Ghost's AUD/USD Long Setup (Shorter Term Targets)AUD/USD has now seen a 350+ rally off the lows with no substantial pullback. A lot of the time this kind of price action occurs on AU, it tends to extend a lot further than most traders predict but also not to the overly bullish targets retail traders will spout off like 70+ cents.
While I think a revisit to the lows before a long-term bullrun can be seen for AU is likely, I'm aware that price is indicating it's looking for a healthy correction before target the .65 zone, which is the POC for the higher time frames we broke down from weeks ago with no retest.
For these reason and the general understanding of price action and market structure I see a lot on AUD/USD, I'm bullish in the short-term if we can get a steeper pullback to the .629 area after taking profits on my shorts for 50+ pips around .635.
Best of luck team, Ghost Traders FX now for the year of 2025 has 25 wins in a row, almost 500+ pips gained, 0 losses, improving our overall core strategy results to 135 Wins, 18 Breakevens, 7 losses pulling our WR back to 95%+
Feel good to be trading at my best agian.
Audusdanalysis
AUD/USD Bullish Breakout Signals Further UpsideAUD/USD has broken out of a bullish flag pattern on the 4-hour timeframe, suggesting continued upward momentum. A buy entry is recommended at a retest of the former resistance level near 0.63700, now acting as support, aligning with a key bullish trendline.
Technical Observations:
Higher High Formation: The AUD/USD pair has established a higher high on the 4-hour chart, confirming an ongoing bullish trend.
Bullish Flag Breakout: Price has decisively broken above a well-defined bullish flag pattern, typically a continuation pattern that signals further upside.
Support Confirmation: The 0.63700 level, previously acting as resistance, is anticipated to act as support upon a retest.
Trendline Confluence: A bullish trendline further reinforces the support zone near the 0.63700 level.
Trading Recommendation:
Entry Point: Buy AUD/USD near the retest of the 0.63700 level.
Stop Loss: Place a stop loss at 0.63200 to manage risk.
Take Profit 1: 0.64200
Take Profit 2: 0.64700
Disclaimer:
This analysis is for informational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. Trading involves risk, and you should carefully consider your risk tolerance before making any investment decisions.
AUDUSD - Look for a short !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a short. As we can see price took buy side liquidity and now it's in bearish OB, I expect to see BOS on lower timeframe to open the trade.
Fundamental news: Upcoming week on Tuesday (GMT+2) we will see results of Cash Rate on AUD and on Thursday (GMT+2) we have Unemployment Rate. News with high impact on currency.
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#AUDUSD 1DAYAUDUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price has been in a downtrend but has now broken above the downtrend resistance, signaling a potential shift in market direction. A breakout from this level suggests that buyers are gaining strength, possibly leading to further bullish movement.
Forecast:
A buy opportunity may arise as the breakout indicates a change in trend. Waiting for a retest of the breakout level for confirmation can provide a stronger entry point.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A buy position can be considered after a successful breakout and retest of the previous resistance as support.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed below the breakout level to minimize risk.
- Take Profit: Target key resistance zones where price may face selling pressure.
Market Sentiment:
The breakout of the downtrend resistance suggests that bullish momentum is increasing. A confirmed retest with strong price action can provide better confirmation for an upward move.
AUD/USD Trades Near Year’s High After RBA DecisionAUD/USD Trades Near Year’s High After RBA Decision
Today, the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) eased monetary policy, cutting the interest rate from 4.35% to 4.10%, according to Forex Factory.
As reported by Reuters:
→ This marks the first easing since the 2020 pandemic;
→ RBA Governor Michele Bullock stated that market expectations for two more cuts this year are “ambitious”;
→ The bank’s leadership remains cautious about further easing prospects.
While analysts had accurately predicted the February rate cut, AUD/USD saw volatility without a significant move, possibly because market participants are more focused on Trump’s tariff plans, which could impact global trade and Forex markets.
Technical Analysis of AUD/USD Today
Since mid-December, the AUD/USD pair has mostly traded within the 0.6200–0.6300 range, except for early February’s sharp drop when Trump’s tariff policies shook currency markets.
However, demand appears resilient:
→ After plunging to around 0.6100, the price quickly rebounded into the range;
→ Arrows highlight rapid recoveries after short-term dips;
→ A blue ascending trend channel is forming on the chart.
These factors suggest growing appeal for the Australian dollar, with the 0.6300 level potentially acting as support going forward.
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#AUDUSD 4HAUDUSD (4H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price is forming an expanding pattern, indicating increased volatility and uncertainty in market direction. Additionally, a sell engulfing candlestick has appeared, suggesting strong bearish momentum and potential downside movement.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity is anticipated as the expanding pattern, combined with the sell engulfing area, signals increased selling pressure.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: A sell position can be considered near the recent resistance area where the sell engulfing pattern has formed.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the recent swing high to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target lower support levels for potential downside movement.
Market Sentiment:
The formation of an expanding pattern with a sell engulfing candlestick suggests that bearish pressure is increasing. Monitoring price action and confirmation signals before entry will help align with the prevailing trend.
EURUSD and AUDUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.
Ghost's AUD/USD Setup [LONG/SHORT]I believe at the moment shorts and longs are valid, shorts on the short-term, longs for the long-term no pun intended.
We have an equal low created leaving behind internal liquidity I am expecting to be swept before price can continue higher, 0.617 to me seems to be a strong & critical area of price for the current environment and as such, could be tapped before price continues to .65+.
RBA interest rate decision is around the corner & COT positioning is indicating profit take so be careful gang.
As it stands right now GTFX is on a 22 win streak, almost 300 pips acquired for 2025 already and a lot more to come.
Buy the Dips? AUD/USD Eyes 0.65 After BreakoutAs mentioned, I remain bullish on AUD/USD and expect a rise to 0.65.
Over the past 10 days, the pair has remained virtually unchanged, fluctuating within a tight 50-pip range between 0.6250 and 0.63. However, yesterday, AUD/USD showed some strength and broke above 0.63.
I believe this breakout is genuine, and we could see further acceleration to the upside. My target remains 0.65, and I will stay bullish as long as the 0.62 zone holds.
Buying dips should continue to be the preferred strategy.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Scenario on AUDUSD 13.2.2025I would see AUDUSD like this, if it were to be a short, then the first place I would be willing to enter is the sfp above the high around poc 0.63378 long positions are the first acceptable until the sfp around the support at the level of 0.616-0.613 and then only after the building sfp
AUDUSD sideways consolidation continuesThe AUDUSD currency pair price action sentiment appears bearish, supported by the longer-term prevailing downtrend. However, the recent price action since 24th December 2024, appears to be protracted sideways consolidation.
The key trading level is at 0.6311, which is the current swing high. An oversold rally from the current levels and a bearish rejection from the 0.6311 level could target the downside support at 0.6220 followed by 0.6183 and 0.6163 levels over the longer timeframe.
Alternatively, a confirmed breakout above 0.6311 resistance and a daily close above that level would negate the bearish outlook opening the way for further rallies higher and a retest of 0.6330 resistance level followed by 0.6350.
This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
Market Analysis: AUD/USD Rebound: Signs of Trend Shift?Market Analysis: AUD/USD Rebound: Signs of Trend Shift?
AUD/USD started a decent increase above the 0.6200 and 0.6240 levels.
Important Takeaways for AUD USD Analysis Today
- The Aussie Dollar rebounded after forming a base above the 0.6100 level against the US Dollar.
- There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at 0.6255 on the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen.
AUD/USD Technical Analysis
On the hourly chart of AUD/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 0.6090 support. The Aussie Dollar was able to clear the 0.6170 resistance to move into a positive zone against the US Dollar.
There was a close above the 0.6240 resistance and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 0.6300 zone. A high was formed near 0.6301 and the pair recently saw a minor pullback.
There was a move below the 0.6300 level. The pair declined below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6088 swing low to the 0.6301 high. Besides, there was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at 0.6255.
On the downside, initial support is near the 0.6240 level. The next major support is near the 0.6195 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the 0.6088 swing low to the 0.6301 high.
If there is a downside break below the 0.6195 support, the pair could extend its decline toward the 0.6170 level. Any more losses might signal a move toward 0.6090.
On the upside, the AUD/USD chart indicates that the pair is now facing resistance near 0.6270. The first major resistance might be 0.6300. An upside break above the 0.6300 resistance might send the pair further higher.
The next major resistance is near the 0.6335 level. Any more gains could clear the path for a move toward the 0.6380 resistance zone.
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This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
AUDUSD LONG: ISM SERVICES PMI ON TAPUS January ISM services 52.8 vs 54.3 expected. This indicates a slowdown in the US service sector. The service sector in the United States includes many industries that provide services to consumers, such as financial services, education, healthcare, entertainment, technology, construction, and housekeeping. As a result, we expect the dollar to become weaker than the Australian dollar.
AUDUSD - Weekly forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading IdeasMidterm forecast:
0.63475 is a major resistance, while this level is not broken, the Midterm wave will be downtrend.
Technical analysis:
A peak is formed in daily chart at 0.63295 on 01/24/2025, so more losses minimum to Trend Hunter Buy Zone (0.61710 to 0.61000) is expected.
Take Profits:
0.62874
0.63475
0.64388
0.65385
0.66210
0.66846
0.67965
0.69410
0.71541
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AUD/USD D Closure Amazing , Long Setup Valid To Get 250 Pips !This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
AUDUSD, What will hapen in upcoming weeks ?Hello Traders, Happy new year in advance, I Hope you have a great year ahead with your family.
let's go for AUDUSD analysis:
for upcoming weeks, we'll probably see an upward correction to Specified level at first and then it will start another fall. so with a proper trigger we can open a short position.
And finally tell me what do you think ? UP or DOWN ? leave your comment below this post.
If this post was helpful to you, please like it and share it with your friend.
THANKS.
Ghost's AUD/USD LTF Setup [LONG]Trump is signing executive orders in 3 hours, price has been very choppy today and looks at face value like it's about to mirror the move down back up, however, the risk of trump mentioning or doing anything with Tariffs is high and for that reason I think it's possible the liquidity below around .621 may get manipulated before the move up.
AUD/USD "The Aussie" Forex Market Bullish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟
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📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, Sentimental Outlook
The AUD/USD (The Aussie vs U.S Dollar) market is expected to move in a bullish direction, driven by several key factors.
🟤Improving Australian Economic Data
- Employment Data: Australia's employment data has been strong, with the unemployment rate decreasing to 3.5%.
- GDP Growth: Australia's GDP growth rate has been steady, with a 2.2% annual growth rate.
- Inflation Rate: Australia's inflation rate has been within the Reserve Bank of Australia's (RBA) target range, which could lead to a rate hike.
🟣Rising Commodity Prices
- Iron Ore Prices: Iron ore prices have been rising due to strong demand from China and supply disruptions.
- Coal Prices: Coal prices have been increasing due to strong demand from Asia and supply constraints.
- Gold Prices: Gold prices have been rising due to safe-haven demand and central bank buying.
🟢Weakening US Dollar
- US Dollar Index: The US Dollar Index (DXY) has been weakening due to a decline in US bond yields and a decrease in US economic growth expectations.
- Federal Reserve Policy: The Federal Reserve has been dovish, with a pause in rate hikes, which could weaken the US dollar.
🟡Technical Factors
- Trend Line Breakout: The AUD/USD pair has broken above a key trend line, which could indicate a bullish trend.
- Moving Average Crossover: The 50-day moving average has crossed above the 200-day moving average, which could indicate a bullish trend.
🟠Sentimental Factors
AUD/USD sentiment analysis and market positioning are indicating a slightly bullish tone. Here's the breakdown:
- Bullish Sentiment: 55% of traders and investors are bullish on AUD/USD, expecting the pair to rise ¹.
- Bearish Sentiment: 35% of traders and investors are bearish on AUD/USD, expecting the pair to fall.
- Neutral Sentiment: 10% of traders and investors are neutral on AUD/USD, expecting the pair to trade sideways.
In terms of market positioning, the AUD/USD pair has seen a decrease in short positions, with CAD and AUD shorts decreasing, as reported by Rabobank ¹. This could indicate a potential bullish trend. However, it's essential to note that market sentiment can change rapidly and may not continue to drive the AUD/USD pair higher.
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🚨Please note that this is a general analysis and not personalized investment advice. It's essential to consider your own risk tolerance and market analysis before making any investment decisions.
🚨Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
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