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AUDUSD

AUDUSD: 4H Curve AnalysisHere's a breakdown of the current AUDUSD market outlook based on the 4-hour timeframe, followed by my setup for the upcoming downtrend as price action approaches the Supply Zone. OSCILLATORS OVERVIEW The oscillators are showing a MIXED picture: Relative Strength Index (RSI) : 59.78, Neutral Stochastic %K : 76.30, Neutral Commodity Channel Index (CCI) : 104.73, indicating a Sell MACD Level : 0.00207, indicating a Sell Momentum : 0.00375, signaling a Buy The remaining indicators like ADX, Awesome Oscillator, and Williams Percent Range are neutral, suggesting NO SIGNIFICANT DIRECTIONAL BIAS YET. In summary, the oscillators show a MIXED to NEUTRAL sentiment with no overwhelming momentum in one direction. However, the CCI and MACD hint at potential SELLING pressure as the pair enters OVERBOUGHT conditions. MOVING AVERAGES OVERVIEW The moving averages paint a stronger BULLISH picture: All key moving averages—SMA and EMA across 10, 20, 30, 50, 100, and 200 periods—are in BUY territory. This shows that the medium and long-term trend remains BULLISH for now. Notably, the Hull Moving Average (9) is showing a SELL signal, potentially signaling a shift in short-term momentum or exhaustion in the uptrend. The Ichimoku Base Line is NEUTRAL, indicating indecision. As price enters the Supply Zone (near overbought levels), I'm preparing to enter short positions with a well-defined strategy: SLO2 @ 0.6845 SLO1 @ 0.6793 TP1 @ 0.6693 TP2 @ 0.6609 TP3 @ 0.6548 TP4 @ 0.6452 BLO1 @ 0.6430 BLO2 @ 0.6374 🚫 For shorts, the stop-loss is set at 0.6872 (pivot high) to protect against unexpected bullish reversals. 🚫 For potential buys, the stop-loss is placed at 0.6348 (pivot low). This setup capitalizes on a potential downtrend when AUDUSD hits resistance in the Supply Zone, targeting key levels down to 0.6452. Should the downtrend continue, there’s also room for further downside to 0.6374 and below. Be prepared for the trade to trigger once price action enters overbought territory. I’ll keep you posted on any key updates as the market develops. Stay strategic and disciplined!
Short
by ProfessorCEWard
Aussie H4 | Approaching overlap supportThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 0.6806 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 0.6727 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 0.6921 which is a level that aligns with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
AUD/USD Reaches Key Supply Area, possible ReversalThe AUD/USD pair has reached our identified supply area, coinciding with the start of the London session. A rejection candle has formed, signaling a potential reversal, with the spike briefly hitting 0.6872 before pulling back. This price action suggests that sellers are stepping in at this level, creating a possible reversal opportunity. Traders are now watching closely for further confirmation of a bearish move. Today, the US CB Consumer Confidence report is set to be released, and this key economic indicator could provide additional momentum for the US Dollar. A stronger-than-expected reading may further bolster the USD, potentially driving the AUD/USD lower and continuing its downward trajectory. With the market's focus on the upcoming US data, we remain poised for a potential short setup in anticipation of a reversal in the AUD/USD pair. Traders should keep a close eye on both the technical patterns and the economic news to confirm entry points. ✅ Please share your thoughts about AUD/USD in the comments section below and 👍 HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
7
Aussie dollar strengthens as RBA moves opposite with Fed The RBA is less likely to cut rates as Australia's labor market remains tight. Australia's Aug Unemployment Rate held steady at 4.2%, while labor participation surged to a record high of 67.1%. Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers emphasized that the increasing number of jobs and opportunities for Australians is a very encouraging development. The RBA also clarified that inflation could continue to decrease if the Unemployment Rate increases further. As the RBA continues to uphold its hawkish stance while the Fed declares a 0.50% rate cut, the Aussie dollar may persist in its upward trajectory. AUDUSD extended its uptrend, breaching the psychological resistance at 0.6800. The price rose above both EMAs, while EMA21 widened the gap with EMA78, sending a bullish signal. If AUDUSD sustains its uptrend while holding above EMA21, the price could gain upward momentum toward the 0.6870 high. Conversely, if AUDUSD fails to hold above EMA21 and breaks the support at 0.6730, the price may fall further to the 0.6640 level.
by inkicho_exness
Aussie dollar strengthens as RBA moves opposite with Fed The RBA is less likely to cut rates as Australia's labor market remains tight. Australia's Aug Unemployment Rate held steady at 4.2%, while labor participation surged to a record high of 67.1%. Australian Treasurer Jim Chalmers emphasized that the increasing number of jobs and opportunities for Australians is a very encouraging development. The RBA also clarified that inflation could continue to decrease if the Unemployment Rate increases further. As the RBA continues to uphold its hawkish stance while the Fed declares a 0.50% rate cut, the Aussie dollar may persist in its upward trajectory. AUDUSD extended its uptrend, breaching the psychological resistance at 0.6800. The price rose above both EMAs, while EMA21 widened the gap with EMA78, sending a bullish signal. If AUDUSD sustains its uptrend while holding above EMA21, the price could gain upward momentum toward the 0.6870 high. Conversely, if AUDUSD fails to hold above EMA21 and breaks the support at 0.6730, the price may fall further to the 0.6640 level.
by inkicho_exness
AUD/USD 1H Short Setup📉 Entering a short trade on AUD/USD as price breaks below the ascending trendline. I'm watching for a possible rejection at the current highs to confirm downward momentum. 🔻 Entry: 0.67922 (waiting for confirmation after trendline break) 🎯 Take Profit 1: 0.67446 (+47 pips) + Move SL to BE 🎯 Take Profit 2: 0.66924 (+99 pips) 🎯 Final Target: 0.66222 (+170 pips) 📈 Stop Loss: 0.68538 (-62 pips) This setup is based on the potential rejection at the top, with the trendline break acting as a signal for short-term bearish continuation. I'm managing risk with a SL at 0.68400, and once TP1 hits, moving SL to breakeven.
Short
by PipShiesty
AUD/USD: Watch for a Reversal with RBA Decision AUD/USD continues to hit new yearly highs as risk sentiment improves following the FOMC’s 50-basis-point rate cut last week and today’s Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) meeting, where no rate change is expected. However, a dovish tilt from the RBA meeting notes could shift the pair’s momentum, with the 200-Day Moving Average acting as a key level to watch. Also, keep an eye on the RSI, which is nearing the overbought zone at 70 on the daily chart. Beyond the RBA decision later today, Australian inflation data is set for release tomorrow, with headline inflation expected to drop sharply from 3.5% to 3.1%.
by BlackBull_Markets
AUD/USD rises to eight-month high, RBA nextThe Australian dollar has started the week with gains. AUD/USD touched a high of 0.6850, its highest level this year. In the North American session, the Australian dollar is trading at 0.6842, up 0.51% on the day. The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to maintain the cash rate at 4.35% at Tuesday’s meeting. The RBA has held rates since November, making it an outlier among the major central banks, most of which have lowered interest rates. Underlying inflation is at 3.9%, much higher than the target of between 2% and 3%. Australia releases August CPI on Wednesday, with headline CPI expected to fall to 2.8%, compared to 3.5% in July. The RBA was more cautious than other central banks during the rate-tightening cycle and its cash rate peaked one percent below the Federal Reserve. The flip side is that the RBA has been less aggressive as far as cutting rates and Governor Bullock has said that there are no plans to cut before February 2025. The RBA’s rate hikes have chilled economic growth as consumption has fallen sharply and GDP grew by only 1% in the second quarter. Still, the labor market has remained robust and unemployment is at 4.2%, as large-scale immigration has boosted the economy and helped avoid a recession. In the US, today’s PMIs had no impact on AUD/USD. The manufacturing PMI slipped to 47.0 in September, down from 47.9 in August and well off the market estimate of 48.5. This was the lowest level in thirteen months as new orders fell sharply. The services sector is in better shape as the PMI ticked lower to 54.4, compared to 54.6 in August and slightly above the market estimate of 54.3. 0.6865 has held in resistance since December 2023. Above, there is resistance at 0.6923 0.6781 and 0.6723 are the next support levels
by OANDA
1
Levels discussed on Livestream 23rd September DXY: Currently at 101, could retest bearish trendline and reject to trade down to 100.60. If trendline broken, needs to break above 101.40 for further upside to 101.80 NZDUSD: Sell 0.6195 SL 20 TP 40 AUDUSD: Sell 0.6775 SL 20 TP 65 GBPUSD: Sell 1.3245 SL 30 TP 70 EURUSD: Buy 1.1090 SL 25 TP 90 USDJPY: Sell 143 SL 35 TP 95 USDCHF: Sell 0.8540 SL 30 TP 105 USDCAD: Do Nothing Gold: Currently retracing, look for possible reaction at 2600, esp for a rebound.
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
AUDUSD Trading IdeaBased on Simple Technical Analysis ( Trendline + Support & Resistance ) Risk Disclaimer: Please be advised that I am not telling anyone how to spend or invest their money. Take all of my analysis as my own opinion, as entertainment, and at your own risk. I assume no responsibility or liability for any errors or omissions in the content of this page, and they are for educational purposes only. Any action you take on the information in these analysis is strictly at your own risk. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Past results are not indicative of future returns. Good luck :-)
Short
by ShahedZare
WEEKLY FOREX FORECAST SEPT 23-27 USD EUR GBP AUD NZD CAD CHF JPYThis is Part 2 of the Weekly Forex Forecast for SEPT 23-27th. In this video, we will cover: USD Index, EURUSD, GBPUSD, AUDUSD, NZDUSD, USDCAD, USDCHF, USDJPY Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
CME:6J1!
by RT_Money