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Market Analysis: AUD/USD Under Fire, Deeper Losses Ahead?Market Analysis: AUD/USD Under Fire, Deeper Losses Ahead? AUD/USD declined below the 0.6350 and 0.6250 support levels. Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today - The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline from well above the 0.6300 level against the US Dollar. - There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6175 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen. AUD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to clear the 0.6300 zone. The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline below the 0.6250 support against the US Dollar. The pair even settled below 0.6220 and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a clear move below 0.6200. A low was formed at 0.6139 and the pair is now consolidating losses. On the upside, an immediate resistance is near the 0.6175 level. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6175. It is close to the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6288 swing high to the 0.6139 low. The next major resistance is near the 0.6210 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6288 swing high to the 0.6139 low, above which the price could rise toward 0.6290. Any more gains might send the pair toward the 0.6320 resistance. A close above the 0.6320 level could start another steady increase in the near term. The next major resistance on the AUD/USD chart could be 0.6400. On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6140 zone. The next support sits at 0.6120. If there is a downside break below 0.6120, the pair could extend its decline. The next support could be 0.6050. Any more losses might send the pair toward the 0.6000 support. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
Weekly FOREX Forecast Jan 13, 2025This is an outlook for the week of Jan 13-17th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX markets: USD Index EURUSD GBPUSD AUDUSD NZDUSD CAD, USDCAD CHF, USDCHF JPY, USDJPY The USD is still strong, so no reason to sell in the near term. With price at Monthly and Weekly Supply levels, we have to proceed with caution in the near term. The bias is still bullish until the market gives us a HTF bearish break of structure. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
by RT_Money
Ghost Traders FX AUD/USD HTF Reversal [LONG] My analysis for the coming weeks/months for AUD/USD. Right now, I see max fear in the markets for AUD, overwhelming bearish sentiment & no momentum in big money adding to short positions in recent COT reports. When profit taking begins on these short positions, you will see huge volatility back to the upside. When exactly this may occur, is anyone's guess. The previous monthly candle did not grab liquidity on it's retracement, signalling to me that the major HTF liquidity pull to the downside we've just witnessed, as it does historically, will be met with a similar size pull back the other way. All major recent HTF lows that may have had long liquidity resting in these regions for both Retail & Institutional money has been absorbed, leading me to believe we're now entering an accumulation phase at these discount prices on AUD/USD. There's a fair few hints in the candle structure across all timeframes from the 4H, to the Monthly, if you know what to look for. Best of luck to Longers, and Shorters, like I always say, there is no point in crying or reacting to people with opposing viewpoints, as more likely than not, their analysis has 0 bearing on what your analysis is. Both sides can make money - relax! Wishing you all success in these critical times for this pair & the global economy in general.
Long
by Ghost_Traders_FX
5
EURAUD - Start 2025 with a BIG Win!EURAUD has given us a fantastic opportunity to get in at the very start of a BIG move. We are currently in an ABC correction. We'e completed waves A and B and now currently in wave C. We're expecting 5 waves from wave C and looks as if we've completed wave 1 and currently in wave 2. We're looking to catch the rest of the move on the break of the trendline. Trade Idea: - Safe entry on break of trendline - Riskier entry within the fibs or anywhere below invalidation - stops above invalidation - Targets: 1.6 (700pips), 1.156 (1100pips) - Taper as we move lower What do you guys think? Goodluck and as always, trade safe!
by WicktatorFX
7
AUD/USD Is Crashing—Don’t Miss This Massive Opportunity!In this analysis, we dive deep into the AUD/USD pair, highlighting its ongoing bearish momentum and key levels to watch. Starting from the monthly timeframe, we explore the AUD’s struggles against the USD, identifying a strong bearish close in December and potential continuation downward. Key Highlights: • The Aussie Dollar has been in a 14-week downtrend , with the .6130 support level now in focus. • On the H4 timeframe , we’re looking for a pullback to areas like .6180 or a liquidity sweep around .6200 for potential sell opportunities. • Why the USD matters: The Dollar Index (DXY) shows bullish strength with strong volume increases, higher highs, and key resistance levels broken. These indicate continued pressure on AUD/USD. Expectations: • A potential break of the .6130 support level with further bearish movement as the USD strengthens. • Watch for reactions at key levels and pullbacks before entering short positions. If this breakdown was helpful, boost the post, share it with your trading circle, and let us know in the comments what pair you’d like analyzed next. Let’s keep dominating the markets! 💼📊 #AUDUSD #ForexAnalysis #TradingInsights #DXY
Short
by BlueOceanFxAcademy
2
AUDUSD Selling Trading IdeaHello Traders In This Chart AUDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today AUDUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (AUDUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity on AUDUSD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Chart
Long
by ForexMasters2000
AUDUSD WEEKLY FORECAST : SHORT | SELL (W/B: 13/01/25)AUDUSD will keep on being bearish for a very long time. If we take a look at the weekly - the lowest prices haven’t been swept as of yet - price needs to attack those. Price will re enter the new range it has created. Whether or not the range stays as so, that will be confirmed by Monday market close, however one thing that we can say 100% is that the high of 0.63015 is protected. As it stands RR is 2.5, it may get bigger once range is fully confirmed. N.B.: This is not financial advice. Trade safely and with caution.
Short
by saintprincevvs
AUD/USD SellThe bearish trend on AUD/USD continues to dominate, as the pair has successfully broken a key support level around 0.6320. This breakdown confirms the strength of the bearish momentum, with USD gaining further strength across the board due to positive macroeconomic factors. Key Points: Trend: Bearish. Broken Support: The price has breached the critical 0.6320 support, turning it into a resistance level. Fundamental Outlook: USD strength is supported by robust economic data, adding downward pressure on AUD/USD. Expectation: Further downside is likely, with potential targets around 0.6044, 0.5941, and 0.5795 in the medium term. Traders should monitor for any retracements toward the resistance zone, which could offer fresh selling opportunities.
Short
by Charts_M7M
AUDUSD Long Term Selling Trading IdeaHello Traders In This Chart AUDUSD HOURLY Forex Forecast By FOREX PLANET today AUDUSD analysis 👆 🟢This Chart includes_ (AUDUSD market update) 🟢What is The Next Opportunity onAUDCAD Market 🟢how to Enter to the Valid Entry With Assurance Profit This CHART is For Trader's that Want to Improve Their Technical Analysis Skills and Their Trading By Understanding How To Analyze The Market Using Multiple Timeframes and Understanding The Bigger Picture on the Chart
Long
by ForexMasters2000
1
Where is AUDUSD Headed Now - Fxdollars - {10/01/2025}Updating my previous Idea, Let's see how it goes. Educational Analysis says AUDUSD may move UP or DOWN from this range, according to my technical. Broker - FXCM AUD & EURO are the two currencies that have been getting stronger against USD for months in this range, It finally did liquidity has taken out on buy-side orders to show a sign of a downtrend, and I am looking to counter-trend this position. If this continues, AUDUSD will be around 0.35 from early 2027 to 2030. Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future. Please check the comment section to see how this turned out. DISCLAIMER:- This is not an entry signal. THIS IS ONLY EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ANALYSIS. I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis. I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS, Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
by VishalBudhrani
AUDUSD FUTURE PROJECTION AUDUSD was quite interesting- I did expect it to buy due to the bullish week it has had, however in hindsight, seeing how both GU and EU moved this week, I can see why it too wasn’t bullish. With that being said, I’m expecting a further break downwards. Once it does, I expect it to pull back once more to complete the sell and take out the most recent weekly low. Another interesting point to note is that there was a further lower price level (Weekly) which wasn’t as recent as the aforementioned price point. Price CAN seek that low - that’s something to also look out for. N.B.: This is not financial advice. Trade safely and with caution.
Short
by saintprincevvs
AUD/USD Analysis: Exchange Rate Holds at a 56-Month LowAUD/USD Analysis: Exchange Rate Holds at a 56-Month Low As seen on the AUD/USD chart, yesterday the exchange rate fell below the level of 0.618 Australian dollars per 1 US dollar. The last time the Australian dollar was this weak was in April 2020, during the global spread of the coronavirus. The decline followed the release of inflation data from Australia earlier this week. According to Bloomberg: → Overall annual inflation accelerated to 2.3%, up from 2.1% previously. → The trimmed mean core inflation (which smooths volatile items and is closely monitored by the Reserve Bank) slowed to 3.2%, down from 3.5%. → Traders are pricing in a 70% chance of a 25 basis point rate cut in February from the current 4.35% (a 13-year high). Technical analysis of the AUD/USD chart shows that, despite the exchange rate being within the current downtrend (shown in red on the chart), there are grounds for bulls to remain hopeful, as: → The RSI indicator points to a divergence, which can be interpreted as weakening selling pressure. → Although the median line of the channel has acted as resistance (marked by a red arrow), the sharp rise in the first days of 2025 suggests that demand forces are gaining momentum. Thus, it’s possible that if the AUD/USD exchange rate falls back to the lower boundary of the red channel, this could attract buyers of the weakened Australian dollar. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
Key Support at 0.6179: Will AUD/USD Break or Bounce?Dear friends! Currently, AUD/USD is struggling to record any meaningful recovery and remains near multi-year lows. In this context, the Fed's hawkish shift has driven U.S. Treasury yields higher, supporting the USD. Concerns over the U.S.-China trade war and expectations of an early rate cut by the RBA continue to weigh on the Australian dollar. Therefore, we can say that the probability of further price decline in the medium-term outlook is quite high. As mentioned on the 4-hour chart, the current price is approaching the level of 0.6179. A consolidation pattern is forming ahead of a potential breakout related to this level. I do not rule out the possibility of the price retesting the EMA resistance or a local high before further breakdown. However, the overall technical and fundamental situation suggests a decline. Focus on the trigger level at 0.6179. A breakdown and price consolidation below this level will likely trigger a significant drop.
Short
by Bentradegold
Bullish bounce?AUD/USD is falling towards the pivot which acts as a pullback support and could bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 0.6163 1st Support: 0.6125 1st Resistance: 0.6236 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Is AUD/USD’s 2-Year Low a Crisis or an Opportunity? 25.01.10Hello, this is Greedy All-Day. Today’s analysis focuses on AUD/USD. Daily Chart Overview Looking at the daily chart, AUD/USD has reached the orange box zone, a critical level where the next direction will likely be decided. Scenario 1: If the support holds, a rebound is expected. Scenario 2: If the support fails, a decline toward the green box zone, or potentially lower, could occur. The strong rebound from the green box in the past was supported by U.S. COVID-related policies. Without such external factors now, a failure of the orange box support could lead to unpredictable further declines, with recovery timelines also uncertain. Weekly Chart Insights On the weekly chart, the orange box level is notable for how rarely it has been tested, historically appearing approximately once every 10 years. In 2022, AUD/USD rebounded from this level. Now, just 2 years later, the price has returned, deviating from the typical cycle. This could signal a potential shift in trend. Key Observations: Historically, 0.617 has served as a strong support, keeping the price above this level. However, there’s now a possibility of entering the blue box zone, just below 0.617. If the price breaks below 0.617, it could take years for a recovery. For example, during the last breakdown into the blue box zone, it took approximately 5 years for AUD/USD to reclaim 0.617. A similar prolonged recovery may occur this time. What Needs to Happen for a Rebound? Immediate Recovery: If the price consolidates near the current level, a breakout above the resistance trendline could occur around January 30, signaling a potential short-term uptrend. Complete Recovery: To fully recover, AUD/USD must break and sustain above 0.635. Resistance at 0.635 is expected due to: Past support tests near the blue box zone. The red box breakdown, which triggered a strong bearish candle on December 18, 2024, now serving as resistance. Without breaking these two levels, a sustained recovery is unlikely. What If 0.617 Breaks? If AUD/USD breaks below 0.617, the next major support levels are: 0.6074 0.6006 0.5800 0.5500 Key Recommendation: The only level worth considering for a reversal trade is 0.5500, due to its history of strong rebounds. Attempting reversal trades at other levels poses significant risk. Conclusion The current support at 0.617 is critical: A break below this level could open the door to uncharted lows. It would mark the first time in 4 years that 0.617 is breached. Historically, 0.617 has been tested once every 10 years, but this cycle has shortened to just 2 years, potentially signaling a downward shift in the long-term trend. If the trend breaks downward, avoid counter-trend trades. While lower prices may seem extreme, they remain technically possible given the current trajectory. For a significant recovery, external policy changes will likely play a crucial role. Traders should remain cautious and strategic in navigating this uncertain environment. 🚀
by Greedy_allday
AUD/USD Testing Key Support Amid Persistent DowntrendChart Analysis: The AUD/USD pair continues its downward trajectory, reaching critical support levels, while bearish momentum remains dominant. 1️⃣ Key Support Levels: Immediate support at 0.6190, marking the current level of defense for buyers. Further support at 0.6169, the next line of demand if the pair breaks lower. 2️⃣ Downtrend Line: The pair remains constrained by a steep descending trendline, highlighting the sustained bearish pressure. 3️⃣ Moving Averages: 50-week SMA (blue): Trending downward at 0.6574, aligning with the bearish outlook. 200-week SMA (red): Sloping lower near 0.6870, confirming the broader bearish trend. 4️⃣ Momentum Indicators: RSI: Hovering near 30, indicating oversold conditions, but further downside cannot be ruled out. MACD: Deeply negative and declining, reflecting strong bearish momentum. What to Watch: A break below 0.6190 could open the door for further declines toward 0.6169 or lower levels. Any sustained break above the descending trendline would indicate easing bearish pressure and may attract buyers. Monitor RSI for potential bullish divergence as the pair approaches oversold levels. AUD/USD remains under intense bearish pressure, with key support levels being tested. Traders should watch for any breakout or breakdown signals to determine the pair’s next directional move. -MW
by FOREXcom
AUDUSD Technical Analysis! BUY! My dear friends, My technical analysis for AUDUSD is below: The market is trading on 0.6199 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 0.6226 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1