Audusdanalysis
AUD/USD ! November 13 ! Support H4 buy now AUDUSD trend forecast November 13, 2024
The Australian Dollar (AUD) continues to weaken against the US Dollar (USD) for the fourth day in a row on Wednesday, pressured by disappointing Australia Wage Price Index data and optimism around "Trump trades."
Despite this, Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Governor Michele Bullock’s hawkish stance following last week’s interest rate hold, with a focus on restrictive policy due to persistent inflation and a strong job market, likely helped limit further losses for the AUD.
Price analysis:
Support H4 -very solid
USD - DXY: correction soon
/// BUY AUDUSD : zone 0.65300 - 0.65000
SL: 0.64500
TP: 50 - 150 - 300 pips (0.68000)
Safe and profitable trading
AUD/USD "Aussie" Bank Money Heist Plan on Bearish Side.Ola! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑💰
This is our master plan to Heist AUD/USD "Aussie" Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich 💰.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Sell Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe, Recent / Nearest High Point.
Stop Loss 🛑: Recent Swing High using 3h timeframe
Attention for Scalpers : Focus to scalp only on Short side, If you've got a money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss 🚫🚏. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
AUD/USD Maintains Strength Amid Positive Economic IndicatorsThe Australian Dollar (AUD/USD) continues to trade at elevated levels after experiencing notable gains in the previous session, predominantly fueled by the release of encouraging Purchasing Managers Index (PMI) data on Tuesday. This uptick in the currency reflects an optimistic outlook on Australia’s manufacturing and service sectors, bolstered by better-than-expected economic performance.
In a significant policy decision, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has opted to maintain the Official Cash Rate (OCR) at 4.35%. This decision marks the eighth consecutive month in which the RBA has paused its rate adjustments, signaling a careful approach as the central bank navigates the complexities of the current economic landscape. Analysts speculate that the RBA is likely to hold the current rates in its upcoming policy meeting, aiming for stability amid evolving economic conditions.
From a technical analysis perspective, recent price movements have indicated a rebound from key demand zones in the market, suggesting a potential shift toward a new bullish trend. Traders are paying close attention to seasonal patterns and the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, which reveals that retail investors continue to push for lower prices. This behavior often provides valuable insights into market sentiment and could indicate that a reversal may be on the horizon.
The confluence of improved economic indicators, steady monetary policy, and technical analysis suggesting a bullish trend makes the AUD/USD an asset worth watching. As investors remain alert to shifts in economic data and global market conditions, the Australian Dollar could present opportunities for those looking to capitalize on potential upward momentum in the near term.
In summary, the outlook for the Australian Dollar remains robust as it navigates through strong economic signals and a stable policy environment. Market participants are keenly observing developments in both the macroeconomic landscape and technical formations, which could shape trading strategies in the weeks to come.
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AUD/USD Analysis – 31 October 2024Following yesterday's U.S. elections, AUD/USD reached new monthly lows, touching 0.65132 after an extended bearish trend. On the 4-hour timeframe, the pair has formed a double-bottom pattern, a potential reversal signal, indicating that bullish momentum may be building.
Given the current political landscape post-election, the USD could experience fluctuations as markets digest potential shifts in U.S. fiscal policy. This environment could create an opening for AUD/USD to pivot upward. With the technical setup and supportive conditions, AUD/USD appears poised for a potential rally in the coming days.
Traders should monitor resistance levels closely and keep risk management strategies in place, as post-election sentiment can lead to rapid market adjustments.
SasanSeifi| Will the Price Continue Its Short-Term Rise?In the 4-hour timeframe, as observed, the price entered a consolidation (range) phase after correcting around the 0.65500 price zone. It then broke previous highs at 0.65950. Following this structural break, the price returned to the gap zone and, supported at the 0.65800 level, experienced positive fluctuations with slight growth, currently trading at the 0.66000 level.
In the short term, it’s expected that the price could reach levels of 0.66250, 0.66450, and 0.66500, continuing this short-term upward trend toward these target zones. A possible scenario for the next price movement is that if it consolidates above 0.66000, the price may move upward in the short term towards the mentioned areas and supply zones.
To assess the continuation of this uptrend and anticipate future price behaviour, it’s essential to closely monitor price reactions at these levels. Key support areas in the 4-hour timeframe include 0.65800 and 0.65650.
💢This analysis is my personal viewpoint and not financial advice. If you found this helpful, please like and comment – I’d love to hear your thoughts! Happy trading! ✌😊
AUD/USD "AUSSIE DOLLAR" Bank Money Heist Plan on Bullish Side.Ola! Ola! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰
This is our master plan to Heist AUD/USD "AUSSIE DOLLAR" Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low
Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 1h timeframe
Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰.
Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
AUD/USD Ready To Go Up Hard 200 Pips At Least , Ready ?We have a very good 4H Closure Above our res , and it will be great if we have a daily closure today above this res , we can wait the price to go back to re test the broken res and see how it will handle with . i think after this big movement to downside we need some movement to upside as a correction , so i`m looking to buy this pair with daily retest to the broken res and i will target 200 pips .
This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
DeGRAM | AUDUSD aims to close the gapEURGBP is in an ascending channel above the trend lines.
Having reached the upper boundary of the channel and resistance level, the price has formed a gap.
We expect a pullback to the support.
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AU:Will Positive Aussie Labor Data Hold as US Retail Sales Loom?The Australian Dollar (AUD) found support on Thursday following the release of positive labor market data. Australia's Employment Change rose by 64.1K in September, bringing total employment to a record-high 14.52 million. This strong labor data has provided a temporary boost to the AUD, despite broader market uncertainties. However, traders remain cautious ahead of the anticipated US Retail Sales data, which is expected to show a 0.3% increase for September, up from 0.1% in the previous month.
Technical Analysis and Market Positioning
From a technical perspective, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report shows a clear divergence in market sentiment. Retail traders appear to be strongly bullish on the AUD/USD, while smart money (institutional investors) has taken a bearish stance. This discrepancy often signals the potential for market reversals, as institutional players are generally more adept at positioning ahead of key market moves.
Additionally, when looking at seasonality trends from the Forecaster and considering key Supply and Demand areas, there’s a possibility that the AUD/USD could experience a new drop. However, this is likely to occur after a brief retracement, as the market digests both the Australian labor data and the upcoming US economic figures.
Outlook and Strategy
For now, we are adopting a wait-and-see approach. Given the mixed signals from the COT report and the seasonal factors at play, we prefer to remain on the sidelines until the situation becomes clearer. The upcoming US Retail Sales data, along with other market-moving news, will likely provide further direction for the AUD/USD in the days ahead. Once the market reacts to these key events, we will reassess and consider potential trade setups accordingly.
Patience is key, as the next few days could bring more clarity after the news impacts play out.
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AUD/ USD ! 10/31 ! Support H4 and recoveryAUD/USD trend forecast October 31, 2024
The Australian Dollar (AUD) dipped slightly after mixed economic data from Australia and China’s PMI release on Thursday. However, hawkish expectations for the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) policy outlook helped support the AUD/USD pair and limited its downside. In September, Australian Retail Sales rose by 0.1% month-over-month, below the 0.3% forecast and down from 0.7% in August. Quarterly, Retail Sales grew by 0.5% in Q3, recovering from a 0.3% drop in the previous quarter.
in the large frame - gold price will continue to fall back to strong support and have a larger recovery. In the context of not much AUD news at the end of the year, mainly important USD data
/// BUY AUD/USD : zone 0.64800 - 0.64500
SL: 0.64000
TP: 60 - 300 - 500 pips (0.69500)
Safe and profitable trading
DeGRAM | AUDUSD testing the structureAUDUSD is in a descending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the lower boundary of the channel and the support level.
The chart is testing the current structure.
We expect growth in the channel after consolidation above the resistance.
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DeGRAM | AUDUSD rebound from the channel boundaryAUDUSD is moving in a descending channel under the trend lines.
The chart has already reached the lower boundary of the channel and the support level.
The price has approached the trend line.
We expect growth after consolidation above the trend line.
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I'll Long AUDUSD If This HappensI've been following AUDUSD closely, and since February 2021, we've been in an extended downtrend on the monthly timeframe. However, for the first time, we saw a break of structure (BoS), as the September monthly candle managed to break and close above the previous monthly LH. This break of structure is notable, as it could indicate a potential shift in the long-term trend.
Though the impulsive move that resulted in September's break of structure wasn’t the strongest, likely due to price respecting the month-long trendline, it'll be interesting to see if buyers can defend price so that the current monthly HL isn’t taken out by sellers.
While we’re seeing a large sell candle in October, buyers can still be considered in control as long as the monthly HL remains unbroken. Let’s move to the weekly timeframe to see if any interesting price data emerges there.
On the weekly timeframe, as seen in the chart above, the previous weekly HL has been broken meaning sellers are gaining control over the buyers as they were able to break and close below the previous low. Not a single rejection.
But does this mean we should all scream sell and short the life out of AUDUSD? Well, our business is not to be on the sell or buy team, our concern should be to make money regardless of the market trend. To do that, we need to look for patterns that suggest the probability of one outcome over another. That’s exactly why we’re doing this top-down analysis. So far, from the monthly timeframe down to the weekly, nothing has clearly indicated where we should buy or sell, even though we’re seeing strong red impulsive candles. Next, let's check the daily.
Now, take a look at that pattern on the daily timeframe. What pattern is that? A bird pattern? Or maybe a plane pattern. (I'm Joe King.) It’s actually a falling wedge, a reversal pattern. But does that mean we should start buying AUDUSD? Not yet. It means we should start watching for a change in structure, perhaps on the 4-hour timeframe. Only then should we look out for our entries.
Still no trading decision, so let’s check the 4-hour next. Please stay with me.
Still no trading decision on the 4-hourly, but there’s a plan. If price can impulsively break the 4-hourly LH at 0.66611 and stays above, then I’ll be looking for a buy on a pullback, probably on the 1-hour timeframe, where I typically look for entries.
But… what happens if price continues to trend down? Since I trade based on structure, I’ll be watching for price to pull back after breaking and trading decisively below the weekly HL at 0.66220 .
One key lesson I’ve learned in my trading journey is that it’s not just about price breaking a zone; it’s about how it breaks it. From the weekly, we saw price break the weekly HL at 0.66220 . But as we scale down to the daily and 4-hourly, the pattern behind this break hints at a possible reversal.
What are your thoughts on AUDUSD this week? Please share in the comment.
My trading rule is simple, don't take position based on what you anticipate price will do, take position only when price does what you anticipate and presents you a point of entry.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis: (READ DESCRIPTION)AUD/USD Technical Analysis: Bullish Momentum Expected Above 0.6660
Pivot Point: 0.6660
The pivot at 0.6660 acts as a key support level, determining the near-term direction of the AUD/USD pair. As long as the price holds above this level, a bullish move is anticipated.
Our Preference: Long Positions
Recommended Trade:
Long positions are preferred as long as the price remains above the 0.6660 pivot point. This suggests a potential rise toward higher resistance levels.
Target Levels for Upside Movement:
First Target: 0.6700
This represents an intermediate resistance where traders may look to take profits or assess continuation.
Second Target: 0.6720
If the first resistance is surpassed, further gains toward 0.6720 are likely, indicating stronger bullish momentum.
Alternative Scenario: Downside Risks
If the price drops below 0.6660:
Bearish Outlook:
First Target: 0.6650
Second Target: 0.6635
These levels serve as potential support areas in a bearish scenario.
Technical Insights:
RSI Indicator:
The RSI lacks downward momentum, signaling potential for further upside. This supports the bullish outlook and suggests that selling pressure may be limited.
Moving Averages:
AUD/USD trading above its short-term moving averages would further confirm the bullish trend if sustained.