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Audusdanalysis

A Golden Opportunity for Buyers?The AUDUSD has been on a bit of a slide since the end of 2023, but now it's shaping up to look like a solid pick for a short-term buy that could turn into a longer term move here's why. We're hitting a really important spot on the charts - the Monthly BUY zone that popped up last November after a big jump from the low in early October. Back in October, I shared an idea about buying when price dipped below 0.63, aiming for a climb up to 0.68. That’s exactly what has happened (you can check out related post below). Now, if you take a look at the Daily chart below, you'll notice the price is starting to slow as it gets closer to the 0.645 support level, which was a previous resistance area. What’s got me interested in this BUY idea is just as we touched the 0.645 support this week, my TRFX indicator popped up with a strong bullish signal. And when we zoom into the 4-hour charts, we're seeing even more buy signals occurring alongside slowly momentum. All this is telling me it’s a pretty good time to think about buying, aiming for a rise up to 0.67 or even higher. I’m thinking of putting a tight stop loss around 0.642 just in case things go south. But, if it does drop below 0.64, that might just be another chance to buy, as it could mean a deeper dip into the Monthly BUY zone. For now, I’m getting in on this pair and will keep an eye on how things unfold. Hope you found this interesting!
Long
by TheFxAce
12
AUDUSD: USD reached its highest level in 8 weeksThe US Dollar Index rose to 104.18, its highest level since December 2023. The US jobs report released on Friday (February 2) far exceeded market expectations. This information reinforced Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's statement at the end of the agency's policy meeting last week that an interest rate cut in March 2024 was unlikely. Expert Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone, said that the optimistic US jobs report basically showed that an interest rate cut in March 2024 is very fragile. According to CME's FedWatch tool, traders are assessing just a 20% chance that the Fed could begin easing interest rates in March 2024, compared with nearly 50% a week ago. The possibility of cutting interest rates in May 2024 is also possible. Currency expert Carol Kong at Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) said that the USD is likely to stabilize at its recent increase. US Treasury bond yields also skyrocketed due to expectations that interest rates will increase in the long term. Benchmark 10-year yield increased 5 basis points to 4.0829%
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
AudUsd could drop under 0.63 againFor the past 3 years, AudUsd has been in a downtrend, with the pair dropping almost 2,000 pips from its peak in February 2021, which was around the 0.8 zone. In November 2023, the pair initiated a reversal from a support zone, and by December, it even broke above the descending trend line, reaching a horizontal resistance level at 0.69. However, this upward breakout, initially perceived as a reversal of the downtrend, turned out to be a false break. AudUsd dropped back below the descending trend line, signaling strong bearish implications. Currently, the Australian dollar is hovering around the crucial 0.65 support level. A breach here could lead to a drop and a test of support around the 0.63 zone once again. I maintain a bearish outlook at this moment and will continue to do so as long as the pair remains below 0.66.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
AUD/USD remains trapped beneath its 200-day EMAAUD/USD fell from the late-December high to mid-January low in a fairly straight line, so it is no surprise to see prices have consolidated. However, the consolidation cannot last forever so we're looking for its next directional. Given the Aussie has failed to rally despite 'good news' from China, perhaps a spell of bad news could send it lower. That, or a softer-than-expected inflation report on Wednesday. The daily chart shows the Aussie has repeatedly failed to post a daily close above its 200-day EMA, and has left a series of shooting star candles along the way. Bears could consider fading into retracements towards the 200-day EMA wit a stop well above it, and target the 0.6500 - 0.6520 support zone. AN RSI (2) above 90 could also help time a short trade as it could indicate a near-term top.
Short
by CityIndex
AUDUSD: AUD/USD eased slightly, while the Australian stock markeImmediately after better-than-expected inflation data, the Australian dollar fell again. In addition, weakening inflation has also provided the market with more information about the RBA's interest rates in the coming time when the Reserve Bank of Australia has had many difficulties in controlling inflation and has only stopped raising interest rates. interest rate in November. Currently, the market is expecting that the RBA will have a 50 bps interest rate cut in 2024.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
AUD/USD’s bumpy ride to continueAUD/USD started 2024 strong, above 0.68 after a nearly 4% rally in December. However, the exchange rate soon ran into trouble and reversed this rally. I maintain the Q1 and Q4 forecasts for AUD/USD of 0.68 and 0.72 respectively. While there is a further repricing of the Fed, which will weigh on the exchange rate, investors will also push back expectations for RBA rate cuts, and I think we are getting close to peak investor pessimism towards China’s economy. Are we close to peak China pessimism? Iron prices rallied strongly into year-end and took AUD/USD along with them.. Industry watchers put the rally down to restocking from low levels of inventories ahead of the Australian cyclone season and potential supply interruptions. There were also newswire reports of steel makers operating at losses to boost employment and in anticipation of larger stimulus for the beleaguered residential property sector. The RBA vs the Fed The RBA was a gentler rate hiker than the Fed. This, along with China’s weak recovery has contributed to a downtrend in AUD/USD after the pandemic even as global equity markets and commodity prices have rallied. I think the game changer for AUD/USD during 2024 will be the relative Australian and US monetary policy outlooks. Looser fiscal and monetary policy Down Under Australia is also undergoing a further loosening in fiscal policy in the coming six months. The Stage 3 tax cuts have been a known quantity since the general election in H122. Both major parties went to the polls with them as part of their policy manifestos. The tax cuts were to unify the 32% and 37% income tax brackets for annual incomes between AUD45-200k into a single 30% bracket starting 1 July. The Stage 3 tax cuts were equivalent to about 50bp worth of RBA rate cuts, according to some economists’ estimations. This assumes a significant proportion of them were going to be saved by higher income groups. These factors will have two implications for the relative monetary policy paths of Australia and the US: (1) the Fed will be able to cut rates sooner than the RBA; and (2) the Fed will cut rates more than the RBA. So, I expect a rise in the Australian-US short-term rates spread in 2024 to give the AUD/USD a lift. Follow for more updates on the FOREX and STOCK market:
Long
by Elite_Forex
AUD/USD Shows Strength Amidst Geopolitical Tensions and Techn...AUD/USD Shows Strength Amidst Geopolitical Tensions and Technical Signals In a surprising display of resilience, the AUD/USD pair traded higher on Monday, rebounding from the 50% Fibonacci level following a significant pullback to the support level at 0.65250. This rebound was reinforced by the dynamic bullish trendline, which has proven to be a reliable support. Notably, the price surged above the 200 moving average, while the RSI moved out of oversold conditions. Geopolitical Developments: Despite heightened geopolitical tensions and a stronger US Dollar (USD), as evidenced by a tragic drone attack near a US outpost in Jordan, the Australian pair exhibited notable strength. The incident, which resulted in casualties among US service members, has prompted the Biden administration to consider specific plans for a response, potentially including strikes into Iran. Market Dynamics: Australia's money market remains stable, buoyed by upbeat crude oil prices. The AUD's resilience could also be attributed to news of additional stimulus measures by the People's Bank of China (PBoC). The Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) Bulletin reflects a moderation in businesses' price growth expectations over the past six months, though prices are anticipated to stay above the RBA's inflation target range of 2.0–3.0%. Despite this, the RBA is expected to lower borrowing costs later this year. Upcoming Economic Indicators: Investors eagerly await Tuesday's Australian Retail Sales, anticipating a decline of 0.7% compared to the previous increase of 2.0%. Additionally, attention is focused on Wednesday's Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. Forecast: Despite the complex geopolitical landscape and economic indicators, our forecast for AUD pairs remains bullish. We are eyeing a take profit at the 0.6700 level, aligning with the positive technical signals and the overall strength exhibited by the Australian Dollar. Traders are advised to stay attentive to evolving market dynamics and adjust their strategies accordingly. Our preference Long positions above 0.64 with targets at 0.68 & 0.69 in extension.
Long
by FOREXN1
3
AUDUSD: Fed and BoE interest rate decisions, economic data and UEconomic calendar with market-impacting events including the latest Fed and BoE monetary policy decisions, US NFP reports, German and Eurozone fourth-quarter growth, manufacturing PMIs and Chinese services, German and Euro zone inflation data. In addition to the economic calendar, a series of major US technology companies will announce their latest fourth quarter business results. On Tuesday, Alphabet (GOOG) and the world's largest company Microsoft (MSFT) will release financial reports, while on Thursday, Amazon (AMZN), Apple (APPL) and Meta Platform (META) will release financial reports. Announce earnings after the market closes. The US stock market continues to set new records as investors remain determined to take risks. The upcoming earnings announcement of the "Magnificent 7" will weigh on the indexes due to the large proportion of these businesses and put the market at risk. Last week Tesla (TSLA) disappointed the market and fell about 12% following their earnings release.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
AUDUSD SELL | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis. Watch strong action at the current levels for SELL . GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity AUDUSD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. Support the idea with like and follow my profile TO SEE MORE. Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝 Patience is the If You Have Any Question, Feel Free To Ask 🤗 Just follow chart with idea and analysis and when you are ready come in THE GROVE | VIP GROUP, earn more and safe, wait for the signal at the right moment and make money with us💰
Short
by TheGrove
1
#AUDUSDIn the W1, the previous corrective wave includes a complete corrective cycle, and the current motivational wave, according to its acceleration, has moved in the form of a complete cycle, which can correct itself to at least 50% of the previous wave, and then enter upward wave 3 or C, which It can move at least up to 100% of its wave. The current wave should have an upward movement and then a correction in the form of a three-wave step. Therefore, after moving up, you can wait for the return to the green box range to confirm the continuation of the upward trend. If the green box breaks down, the correction wave can probably continue up to 23% Fibo.
by alikze
DeGRAM | AUDUSD is near the psychological levelAUDUSD is trading near the psychological level at 0.66000. The market made a pullback in the form of an ascending channel. The price is in a bearish trend, and most likely it will continue going down, breaking the ascending channel. The market created the bearish harmonic pattern, which is extra confirmation at the resistance level. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with a like. Thanks for your support!
Short
by DeGRAM
1