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AUDUSD

Will the better-than-expected employment data revert AUD's trend+ Macro theme: The RBA kept rates at 4.35%, sounding more optimistic about inflation and hinting at future cuts. But Thu's job numbers might spoil those plans—Unemployment Rate dropped to 3.9%, showing a surprisingly strong labor market. This hot jobs data could push back those early 2025 rate-cut forecasts many have been making. + Technical theme: - AUDUSD found support and bounced above 0.6365. The price is within the descending channel and below both EMAs, indicating a bearish momentum persists. - If AUDUSD extends its decline below 0.6365, the price may retest the subsequent support at 0.6300, confluence with the 100% level of Fibonacci Extension. - On the contrary, if AUDUSD surges above 0.6474, breaking its descending channel and EMA21, the price may retest the following resistance around 0.6560. Analysis by: Dat Tong, Senior Financial Markets Strategist at Exness
by DatTong
AUDUSD Is Going Up! Long! Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD. Time Frame: 4h Current Trend: Bullish Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI) Forecast: Bullish The market is on a crucial zone of demand 0.634. The oversold market condition in a combination with key structure gives us a relatively strong bullish signal with goal 0.639 level. P.S The term oversold refers to a condition where an asset has traded lower in price and has the potential for a price bounce. Overbought refers to market scenarios where the instrument is traded considerably higher than its fair value. Overvaluation is caused by market sentiments when there is positive news. Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
Long
by SignalProvider
1
AUDUSD ShortAUD/USD remains in a bearish trend, with recent price action aligning with technical and fundamental signals. Traders are watching US PPI data today for potential market-moving insights. Technical Setup Using Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Fibonacci retracement, the 0.71–0.79 Fibonacci zone stands out as a key resistance level, supported by a Fair Value Gap (FVG) from the last swing high. Price is testing the 50% Fibonacci level, creating an opportunity for a short trade. Trade Plan Entry: 0.7120 (near the 0.75 Fibonacci level). Stop Loss: 0.64729 (above the 0.79 Fibonacci level for risk protection). Take Profit: 0.63378 (targeting below the Fair Value Gap for a clean exit). Risk/Reward Insights This setup offers a Risk/Reward Ratio of 1:3, with a risk of 64.7 pips to potentially gain 192.1 pips. Disclaimer Trading involves significant risk. Always trade with a clear plan, implement stop-loss orders, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. This analysis is not financial advice—trade responsibly and stay informed. Follow for more actionable trading insights and strategies!
Short
by InwardTrader
AUDUSD ShortAUD/USD remains in a bearish trend, with recent price action aligning with technical and fundamental signals. Traders are watching US PPI data today for potential market-moving insights. Technical Setup Using Smart Money Concepts (SMC) and Fibonacci retracement, the 0.71–0.79 Fibonacci zone stands out as a key resistance level, supported by a Fair Value Gap (FVG) from the last swing high. Price is testing the 50% Fibonacci level, creating an opportunity for a short trade. Trade Plan Entry: 0.7120 (near the 0.75 Fibonacci level). Stop Loss: 0.64729 (above the 0.79 Fibonacci level for risk protection). Take Profit: 0.63378 (targeting below the Fair Value Gap for a clean exit). Risk/Reward Insights This setup offers a Risk/Reward Ratio of 1:3, with a risk of 64.7 pips to potentially gain 192.1 pips. Disclaimer Trading involves significant risk. Always trade with a clear plan, implement stop-loss orders, and never risk more than you can afford to lose. This analysis is not financial advice—trade responsibly and stay informed. Follow for more actionable trading insights and strategies!
Short
by InwardTrader
Objectives complete and now we have new plans... AUDUSDGreetings fellow traders! All the major targets marked in the previous idea have been achieved. The new plan for now is observing what the market does. We do have a bullish Purge and Revert in progress in AUDUSD on the daily. Long till 0.64700. Apart from that, we also have a daily volume imbalance which would draw price towards it. Attaching the daily chart for reference. Have an insightful trading week ahead! Disclaimer- All content is for educational purposes only and not trading advice.
Long
by SatyajeetSahai
FORECAST UPDATES: How Are We Doing? Were We Accurate?Tuesday Dec. 10, 2024. Here are the updates to the Weekly Forex Forecast posted Saturday. We'll see if the forecasts were right on point and working out... or if we were just plain wrong. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
COMEX:HG1!
by RT_Money
AUDUSD 1DAYAUDUSD Daily Analysis The AUDUSD pair is trading near a significant support level on the daily chart, where buyers have historically stepped in to drive prices higher. This key zone suggests a potential bullish reversal, making it an attractive area for a buy opportunity. Technical Outlook: Pattern: Support Forecast: Bullish (Buy Opportunity) Entry Strategy: Enter a buy position near the support level after confirming bullish price action signals. Traders should monitor for reversal patterns such as a bullish engulfing candlestick or indicators like RSI signaling oversold conditions. Proper risk management is essential, with stop-loss orders placed below the support level to guard against potential breakdowns. Targets can be set at the next resistance levels for potential profit.
Long
by PIPSFIGHTER
1
AUDUSD→At Critical Support Level's Could It Drop Further ?OrNot!FX:AUDUSD The AUD/USD chart reveals that since late October, the pair has been in a downtrend. This is largely driven by monetary policy differences: while the Federal Reserve has begun cutting interest rates, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has yet to initiate rate reductions. Tomorrow, the RBA will announce its decision on interest rates. All 44 economists surveyed by Reuters expect the rate to remain at 4.35%, given persistently high core inflation (3.5%) and low unemployment. Previously, experts forecasted rate cuts in the first quarter of 2025. However, most now anticipate reductions no earlier than the second quarter, as the RBA focuses on bringing inflation back to its 2–3% target range.
by MarketAnalyzar
AUDUSD: UT Curve Analysis (20D)OVERVIEW The analysis of AUDUSD combines multi-timeframe technical insights, oscillator, and moving average indicators. This report serves to aid both strategic and tactical decision-making by position, swing, and day traders. Multi-Timeframe Price Analysis: Position (Wealth) Traders: Range: Pivot Low @ 0.55086 to Pivot High @ 1.10805 Trend: Long-term uptrend Treatment: Quarternary; used to align with long-term investment goals. Long-Term Swing Traders: Range: Pivot Low @ 0.55086 to Pivot High @ 0.95052 Trend: Long-term uptrend Treatment: Tertiary; aligns with monthly chart trends and broader market sentiment. Swing Traders: Range: Pivot Low @ 0.61702 to Pivot High @ 0.80072 Trend: Early stages of an uptrend Key Levels: TP4 @ 0.7639 TP1 @ 0.6776 BLO1 @ 0.6457 BLO2 @ 0.6262 Treatment: Primary; expected to host the most significant price action. Day Traders: Range: Pivot Low @ 0.61702 to Pivot High @ 0.71578 Trend: Beginning of the uptrend Treatment: Secondary; used for daily volatility trades. RECOMMENDATIONS: Strategic Trading: Position traders should monitor the 0.90000–1.10000 range for long-term buy opportunities, but ONLY if they are aligned with economic fundamentals. Long-term swing traders can set buy limits around 0.65000 and aim for TP before Resistance around 0.80000. Tactical Trading: Swing traders should prioritize 0.6457 (BLO1) and 0.6776 (TP1) for buy orders, taking advantage of primary range volatility. Day traders can exploit intraday support at 0.6262 and resistance around 0.71578.
Long
by ProfessorCEWard
AUDUSD Bearish Setup in ProgressAUDUSD has been in a steady downtrend and recently formed a potential supply zone (purple area) around $0.64600. Price action suggests a bearish reaction at this zone, with the potential for lower highs before a continuation to the downside. Liquidity below $0.64000 is the next probable target as sellers dominate the market. The setup favors waiting for price to tap into the supply zone, showing clear rejection signs before executing shorts. A break below recent lows would confirm bearish momentum, with further downside targets in the $0.64000.
Short
by TopGBanks
AUD/USD soars as China's inflation dipsThe Australian dollar continues to takes traders on a roller-coaster. AUD/USD has surged 0.85% on Monday, recovering most of the 1% decline on Friday. In the European session, the Australian dollar is trading at 0.6443 at the time of writing. The week ended with a rebound from US nonfarm payrolls. In November, nonfarm payrolls climbed by 227 thousand, above the market estimate of 200 thousand. This followed a very weak October report, which was revised upwards to 36 thousand from 12 thousand. The unemployment rate ticked higher to 4.2% as expected, up from 4.1% in October. The employment data has raised expectations of a quarter-point hike at the Dec. 18 meeting, with the odds currently at 87%, up sharply from 62% a week ago. The Australian dollar took a tumble after the strong nonfarm payroll numbers, but has quickly recovered after China's inflation was lower than expected. In November, CPI eased to 0.2% y/y, down from 0.3% in October and short of the market estimate of 0.5%. Monthly, CPI declined by 0.6%, down from -0.3% in October and lower than the market estimate of -0.6%. The weak Chinese inflation data has raised expectations that China's central bank will respond by lowering interest rates. That would help boost the economy and increase demand for Australian exports and  the Australian dollar has responded with sharp gains today. The Reserve Bank of Australia  meets on Dec. 10 and is widely expected to maintain the cash rate at 4.35%, where it has been for over a year. The markets aren’t expecting a rate cut before May 2025, although a surprise decline in inflation in the coming months could push the central bank to lower rates in Q1 2025. AUD/USD has pushed above resistance at 0.6407 and is testing resistance at 0.6492. Above, there is resistance at 0.6492 0.6356 and 0.6322 are the next support lines
by OANDA
1
AUD/USD at a Critical Support LevelAUD/USD at a Critical Support Level The AUD/USD chart reveals that since late October, the pair has been in a downtrend. This is largely driven by monetary policy differences: while the Federal Reserve has begun cutting interest rates, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has yet to initiate rate reductions. Tomorrow, the RBA will announce its decision on interest rates. All 44 economists surveyed by Reuters expect the rate to remain at 4.35%, given persistently high core inflation (3.5%) and low unemployment. Previously, experts forecasted rate cuts in the first quarter of 2025. However, most now anticipate reductions no earlier than the second quarter, as the RBA focuses on bringing inflation back to its 2–3% target range. Meanwhile, the AUD/USD chart highlights that the price is sitting at a key support level (marked by a red line), which has already reversed the pair upward three times since the latter half of 2022 (indicated with arrows). Tomorrow's crucial RBA decision is likely to strongly influence whether this support will manage to reverse the price upward for the fourth time. Monday's robust price action suggests that another upward reversal is possible. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
2
Will the Australian Dollar Survive the Perfect Economic Storm?In the intricate dance of global financial markets, the Australian dollar stands at a critical crossroads, facing a confluence of economic challenges that threaten its stability. The convergence of complex factors—including the Federal Reserve's cautious monetary policy, China's economic headwinds, and Australia's domestic economic pressures—creates a perfect storm of uncertainty that challenges traditional economic assumptions and investor strategies. The current landscape reveals a nuanced battleground where geopolitical tensions, central bank decisions, and macroeconomic indicators intersect with unprecedented complexity. Projections suggest the Australian dollar could potentially decline to 62 cents against the U.S. dollar in early 2025, a forecast that speaks to deeper structural challenges facing the Australian economy. The Reserve Bank of Australia's delicate balancing act—managing persistent inflation, maintaining economic growth, and responding to global economic shifts—epitomizes the sophisticated challenges confronting modern monetary policy. Beyond just numbers, this economic narrative reflects a significant test of resilience and adaptability. Investors and economic strategists face a unique moment of transformation, where conventional economic models are being challenged by unprecedented global dynamics. The interaction between U.S. monetary policy, China's economic challenges, and Australia's domestic economic strategy creates an intriguing intellectual puzzle that requires sophisticated analysis and a forward-thinking approach. As the global economic landscape continues to evolve, the Australian dollar's journey becomes a microcosm of broader economic transformations. This is not simply a story of currency fluctuation, but a testament to the complex, interconnected nature of global financial systems—where every decision, from central bank policies to geopolitical strategies, can send rippling consequences through international markets. The true measure of economic strength lies not in avoiding challenges but in the ability to navigate them with insight, agility, and strategic foresight.
Short
by signalmastermind
The Aussie has a strong bearish momentum, could it drop further?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6421 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6455 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level. Take profit: 0.6372 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets