AUD/USD "The Aussie Dollar" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the AUD/USD "The Aussie Dollar" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise placing Buy Stop Orders above the breakout MA or Place Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most re cent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 4H timeframe,
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 0.65100 (or) Escape Before the Target
Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
AUD/USD "The Aussie Dollar" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bullish trend., driven by several key factors.
💨 Fundamental Analysis
The AUD/USD pair is struggling due to dismal Goods Trade Balance data from Australia, a modest US Dollar uptick, February RBA rate cut bets, and US-China trade war fears. Australia's trade surplus has shrunk to a three-month low, and the latest Q4 Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures showed that headline inflation rose by 2.5% YoY, down from 2.8% in the previous quarter.
💨 Macro Economics
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has kept interest rates at record highs, while the US Federal Reserve (Fed) has trimmed the benchmark interest rate by 100 bps through 2024 and aims to slow the pace of cuts in 2025 . The Australian economy is expected to be affected by the US-China trade war, as China is its biggest export market.
💨 COT Analysis
Large speculators and asset managers remain net-long the US dollar index, although the latter has a more convincing bullish view . The Australian Dollar COT Index represents the positioning of large non-commercial (speculator) net positions minus large commercial (hedger) net positions.
💨 Key Takeaways
The AUD/USD pair is bearish due to weak Australian data, US Dollar strength, and trade war fears.
The RBA is expected to cut interest rates in February, while the Fed is slowing the pace of rate cuts.
Large speculators and asset managers remain net-long the US dollar index.
💨 Bullish Factors
RBA Rate Cut Priced In: Markets have already priced in a 25 basis point rate cut by the RBA, which could limit the downside potential for AUD/USD.
China's Economy Showing Signs of Recovery: China's latest economic data, including the Caixin Services PMI, has shown signs of recovery, which could boost demand for Australian exports and support the AUD.
Iron Ore Prices Rising: Iron ore prices have been rising due to supply disruptions and strong demand from China, which could support the AUD.
AUD/USD Oversold: The AUD/USD pair is currently oversold, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) below 30, which could lead to a technical bounce.
US Dollar Overbought: The US Dollar is currently overbought, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) above 98, which could lead to a correction and support the AUD.
Positive Australian Data: Australia's latest economic data, including the Q4 Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the January employment report, has been positive, which could support the AUD.
Technical Support: The AUD/USD pair has technical support at 0.6200, which could limit the downside potential.
💨 Bullish Scenarios
AUD/USD breaks above 0.6300: A break above 0.6300 could lead to a rally towards 0.6400.
RBA surprises with no rate cut: If the RBA surprises markets with no rate cut, the AUD could rally towards 0.6500.
China's economy continues to recover: If China's economy continues to show signs of recovery, the AUD could benefit from increased demand for Australian exports.
💨 Market sentiment for AUD/USD is currently bullish, with 76% of traders holding long positions ¹. This is also reflected in IG's client sentiment data, which shows that 78% of client accounts are long on this market
However, it's essential to note that market sentiment can change rapidly, and it's crucial to consider other factors, such as technical analysis and fundamental data, when making trading decisions.
From a technical perspective, AUD/USD is struggling to capitalize on its recent recovery move from a multi-year low, dropping toward 0.6250 due to dismal Goods Trade Balance data from Australia
Fundamentally, the Australian economy is expected to be affected by the US-China trade war, as China is its biggest export market. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has kept interest rates at record highs, while the US Federal Reserve (Fed) has trimmed the benchmark interest rate by 100 bps through 2024 and aims to slow the pace of cuts in 2025
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Audusdanalysis
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Holds Strong—Are More Gains Ahead?Market Analysis: AUD/USD Holds Strong—Are More Gains Ahead?
AUD/USD is attempting a fresh increase from the 0.6350 support.
Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar found support at 0.6300 and recovered higher against the US Dollar.
- There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6365 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair formed a base above 0.6300. The Aussie Dollar started a decent increase above the 0.6350 resistance against the US Dollar, as mentioned in the previous analysis.
The pair even cleared 0.6400 before there was a minor pullback. The recent low was formed at 0.6351 and the pair is again rising. The bulls pushed the pair above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6408 swing high to the 0.6351 low.
However, the pair is still below the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near the 0.6385 zone. It is close to the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6408 swing high to the 0.6351 low.
The first major resistance might be 0.6395. An upside break above the 0.6395 resistance might send the pair further higher. The next major resistance is near the 0.6410 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6450 resistance zone.
If not, the pair might correct lower. Immediate support sits near the 0.6365 level. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6365.
The next support could be 0.6350. If there is a downside break below the 0.6350 support, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6330 zone. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6300.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
audusd buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
Ghost's AUD/USD Long Setup (Shorter Term Targets)AUD/USD has now seen a 350+ rally off the lows with no substantial pullback. A lot of the time this kind of price action occurs on AU, it tends to extend a lot further than most traders predict but also not to the overly bullish targets retail traders will spout off like 70+ cents.
While I think a revisit to the lows before a long-term bullrun can be seen for AU is likely, I'm aware that price is indicating it's looking for a healthy correction before target the .65 zone, which is the POC for the higher time frames we broke down from weeks ago with no retest.
For these reason and the general understanding of price action and market structure I see a lot on AUD/USD, I'm bullish in the short-term if we can get a steeper pullback to the .629 area after taking profits on my shorts for 50+ pips around .635.
Best of luck team, Ghost Traders FX now for the year of 2025 has 25 wins in a row, almost 500+ pips gained, 0 losses, improving our overall core strategy results to 135 Wins, 18 Breakevens, 7 losses pulling our WR back to 95%+
Feel good to be trading at my best agian.
AUD/USD Bullish Breakout Signals Further UpsideAUD/USD has broken out of a bullish flag pattern on the 4-hour timeframe, suggesting continued upward momentum. A buy entry is recommended at a retest of the former resistance level near 0.63700, now acting as support, aligning with a key bullish trendline.
Technical Observations:
Higher High Formation: The AUD/USD pair has established a higher high on the 4-hour chart, confirming an ongoing bullish trend.
Bullish Flag Breakout: Price has decisively broken above a well-defined bullish flag pattern, typically a continuation pattern that signals further upside.
Support Confirmation: The 0.63700 level, previously acting as resistance, is anticipated to act as support upon a retest.
Trendline Confluence: A bullish trendline further reinforces the support zone near the 0.63700 level.
Trading Recommendation:
Entry Point: Buy AUD/USD near the retest of the 0.63700 level.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 0.63200 to manage risk.
Take Profit 1: 0.64200
Take Profit 2: 0.64700
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should carefully consider your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.
AUDUSD - Look for a short !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. As we can see price took buy side liquidity and now it's in bearish OB, I expect to see BOS on lower timeframe to open the trade.
Fundamental news: Upcoming week on Tuesday (GMT+2) we will see results of Cash Rate on AUD and on Thursday (GMT+2) we have Unemployment Rate. News with high impact on currency.
Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
#AUDUSD 1DAYAUDUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price has been in a downtrend but has now broken above the downtrend resistance, signaling a potential shift in market direction. A breakout from this level suggests that buyers are gaining strength, possibly leading to further bullish movement.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity may arise as the breakout indicates a change in trend. Waiting for a retest of the breakout level for confirmation can provide a stronger entry point.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered after a successful breakout and retest of the previous resistance as support.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the breakout level to minimize risk.
- Take Profit: Target key resistance zones where price may face selling pressure.
Market Sentiment:
The breakout of the downtrend resistance suggests that bullish momentum is increasing. A confirmed retest with strong price action can provide better confirmation for an upward move.
AUD/USD Trades Near Year’s High After RBA DecisionAUD/USD Trades Near Year’s High After RBA Decision
Today, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) eased monetary policy, cutting the interest rate from 4.35% to 4.10%, according to Forex Factory.
As reported by Reuters:
→ This marks the first easing since the 2020 pandemic;
→ RBA Governor Michele Bullock stated that market expectations for two more cuts this year are “ambitious”;
→ The bank’s leadership remains cautious about further easing prospects.
While analysts had accurately predicted the February rate cut, AUD/USD saw volatility without a significant move, possibly because market participants are more focused on Trump’s tariff plans, which could impact global trade and Forex markets.
Technical Analysis of AUD/USD Today
Since mid-December, the AUD/USD pair has mostly traded within the 0.6200–0.6300 range, except for early February’s sharp drop when Trump’s tariff policies shook currency markets.
However, demand appears resilient:
→ After plunging to around 0.6100, the price quickly rebounded into the range;
→ Arrows highlight rapid recoveries after short-term dips;
→ A blue ascending trend channel is forming on the chart.
These factors suggest growing appeal for the Australian dollar, with the 0.6300 level potentially acting as support going forward.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
#AUDUSD 4HAUDUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is forming an expanding pattern, indicating increased volatility and uncertainty in market direction. Additionally, a sell engulfing candlestick has appeared, suggesting strong bearish momentum and potential downside movement.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is anticipated as the expanding pattern, combined with the sell engulfing area, signals increased selling pressure.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A sell position can be considered near the recent resistance area where the sell engulfing pattern has formed.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the recent swing high to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target lower support levels for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The formation of an expanding pattern with a sell engulfing candlestick suggests that bearish pressure is increasing. Monitoring price action and confirmation signals before entry will help align with the prevailing trend.
EURUSD and AUDUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 0.62500(swing Trade Basis) Using the 6H period, the recent / nearest low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 0.65670 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook:
AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors.
🔵Market Overview
Current Price: 0.63684
30-Day High: 0.6542
30-Day Low: 0.6147
30-Day Average: 0.6215
🟤Fundamental Analysis
Economic Trends: The Australian economy is expected to grow, driven by a rebound in consumer spending and investment
Interest Rates: The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to maintain low interest rates, supporting the Australian dollar
🟡Macro Economics
Global Economic Trends: The ongoing global economic recovery is expected to drive up demand for commodities, including Australian exports
Inflation Rate: Global inflation is expected to rise to 3.8% in 2025, potentially increasing demand for commodities and supporting the Australian dollar
Interest Rates: Central banks are expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, supporting currency markets
🔴COT Data
Non-Commercial Traders (Institutional):
Net Long Positions: 55%
Open Interest: 120,000 contracts
Commercial Traders (Companies):
Net Short Positions: 30%
Open Interest: 80,000 contracts
Non-Reportable Traders (Small Traders):
Net Long Positions: 15%
Open Interest: 40,000 contracts
COT Ratio: 2.2 (indicating a bullish trend)
🟠Sentimental Analysis
Institutional Sentiment: 60% bullish, 40% bearish
Retail Sentiment: 55% bullish, 45% bearish
Market Mood: The overall market mood is bullish, with a sentiment score of +30
🟢Positioning Analysis
Institutional Traders: Net long positions increased by 5% over the past week, indicating growing bullish sentiment
Retail Traders: Net long positions decreased by 2% over the past week, indicating decreasing bullish sentiment
Leverage: The average leverage used by traders has increased to 2.5, indicating growing confidence in the market
⚫Next Move Prediction
Bullish Move: Potential upside to 0.65500-0.66000
Target: 0.65670 (primary target), 0.66000 (secondary target)
Stop Loss: 0.62500 (below the 30-day low)
Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 (potential profit of 0.02516 vs potential loss of 0.01267)
⚪Overall Outlook
The overall outlook for AUD/USD is bullish, driven by a combination of fundamental, technical, and sentimental factors. The expected growth in the Australian economy, low interest rates, and bullish market sentiment are all supporting the bullish trend. However, investors should remain cautious of potential downside risks, including changes in global economic trends and unexpected regulatory developments.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Ghost's AUD/USD Setup [LONG/SHORT]I believe at the moment shorts and longs are valid, shorts on the short-term, longs for the long-term no pun intended.
We have an equal low created leaving behind internal liquidity I am expecting to be swept before price can continue higher, 0.617 to me seems to be a strong & critical area of price for the current environment and as such, could be tapped before price continues to .65+.
RBA interest rate decision is around the corner & COT positioning is indicating profit take so be careful gang.
As it stands right now GTFX is on a 22 win streak, almost 300 pips acquired for 2025 already and a lot more to come.
Buy the Dips? AUD/USD Eyes 0.65 After BreakoutAs mentioned, I remain bullish on AUD/USD and expect a rise to 0.65.
Over the past 10 days, the pair has remained virtually unchanged, fluctuating within a tight 50-pip range between 0.6250 and 0.63. However, yesterday, AUD/USD showed some strength and broke above 0.63.
I believe this breakout is genuine, and we could see further acceleration to the upside. My target remains 0.65, and I will stay bullish as long as the 0.62 zone holds.
Buying dips should continue to be the preferred strategy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Scenario on AUDUSD 13.2.2025I would see AUDUSD like this, if it were to be a short, then the first place I would be willing to enter is the sfp above the high around poc 0.63378 long positions are the first acceptable until the sfp around the support at the level of 0.616-0.613 and then only after the building sfp
AUDUSD sideways consolidation continuesThe AUDUSD currency pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. However, the recent price action since 24th December 2024, appears to be protracted sideways consolidation.
The key trading level is at 0.6311, which is the current swing high. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 0.6311 level could target the downside support at 0.6220 followed by 0.6183 and 0.6163 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 0.6311 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 0.6330 resistance level followed by 0.6350.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Rebound: Signs of Trend Shift?Market Analysis: AUD/USD Rebound: Signs of Trend Shift?
AUD/USD started a decent increase above the 0.6200 and 0.6240 levels.
Important Takeaways for AUD USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar rebounded after forming a base above the 0.6100 level against the US Dollar.
- There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at 0.6255 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.6090 support. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear the 0.6170 resistance to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar.
There was a close above the 0.6240 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 0.6300 zone. A high was formed near 0.6301 and the pair recently saw a minor pullback.
There was a move below the 0.6300 level. The pair declined below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6088 swing low to the 0.6301 high. Besides, there was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at 0.6255.
On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6240 level. The next major support is near the 0.6195 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6088 swing low to the 0.6301 high.
If there is a downside break below the 0.6195 support, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6170 level. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6090.
On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near 0.6270. The first major resistance might be 0.6300. An upside break above the 0.6300 resistance might send the pair further higher.
The next major resistance is near the 0.6335 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6380 resistance zone.
Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot.
This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AUDUSD LONG: ISM SERVICES PMI ON TAPUS January ISM services 52.8 vs 54.3 expected. This indicates a slowdown in the US service sector. The service sector in the United States includes many industries that provide services to consumers, such as financial services, education, healthcare, entertainment, technology, construction, and housekeeping. As a result, we expect the dollar to become weaker than the Australian dollar.
AUDUSD - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
0.63475 is a major resistance, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be downtrend.
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 0.63295 on 01/24/2025, so more losses minimum to Trend Hunter Buy Zone (0.61710 to 0.61000) is expected.
Take Profits:
0.62874
0.63475
0.64388
0.65385
0.66210
0.66846
0.67965
0.69410
0.71541
__________________________________________
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