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AUDUSD

Aussie H4 | Downward momentum accelerating?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.6243 which is a pullback resistance. Stop loss is at 0.6285 which is a level that sits above a pullback resistance. Take profit is at 0.6177 which is a multi-swing-low support. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
"AUD/USD Bullish Setup: Key Levels to Watch"🔹 Technical Analysis of AUD/USD (4H Chart) 🔹 Market Structure & Trend Analysis ▪️ The price is currently in an uptrend, respecting a rising trendline that has acted as dynamic support. ▪️ Multiple rejections from the trendline indicate strong bullish sentiment. ▪️ The market has broken past key resistance zones, turning them into support. 🔹 Key Support & Resistance Levels ▪️ Support Zones: ▪️ Point of Interest (POI) at 0.62900: A significant demand area where price is expected to react. ▪️ Lower Support at 0.62500: Potential fallback level if the POI fails to hold. ▪️ Resistance Zones: - 1st Target at 0.64411: Next major resistance where sellers might step in. - 2nd Target at 0.64972: A higher resistance level for extended bullish targets. 🔹 Price Action & Gaps - A previous gap in price was filled, confirming strong bullish momentum. - Retests of previous breakout zones suggest market structure is holding. 🔹 Expected Market Movement ▪️ Bullish Scenario: - A potential pullback to the trendline & POI is expected before a continuation upward. - If support holds, price may rally towards 0.64411 (1st Target) and then 0.64972 (2nd Target). ▪️ Bearish Scenario: - If the price breaks below the trendline, a move towards 0.62500 support may occur. - Further downside could invalidate the bullish bias. 🔹 Conclusion ▪️ Overall bias remains bullish unless the price breaks below the trendline support. ▪️ Watching the POI zone reaction will be crucial for potential buy opportunities. ▪️ Targets remain at 0.64411 and 0.64972 if bullish momentum continues. 😊 Don't Forget To Hit The Like Button & Share Your Ideas In Comments.
Long
by SOAM_PRO_TRADER
AUDUSD at Key Demand Zone – Potential Rebound?OANDA:AUDUSD has reached a significant demand zone, marked by historical price reactions and strong buying pressure. The recent decline has brought the price into this key support area, increasing the likelihood of a potential bullish reaction. If buyers step in and confirm support within this zone, we could see a rebound toward the 0.63260 level, aligning with a corrective move after the recent sell-off. However, a break below this demand zone would invalidate the bullish bias and could signal further downside continuation. Traders should watch for bullish confirmation signals such as rejection wicks, bullish engulfing patterns, or increased buying volume before considering long positions. Do you agree with this analysis? Let me know your thoughts!
Long
by DanieIM
1
GBPAUD - Catch This Massive 1600pip Swing Trade!GBPAUD is currently in a 335 ABC correction. We are in wave C now and expecting 5 waves. For wave C, we've seen subwave 1 and currently in subwave 2. Expecting subwave 2 to complete soon. We'll be looking for a breakdown to confirm that subwave 3 has started. We're expecting price to stay below invalidation so we'll be keeping our stops above that level for now and then moving it lower (above subwave 2) once subwave 3 has been confirmed. Trade Idea - Watch for completion of subwave 2 - Watch for lower timeframe trendline break, BOS etc, to confirm reversal - once entered, keep stops above invalidation - Targets: 1.92 (1000pips), 1.86 (1600pips) As always, trade safe!
by WicktatorFX
5
AUD/USD dip could be nearing its inflection pointAfter a 3-week rally which stalled around the 64c handle with a shooting star candle, a pullback was almost inevitable. but we have already seen AUD/USD fall for four consecutive days, and recent history shows its bearish streaks tend to max out at five down days. Given support is nearby and the AU-US 2-year yield is rising, I am now seeking a swing low around the 0.62750 - 0.6300 area for at least a minor bounce. But if the recent swing low on the US dollar index gives way, perhaps something much bigger. A break above 0.6420 opens up a run to 0.6500. Matt Simpson, Market Analyst at City Index and Forex.com
Long
by CityIndex
1
Bearish drop?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards the pivot which acts as an overlap resistance and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support. Pivot: 0.6324 1st Support: 0.6259 1st Resistance: 0.6367 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
AUD/USD – High Probability Long Setup1️⃣ Trade Execution – Why I Took the Long Position Today's AUD/USD trade was a perfect setup combining Fibonacci retracements, institutional order flow, and seasonality trends from Prime Market Terminal. The confluences aligned well for a high-probability long entry. 💡 Entry Details: ✅ Entry: 0.6380 (Key demand zone + Fibonacci golden zone) ✅ Stop Loss: 0.6365 (Below market structure) ✅ Take Profit: 0.6429 - 0.6450 (Previous supply zone & liquidity target) ✅ Risk-Reward Ratio: 3:1 🎯 Result: Currently in profit, monitoring for further upside! ✅ 2️⃣ Why This Trade Worked – A Breakdown of the Confluences 📊 Fibonacci Retracement – Textbook Pullback & Bounce Price retraced into the 61.8%-78.6% Fibonacci zone (0.6380 - 0.6365) and bounced perfectly. The bullish move followed an impulse leg, suggesting smart money accumulation in this zone. 📈 Smart Money & Order Flow – Trading with Institutions 🔹 Order flow from Prime Market Terminal shows major liquidity pools accumulating long positions. 🔹 DMX Data: 43% long vs. 57% short, indicating potential for a reversal as shorts get trapped. 🔹 COT Data: Institutional traders increasing their net long exposure on AUD. 🕵️‍♂️ Seasonality & Historical Trends Supported the Long 📊 Seasonal Prime data indicates AUD/USD historically trends higher in late February & March. 📅 Next 3-5 day forecast shows bullish probability, reinforcing the long bias. 📉 Technical Confirmation – Structure & Momentum ✅ SuperTrend flipped bullish on the 4H chart ✅ Price is trading above key moving averages (EMA 6, 24, 72, 288) ✅ Broke above short-term resistance, confirming upward momentum 3️⃣ Key Takeaways from This Trade 🔹 Trading with smart money flow and against retail sentiment increases trade probability. 🔹 Seasonality trends aligned perfectly, adding confidence in the setup. 🔹 Fibonacci, EMAs, and Prime Market Terminal data provided a precise entry. 🔹 Patience and risk management ensured a well-executed trade. 📌 Final Thoughts – What’s Next for AUD/USD? 🚀 With this bullish breakout, I’m looking for further longs on dips, targeting the 0.6450 - 0.6480 zone. 👀 What’s your outlook on AUD/USD? Are you long or short? Let’s discuss in the comments! 🔗 Follow me for more institutional trade setups & contrarian trading ideas!
Long
by LDForex_
AUD/USD drops to test key support after weak Aussie CPIThe AUD/USD has fallen about 0.5% on the session, making it among the weakest of currency pairs so far in today's session. We had some weaker data from Australia overnight in the form of CPI, coming in at 2.5% vs. 2.6% eyed, and construction work done was half the expected rate at 0.5% q/q. The focus will turn to the US side of the equation as we head deeper into the week with GDP, Core PCE and a few other data releases to come. From a technical viewpoint, the AUD/USD is testing a key support zone around 0.6300, which needs to hold on a closing basis to keep the bulls happy. This level was resistance and could turn into support given the recent bullish price action. Here, the 21-day exponential average also comes into focus. If we see a nice rebound here, this could set the stage for a continuation towards 0.6400 and then 0.6500 thereafter. Let's await a bullish reversal here before potentially looking for setups, at least on the lower time frames. By Fawad Razaqzada, market analyst with FOREX.com
by FOREXcom
DeGRAM | AUDUSD came out of the channelAUDUSD is above the descending channel between the trend lines. The price has already consolidated above the descending channel and is now moving from the dynamic resistance. The chart is approaching the dynamic support, which previously acted as a growth point. We expect the growth to continue after the retest of the lower trend line. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
AUDUSD Will Move Higher! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD. Time Frame: 9h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.632. Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.640. P.S Overbought describes a period of time where there has been a significant and consistent upward move in price over a period of time without much pullback. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
Aussie H4 | Potential bullish bounceThe Aussie (AUD/USD) ) is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 0.6323 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 0.6290 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 0.6376 which is a swing-high resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
Could the Aussie bounce from here?The price is reacting off the support level which is an overlap support ad could bounce from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6324 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6301 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Take profit: 0.6373 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Australian dollar awaiting inflation dataThe Australian dollar is steady after two straight losing trading days.  In the North American session, AUD/USD is trading at 0.6343, down 0.09% on the day. Australia releases the consumer price index for January on Wednesday. Inflation has been moving higher, as CPI accelerated in December to 2.5% y/y, up from 2.3% and its highest level since August.  The market estimate for January stands at 2.6%. Inflation remains within the Reserve Bank of Australia's target band of 2%-3% but the central bank remains concerned about upside risks to inflation.  The RBA finally lowered rates last week after maintaining rates for over a year and joined most of the major central banks which are in the midst of an easing cycle.  The RBA delivered a "hawkish cut" as the central bank stated it "remains cautious" on the possibility of further cuts and the markets aren't expecting a rate cut before May. The latest headache for RBA policymakers is the Trump administration which has hit China with tariffs and threatened to apply tariffs to other trading partners.  This could lead to another trade war with China which would likely raise inflation and hurt China's economy.  China is Australia's largest trading partner and a slowdown in China would hurt Australia's key export sector. The US releases the Conference Board consumer confidence index later today. The market estimate stands at 102.5 for January, down from 104.1 in December. The US consumer is spending, as retail sales for December rose 0.4% m/m and 5.5% annualized from November. The labor market is strong, wages are outpacing inflation and the economy is humming. This rosy picture means that the Federal Reserve isn't under pressure to lower rates and the markets aren't expecting another rate cut before June. AUD/USD tested support at 0.6331 earlier.  Below, there is support at 0.6314 0.6362 and 0.6379 are the next resistance lines
by OANDA
USD/JPY : Another Bearish Move Ahead ? (READ CAPTION)The USD/JPY daily chart confirms that the price followed our analysis precisely, dropping from the expected zone and completing a 500+ pip correction, hitting all three targets: 152.70, 151.70, and 151, before reaching 148.00. I anticipate a short upward move before another potential decline. The next probable target for USD/JPY is 148.65. Keep an eye on price action for confirmation! THE LATEST ANALYSIS : Please support me with your likes and comments to motivate me to share more analysis with you and share your opinion about the possible trend of this chart with me ! Best Regards , Arman Shaban
Short
by ArmanShabanTrading
13
This is a 4-hour chart of AUD/USD with key technical levels and Market Analysis Structure & Trend: The market previously broke structure (BOS) to the upside, signaling an uptrend. However, the price is now retracing toward a demand zone (gray area), possibly forming a higher low for continuation. Key Levels: Support (Demand Zone): 0.63250 – 0.63050 Resistance (Supply Zone): 0.64500 Liquidity & Order Blocks: Buyers may step in at the demand zone (0.63250 - 0.63050). Sellers will be active at 0.64500 if price reaches resistance. 📊 Trade Setup Recommendations ✅ Buy Setup (Long Position) 📍 Entry: 0.63250 (First level) or 0.63050 (Deeper pullback) 🎯 Targets: TP1: 0.63650 TP2: 0.64000 ⛔ Stop Loss: Below 0.62800 📌 Trade Idea: Wait for bullish confirmations (engulfing candles, wicks rejecting support). If price reacts strongly at 0.63250, enter with confidence. ❌ Sell Setup (Short Position) 📍 Entry: 0.64500 (Major Resistance) 🎯 Targets: TP1: 0.63650 TP2: 0.63250 ⛔ Stop Loss: Above 0.64700 📌 Trade Idea: If price rallies and rejects the 0.64500 zone with bearish price action, short it. Look for BOS confirmation and bearish engulfing candles. 📢 Final Thoughts If 0.63250 holds, the market is bullish → Look for buys. If price breaks 0.63250, expect further downside → Avoid longs. Best setup: Buy at demand zone (0.63250) or short from 0.64500.
Short
by forexcitysignal
Analyzing the Australian Dollar: A Bearish Outlook for AUD/USDRecent developments in the Australian economy, particularly the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) decision to trim its policy rate by 25 basis points to 4.10%, have sparked discussions among traders and analysts regarding the future trajectory of the Australian Dollar (AUD), especially in relation to the US Dollar (USD). This move, while anticipated, has implications that could shape market sentiment in the coming weeks. RBA Rate Decision: Implications for AUD The RBA's decision to cut the interest rate signals a cautious stance towards Australia's economic conditions. Although the RBA specified that this rate reduction should not be interpreted as the onset of a broader easing cycle, the act of lowering rates typically suggests underlying concerns about economic growth and inflation. Lower interest rates can diminish the attractiveness of a currency, as they often lead to lower yields on assets denominated in that currency. In the current environment, where other central banks may be maintaining or raising rates to combat inflation, the RBA’s rate cut could position the AUD unfavorably against its peers. Traders may interpret this move as a reflection of economic weakness, prompting a more bearish sentiment toward the AUD in the forex market. Technical Analysis: AUD/USD Supply Area and COT Report Recent technical analysis indicates that the AUD/USD pair has triggered a supply area, aligning with insights from the Commitments of Traders (COT) report. The COT report illustrates that retail traders are predominantly holding long positions on the AUD, suggesting a potential mismatch between retail sentiment and market dynamics. When retail traders are heavily long, it can sometimes signal exhaustion in upward momentum, setting the stage for a bearish reversal. Furthermore, forecasting models indicate the possibility of an emerging bearish trend for the AUD/USD pair. Given these elements confluence—the RBA’s rate cut, the transition into a supply area on the charts, and the current positioning of traders—the market may be primed for a bearish impulse. In conclusion, the AUD appears to be facing headwinds in the near term. The recent rate cut by the RBA, coupled with retail traders’ long positions and our forecasting indicators suggesting potential bearish momentum, paints a challenging picture for the Australian Dollar. Traders should remain vigilant and prepared to act on signals that suggest a continuation of this bearish trend. ✅ Please share your thoughts about AUD/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
7
Bullish bounce?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance which has been identified as a pullback resistance. Pivot: 0.6323 1st Support: 0.6260 1st Resistance: 0.6402 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
3