Levels discussed on Livestream 12th August 12th August
DXY: Likely to consolidate above 103, if broken, could retest 102 support level.
NZDUSD: Sell 0.5960 SL 25 TP 65
AUDUSD: Buy 0.6610 SL 40 TP 70
GBPUSD: Buy 1.2790 SL 30 TP 65
EURUSD: Buy 1.0950 SL 25 TP 50
USDJPY: Sell 145 SL 70 TP 300
USDCHF: Look for reaction at resistance of 0.8750
USDCAD: Sell 1.3710 SL 20 TP 55
Gold: Broke above 2434 (61.8%) could trade up to 2450, beyond that could see 2480
AUDUSD
AUD/USD BEARISH BIAS RIGHT NOW| SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/USD pair is trading in a local uptrend which we know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is green. On the 12H timeframe the pair is going up too. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.641 area.
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AUDUSD | Trading Plan | 15m15m:
A bearish Break of Structure (BoS) is clearly visible after the buy-side liquidity sweep.
I've marked the bearish leg and identified a valid supply zone.
I'm now waiting for a sell-side liquidity sweep to enter a long position until market mitigates the above supply zone.
After the supply zone is mitigated or buy-side lq sweep, will wait for a bearish confirmation appears on the 15m chart, I'll look for a short position again.
"Primarily, we need to focus on opportunities during kill zones and ignore any setups outside of these times."
AUD/USD has a strong bullish momentum, could it rise further?AUD/USD has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback support and could rise to the 1st resistance level which is also a pullback resistance.
Pivot: 0.6567
1st Support: 0.6515
1st Resistance: 0.6634
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AUD/USD Rebounds from Yearly Low, Bullish SetupThe AUD/USD pair has experienced a significant rebound after hitting its yearly low around the 0.63500 level. This area, which briefly saw the price dip below support, appeared to be a liquidity grab, followed by a strong reversal in direction. This move indicates a potential shift in market sentiment, with the pair possibly gearing up for a bullish trend.
Given this price action, we are now closely monitoring the AUD/USD for a long setup. The rebound from this critical support level suggests that buyers are stepping in, and we anticipate a continuation of this upward momentum in the near term. The current technical landscape, combined with the broader market context, supports the possibility of a sustained bullish movement, making this an attractive opportunity for a long position.
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AUDUSD Technical Analysis and Trade Idea👉 🔍 In this video, we closely examine the AUD/USD currency pair. Recently, it has broken structure on the four-hour time frame, showing a notable spike down to previous support levels. Currently, the 4H chart is displaying a series of higher highs and higher lows, indicating an upward trend. However, the price appears overextended and is approaching resistance. I'm anticipating a retracement into the 50% to 61.8% Fibonacci zone, where there might be a potential buying opportunity. Please remember, this video is for educational purposes only and should not be considered financial advice. 📊 ✅
Bullish momentum to extendd?AUD/USD has reacted off the resistance level which is a pullback resistance and could potentially rise to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6567
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6514
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
Take profit: 0.6621
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level which aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
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AUD/USD Bears Eye Key Support After Rejection at Resistance ZoneIn the 1-hour chart for AUD/USD, the price action shows a rejection at a well-defined resistance zone around 0.6590. This area has acted as a strong barrier, preventing further upward movement. The price has broken below a minor support level, confirming the bearish sentiment.
A potential bearish continuation towards the next significant support level is around 0.6540. If the price respects this level, it could lead to a consolidation phase or a possible bounce. However, if the bearish momentum persists, a break below 0.6540 could accelerate the downward move, with targets around 0.6517 and beyond.
The overall bias remains bearish unless the price can reclaim the resistance zone with a strong breakout.
AUD/USD Long to .6625~ about 30-50 pipsAud/Usd has flipped bullish after a steep stop loss hunt on Sunday/Monday for any buyers that were in the market last week, since then it's been consistenly rising... I see a continuation of the uptrend to about .6625 resistance zone where it will most likely retrace a bit and retest .6600 zone before continuing to rise next week. For now I'm looking at longs only, buying opportunities around .6550 to .6570 with a take profit at .6620-.6625. This is not trading advice, please do your own research before entering any trades. If you have any questions or anything, please share your input, all feedback is welcome. REMEMBER: All bulls make money, all bears make money, but greedy pigs get slaughtered... don't be a greedy pig
I'm new to posting ideas, can someone tell me how to add a picture or attachment; I took a snippet of my AUD/USD chart with all my support/resistance zones but I don't see an option anywhere to upload it onto this post?
Aussie jumps as RBA says rates could riseThe Australian dollar has had a busy week and is showing strong gains on Thursday. In the European session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6550, up 0.50% at the time of writing.
Two days after the Reserve Bank of Australia held the cash rate, Governor Bullock reinforced her hawkish stance on monetary policy. At the meeting, Bullock dropped a bombshell, saying she didn’t expect a rate cut for at least the next six months.
Bullock said earlier today that the central bank wouldn’t hesitate to raise rates if needed, arguing that “the alternative of persistently high inflation is worse”. The RBA discussed the possibility of a rate hike at recent meetings and today Bullock said the RBA board had “explicitly considered” a rate hike at Tuesday’s meeting. The Australian dollar has responded with strong gains to Bullock’s hawkish remarks.
At the Tuesday meeting, the central bank opted to maintain rates at the 12-year high of 4.35% for a seventh straight time. At a time when other major central banks have lowered rates and the mighty Federal Reserve is poised to make an initial cut in September, the RBA could well move in the opposite direction.
The blame can be squarely put on inflation, which remains sticky, especially services prices. The RBA is projecting that CPI, which rose to 3.9% in the second quarter, won’t recede to 2-3% target until late 2025. The labor market continues to remain tight to the large-scale immigration, which will also make it difficult for the RBA to reduce rates.
The financial markets are not marching to Bullock’s hawkish tune and widely expect a rate cut in December. The RBA has a poor track record with its forward guidance, particularly when it pledged in 2020 not to raise rates until 2023 and then hiked in May 2022. As well, the trend among central banks has been to lower rates and the RBA risks becoming an outlier if its raises rates.
AUD/USD pushed above resistance at 0.6520 and tested resistance at 0.6559 earlier
0.6471 and 0.6432 are the next support levels
Aussie H4 | Pullback resistance at 50% Fibonacci retracementThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.6578 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 0.6642 which is a pullback resistance that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 0.6476 which is a pullback support that sots above the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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AUDUSD Will Go Down! Short!
Take a look at our analysis for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 4h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 0.656.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 0.651 level.
P.S
We determine oversold/overbought condition with RSI indicator.
When it drops below 30 - the market is considered to be oversold.
When it bounces above 70 - the market is considered to be overbought.
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AUD/USD BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello, Friends!
AUD/USD pair is trading in a local downtrend which know by looking at the previous 1W candle which is red. On the 2H timeframe the pair is going up. The pair is overbought because the price is close to the upper band of the BB indicator. So we are looking to sell the pair with the upper BB line acting as resistance. The next target is 0.647 area.
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AUDUSD: Bearish Move From Resistance 🇦🇺🇺🇸
AUDUSD nicely respected a key daily horizontal resistance.
After its test, the price dropped and violated a support line
of a rising wedge pattern on an hourly time frame.
I expect a retracement at least to 0.8518 level.
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AUD/USD rising gently towards resistance – buyer beware?Hawkish comments from RBA’s governor have provided a tailwind for AUD/USD today, after she said that the central bank would not hesitate to hike rates if needed. This is all very well, but with the Fed in easing mode and the RBNZ potentially cutting next week, the probability of an RBA hike seems low. But her words have allowed the Aussie to have another crack at Wednesday’s high, but so far it has the hallmark of a ‘last hurrah’.
A 50% retracement level between the July high and August low provided resistance for yesterday’s bearish pinbar. And even if prices break above this high, the 200-day MA hovers overhead at the 66c handle. And given the 2-day RSI looks set to close in the overbought zone (although yet to be confirmed), we like the looks of fades within the 0.6570 – 0.6660 area for a swing trade short.
Bearish on AUDUSDThe explanation is inside the chart.
The price broke a strong daily support level that now turned into resistance.
It's expected to revisit this resistance area again (around 20 pips far) before continuing to go down again.
Depends on your risk appetite, you can decide on the Stop Loss level.
DO NOT PLACE A PENDING ORDER, but rather wait for the price to move up and then down to take a market sell.
AUDUSD I Next best place to short Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** AUDUSD Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!