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WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST June 8-12th Part 2: FX PairsThis is Part 2 of the Weekly Forex Forecast. In this video, we will cover: USD Index, EUR, GBP, CAD, AUD, NZD, CHF, JPY Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME:6S1!
by RT_Money
2
AUD breaking out of downtrendAUD/USD Breaks Key Resistance Overview: The FX:AUDUSD pair has shown significant signs of a trend reversal after being in a downtrend since 2021. The pair reached a low just below $0.62 and has since made a strong recovery. Key Technical Points: 1. Trend Reversal: - The pair has broken out of the descending trendline that has been intact since 2021. - This breakout is a crucial signal indicating a potential shift from the prolonged bearish trend to a bullish phase. 2. Moving Averages: - The price has successfully crossed above the weekly 50-period Moving Average (50MA), which often acts as a significant resistance level. - The next key target is the weekly 200-period Moving Average (200MA). The convergence of the 200MA with the Fibonacci retracement levels adds to its importance as a resistance zone. 3. Fibonacci Retracement Levels: - The price is currently approaching the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. A successful breach of this level could propel the pair towards the 0.618 retracement level. - The 0.618 Fibonacci level aligns closely with the 200MA, making it a critical resistance zone. This confluence strengthens the resistance at this level, which lies around the $0.72 area. 4. Key Resistance and Support Levels: - Resistance: The immediate resistance is at the 0.382 Fibonacci retracement level. Beyond this, the $0.72 zone, which coincides with the 0.618 retracement and the 200MA, is the next major resistance. - Support: On the downside, the broken trendline and the weekly 50MA now act as crucial support levels. Additionally, the $0.62 level, which marked the recent low, remains a significant support zone. Outlook: The breakout above the downtrend line and the 50MA, coupled with increasing volume, suggests a bullish outlook for the AUD/USD pair. If the pair manages to break above the 0.382 retracement level, it could head towards the $0.72 area, which is reinforced by the 0.618 Fibonacci level and the 200MA. Traders should watch for consolidation around these key levels and the reaction at the $0.72 zone to gauge the sustainability of this bullish trend. Conclusion: The AUD/USD pair's technical landscape has shifted favorably for bulls after a prolonged downtrend. The current breakout and the crossing of key moving averages signal potential for further upside. However, traders should remain cautious around the $0.72 resistance zone, as it represents a critical juncture that could determine the next phase of the trend.
Long
by CryptoFallen
AUD/USD: One of better options for US dollar bearsThe AUD/USD is the one to watch in the event we see a negative dollar reaction to today's US jobs report, which is due for release shortly. A headline print of 191K is expected, but watch out for revisions to prior months' data too. AUD/USD's recent performance points higher The AUD/USD has been performing well due to strong Australian inflation and a hawkish stance from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). It reached its highest level since January due to weaker-than-expected US data this week, which fueled speculation about a potential Fed rate cut in September. Boost from Recent Data: - Retail Sales: Increased by 0.6% month-over-month (m/m), surpassing the expected 0.3%. - Building Approvals: Rose by 5.5% m/m, beating the forecasted 1.5%. Inflation and Rate Hikes: - Australia's latest inflation report showed a significant rise to 4.0% year-over-year (y/y), higher than the expected 3.8% and April's 3.6%. - This has led investors to speculating over a 50% chance of another rate hike by the RBA, while expectations for a US rate cut are increasing. AUD/USD Technical Analysis: - The AUD/USD had been consolidating in a bullish continuation pattern near its highs. - It recently broke out of this to reach its best level since January. If this breakout holds after NFP then a potential rise towards bigger resistance in the 0.6850-0.6900 range could get underway - The line in the sand for me is at 0.6620, break below would be a bearish technical development Trading Outlook: - The combination of strong fundamentals and positive technical signals makes AUD/USD an attractive pair to trade on the long side, especially if US data continues to weaken. - This pair is potentially a better long candidate compared to others like EUR/USD, which has election risks, or JPY/USD (I know, I know, it is USD/JPY), which faces potential government intervention. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst at FOREX.com
Long
by FOREXcom
Pre NFP Analysis5th July (NFP day) DXY: Consolidating on 105 support, If NFP is weaker, could trade down to 104.65. Stronger NFP, DXY needs to break 105.40 before considered bullish NZDUSD: Buy 0.6150 SL 20 TP 60 (DXY weakness) AUDUSD: Sell 0.67 SL 20 TP 75 (DXY strength) USDJPY: Buy 161.15 SL 30 TP 80 (DXY strength) GBPUSD: Sell 1.2790 SL 20 TP 55 (DXY strength) EURUSD: Buy 1.0850 SL 20 TP 55 (DXY weakness) USDCHF: Sell 0.8960 SL 20 TP 60 (DXY weakness) USDCAD: Buy 1.3625 SL 25 TP 75 (CAD weakness, DXY strength) Gold: Break above 2370 could trade up to 2390 (DXY weakness)
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
Independence Day (4th July) Analysis4th July (Independence Day) DXY: Likely to consolidate between 105.15 and 105.45. Below 105, could trade down to 104.60. Break 105.45 could trade up to 105.90 (More likely scenario) NZDUSD: Sell 0.61 SL 20 TP 45 (DXY strength) AUDUSD: Sell 0.67 SL 30 TP 75 USDJPY: Range between 161.10 and 162 GBPUSD: Straddle: Buy 1.2780 SL 20 TP 80 or Sell 1.2725 SL 20 TP 100 EURUSD: Buy 1.0810 SL 25 TP 80 (hesitation at 1.0850) (DXY weakness) USDCHF: Sell 0.8990 SL 30 TP 70 (dxy weakness) USDCAD: Buy 1.3645 SL 25 TP 55 (dxy strength) Gold: Break above 2370 could trade up to 2390
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
1
AudUsd trading idea (1:3 R:R) so finally we have a breakout on audusd from daily trinagle pattern as well as the consolidation from 1h we have marked after the impulsive upside we have bullish fvg, it will be our entry point and sl will be as shown in chart below the pattern range so buy = 0.66913 , tr 0.67720 , sl 0.66652 this setup looks strong as the price has made a nice consolidation before breakout and also the pattern is on higher time frame of 1day and it has formed for almost many days it has good probability
Long
by Jimmy_Rebello
AUD/USD shrugs as Australian retail sales jumpThe Australian dollar is drifting on Wednesday. AUD/USD is trading at 0.6674 at the time of writing, up 0.11%on the day. Australian consumers have been counting their pennies and reducing discretionary spending. Consumers are feeling the double squeeze of high borrowing costs and stubborn inflation, but retail sales pulled a surprise today with a gain of 0.6% m/m in May. This follows a meager gain of 0.1% in April and crushed the market estimate of 0.2%. This marked the sharpest gain since January, but does not mean that Australian consumers have suddenly switched to a spendthrift mindset. Rather, the jump in retail sales was the result of many retailers involving large discounts and sales events. The monthly May release was strong but there is an underlying weakness in consumer spending, as retail sales climbed just 1.7% y/y in May, compared to over 4% in early 2023. This means that the retail market remains weak despite today’s upbeat report. The Reserve Bank of Australia has stressed that rate hikes are on the table, as stubbornly high inflation has raised concerns that monetary policy may have to be tightened. The RBA discussed the possibility of a rate hike at each of the past two meetings and today’s strong retail sales could strengthen the case for a hike, although policy makers won’t make a rate decision based on one release. The RBA meets next on August 6 and the second-quarter CPI report, which will be released a week before will play a key role in the decision. The markets have priced in a 32% chance of a quarter-point at the August meeting, according to the ASX rate tracker. This would bring the cash rate to 4.6% and would mark the first rate hike since last November. There is resistance at 0.6699 and 0.6729 0.6660 is a weak support level. The next support level is 0.6630
by OANDA
AUDUSDAUDUSD is in a correction phase. technical analysis It is expected that the price will have a chance to increase. The price is currently near the 0.66780 resistance zone. If the price fails to break through, There may be a chance that the price will come back to test the 0.66364 support zone again and if the price can stand above the 0.66364 level, it is expected that there is a chance that the price will rebound. Consider buying the red zone. >>GooD Luck 😊 ❤️ Like and subscribe to never miss a new idea!
Long
by Serana2324
3
Aussie Shows Bullish Pattern After Hot CPI DataAussie is still sideways against the US dollar, trapped in a range for more than a month. However, the price is now moving towards the upper side of this pattern after hot Australina CPI (4%) this week, so RBA shoudl stay hakiwhs, suggesting a greater chance for a break out of a bullish triangle rather than a bearish trend. If analysis is correct, we are currently in a subwave "e", meaning there could still be some intraday weakness down to the 0.6630 to 0.6640 potential support levels. These would then be the final piece of this bullish structure, which should eventually take the price higher. However, only if the price closes above 0.6700 , the triangle will be seen as completed, and we should expect a straight move higher, possibly even to the 0.6780 area. Grega
Long
by ew-forecast
AUDUSD Under Pressure! SELL! My dear friends, AUDUSD looks like it will make a good move, and here are the details: The market is trading on 0.6722 pivot level. Bias - Bearish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend generates a clear short signal while Pivot Point HL is currently determining the overall Bearish trend of the market. Goal - 0.6685 Recommended Stop Loss - 0.6746 About Used Indicators: Pivot points are a great way to identify areas of support and resistance, but they work best when combined with other kinds of technical analysis ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Short
by AnabelSignals
2
Levels discussed on livestream 2nd July 2nd July DXY: Continue trading higher, needs to break 106.15 (previous swing high) to retest resistance of 106.45 NZDUSD: Sell 0.6035 SL 30 TP 100 (hesitation at 0.5980) AUDUSD: Sell 0.6615 SL 15 TP 40 USDJPY: Buy 162.20 SL 30 TP 80 GBPUSD: Look for reaction at 1.26, Sell 1.2585 SL 30 TP 70 (UK elections on 4th July) EURUSD: Sell 1.0715 SL 20 TP 40 USDCHF: Buy 0.9090 SL 20 TP 50 or Counter trend: Sell 0.9060 SL 20 TP 50 (low likelihood) USDCAD: Consolidating, could trade higher to retest 1.3780 resistance Gold: Could continue to range between 2320 and 2340
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 52 - AUDUSD - (2nd July 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis using ICT's Concepts in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions. A couple of things to note: - I cannot see news events. - I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range. - I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks In this session I will be analyzing AUDUSD, starting from the 3-Month chart. If you want to learn more, check out my profile.
by Road_2_Funded
Intraday Trend Analysis - CADJPY, GBPUSD & AUDUSDToday, we're analysing CADJPY, GBPUSD, and AUDUSD. Key Note: Price is the leading indicator and reflects trader perception. We use price structures/wave structures to determine high probability price directions in the short, medium, and long term. CADJPY: Bullish trend continuation after a structural reversal. Look to buy after every pullback above 117.50. GBPUSD: Intraday downtrend. Strong momentum high yesterday. Sharp rejection during the New York session. Expect price to trade below 1.2620 after a correction. AUDUSD: Strong downtrend. Directional bearish wave structure. Look for a correction to break above wave structure 4 before shorting. High probability of a new momentum low below today's current low.
by Charts247TradingAcademy
1