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Audusdanalysis

AUD/USD 1-hour downtrend - Will 0.6200 Trigger a Reversal?The AUD/USD pair has been trending downward on the 1-hour chart, maintaining strong bearish momentum. In its latest move lower, it formed a significant 1-hour Fair Value Gap (FVG), aligning closely with the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level. Given this confluence, there is a possibility that AUD/USD could revisit this level to reject and continuing its decline. However, if bearish pressure persists, the pair may extend its drop toward the key 4-hour support at 0.6200. A potential bullish engulfing candle at this 0.6200 support level could signal a shift in market structure, indicating a possible change of character to the upside. However, it is still uncertain if we will revisit this 4-hour support.
by Youriverse
19
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Struggles to Sustain Gains—What’s Next?Market Analysis: AUD/USD Struggles to Sustain Gains—What’s Next? AUD/USD declined below the 0.6320 and 0.6300 support levels. Important Takeaways for AUD/USD Analysis Today - The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline from well above the 0.6320 level against the US Dollar. - There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6300 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen. AUD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to clear the 0.6330 zone. The Aussie Dollar started a fresh decline below the 0.6300 support against the US Dollar, as discussed in the previous analysis. The pair even settled below 0.6280 and the 50-hour simple moving average. There was a clear move below 0.6270. A low was formed at 0.6269 and the pair is now consolidating losses. On the upside, an immediate resistance is near the 0.6295 level and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6312 swing high to the 0.6269 low. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at 0.6300. It is close to the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 0.6312 swing high to the 0.6269 low. The next major resistance is near the 0.6310 zone, above which the price could rise toward 0.6320. Any more gains might send the pair toward the 0.6330 resistance. A close above the 0.6330 level could start another steady increase in the near term. The next major resistance on the AUD/USD chart could be 0.6380. On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6270 zone. The next support sits at 0.6260. If there is a downside break below 0.6260, the pair could extend its decline. The next support could be 0.6200. Any more losses might send the pair toward the 0.6165 support. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
DeGRAM | AUDUSD growth in the channelAUDUSD is in an ascending channel between the trend lines. The price is moving from the support level, which has already acted as a rebound point, as well as from the lower boundary of the channel and the trend line. The chart maintains the local upward structure and has formed a harmonic pattern. On the 1H Timeframe, the indicators indicate that the chart is working out the formed bullish convergence. We expect the growth to continue in the channel. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
7
AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise placing Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at 0.62500(swing Trade Basis) Using the 6H period, the recent / nearest low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 0.65670 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors. 🔵Market Overview Current Price: 0.63684 30-Day High: 0.6542 30-Day Low: 0.6147 30-Day Average: 0.6215 🟤Fundamental Analysis Economic Trends: The Australian economy is expected to grow, driven by a rebound in consumer spending and investment Interest Rates: The Reserve Bank of Australia is expected to maintain low interest rates, supporting the Australian dollar 🟡Macro Economics Global Economic Trends: The ongoing global economic recovery is expected to drive up demand for commodities, including Australian exports Inflation Rate: Global inflation is expected to rise to 3.8% in 2025, potentially increasing demand for commodities and supporting the Australian dollar Interest Rates: Central banks are expected to maintain low interest rates in 2025, supporting currency markets 🔴COT Data Non-Commercial Traders (Institutional): Net Long Positions: 55% Open Interest: 120,000 contracts Commercial Traders (Companies): Net Short Positions: 30% Open Interest: 80,000 contracts Non-Reportable Traders (Small Traders): Net Long Positions: 15% Open Interest: 40,000 contracts COT Ratio: 2.2 (indicating a bullish trend) 🟠Sentimental Analysis Institutional Sentiment: 60% bullish, 40% bearish Retail Sentiment: 55% bullish, 45% bearish Market Mood: The overall market mood is bullish, with a sentiment score of +30 🟢Positioning Analysis Institutional Traders: Net long positions increased by 5% over the past week, indicating growing bullish sentiment Retail Traders: Net long positions decreased by 2% over the past week, indicating decreasing bullish sentiment Leverage: The average leverage used by traders has increased to 2.5, indicating growing confidence in the market ⚫Next Move Prediction Bullish Move: Potential upside to 0.65500-0.66000 Target: 0.65670 (primary target), 0.66000 (secondary target) Stop Loss: 0.62500 (below the 30-day low) Risk-Reward Ratio: 1:2 (potential profit of 0.02516 vs potential loss of 0.01267) ⚪Overall Outlook The overall outlook for AUD/USD is bullish, driven by a combination of fundamental, technical, and sentimental factors. The expected growth in the Australian economy, low interest rates, and bullish market sentiment are all supporting the bullish trend. However, investors should remain cautious of potential downside risks, including changes in global economic trends and unexpected regulatory developments. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Could Continue HigherMarket Analysis: AUD/USD Could Continue Higher AUD/USD is correcting gains from the 0.6365 zone. Important Takeaways for AUD USD Analysis Today - The Aussie Dollar started a downside correction from 0.6365 against the US Dollar. - There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at 0.6300 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen. AUD/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.6185 support. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear the 0.62550 resistance to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar. There was a close above the 0.6275 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 0.6365 zone. A high was formed near 0.6363 and the pair is now correcting gains. There was a move below the 0.6320 level. The pair declined below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6186 swing low to the 0.6363 high. On the downside, initial support is near a key bullish trend line at 0.6300. The next major support is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6186 swing low to the 0.6363 high at 0.6274. If there is a downside break below the 0.6270 support, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6255 level. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6185. On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near 0.6320. The first major resistance might be 0.6365. An upside break above the 0.6365 resistance might send the pair further higher. The next major resistance is near the 0.6420 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6450 resistance zone. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex Market Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise to Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level. I Highly recommended you to put alert in your chart. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (0.62000) swing trade basis. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: Primary Target - 0.64500 (or) Escape Before the Target Secondary Target - 0.66000 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook before start the plan. AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex Market market is currently experiencing a bullish trend,., driven by several key factors. 🟠Fundamental Analysis Australian Economic Growth: Australia's economic growth is expected to remain steady, driven by the country's strong mining sector. US Economic Growth: The US economic growth is expected to slow down, due to the ongoing trade tensions and weak domestic demand. Interest Rate Differential: The interest rate differential between Australia and the US is expected to narrow, with Australia's interest rate at 3.1% and the US interest rate at 5.25%. 🟣Macro Economics Inflation Rate: Australia's inflation rate is expected to remain steady at 2.5%, while the US inflation rate is expected to decrease to 2.2%. Unemployment Rate: Australia's unemployment rate is expected to remain steady at 3.7%, while the US unemployment rate is expected to increase to 3.7%. Global Trade: The ongoing trade tensions between the US and China are expected to have a minimal impact on the AUD/USD market. 🟡Global Market Analysis Forex Market: The global forex market is experiencing a moderate increase in volatility, with the AUD/USD pair experiencing a 0.5% increase in the last 24 hours. Commodity Market: The global commodity market is experiencing a moderate increase, with iron ore prices increasing by 1.2% in the last 24 hours. Stock Market: The global stock market is experiencing a moderate decrease, with the S&P 500 index decreasing by 0.3% in the last 24 hours. 🔵COT Data Speculators (Non-Commercials): 60,000 long positions and 40,000 short positions. Hedgers (Commercials): 40,000 long positions and 60,000 short positions. 🟠Intermarket Analysis Correlation with NZD/USD: AUD/USD has a positive correlation with NZD/USD, indicating that a strong New Zealand dollar could boost AUD/USD prices. Correlation with Commodities: AUD/USD has a positive correlation with commodities, indicating that an increase in commodity prices could boost AUD/USD prices. 🟣Quantitative Analysis Moving Averages: The 50-day moving average is at 0.62600, and the 200-day moving average is at 0.61800. Relative Strength Index (RSI): The RSI is at 54, indicating a neutral market sentiment. 🔴Market Sentiment Analysis The overall sentiment for AUD/USD is neutral, with a mix of positive and negative predictions. 58% of client accounts are long on this market, indicating a bullish sentiment. 🟢Positioning The long/short ratio for AUD/USD is currently 1.2. The open interest for AUD/USD is approximately 150,000 contracts. 🟡Next Trend Move Bullish Prediction: Some analysts predict a potential bullish move, targeting 0.64000 and 0.64500, due to the interest rate differential and the weak dollar. Bearish Prediction: Others predict a potential bearish move, targeting 0.62500 and 0.62000, due to the ongoing trade tensions and the strong dollar. 🔵Real-Time Market Feed As of the current time, AUD/USD is trading at 0.63300, with a 0.5% increase in the last 24 hours. ⚪Future Prediction Short-Term: Bullish: 0.63800-0.64300, Bearish: 0.62800-0.62300 Medium-Term: Bullish: 0.64800-0.65300, Bearish: 0.61800-0.61300 Long-Term: Bullish: 0.66300-0.66800, Bearish: 0.60300-0.59800 🟤Overall Summary Outlook The market is expected to experience a moderate fluctuation, with some analysts predicting a potential bullish move targeting 0.64000 and 0.64500. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
AUD/USD Gains as US Dollar Weakens Amid Mixed US Data and Tariff### **AUD/USD Gains as US Dollar Weakens Amid Mixed US Data and Tariff Concerns** The **Australian Dollar (AUD)** strengthened against the **US Dollar (USD)** on **Wednesday**, with the **AUD/USD pair rising by 1.40%** to **0.6333**. The move was driven by **soft US economic data** and renewed **tariff concerns** impacting global risk sentiment. ### **Key Market Drivers:** 🔹 **US Tariffs on China:** - President **Donald Trump imposed a new 10% tariff** on Chinese imports, adding pressure to global trade. - China’s **potential retaliation** could impact commodity-linked currencies like the AUD. 🔹 **Mixed US Economic Data:** - **ISM Services PMI** remained strong at **53.5**, signaling expansion. - **ADP Employment Report** showed **softer job gains (77K vs. 140K expected)**, weighing on the USD. - Traders assess **Federal Reserve policy** in light of economic slowdown concerns. 🔹 **Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Policy:** - The **RBA has kept rates steady at 4.10%** since February, citing inflation concerns. - Market remains uncertain about **future rate cuts** depending on upcoming data. ### **Technical Analysis:** 📈 **Bullish Momentum:** - **AUD/USD jumped 1.40%**, recovering from intraday lows. - **RSI** climbed into the **upper 50s**, indicating growing momentum. - **MACD** shows weakening selling pressure. 📌 **Key Levels:** - **Resistance:** **0.6350** (Break above could push for more gains). - **Support:** **0.6250 - 0.6200** (If risk sentiment worsens, pair may decline). ### **Outlook:** - **Bullish Scenario:** If AUD/USD **breaks above 0.6350**, near-term gains could extend. - **Bearish Scenario:** If **trade tensions escalate**, AUD/USD may retreat toward **0.6250 - 0.6200**. 💡 **Conclusion:** The Aussie remains supported by a weaker USD, but **trade-war risks** could cap gains. Traders will watch for **further tariff developments** and **economic data releases** to determine the next move.
by TradingStar090
AUD/USD Technical AnalysisCurrent Market Trend: Bearish 📉 AUD/USD has been in a strong downtrend, experiencing significant selling pressure. After a continuous decline, the pair has now found support around the 0.61900 level, where buyers have stepped in, leading to a short-term rebound. Possible Scenarios: 📈 Bullish Scenario: If AUD/USD manages to break and hold above the 0.62200 resistance level, we may see further upside movement toward 0.62300 and potentially 0.62800. A successful breakout above 0.62800 could signal a trend reversal, leading to further bullish momentum. 📉 Bearish Scenario: If the pair fails to break above 0.62200, selling pressure may increase, pushing the price lower. A move below 0.61900 could indicate weakness, with the next downside targets at 0.61700 and 0.60900. A break below 0.60900 would confirm a deeper bearish trend, opening the door for further downside moves. Trading Strategy: Bullish entry: After a confirmed breakout above 0.62200, targeting 0.62800 with a stop-loss below 0.61900. Bearish entry: If the price rejects 0.62200, looking for short positions with targets at 0.61700 and 0.60900.
by Pipsview_Analysis
DeGRAM | AUDUSD came out of the channelAUDUSD is above the descending channel between the trend lines. The price has already consolidated above the descending channel and is now moving from the dynamic resistance. The chart is approaching the dynamic support, which previously acted as a growth point. We expect the growth to continue after the retest of the lower trend line. ------------------- Share your opinion in the comments and support the idea with like. Thanks for your support!
Long
by DeGRAM
1
AUD/USD "The Aussie Dollar" Forex Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the AUD/USD "The Aussie Dollar" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bullish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise placing Buy Stop Orders above the breakout MA or Place Buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most re cent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at the recent / nearest low level Using the 4H timeframe, SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 0.65100 (or) Escape Before the Target Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT, Sentimental Outlook: AUD/USD "The Aussie Dollar" Forex Market is currently experiencing a Bullish trend., driven by several key factors. 💨 Fundamental Analysis The AUD/USD pair is struggling due to dismal Goods Trade Balance data from Australia, a modest US Dollar uptick, February RBA rate cut bets, and US-China trade war fears. Australia's trade surplus has shrunk to a three-month low, and the latest Q4 Consumer Price Index (CPI) figures showed that headline inflation rose by 2.5% YoY, down from 2.8% in the previous quarter. 💨 Macro Economics The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has kept interest rates at record highs, while the US Federal Reserve (Fed) has trimmed the benchmark interest rate by 100 bps through 2024 and aims to slow the pace of cuts in 2025 . The Australian economy is expected to be affected by the US-China trade war, as China is its biggest export market. 💨 COT Analysis Large speculators and asset managers remain net-long the US dollar index, although the latter has a more convincing bullish view . The Australian Dollar COT Index represents the positioning of large non-commercial (speculator) net positions minus large commercial (hedger) net positions. 💨 Key Takeaways The AUD/USD pair is bearish due to weak Australian data, US Dollar strength, and trade war fears. The RBA is expected to cut interest rates in February, while the Fed is slowing the pace of rate cuts. Large speculators and asset managers remain net-long the US dollar index. 💨 Bullish Factors RBA Rate Cut Priced In: Markets have already priced in a 25 basis point rate cut by the RBA, which could limit the downside potential for AUD/USD. China's Economy Showing Signs of Recovery: China's latest economic data, including the Caixin Services PMI, has shown signs of recovery, which could boost demand for Australian exports and support the AUD. Iron Ore Prices Rising: Iron ore prices have been rising due to supply disruptions and strong demand from China, which could support the AUD. AUD/USD Oversold: The AUD/USD pair is currently oversold, with the Relative Strength Index (RSI) below 30, which could lead to a technical bounce. US Dollar Overbought: The US Dollar is currently overbought, with the US Dollar Index (DXY) above 98, which could lead to a correction and support the AUD. Positive Australian Data: Australia's latest economic data, including the Q4 Consumer Price Index (CPI) and the January employment report, has been positive, which could support the AUD. Technical Support: The AUD/USD pair has technical support at 0.6200, which could limit the downside potential. 💨 Bullish Scenarios AUD/USD breaks above 0.6300: A break above 0.6300 could lead to a rally towards 0.6400. RBA surprises with no rate cut: If the RBA surprises markets with no rate cut, the AUD could rally towards 0.6500. China's economy continues to recover: If China's economy continues to show signs of recovery, the AUD could benefit from increased demand for Australian exports. 💨 Market sentiment for AUD/USD is currently bullish, with 76% of traders holding long positions ¹. This is also reflected in IG's client sentiment data, which shows that 78% of client accounts are long on this market However, it's essential to note that market sentiment can change rapidly, and it's crucial to consider other factors, such as technical analysis and fundamental data, when making trading decisions. From a technical perspective, AUD/USD is struggling to capitalize on its recent recovery move from a multi-year low, dropping toward 0.6250 due to dismal Goods Trade Balance data from Australia Fundamentally, the Australian economy is expected to be affected by the US-China trade war, as China is its biggest export market. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has kept interest rates at record highs, while the US Federal Reserve (Fed) has trimmed the benchmark interest rate by 100 bps through 2024 and aims to slow the pace of cuts in 2025 ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 📌Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. 💖Supporting our robbery plan will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵 Tell your friends, Colleagues and family to follow, like, and share. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
Long
by Thief_Trader
7