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AUDUSD

AUD/USD Pulls Back Despite Higher-Than-Expected Inflation DataThe AUD/USD pair has given up some of its intraday gains after reaching close to 0.6690 during Wednesday’s European session. The Australian Dollar is struggling to maintain its rally, which was initially sparked by hotter-than-expected Australian monthly Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for May. The latest CPI data revealed that inflation pressures surged, with prices growing at a robust pace of 4.0%, surpassing the forecast of 3.8% and the previous reading of 3.6%. The report highlighted significant price increases in fuel, food, electricity, and rentals, which have all contributed to the heightened inflationary pressures. From a technical perspective, having successfully closed our previous profitable trade on AUD/USD, we are now looking for another opportunity. We are targeting a pullback within the 38.2% to 61.8% Fibonacci retracement area for a new long position, adopting a conservative approach to this potential setup. Previous Winning Forecast:
Long
by FOREXN1
1
AUD/USD Surges as US Inflation Cools, Setting for Bullish ContAUD/USD Surges to 0.6670 as US Inflation Cools, Setting the Stage for Bullish Continuation The AUD/USD pair has jumped higher to 0.6670 following an expected cooling in US inflation. This move aligns with our technical analysis, which anticipated a potential rebound in the Fibonacci retracement area, triggering a new bullish impulse. We also observed a divergence on the RSI within the H4 timeframe, which is situated inside a bullish channel. The decline in US inflation data is expected to spur expectations for early rate cuts by the Federal Reserve (Fed), creating an unfavorable scenario for the US Dollar. Consequently, the US Dollar Index (DXY) has turned negative, dropping to 105.80. According to the CME FedWatch tool, the central bank sees the September meeting as the earliest point for pivoting to policy normalization. The tool indicates that the Fed is expected to deliver two rate cuts this year. However, contrary to market expectations, Fed officials have forecasted only one rate cut this year. Considering all the data and analysis, we are anticipating a possible bullish continuation for the AUD/USD pair. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
Levels discussed on livestream 1st July1st July DXY: Tested 105.40 level, retracing (needs to stay below 105.70 to remain bearish). Look for retracement to complete, price break 105.40 could trade down to 105.15 support level NZDUSD: Buy 0.6110 SL 20 TP 50 AUDUSD: Could trade higher, but wait, look for reaction at 0.67 resistance USDJPY: Buy 161.20 SL 30 TP 80 GBPUSD: Wide range of 100 pips between 1.26 and 1.27 (nothing yet, waiting for breakout) EURUSD: Buy 1.0780 SL 30 TP 70 USDCHF: Buy 0.9020 SL 15 TP 55 USDCAD: Buy 1.3695 SL 20 TP 80 (hesitation at 1.3730) Gold: Wait for possible breakout of 2340 to 2352
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
DXY is about to melt down...Hey Traders, The dollar index has been moving to the upside making some form of a wedge or a contracting diagonal. According to the basic technical analysis and based on Elliot waves theories, we should expect a reversal once the diagonal is completed. In addition to that, we can observe divergence by looking at the MACD. This indicator is used to predict when the reversal will happen. How can we benefit from the dollar index? The formula says: If the dollar index or DXY is bearish then we should expect the opposite for XXXUSD pairs. For example, If DXY is Bearish then we should look for EURUSD LONG. By looking at the price action and by counting the recent waves, we expect one more move up before the move down. What is our confirmation for the DXY bearish scenario? We can use the break of 50 EMA on 4H timeframe as a confirmation for XXXUSD LONG and USDXXX SHORT. If you like this type of analysis, don't forget to hit the LIKE bottom. If we hit 50 likes, am gonna show you how we can look for a trade using this idea. Have a Good trading week!
TVC:DXY
by Tradenessfx
AUDUSD Technical Analysis and Trade Idea - Trading A Range👉🔍 In this video, we take an in-depth look at the AUDUSD currency pair. You'll notice that it is clearly range-bound on the daily, 4-hour, and lower timeframes. We explore the possibility of a breakout on either side of the range and focus on how to capitalize on this during the London Open when a potential break of the 15-minute timeframe Asian range occurs. Additionally, we cover essential topics such as trend analysis, market structure, price action, and other key aspects of technical analysis. Please remember, this video is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. 📊✅
by fxtraderanthony
2
Levels discussed on livestream 28th June28th June DXY: bullish, wait for retracement to complete (should stay above 105.90), look for bounce and breakout of 106.12 to climb to 106.40 NZDUSD: Sell 0.6070 SL 20 TP 60 AUDUSD: Do nothing, wait for reaction at key levels USDJPY: Could still head higher, but exhausted for now, look out for possible intervention GBPUSD: Buy 1.2705 SL 25 TP 60 (Counter trend move) EURUSD: Sell 1.0715 SL 15 TP 45 USDCHF: Buy 0.9020 SL 15 TP 55 USDCAD: Buy 1.3695 SL 20 TP 80 (hesitation at 1.3730) Gold: Look for test and reject of 2340 level
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
AUDUSD → Trade Analysis | SELL SetupAUDUSD is moving in a descending channel under the trend lines. The price has fallen under the dynamic support, which now acts as resistance. We expect the decline to continue after testing the lower boundary of the channel. Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity GBPUSD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Short
by TheGrove
3
AUD/USD - H1 Chart - Wedge BreakoutThe AUD/USD FX:AUDUSD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours. Key Points: Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 0.6644, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum. Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.6611 2nd Support – 0.6590 Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.6663. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards. Thank you.
Short
by KABHI_TA_TRADING
12
Bearish drop?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is reacting off the pivot which has been identified as a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support. Pivot: 0.6651 1st Support: 0.6630 1st Resistance: 0.6667 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
Levels discussed on livestream 27th June27th June DXY: testing the support level (105.90) needs to stay above 105.75. Look for bounce to 106.40 (needs to break previous high) NZDUSD: Sell 0.6065 SL 25 TP 80 AUDUSD: Test and reject 0.67, Sell 0.6695 SL 20 TP 60 USDJPY: Buy 161.10 SL 30 TP 90 (look to close quick!!!) Becareful, possible intervention area GBPUSD: Sell 1.2590 SL 20 TP 75 EURUSD: Sell 1.0665 SL 15 TP 50 USDCHF: Buy 0.9025 SL 20 TP 50 USDCAD: Buy 1.3725 SL 20 TP 55 Gold: Watch out for support at 2285
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
Aussie H4 | Approaching multi-swing-high resistanceThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.6677 which is a multi-swing-high resistance. Stop loss is at 0.6714 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 0.6643 which is a pullback support that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
If not GDP, then maybe the PCE will force it out of the squeezeWe are currently seeing EASYMARKETS:AUDUSD struggling to find a clear direction, as it continues to sit between two tentative short-term trendlines. Waiting for the US GDP and PCE figures to do something. #audusd Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
by easyMarkets
AUD/USD Upside Bias Supported by Hot AU InflationAustralian inflation accelerated 4% y/y in May, according to Wednesday’s data, marking the fastest pace in six months. The Reserve Bank of Australia was already worried around price pressures and had once again discussed raising rates during this month’s hold, while keeping the door open to further tightening. Yesterday’s hot CPI report likely aggravated these concerns and strengthens the case for a rate hike, while diminishing chances for a shift to a less restrictive chance this year. AUD/USD erased its gains yesterday after the initial jump, but remains constructive and the monetary policy differential supports further upside. The US Fed is reluctant to pivot, but still sees a rate cut this year, while markets are more aggressive and price in two moves. The technicals are also favorable, since the Aussie has defended the 38.2% Fibonacci of the last leg up and trades above the EMA200 (black line). This provide a solid basis for higher highs (0.6714) that would bring the 2024 peak in the spotlight (0.6839), although bulls don’t inspire yet confidence for challenging it. On the other hand, the bar is high for further tightening by the RBA, while the weak Australian economy creates pressure for an easier monetary stance. The Fed meanwhile expects just one cut this year, due to the disinflation slowdown, which supports the greenback. As such, the there is scope for renewed pressure towards the pivotal 38.2% Fibonacci and the daily Ichimoku Cloud, but sustained weakness below it is not easy given the favorable monetary policy differential. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Long
by FXCM
AUDUSD...UT ContinuationAustralia, being a significant exporter of commodities such as iron ore and coal, has experienced a boost in commodity prices. Commodity prices on the rise may have a positive impact on the Australian economy and the AUD. There is a potential policy divergence between the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and the US Federal Reserve. The RBA is considering the possibility of increasing interest rates in the future, while the US Federal Reserve appears to be approaching the end of its tightening cycle. This difference in interest rates may be appealing to investors considering the AUD.
Long
by ProfessorCEWard
Aussie H4 | Approaching swing-high resistanceThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.6700 which is a swing-high resistance. Stop loss is at 0.6724 which is a level that sits above another swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 0.6672 which is a pullback support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
Australian Inflation Pressures RBA for Rate Hike, Bolsters AUDAustralia's inflation concerns intensify as the May Consumer Price Index (CPI) surpassed expectations, reaching a troubling 4% year-over-year (YoY). This marks the third consecutive month of accelerating inflation, prompting anxieties about economic overheating and a potential shift in policy by the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA). The RBA, having previously achieved progress in curbing inflation (December 2023: 3.4% vs. December 2022 peak: 8.4%), now faces renewed challenges. The latest inflation data strengthens the argument for a rate hike, although the central bank is likely to await the June report (encompassing Q2 data) before reaching a decision in August. Financial markets are already responsive, with the AUD appreciating against the USD in anticipation of the RBA tightening monetary policy. Short-term interest rate futures currently price in a greater than 50% chance of a rate hike by September, potentially rising to 80% following the June CPI release at the end of July. The upcoming data release will be critical for the RBA's next move. While Assistant Governor Christopher Kent emphasized vigilance against inflation and hinted at potential policy adjustments, the June inflation report will provide a clearer picture. Beyond Australia's borders, the global economic landscape adds another layer of complexity. The relative stability of the US Dollar, with investors exercising caution ahead of key US data releases, also influences AUD dynamics. Additionally, China's economic policies, as a major Australian trading partner, will indirectly impact the AUD's performance. In conclusion, Australia's escalating inflation is pressuring the RBA towards a potential rate hike, which could bolster the AUD. The June inflation report and ongoing global economic developments will be key factors shaping the RBA's decision and the AUD's future trajectory.
Long
by signalmastermind