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AUDUSD

AUD/USD breaks outThe US dollar selling resumed and the AUD/USD having outperformed yesterday on the back of stronger Aussie data, has broken out above 0.6635-45 resistance just now. Can it hold its gains into the close? The breakout certainly suggests more gains could be on the way in the early parts of next week. Apart from PMI data, there is not much Aussie data to look forward to next week. So, the focus will be on the People’s Bank of China on Tuesday, followed by global PMIs on Wednesday and then the Jackson Hole Symposium at the end of the week. Can the AUD/USD extend its rise towards the July high near 0.6800? PBOC interest rate decision Chinese investors are looking at a relatively calm week following the release of important data in the preceding weeks. Overall, we saw mixed-to-weak data pointers, underscoring the need to lower interest rates. The People’s Bank of China last month cut interest rates in a surprise move. The 1-y Loan Prime Rate, which commercial banks use to lend to households and businesses, was trimmed to 3.35% from 3.45%, while 5-y Loan Prime Rate, which is an interest rate applied by commercial banks for mortgage loans, was trimmed to 3.85% from 3.95%. This time, no changes are expected, as the Medium-term Lending Facility (MLF) and 7-day reverse repo rates have remained steady throughout August. Jackson Hole Symposium The Economic Policy Symposium in Jackson Hole, Wyoming, draws central bankers, finance ministers, and financial market participants from across the globe. The Fed has historically used this convention to signal major policy changes. Are we going to see the biggest hint yet that the FOMC will embark on a rate cutting cycle starting at their 18 September meeting? Recent data showing stronger retail sales and jobless claims indicate that a 25-basis point cut at the September FOMC meeting seems more probable than a 50-basis point reduction that was priced in a couple of weeks ago. However, given the Fed’s increasing emphasis on the labour market, the upcoming non-farm jobs report on September 6 will be crucial in determining the final decision. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at FOREX.com
Long
by FOREXcom
XAU/USD : Gold Will Fall ? (READ THE CAPTION)By reviewing the 2-hour gold chart, we see that, as expected, gold entered the $2470 range and then experienced a sharp drop, correcting by 380 pips down to $2432! This was one of the most exciting analyses of the week. Currently, the price is trading around $2471, and we need to watch closely to see if it will get rejected again from the $2471 to $2477 range. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban The Main Analysis :
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by ArmanShabanTrading
17
Option market predicting a drop in AUD Hey everyone! We've got some data from the CME Exchange for August 13th. We're looking at option sentiment, which is meant to fall quotes in the 0.63 area within 30-40 days (the option portfolio's shown in the screenshot). It makes sense because there's a lot of bearish liquidity in that area, as confirmed by the price action there.But keep in mind that retail activity's contrarian indicator is still showing market bullish sentiment. You need to wait for the graphics to confirm it's time to lower the prices.
Short
by ClashChartsTeam
1
Possible Inverted Head & Shoulder on DXY15th August DXY: Possible Inverted Head & Shoulder forming (retail sales data pending), price above 102.70 can trade up to 102.90. Below 102.45, invalidates IHS, could trade down to 102 support. NZDUSD: Sell 0.5985 SL 20 TP 40 AUDUSD: Likely range bound, Buy 0.6585 SL 20 TP 60 GBPUSD: Buy 1.2875 SL 25 TP 60 EURUSD: Sell 1.0990 SL 20 TP 45 USDJPY: Could continue to consolidate, watch for reaction at 146 and 148. USDCHF: Sell 0.8620 SL 20 TP 60 USDCAD: Sell 1.3690 SL 20 TP 55 Gold: Above 2460 could trade up to 2480. Below 2460, break 2450 could trade down to 2430.
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
AUDUSD: Bearish Stocks and Trend BreakoutHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring AUDUSD for a selling opportunity around 0.66000 zone, AUDUSD was trading in an uptrend and successfully managed to break it out. Currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the retrace area at 0.66000 support and resistance zone. We would like to consider the current bearish bias on stocks, due to the positive correlation AUDUSD should trade under pressure. Trade safe, Joe.
Short
by JoeChampion
18
Bullish bounce?AUD/USD is falling towards the support level which is an overlap support that is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement and could potentially bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6567 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level which is slightly below the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6514 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level which lines up with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 0.6641 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
AUD/USD at Critical Resistance: Will the Bears Take Control?In the 4-hour chart for AUD/USD, we observe a critical test of resistance at the 0.66386 level, marked by the purple zone. The pair has been rallying off a rising trendline, creating a series of higher lows, signaling strong bullish momentum. However, the price action near the resistance level indicates a potential rejection, as seen with the formation of a doji candle, which suggests indecision in the market. This could be the first sign of weakening bullish momentum, with the possibility of a reversal. If the price fails to break and sustain above the 0.66386 resistance, we might see a pullback toward the first support level at 0.65555. A break below this support could accelerate the downward movement, targeting the next support levels at 0.64800 and 0.64374. On the flip side, if the pair manages to break above 0.66386, the next bullish target would be significantly higher, but this would require strong bullish momentum and possibly new catalysts from economic data or market sentiment.
Short
by TopGBanks
AUD/USD faces key test with US CPI and Aussie jobs data loomingThe AUD/USD has found a bit of resistance around the 0.6640/0.6650 area ahead of the release of US CPI shortly. The small pullback is largely due to profit-taking ahead of US inflation data and Australian employment data due for release in the early hours of Thursday. The underlying trend is bullish and so long as we don't see a hot inflation report from the US, the path of least resistance would remain to the upside. The trend turned bullish on the Aussie ever since it created a false break reversal pattern beneath prior low around 0.6362. The sharp recovery from that level once it was reclaimed has lifted rates above several levels, including the 0.6500, 0.6565 and the 200-day average around 0.6600. These are now the key support levels to watch, especially the 0.6600 handle. As mentioned, the focus is now turning to US inflation data. Following a weaker PPI report on Tuesday, investors will be hoping for a weaker CPI print today compared to a headline and core prints of +0.2% m/m expected (or 3.0% y/y for headline CPI). If seen, or even if the data is line with forecasts, this could further cement expectations for a 50-basis point rate reduction in September and a total of 100 bp cuts for 2024. This scenario should further boost the AUD/USD outlook. However, a strong print, which is evidently not priced in, could have a big negative impact on this and other major FX pairs. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at FOREX.com
Long
by FOREXcom
Market Analysis: AUD/USD RalliesMarket Analysis: AUD/USD Rallies AUD/USD is consolidating gains near the 0.6620 zone. Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today - The Aussie Dollar started a downside correction from 0.6640 against the US Dollar. - There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6610 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen. AUD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.6500 support. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear the 0.6580 resistance to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar. There was a close above the 0.6600 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 0.6640 zone. A high was formed near 0.6642 and the pair is now correcting gains. There was a move below the 0.6630 level. The pair declined below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6579 swing low to the 0.6642 high. On the downside, initial support is near a key bullish trend line at 0.6610. The next major support is near the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6579 swing low to the 0.6642 high at 0.6600. If there is a downside break below the 0.6600 support, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6580 level. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6545. On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near 0.6640. The first major resistance might be 0.6650. An upside break above the 0.6650 resistance might send the pair further higher. The next major resistance is near the 0.6700 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6740 resistance zone. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST AUG 12-16: USD EUR GBP AUD NZD CAD CHF JPYThis is Part 2 of the Weekly Forex Forecast for AUG 12-16th. In this video, we will cover: USD Index, EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME:6J1!
by RT_Money
Aussie H4 | Falling to pullback supportThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 0.6581 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 0.6532 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support. Take profit is at 0.6642 which is a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
Bearish drop?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could potentially drop to the 1st support which acts as an overlap support. Pivot: 0.6636 1st Support: 0.6567 1st Resistance: 0.6711 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
1
AUD/USD Eyes Key Data After Breaking 0.6600AUD/USD Eyes Key Data After Breaking 0.6600 The AUD/USD extended its rally passed the critical 0.6600 mark to hit new three-week highs. Traders now turn their attention to the upcoming Australian Consumer Inflation Expectations and Unemployment. The pair faces immediate resistance at the 200-day moving average, followed by the 0.668 level. On the downside, initial support could be the 100-day moving average, with further backing at the 50-day moving average. In the U.S., the spotlight shifts to the July Consumer Price Index (CPI) due Wednesday. Earlier today, the Producer Price Index (PPI) data showed a 2.2% year-over-year increase for July, down from the 2.7% rise in June. PPI often acts as an early indicator for upcoming CPI inflation. Market participants are currently pricing in a roughly 54% chance of a 50-basis-point Fed rate cut in September, a probability that could increase following the PPI data.
by BlackBull_Markets
AUDUSD Massive Short! SELL! My dear subscribers, My technical analysis for AUDUSD is below: The price is coiling around a solid key level - 0.6602. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal. Super trend shows a clear sell, giving a perfect indicators' convergence. Goal - 0.6537 My Stop Loss - 0.6643 About Used Indicators: By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
3
AUD/USD Reversal: Bullish MomentumThe AUD/USD pair has shown signs of recovery after dipping to the 0.63500 level, with the price currently rising around 0.6595. This rebound is partly fueled by the US Dollar (USD) facing challenges due to growing expectations of a potential interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September. However, the pressure on the USD might ease as the likelihood of a 50-basis point rate cut at the Fed's September meeting diminishes. From our perspective, we anticipate that the AUD/USD will continue its upward trajectory, potentially reaching the Supply zone around 0.6700, with a possibility of extending higher to 0.6800. This target area is crucial for evaluating the next strategic move. The current market sentiment indicates that Smart Money is positioning itself long, while Retail traders are predominantly short. This imbalance suggests a potential increase in the value of the Australian Dollar (AUD) as the pair gains momentum. Given these factors, our focus is on monitoring the price action as it approaches these key levels. We expect that once the price reaches the 0.6700 to 0.6800 range, a potential setup may emerge, providing an opportunity to capitalize on the AUD's strengthening against the USD. This analysis aligns with the broader market dynamics, indicating that the AUD is poised for further gains in the near term. ✅ Please share your thoughts about AUD/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
3