AUDUSD(20250414)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
Fed Collins: It is currently expected that the Fed will need to keep interest rates unchanged for a longer period of time. If necessary, the Fed is "absolutely" ready to help stabilize the market; Kashkari: No serious chaos has been seen yet, and the Fed should intervene cautiously only in truly urgent situations; Musallem: The Fed should be wary of continued inflation driven by tariffs.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
0.6256
Support and resistance levels:
0.6374
0.6330
0.6301
0.6210
0.6182
0.6138
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 0.6301, consider buying, the first target price is 0.6330
If the price breaks through 0.6256, consider selling, the first target price is 0.6210
AUDUSD
Week of 4/13/25: AUDUSD AnalysisDaily bias is bullish, prior week ended bullish with a V shape recovery showing that bulls are in control. As always our MTF internal structure dictates our immediate bias (bullish) and until it breaks, we're continuing our longs.
Price is reaching an important level at the extreme of the HTF supply level so once price gets there, it's good to see what happens next.
Major News: Unemployment Claims - Thursday
AUDUSD: Expecting Bearish Movement! Here is Why:
The analysis of the AUDUSD chart clearly shows us that the pair is finally about to tank due to the rising pressure from the sellers.
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Bitcoin is not going back to 100k anytime soon!!Good day traders, back against it with this bitcoin idea I’m currently on back on what price has shown us in recent weeks.
1W- Here price is still very much bearish as we can see that the market is in an expansion meaning any idea of price moving higher is what we all wish for but price does not care so overall here we bearish and need to be ready alert to price always wanting to move higher by taking recent highs.
4H- Now here we can see price shot higher for the liquidity that was resting above the recent broken highs, keeping in mind that our weekly bias is still bearish we than wanna see a shift in structure on the 1 hour TF to give us our first confirmation of many confirmations we use to come at a decision. After price respects our idea than we wanna see price go take the equal lows(Sellside liquidity) below.
Now I wanna make this bold prediction, and it’s my opinion by the way it’s not a fact or anything like that right. In my opinion I don’t think bitcoin will see 100k for the rest of 2025. And my prediction is based on my analysis only!!
AUDUSD Technical Analysis! SELL!
My dear friends,
My technical analysis for AUDUSD is below:
The market is trading on 0.6377 pivot level.
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Both Super Trend & Pivot HL indicate a highly probable Bearish continuation.
Target - 0.6324
Recommended Stop Loss - 0.6403
About Used Indicators:
A pivot point is a technical analysis indicator, or calculations, used to determine the overall trend of the market over different time frames.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
AUD_USD BULLISH BREAKOUT|LONG|
✅AUD_USD is going up now
And the pair made a bullish
Breakout of the key horizontal
Level of 0.6200 which is now
A support and the breakout
Is confirmed so we are locally
Bullish biased and we will be
Expecting a further move up
After a potential pullback
LONG🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
AUD/USD - Sellers remain in control!The AUD/USD pair has been in a clear and consistent downtrend on both the 4-hour and daily timeframes. Sellers have maintained firm control over price action, driving the pair lower while it continues to respect the prevailing bearish market structure. Each failed bullish attempt further validates the dominance of the bears, reinforcing the narrative that the path of least resistance remains to the downside.
Recently, however, the 4-hour chart witnessed a sharp move to the upside, tapping into and filling a previously unmitigated 4H Fair Value Gap (FVG). Despite this temporary rally, the broader structure remains bearish, with the market still printing lower highs and lower lows, a classic hallmark of a sustained downtrend. As such, the current momentum favors a continuation lower, potentially targeting the green imbalance/FVG zone on the 4H timeframe, which aligns with the next logical area of liquidity.
This green FVG also coincides with the golden pocket retracement zone (61.8%–65%), adding confluence and strengthening its validity as a potential support area. A reaction here could provide an opportunity for a short-term bullish correction or even the start of a larger reversal, depending on how price behaves around this level.
That said, a bullish scenario is not entirely off the table. Should price decisively break above the red FVG to the upside, and ideally close above it with conviction, it may signal a potential shift in market sentiment. This would be the first sign of buyers regaining control, suggesting a possible trend reversal or at least a deeper retracement toward higher time frame resistance zones.
Until such confirmation is seen, however, bearish momentum prevails. Traders can continue to favor short setups, with particular interest around premium zones on the 4H chart. Any bullish setups should be approached cautiously and ideally considered only at key areas of support like the green FVG, especially where it aligns with high-probability fib levels.
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AUDUSDWe await a retest and withdrawal of liquidity and a correction to the area we specified at points 0.6135 and 0.61084. From this area, we wait for a confirmation candle and a buy entry, targeting 0.62555. But noticing any movement in the market may change the goals. This is a region, so we will wait and see what update we publish.
AUDUSD Will Fall! Sell!
Please, check our technical outlook for AUDUSD.
Time Frame: 1D
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 0.622.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 0.602.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
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AUD/USD Breakdown: Bears in ControlThe AUD/USD pair has officially broken below its medium-term ascending channel on the daily chart, signaling a strong shift in momentum. After failing to hold above the resistance zone at 0.6311 – 0.6386, the pair reversed sharply and is now trading around 0.6213.
🔍 Key technical highlights:
A confirmed breakout beneath the channel support, accompanied by strong bearish candles, suggests growing seller dominance.
Both the EMA 34 and EMA 89 are now positioned well above the current price, reinforcing a medium-term bearish trend.
A potential short-term pullback to the 0.6240 – 0.6266 area may occur before further downside continuation.
📉 Next downside target: If bearish momentum persists and price fails to reclaim the broken support, the pair is likely to slide toward the marked support at 0.59142.
💬 With the USD gaining strength amid hawkish Fed expectations and the AUD facing domestic economic headwinds, selling the rallies remains the favored strategy in the current environment.
AUDUSD(20250411)Today's AnalysisMarket news:
The annual rate of the US CPI in March was 2.4%, a six-month low, lower than the market expectation of 2.6%. The market almost fully priced in the Fed's interest rate cut in June. Trump said inflation has fallen.
Technical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
0.6195
Support and resistance levels:
0.6328
0.6278
0.6246
0.6144
0.6112
0.6062
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 0.6246, consider buying, the first target price is 0.6278
If the price breaks through 0.6195, consider selling, the first target price is 0.6144
Bearish drop?The Aussie (AUD/USD) is reacting off the pivot and could reverse to the 1st support which lines up with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Pivot: 0.6228
1st Support: 0.6130
1st Resistance: 0.6314
CAD/JPY is falling towards the pivot which is a pullback support and could bounce to the pullback resistance.
Pivot: 102.61
1st Support: 101.62
1st Resistance: 103.68
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AUDUSD Long – Fair Value Gap + Macro Confluence + Bullish LEI AUDUSD Swing Long Setup – Technical + Macro Confluence
✅ Bias: Long AUD/SD
Based on a multi-factor thesis:
Macro: RBA steady; AUD LEI rising steadily (87 → 96), Endogenous improving
USD Weakness: Fed dovish + GDP downgraded = downside pressure
Seasonality: USD historically weak entire April
BTC/USD more sells incoming? 66k?!Good morning traders, I’m back again with another beauty guys!! I’m sure everyone is asking what’s happening in the markets recently, well Trump(era) is happening.
Back to the charts, here I have a 1 hour TF, yesterday we saw very big moves in price following the news that the tariffs are on hold, but that doesn’t or shouldn’t take always our market sentiments and our biases we had coming into this new week.
This setup is basically a continuation set up but for now I’m only focusing on the relative equal lows because we understand that’s there is sell stops resting below those lows. For the rest of the day we can expect price to deliver lower price for the rest of the week but my question is this…can price drop to the 66k level?
Good luck traders and remember we study price and time not technical analysis!
AUDUSD(20250410)Today's AnalysisToday's buying and selling boundaries:
0.6079
Support and resistance levels:
0.6339
0.6242
0.6179
0.5980
0.5917
0.5820
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 0.6179, consider buying, the first target price is 0.6242
If the price breaks through 0.6079, consider selling, the first target price is 0.5980
Could the Aussie reverse from here?The price is rising towards the resistance level which is a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit.
Entry: 0.6206
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss: 0.6321
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level.
Take profit: 0.6067
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level.
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AUD/USD Bearish Trade Setup – Trendline Rejection & SBR Zone📉 Trendline & Market Structure
🔵 Downward trendline connects lower highs (🔴🔴🔴), showing a bearish trend.
🔵 Price is forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming the downtrend.
🟦 SBR Zone (Support Became Resistance)
🔵 SBR Zone (🟦) was previously a support but now acts as resistance.
🔵 Price is testing this area → Possible rejection and move down.
📌 Trade Setup
✅ Entry: Short (Sell) near SBR zone if rejection occurs.
❌ Stop Loss: 0.60650 (🔺 Above SBR Zone)
🎯 Target Point: 0.59150 (🔻 Downside goal)
📉 Potential Drop: -2.08% (-125.4 pips)
📊 Confirmation Checklist
✔️ Price must reject 🟦 SBR Zone.
✔️ Bearish candles like Pin Bars or Engulfing confirm entry.
✔️ DEMA (9) at 0.60175 → If price drops below, trade is valid.
⚠️ Risk Management
🚀 Good Risk-to-Reward Ratio → Worth considering if rejection occurs.
🔄 Invalidation: If price breaks above 0.60650, setup is canceled.
Aussie H1 | Rising into a multi-swing-high resistanceThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 0.6079 which is a multi-swing-high resistance that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 0.6140 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and a swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 0.5944 which is a multi-swing-low support.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
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AUDUSD Double Bottom PatternFenzoFx—AUD/USD formed a double bottom pattern with the immediate support at $0.5932. From a technical perspective, a new consolidation phase toward $0.6085 resistance is imminent if the price holds above the support.
Conversely, the bullish outlook should be invalidated if bears push the AUD/USD prices below the $0.5932 support. If this scenario unfolds, the downtrend will be triggered, targeting $0.5850.
>>> Trade Forex with Low spread, and No swap at FenzoFx
AUD/USD Supply Zone Rejection Trade Setup🔵 Supply Zone → (Blue highlighted area) The price is expected to reverse from here.
🔹 Entry Point → 0.60610 📍 (Marked with a blue line) The trade is planned to start here.
🟠 Stop Loss → 0.60934 ❌ (Marked with an orange line) If the price goes above this, the trade will be exited to prevent further loss.
🔻 Target Point → 0.59400 🎯 (Marked at the bottom) Expected profit zone if the trade moves as planned.
📉 Trade Plan:
✅ Short position (Sell trade) expected to drop from the supply zone.
🚀 Risk-to-reward ratio looks good as the potential profit is higher than the risk.
⚠️ Risk Factor: If price breaks above the supply zone, the setup might fail.
Eur/Usd sell setup update!!Good day traders, we back again we another beauty of a setup well Atleast I like to believe that😂.
Eur/Usd a set was posted here by me on TradingView before market opened on Monday and if you go look at that set up today’s move was seen before hand and now that price went higher, we can now expect to see price move lower for the rest of the week to our liquidity resting below(equal lows). On the 4 hour price just broke structure higher solidifying a low that we want to see get broken during today trading day.
As soon as price breaks structure lower on the LTF’s than we have a alert to enter our shorts, good luck and have a wonderful day✌️
My name is Teboho Matla but you don’t know me yet…
AUDUSD(20250409)Today's AnalysisTechnical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries:
0.5996
Support and resistance levels:
0.6135
0.6083
0.6049
0.5943
0.5909
0.5857
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 0.5996, consider buying, the first target price is 0.6049
If the price breaks through 0.5943, consider selling, the first target price is 0.5909