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AUDUSD

Potential bearish drop?The Aussie (AUD/USD) has reacted off the pivot and could drop to the 1st support which is a pullback support. Pivot: 0.6335 1st Support: 0.6203 1st Resistance: 0.6401 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Short
by ICmarkets
AUDUSD H4 I Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart, the price is approaching our sell entry level at 0.6331, a pullback resistance that aligns with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. A rejection at this level could drive prices lower toward our take profit at 0.6261, a pullback support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibo retracement. The stop loss is set at 0.6373, a pullback resistance. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (fxcm.com/uk): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (fxcm.com/eu): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (fxcm.com/au): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at fxcm.com/au Stratos Global LLC (fxcm.com/markets): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
AUD/USD at Critical Support – Breakout or Breakdown? 🔍 AUD/USD Daily Chart Analysis – March 9, 2025 Key Observations: Ascending Channel 📈 The price is moving within an upward channel, indicating a short-term bullish trend. Support & Resistance Zones 🟦🟥 Support: Around 0.6231 - 0.6200 (blue zone). A breakdown below this could push the price lower toward 0.6129 (orange zone). Resistance: The 0.6460 - 0.6584 level is the next major hurdle for bulls. 200-Day Moving Average (Red Line) 🔴 The price is currently below the 200-MA, indicating a long-term bearish sentiment. However, a breakout above this level could signal a trend reversal. Potential Scenarios 📊 ✅ Bullish Case: If the price sustains above 0.6231, we could see a bounce towards 0.6460 - 0.6584 in the coming weeks. ❌ Bearish Case: A break below 0.6231 could push the price toward the 0.6129 - 0.6100 region before finding support. Trade Plan 🎯 Buy Zone: Around 0.6231 with a stop-loss below 0.6200. Sell Zone: If price rejects 0.6460, a short position could be considered with a stop above 0.6584. 📊 Conclusion: AUD/USD is at a key decision point. Bulls need to hold support for further upside. A breakdown could trigger a bearish move.
Long
by MrStellanSight
#AUDUSD 1DAYAUDUSD (1D Timeframe) Analysis Market Structure: The price has successfully broken above the trendline resistance, indicating a potential shift towards bullish momentum. This breakout suggests that buyers are gaining strength and further upward movement can be expected. Forecast: A buy opportunity may arise as long as the price sustains above the broken trendline, confirming the breakout. Key Levels to Watch: - Entry Zone: Consider a buy position after a successful retest of the broken trendline or upon confirmation of bullish momentum. - Risk Management: - Stop Loss: Placed below the retest level or recent swing low to manage risk. - Take Profit: Targeting key resistance levels based on historical price action. Market Sentiment: The breakout above the trendline resistance signals a positive market sentiment. A retest and sustained move above the breakout level can strengthen the bullish outlook.
Long
by PIPSFIGHTER
Bearish drop?AUD/USD is rising towards the resistance level which his a pullback resistance that lines up with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could drop from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6331 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6372 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 0.6262 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that line sup with the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
AUDJPY - Growing SHORTS! Big Move Ahead!In one of our last AUDJPY analysis, we indicated that price looked foppish. Since then, we've had almost a 2000pip drop! That big drop can be marked as wave 1 in our new bearish impulsive trend. We are now in Wave 2, which is an ABC correction. We have completed Wave A (3 waves). We are now in Wave B (3 waves). We're currently in subwave b of wave B. Expecting subwave c to appear very soon. Trade Idea: - Watch for bearish price action on lower timeframe - You can use trendline break, fibs or BOS to find the reversal point - When entered, put stops above subwave B. - Target: 91 (750pips) 4Week Chart Goodluck and as always, trade safe! See our previous setups below:
by WicktatorFX
AUDUSD - Wyckoff Up-Thrust on Fib 78.6 - Speed Index readingThis is how you can use Speed Index and Plutus signal to confirm a Wyckoff Up-Thrust The methodology: 1. Location: if 61.8 Fib does not provide resistance 78.6 is stronger 2. It all started with a Fast Up wave (FU) with Speed Index 0.5F (fake move) 3. The down wave followed with an Abnormal Speed Index of 2.0S (first Push Down) which means that we could have sellers coming in. 4. On next up wave look at bottom indicator PVR where as price increases volume increases = more sellers coming at the top (SI:1.8) 5. Finally Plutus shows the entry with a WU signal (Wyckoff Up-Thrust) Enjoy
Short
by TradeTheVolumeWaves
Aussie H4 | Approaching overlap resistanceThe Aussie (AUD/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower. Sell entry is at 0.6356 which is an overlap resistance that aligns close to a 78.6% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss is at 0.6420 which is a level that sits above a swing-high resistance. Take profit is at 0.6247 which is an overlap support that aligns close to a 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Short
by FXCM
AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (0.62000) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: Primary Target - 0.64500 (or) Escape Before the Target Secondary Target - 0.66000 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook before start the plan. AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors. 🟠Fundamental Analysis Australian Economic Growth: Australia's economic growth is expected to remain steady, driven by the country's strong mining sector. US Economic Growth: The US economic growth is expected to slow down, due to the ongoing trade tensions and weak domestic demand. Interest Rate Differential: The interest rate differential between Australia and the US is expected to narrow, with Australia's interest rate at 3.1% and the US interest rate at 5.25%. 🟣Macro Economics Inflation Rate: Australia's inflation rate is expected to remain steady at 2.5%, while the US inflation rate is expected to decrease to 2.2%. Unemployment Rate: Australia's unemployment rate is expected to remain steady at 3.7%, while the US unemployment rate is expected to increase to 3.7%. Global Trade: The ongoing trade tensions between the US and China are expected to have a minimal impact on the AUD/USD market. 🟡Global Market Analysis Forex Market: The global forex market is experiencing a moderate increase in volatility, with the AUD/USD pair experiencing a 0.5% increase in the last 24 hours. Commodity Market: The global commodity market is experiencing a moderate increase, with iron ore prices increasing by 1.2% in the last 24 hours. Stock Market: The global stock market is experiencing a moderate decrease, with the S&P 500 index decreasing by 0.3% in the last 24 hours. 🔵COT Data Speculators (Non-Commercials): 60,000 long positions and 40,000 short positions. Hedgers (Commercials): 40,000 long positions and 60,000 short positions. 🟠Intermarket Analysis Correlation with NZD/USD: AUD/USD has a positive correlation with NZD/USD, indicating that a strong New Zealand dollar could boost AUD/USD prices. Correlation with Commodities: AUD/USD has a positive correlation with commodities, indicating that an increase in commodity prices could boost AUD/USD prices. 🟣Quantitative Analysis Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is at 0.62600, and the 200-day moving average is at 0.61800. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is at 54, indicating a neutral market sentiment. 🔴Market Sentiment Analysis The overall sentiment for AUD/USD is neutral, with a mix of positive and negative predictions. 58% of client accounts are long on this market, indicating a bullish sentiment. 🟢Positioning The long/short ratio for AUD/USD is currently 1.2. The open interest for AUD/USD is approximately 150,000 contracts. 🟡Next Trend Move Bullish Prediction: Some analysts predict a potential bullish move, targeting 0.64000 and 0.64500, due to the interest rate differential and the weak dollar. Bearish Prediction: Others predict a potential bearish move, targeting 0.62500 and 0.62000, due to the ongoing trade tensions and the strong dollar. 🔵Real-Time Market Feed As of the current time, AUD/USD is trading at 0.63300, with a 0.5% increase in the last 24 hours. ⚪Future Prediction Short-Term: Bullish: 0.63800-0.64300, Bearish: 0.62800-0.62300 Medium-Term: Bullish: 0.64800-0.65300, Bearish: 0.61800-0.61300 Long-Term: Bullish: 0.66300-0.66800, Bearish: 0.60300-0.59800 🟤Overall Summary Outlook The market is expected to experience a moderate fluctuation, with some analysts predicting a potential bullish move targeting 0.64000 and 0.64500. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
Bearish reversal off overlap resistance?AUD/USD is rising towards the resistance level which is an overlap resistance that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and could reverse from this level to our take profit. Entry: 0.6331 Why we like it: There is an overlap resistance level that is slightly above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement. Stop loss: 0.6408 Why we like it: There is a pullback resistance level. Take profit: 0.6260 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Short
by VantageMarkets
AUD/USD Gains as US Dollar Weakens Amid Mixed US Data and Tariff### **AUD/USD Gains as US Dollar Weakens Amid Mixed US Data and Tariff Concerns** The **Australian Dollar (AUD)** strengthened against the **US Dollar (USD)** on **Wednesday**, with the **AUD/USD pair rising by 1.40%** to **0.6333**. The move was driven by **soft US economic data** and renewed **tariff concerns** impacting global risk sentiment. ### **Key Market Drivers:** 🔹 **US Tariffs on China:** - President **Donald Trump imposed a new 10% tariff** on Chinese imports, adding pressure to global trade. - China’s **potential retaliation** could impact commodity-linked currencies like the AUD. 🔹 **Mixed US Economic Data:** - **ISM Services PMI** remained strong at **53.5**, signaling expansion. - **ADP Employment Report** showed **softer job gains (77K vs. 140K expected)**, weighing on the USD. - Traders assess **Federal Reserve policy** in light of economic slowdown concerns. 🔹 **Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Policy:** - The **RBA has kept rates steady at 4.10%** since February, citing inflation concerns. - Market remains uncertain about **future rate cuts** depending on upcoming data. ### **Technical Analysis:** 📈 **Bullish Momentum:** - **AUD/USD jumped 1.40%**, recovering from intraday lows. - **RSI** climbed into the **upper 50s**, indicating growing momentum. - **MACD** shows weakening selling pressure. 📌 **Key Levels:** - **Resistance:** **0.6350** (Break above could push for more gains). - **Support:** **0.6250 - 0.6200** (If risk sentiment worsens, pair may decline). ### **Outlook:** - **Bullish Scenario:** If AUD/USD **breaks above 0.6350**, near-term gains could extend. - **Bearish Scenario:** If **trade tensions escalate**, AUD/USD may retreat toward **0.6250 - 0.6200**. 💡 **Conclusion:** The Aussie remains supported by a weaker USD, but **trade-war risks** could cap gains. Traders will watch for **further tariff developments** and **economic data releases** to determine the next move.
by TradingStar090
AUD/USD Trade Update: Key Levels to Watch### **📢 AUD/USD Trade Update: Key Levels to Watch ! 🚀** AUD/USD is currently trading at **0.62800**, with key resistance at **0.62900** and support at **0.62600**. --- ### **🔹 Trade Plan:** 🔸 **Bullish Scenario:** If price **breaks above 0.62900**, expect a **bullish move** toward the **target of 0.63800**. 📈 🔸 **Bearish Scenario:** If price **breaks below 0.62600**, a **bearish trend** could start, with a **sell target at 0.61600**. 📉 --- ### **✅ Trading Strategy:** ✔ **Wait for breakout confirmation** before entering a trade. ✔ **Use proper risk management** to protect capital. ✔ **Set stop-loss and secure profits as price moves in your favor.** 📈 **Trade smart and follow the trend! 🔥**
by TradingStar090
AUDUSD - Bullish Continuation Toward 0.63160OANDA:AUDUSD has broken above a key resistance zone, which has now flipped to support, aligning with a potential bullish continuation. The recent retest of this level held successfully, indicating strong buyer interest and reinforcing the bullish outlook. With momentum favoring the upside, the price could move upward toward the 0.63160 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure. As long as the price remains above the support level, the bullish bias stays intact. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts here!
Long
by DanieIM
3
Australian GDP beats forecast, Aussie edges higherThe Australian dollar has extended its gains on Wednesday.  AUD/USD is trading at 0.6271 in the European session, up 0.20% on the day.  The Australian dollar jumped 0.75% on Tuesday, driven by the hawkish Reserve Bank of Australia minutes and a solid retail sales report. Australia's economy expanded by 1.3% y/y in the fourth quarter of 2024, up from 0.8% in Q3 and above the market estimate of 1.2% and the RBA's forecast of 1.1%.  This marked the fastest pace of growth since Q4 2023. Quarterly, GDP grew by 0.6%, following 0.3% in Q3 and higher than the market estimate of 0.5%. This was the fastest pace of growth since Q4 2022.  The strong gain was driven by strong increases in household spending and exports. The positive GDP report follows last week's rate cut, after the central bank held rates for over a year. The cash rate is currently at 4.10%, its lowest level since Oct. 2023. The RBA has remained hawkish, even with the rate cut. The minutes of the meeting stated that members remained concerned that further cuts could jeopardize maintaining inflation in the target range of 2%-3%. The markets are more dovish and expect the cash rate to fall to 3.6% by the end of the year, which would mean two more cuts of 25 basis points.  The central bank's rate path will largely depend on the inflation levels as well as the strength of the labor market, which has been surprisingly robust despite high interest rates and a weak economy. In China, this week's PMIs are pointing to slightly stronger growth. The Caixin Manufacturing PMI for February improved to 50.8, up from 50.1 in January and above the market estimate of 50.3. The Caixin Services PMI rose to 51.4, up from 51.0 in January and above the market estimate of 50.8. AUD/USD is testing resistance at 0.6228.  Above, there is resistance at 0.6251 0.6200 and 0.6177 are providing support
by OANDA
AUD/USD Technical AnalysisCurrent Market Trend: Bearish 📉 AUD/USD has been in a strong downtrend, experiencing significant selling pressure. After a continuous decline, the pair has now found support around the 0.61900 level, where buyers have stepped in, leading to a short-term rebound. Possible Scenarios: 📈 Bullish Scenario: If AUD/USD manages to break and hold above the 0.62200 resistance level, we may see further upside movement toward 0.62300 and potentially 0.62800. A successful breakout above 0.62800 could signal a trend reversal, leading to further bullish momentum. 📉 Bearish Scenario: If the pair fails to break above 0.62200, selling pressure may increase, pushing the price lower. A move below 0.61900 could indicate weakness, with the next downside targets at 0.61700 and 0.60900. A break below 0.60900 would confirm a deeper bearish trend, opening the door for further downside moves. Trading Strategy: Bullish entry: After a confirmed breakout above 0.62200, targeting 0.62800 with a stop-loss below 0.61900. Bearish entry: If the price rejects 0.62200, looking for short positions with targets at 0.61700 and 0.60900.
by Pipsview_Analysis