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AUDUSD

AUD/USD Upside Favored by Monetary Policy DeferentialAUD/USD upside bias is supported by the monetary policy differential and the technicals. The Australian central bank stayed on the sidelines on Tuesday, but once again considered the case for a hike and does not shut the door to such action. The US Fed on the other hand has already pointed to lower rates and markets expect two cuts within the year. The Aussie benefited from RBA’s hawkish hold and after defending again the pivotal 38.2% Fibonacci of the last leg up, it returned above the EMA200 (black line). This reaffirms the bullish tilt and strengthens prospects of new higher highs (0.6714), but does not inspire confidence for tackling 0.6839. On the other hand, AUD/USD has faltered above 0.6700 multiple times, creating scope for a pullback and a retest of the 38.2% Fibonacci and the daily Ichimoku Cloud. This would bring 0.6465 in the spotlight, but strong catalyst would be needed for testing it. Markets may be optimistic about two Fed cuts, but officials see just one and their reluctance to pivot supports the greenback. The RBA keeps the door open to a hike, but there is a high bar for such action, while deteriorating economy could increase pressure for easier stance. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (trading as “FXCM” or “FXCM EU”), previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider . You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763). Please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this video are provided on an "as-is" basis, as general market commentary and do not constitute investment advice. The market commentary has not been prepared in accordance with legal requirements designed to promote the independence of investment research, and it is therefore not subject to any prohibition on dealing ahead of dissemination. Although this commentary is not produced by an independent source, FXCM takes all sufficient steps to eliminate or prevent any conflicts of interests arising out of the production and dissemination of this communication. The employees of FXCM commit to acting in the clients' best interests and represent their views without misleading, deceiving, or otherwise impairing the clients' ability to make informed investment decisions. For more information about the FXCM's internal organizational and administrative arrangements for the prevention of conflicts, please refer to the Firms' Managing Conflicts Policy. Please ensure that you read and understand our Full Disclaimer and Liability provision concerning the foregoing Information, which can be accessed via FXCM`s website: Stratos Markets Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Europe Ltd clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Trading Pty. Limited clients please see: www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC clients please see: www.fxcm.com Past Performance is not an indicator of future results.
Long
by FXCM
Bearish drop?Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as a pullback resistance and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 0.6699 1st Support: 0.6631 1st Resistance: 0.6735 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
AUDUSD RESITANCE BOUNCEPair: AUDUSD Timeframe: 1H Analysis: Trend line, volume profile , support and resistance, trend break, reversal ————— Key Takeaway: Seen a great bearish reaction from our dynamic resistance and trend line. Will wait for a good drastic bearish reaction from this level before entering short. ————— Level needed: need a close bellow 0.66660 ————— Trade: SHORT RISK:REWARD 1:8 SL: 0.66770 TP: 1.66194 ————— DO NOT ENTER OUR SETUPS WITHOUT CONFIRMATION
Short
by TheGoldRoom
3
AUD/USD Range Intact - One Way to Play a BreakAUD/USD has been consolidating within a 120-pip range for the past 6+ weeks, and there are no imminent signs of that range breaking. However, forex traders may still want to prepare for a potential bullish breakout (helped along by a hawkish RBA meeting and weak US retail sales data). In that scenario, a clean break above 0.6700 could open the door for a continuation toward the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement of the December-April drop at 0.6760 and potentially the December high above 0.6850. However, a false break could lead to a rapid reversal back lower, so risk management will be key. -MW
by FOREXcom
AUD/USD Starts New Week with Positive Tone,Rebound ExpectedThe AUD/USD pair kicked off the new week on a positive note, hinting at a potential rebound from a significant support area that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level. This comes after a bearish reversal observed last week, which saw the pair correcting from its previous bullish momentum. Recent Trading Activity Last week, we successfully closed a profitable position by capitalizing on the bullish impulse. Our detailed analysis and forecast, available on our page, accurately predicted the upward movement, allowing us to ride the bullish wave to its peak. Technical Analysis Currently, the AUD/USD is showing signs of a potential reversal from the support area. The 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level, known for being a strong support level, adds further weight to this potential rebound. This Fibonacci level is often seen as a critical point where prices tend to find support and reverse, especially after a significant bearish correction. Market Sentiment and Trend Analysis Analyzing the market sentiment, an upside break this week appears marginally more likely than a downside break. This outlook is based on the observation that the trend prior to the formation of the current range was bullish. Typically, when a range forms after a strong trend, the breakout tends to follow the direction of the initial trend. Therefore, the probability of an upward breakout remains slightly higher. Trading Strategy Given the technical indicators and market sentiment, we have decided to open a bullish setup. This setup offers a positive risk/reward (R/R) ratio, making it a viable long-term trade. By positioning ourselves for a potential rebound, we aim to capitalize on the expected upward movement while managing our risk effectively.
Long
by FOREXN1
3
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Sight Steady IncreaseMarket Analysis: AUD/USD Sight Steady Increase AUD/USD is attempting a recovery wave from 0.6590. Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today - The Aussie Dollar found support near 0.6590 and is now recovering against the US Dollar. - There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 0.6630 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen. AUD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair dipped from the 0.6700 resistance zone. The Aussie Dollar declined below 0.6660, but the bulls were active near 0.6600 against the US Dollar. A low was formed near 0.6590 and the pair is now correcting losses. There was a move above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6704 swing high to the 0.6585 low. There was also a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 0.6630. The pair is now above 0.6660 and the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6704 swing high to the 0.6585 low at 0.6675. The first major resistance is near a rising channel at 0.6705. A clear upside break above 0.6705 could send the pair toward 0.6750. The next major resistance on the AUD/USD chart is near 0.6780, above which the price could rise toward 0.6800. Any more gains might send the pair toward 0.6820. On the downside, initial support is near 0.6660. The next support could be the 0.6630 zone or the 50-hour simple moving average. Any more losses might send the pair toward the 0.6590 support. Trade over 50 forex markets 24 hours a day with FXOpen. Take advantage of low commissions, deep liquidity, and spreads from 0.0 pips. Open your FXOpen account now or learn more about trading forex with FXOpen. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
AUDUSD Multiple Rejections of Support In this analysis, I'm examining a consolidation pattern. Price is showing signs of rejection, and therefore has the potential for (temporary) long positions. AUDUSD has been consolidating within a rectangle pattern (on the 4-hour chart) for some time. Price has previously rejected support on multiple occasions, suggesting it may do so again. We have observed a long-wick candlestick rejecting the key level of support and a breakout of the downtrend line. I will be closely monitoring price for a trend change confirmation, specifically looking for higher highs and higher lows. --- At Forexity: my trading ideas are market predictions and therefore should be viewed as such. As an intraday trader (scalper), I use my observations to identify potential trade opportunities on the higher time frames. I then aim to pinpoint key entry points on the lower time frames. Entries should always be verified by additional confirmations. --- #scalping #intraday #daytrading
Long
by Forexity
1
Bullish continuation?The Aussie (AUD/USD) has broken out of a resistance level and could potentially pull back to the pivot and bounce to the 1st resistance. Pivot: 0.6641 1st Support: 0.6592 1st Resistance: 0.6698 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
AUDUSD Technical Analysis! BUY! My dear friends, My technical analysis for AUDUSD is below: The market is trading on 0.6592 pivot level. Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bullish continuation. Target - 0.6624 Recommended Stop Loss - 0.6573 About Used Indicators: A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
AUDUSD 4hour TF -June 17th, 2024Monthly - Bearish Weekly - Bearish Daily - Ranging 4Hour - Ranging Scenario 1: We have been ranging for weeks and just found support for price action around 0.65800. Look for a higher low above the 0.66200 zone, If this happens expect AU to be move to the top of the range. Scenario 2: If the range breaks bearish look for price action to form a lower lower below the 0.65800 zone followed by an undisputed lower high. Look for rejection + bearish conviction from resistance.
by ForexLeague
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support. Pivot: 0.6641 1st Support: 0.6577 1st Resistance: 0.6675 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
AUDUSD - Do you wanna play the range?Range trading is as valid as any other, but not many traders play a range. If you are inclined to, you might want to consider this one. At least 2 touches on both sides are required to form a range and we do have that. This is not a trade recommendation. Trading carries a high level of risk, so only trade with money you can afford to lose. Anything can happen in the markets at any time. Please use sound money and risk management in all your trades. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more. Please comment and share your thoughts too!!
by Trading_Vista
4
AUDUSD → False breakdown of resistance. Ready to go down?FX:AUDUSD is forming a false break of the range resistance, but the market continues to struggle between traders. The focus is on the risk zone, the breakout of which will send the price flying downwards. The trend is neutral, after a long-range retest of 0.66676 resistance a false breakdown is formed and the buyer has no potential to go up. A retest of the local maximum is possible, but all the emphasis is on the support at 0.6648. A break of this area will be a confirmation of the buyers' loss, as well as a break of the local uptrend, which will provoke the formation of a strong bearish impulse. Resistance levels: 0.6668, 0.6715 Support levels: 0.665, 0.6558 Most likely, the buyers' strength will not be enough to pass the mentioned resistance from the first time. At the moment the seller is pushing the market and if the key support area is broken, the market will change its local mood Regards R. Linda!
Short
by RLinda
13
XAU/USD : Potential Upside After Reaction to Key Demand ZoneBy analyzing the #gold chart on the 2-hour timeframe, we observe that after the PPI news was announced yesterday, gold initially experienced a price surge. It climbed to $2327 before encountering selling pressure, leading to a correction of over 320 pips down to $2295. As previously mentioned, the $2295 to $2303 range was a significant demand zone, and the price responded positively to it. Currently, gold is trading around $2331, having broken yesterday's high. If the price stabilizes above $2327, we can anticipate further growth in gold, with the first target being the liquidity pool above $2342. Additionally, there's a Fair Value Gap (FVG) ahead that might be filled next week, ranging between $2348 and $2373. This presents an exciting opportunity for traders to watch for potential movements in the market. Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by ArmanShabanTrading
74
Looking forward to the RBA decision on TuesdayWatch out for the RBA interest rate decision, which is coming out on Tuesday. Strong moves in AUD are possible. #AUDUSD EASYMARKETS:AUDUSD Disclaimer: easyMarkets Account on TradingView allows you to combine easyMarkets industry leading conditions, regulated trading and tight fixed spreads with TradingView's powerful social network for traders, advanced charting and analytics. Access no slippage on limit orders, tight fixed spreads, negative balance protection, no hidden fees or commission, and seamless integration. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
by easyMarkets
AUDUSD continues to benefit from the return to risk assetsAUSTRALIAN DOLLAR ( OANDA:AUDUSD ) ANALYSIS - Australian inflation eases less than anticipated in March and Q1 as a whole - AUDUSD continues to benefit from the return to risk assets AUSTRALIAN INFLATION EASES LESS THAN ANTICIPATED IN Q1 Monthly, quarterly and yearly inflation measures showed disappointing progress towards the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) target. The monthly CPI indicator for May rose to 3.5% versus the prior 3.4% to round off a disappointing quarter where the first three months of the year revealed a rise of 1%, trumping the 0.8% estimate and prior marker of 0.6%. Generally higher service cost pressures in the first quarter have made a notable contribution to the stubborn inflation data – something the RBA will most likely continue to warn against. The local interest rate is expected to remain higher for longer in part due to the sluggish inflation data but also due to the labour market remaining tight. A strong labour market facilitates spending and consumption, preventing prices from declining at a desired pace. Markets now foresee no movement on the rate front this year with implied basis point moves all in positive territory for the remainder of the year. This is of course likely to evolve as data comes in but for now, the chances of a rate cut this year appear unlikely. OANDA:AUDUSD CONTINUES TO BENEFIT FROM THE RETURN TO RISK ASSETS After escalation threats between Israel and Iran appeared to die down, markets returned to assets like the S&P 500 and the ‘high beta’ Aussie dollar. AUD/USD subsequently reversed after tagging the 0.6365 level – the September 2022 spike low and surpassed 0.6460 with ease. Upside momentum appears to have found intra-day resistance at a noteworthy area of confluence resistance – the intersection of the 50 and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs). The move could also be inspired by reports of Israel preparing to move on Hamas targets in Rafah, which could risks deflating the recent lift in risk sentiment. US GDP data tomorrow and PCE data on Friday still provide an opportunity for increased volatility and a potential USD comeback should both prints surprise to the upside, further reinforcing the higher for longer narrative that has reemerged. All things considered, AUD may be susceptible to a sifter end to the week.
by Xayah_trading
AUDUSD has mainly oscillated between 0.6680 and 0.6580The Aussie dollar lost ground in the week gone by. AUD/USD has mainly oscillated between 0.6680 and 0.6580 with prices testing the lower bound this week before lifting off it. Australian GDP is due next week as well, with estimates for Q1 suggesting a stagnant start to the year with 0% quarter-on-quarter growth. AUD/USD could continue to drift lower next week due to recent upward momentum in the US dollar and a complicated growth outlook for Australia.
by Xayah_trading