates. Australia CPI expected to ease to 2.3% Australia releases the May inflation report early on Wednesday. Headline CPI has been stuck at 2.4% for three consecutive months, within the Reserve Bank of Australia's target of 2-3% and its lowest level since Nov. 2024. The market estimate for May stands at 2.3%. Trimmed Mean CPI, a key core inflation indication, edged up to 2.8% from 2.7% in April. The Reserve Bank will be keeping a close eye on the inflation report, with the central bank making a rate announcement on July 8. The RBA trimmed rates by a quarter-point in May and has shifted to a more dovish stance - the Board discussed a jumbo half-point cut at the May meeting. Fred Chair Powell appears before Congress today and Wednesday and is likely to defend the Fed's wait-and-see stance. The Fed is concerned about President Trump's tariffs and the Israel-Iran war threatens stability in the Middle East, hardly the recipe for further rate cuts. Still, there appears to be some dissent within the Fed, as two members, Michelle Bowman and Christopher Waller, have suggested that the Fed could lower rates as early as September. AUD/USD is testing resistance at 0.6490. Above, there is resistance at 0.6522 There is support at 0.6400 and 0.6342
by OANDA
1
AUDUSD Sellers In Panic! BUY! My dear followers, This is my opinion on the AUDUSD next move: The asset is approaching an important pivot point 0.6427 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear long signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bullish trend of the market. Goal - 0.6462 About Used Indicators: For more efficient signals, super-trend is used in combination with other indicators like Pivot Points. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
AUD/USD 2H | MAKE OR BREAK (Key Edge)🟡 AUD/USD 2H Analysis – June 19, 2025 Bias: Neutral → Reactive (Awaiting Breakout Direction) Timeframe: 2H 🔍 Market Overview: AUD/USD is approaching a make-or-break level at the confluence of an ascending trendline and a minor horizontal support around 0.6460–0.6470. This comes after price was rejected from the 2025 high (0.6555) — a significant technical ceiling, labeled as a Possible Reversal Point. ✳️ Technical Structure: 🔵 Upper wedge resistance rejected price twice (0.6555) 🔵 Support trendline has been respected since late May 🟠 Current zone (0.6460) = last line of bullish defense 🔻 Breakdown risk is rising due to lower highs & compression 🔼 Bullish Playbook (Bounce Scenario): Trigger: Bullish reaction from 0.6460 with strong momentum candle or engulfing Entry: 0.6465–0.6475 Stop: Below 0.6440 Target 1: 0.6515 Target 2: 0.6555 (2025 High / Upper Wedge Edge) R/R: ~2.0+ 🔽 Bearish Playbook (Breakdown Scenario): Trigger: 2H close below 0.6455 + retest rejection Entry: 0.6450–0.6445 on retest Stop: Above 0.6480 Target 1: 0.6400 (demand zone) Target 2: 0.6300 R/R: ~2.5+ The next 4–8 candles could define the near-term structure. Respect the edge — react, don’t predict. Zoom in: Please Manage Your Risk... #AUDUSD #MJTRADING #TRADINGVIEW #Chart #Analysis #Forex #Forexsignal #FXSignal
Short
by MJElahifx
2
AUD/USD finally ready to take off?Following the collapse in oil prices and the rally in all risk assets, the AUD/USD created a hammer candle on the daily time frame yesterday as it held key support and the 200-day average in the shaded blue area on the chart. We have seen some further upside so far today, suggesting that the AUD/USD may finally be ready to lift off from the congestion zone it has been stuck inside for several weeks now. Immediate upside target is the liquidity resting above 0.6552. Break that then 0.6600 handle will come into focus next. Bias will turn bearish if we close below the shaded blue area in the coming days. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D24 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D24 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Daily order block ✅1H Order block ✅Intraday breaks of structure ✅4H Order block 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUD/USD Trade Zone!Firstly, we are in a news market right now and news is everything to understanding price action. After a busy international weekend, AUD/USD opened strong to the sell side. We got the first initial push down last week when Iran attacked Israel. Then, this weekend, Trump struck Iran. With Trump striking Iran, markets opened bearish initially. After the good news of Iran and Israel coming to peace, we are seeing markets start to rebound a bit. Where we are currently in the markets is a good structural spot to make some moves. The market has been following a downtrend structure following the Lower-Low, Lower-High pattern and we are currently at the next lower high if the market is going to respect its current market structure. I am preparing for sells in an overbought market, which is unsure of future international tensions. I am either waiting for a structure break where the gold line indicates or for the market to respect the current structure to play to the low side. I will be back with future updates.
Short
by AceTradingAcademy
4
Bullish momentum to rise?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is reacting off the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could rise to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 0.6457 1st Support: 0.6388 1st Resistance: 0.6546 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Potential bullish rise?AUD/USD has bounced off the support level which is a pullback support and could rise from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6406 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Stop loss: 0.6359 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Take profit: 0.6512 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. njoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
AUD/USD SELLERS WILL DOMINATE THE MARKET|SHORT Hello, Friends! AUD/USD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 1D timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.636 area. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ✅LIKE AND COMMENT MY IDEAS✅
Short
by EliteTradingSignals
1
AUDUSD Analysis – Falling from the Rising WedgeAUDUSD pair broke below an ascending wedge, a bearish reversal pattern. Clean rejection from 0.6518, with lower highs and new lower lows confirming bearish momentum. Price is now sitting below former trendline support, retested and respected as resistance. Bearish target points toward 0.6400–0.6380 zone, aligning with recent swing lows. Risk invalidation sits above 0.6520, where structure fails. Technical Bias: Bearish Target: 0.6400 Stop-loss zone: Above 0.6520 📊 Current Bias: Bearish 🔍 Key Fundamentals Driving AUDUSD AUD Fundamentals (Weakening): Australian jobs data was mixed, and wage growth has plateaued. RBA remains cautious, with expectations for rate cuts later in 2025. AUD pressured by China growth risks and weak commodity demand. Geopolitical drag: Australia-China tensions and weak Chinese retail data from 618 Festival dampen AUD outlook. USD Fundamentals (Resilient): USD remains bid on risk-off flows, especially after weak global data and ongoing Middle East tensions. Fed remains reluctant to cut fast despite disinflation signs – supports the USD. US data is mixed, but rate cut odds are declining (only one expected in 2025 now per dot plot). ⚠️ Risks to This Bearish View If China announces new stimulus, AUD could rebound sharply. A dovish surprise from the Fed (e.g. Powell softening in speeches). Sharp rebound in risk appetite (e.g. tech-led equity rally). 🗓️ Important Events to Watch 🇨🇳 China industrial profits & PMIs 🇦🇺 RBA Meeting Minutes (July preview hints) 🇺🇸 US Core PCE (June 28) Global risk tone: watch metals, equities, and geopolitical headlines. 🚀 Which Asset Leads? AUDUSD is lagging other USD pairs, but will likely lead commodity FX downside if China or metals weaken further. Watch AUDJPY and EURAUD for further confirmation of risk-off flows and Aussie weakness.
Short
by ultreosforex
18
AUD/USD: The Clearest Short Opportunity This WeekThis week, the macro and market landscape provides a rare alignment across all major models—making AUD/USD the standout short opportunity among G10 FX pairs. Key Reasons for the Bearish AUD/USD Bias: 1. Commitment of Traders (COT): Institutional positioning has turned decisively bearish on the Australian dollar, with net shorts increasing and sentiment remaining negative. 2. Z-Score & Positioning Extremes: Z-Score indicators confirm a below-average long bias for AUD, highlighting that recent speculative flows are heavily skewed to the short side. 3. EXO/Score Model: Our EXO (macro scoring) model gives AUD/USD a clear SHORT rating, with no offsetting bullish factors in the “core” or “risk/reward” signals. 4. Commodity Edge – Iron Ore: Iron ore prices, a crucial driver for AUD, have sharply declined in recent weeks. This is a classic “canary in the coal mine” for AUD weakness historically, persistent iron ore declines precede broader AUD selloffs. 5. Sentiment & Risk Environment: Despite global “risk-on” sentiment, AUD is unable to benefit, as both macro and market participants rotate away from commodity FX and into USD strength. 6. Endo (Fundamental) Model: While Australia’s macro data still looks solid on a lagging basis, all faster models (positioning, flows, sentiment, commodities) point to an imminent shift typically, ENDO lags in catching turning points. Conclusion & Tactical View: SHORT AUD/USD is the highest conviction trade for this week, backed by full alignment of macro, positioning, sentiment, and real-economy factors. Expect continued downside pressure while commodity markets and COT data remain bearish. For active traders, the first 3–7 days following this setup historically provide the highest reward-to-risk moves.
Short
by Idealadvantage
Could the Aussie bounce from here?The price is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 0.6410 1st Support: 0.6344 1st Resistance: 0.6539 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
AUDUSD Potential Long - Dependent on PA Market openAUD/USD Long Setup – 15M Chart Analysis Looking at a potential long on AUD/USD after price tapped into demand and swept liquidity. The area aligns with a fair value gap and previous order block, suggesting interest from larger players. Two Entry Options: 1. Aggressive: Buy limit at the order block (riskier, no confirmation). 2. Conservative: Wait for break of structure, then retest into FVG with bullish price action for confirmation. Targets: Target 1: 0.6470 Target 2: 0.6480 Target 3: 0.6490 Extended Target: 0.6530 (only if 0.6490 is breached and price holds above) Important Notes: This setup is forecast-based and depends on how price opens and reacts. Entry should follow a clear confirmation, especially after a liquidity sweep. Ideal confirmation: Break of structure followed by a retest with bullish PA on lower timeframes (M5/M1). Invalidation: A clean break and close below 0.6430 would invalidate this idea. Stay disciplined. Trade the plan, not the prediction.
Long
by SKA_CAPITAL
AUDUSD Trading Opportunity! BUY! My dear subscribers, This is my opinion on the AUDUSD next move: The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.6464 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 0.6495 About Used Indicators: On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1