Audusdbearish
AUDUSD selling opportunity | 22 Nov 2022After price was significantly hiked upon news of softer than expected US inflation data on 11 November, a ranging AUDUSD can be seen early in the past week as competing macroeconomic events in the US and Australia left traders conflicted on price direction. However the first signs of a potential reversal could be seen late on 16 November when the release of US core retail sales data boosted investor confidence on consumer spending, which increased the prospect of inflation motivated Fed rate hikes and pushed AUDUSD down. Despite tight employment data from Australia being released shortly after that threatened to turn the downside move merely into a retracement on a larger bullish trend, hawkish statements from US Fed members decisively led the transition to a bearish bias. The downside move led prices to test the support level at 0.66500 which coincides with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement. Price subsequently rebounded, but a breakthrough of the channel late on 22 November indicates a continuation of the downside move. Stochastic RSI is declining from the overbought region back past the 80th percentile level, supporting the bearish bias. We forecast a breakthrough of the 0.65800 support level to reach the next support level at 0.64000 which coincides with the 100% Fibonacci extension level. Tomorrow (23 November), a slew of US economic data expected to be released could trigger a break below the support zone, providing the bearish acceleration to the next support target.
AUDUSD - CURRENT SITUATION AND FUNDA & TECHNICAL BIAS#AUDUSD
- Currently the MARKET SENTIMENT for AUD is slightly UP SIDE according to the MARKET SENTIMENT. Due to RISK ON for AUDUSD, there is currently an UPSIDE BIAS for it. The main reason for that is because MARKET RISK is ON, STOCKS and COMMODITIES MARKETS are now slightly UP. It is heavily influenced by the Australian dollar. And today AUSTRALIA INFLATION DATA was very POSITIVE. Due to this, the RBA made a RATE HIKE.
- It is definitely possible to break the AUDUSD STRUCTURE and go up to the higher RESISTANCE LEVEL. Accordingly, AUDUSD can go up to 0.6600 LEVEL. And after that, AUDUSD can SELL to the 0.6000 LEVEL if the MARKET SENTIMENT changes and STOCKS and COMMODITIES start going down. For that, the MARKET STRUCTURE should be BREAK. And RISK should be OFF.
AUDUSD - CURRENT SITUATION AND FUNDA & TECHNICAL BIAS#AUDUSD
- According to the analysis we gave the previous day, the AUDUSD UP SIDE WAVE has been UP about 140++ PIPS. We hope you get it anyway. It is still moving UP SIDE as we provided.
- Currently the MARKET SENTIMENT for AUD is on the UP SIDE. But because RISK is ON for AUDUSD, there is currently an UPSIDE BIAS for it. The main reason for that is that STOCKS and COMMODITIES MARKETS are slightly UP due to MARKET RISK being ON. It is heavily influenced by the Australian dollar.
- It is definitely possible to break the AUDUSD STRUCTURE and go up to the higher RESISTANCE LEVEL. The reason for that is because there is a good UP SIDE BIAS in the MARKET for USD. Accordingly, AUDUSD can rise up to the level of 0.7042. And after that, AUDUSD can SELL to the 0.6670 LEVEL if the MARKET SENTIMENT changes and STOCKS and COMMODITIES start going UP. audusd
AUDUSD Short Scenariomarket is in overall downtrend, but it created a upwards correction and retrace to a key market level where it got resisted, also broke a upwards movement structure, so we are forecasting we should see price drop down to the recent main Lower Low
Entry: 0.70042
Invalidation: 0.70494
Target: 0.68298
AUDUSD: Bearish Pin Bar Sell Signal - 50% Retrace Entry, 11-2-22AUDUSD: Bearish Pin Bar Sell Signal - 50% Retrace Entry, 11-2-22
Price Action: Price formed a Giant Bearish Pin Bar Signal just under the 0.7171 short-term resistance level, overnight.
Price formed an Inside Bar Breakout Pattern, earlier this week (We did not consider trading this pattern as it is an incredibly wide pattern which makes it hard to manage Risk-Reward and the market is very choppy at the moment).
Potential Trade Idea 1: We are considering selling on a retracement higher to within the 50% range of the current Giant Bearish Pin Bar Signal, with stops above the Pin Bar’s high.
Potential Trade Idea 2: For more aggressive traders, we are considering selling from the current Giant Bearish Pin Bar Signal, with stops above the Pin Bar’s high.
AUD/USDThe Australian dolar has been falling sharply, due to risk-off sentiment hitting hard as concerns rise about the economic impact of the new omicron coronavirus variant. The Australian economy is already contracting sharply, as was revealed by last week’s GDP data which showed a quarterly contraction of 1.9%. The USD is relatively strong, so this pair is a major focus of the Forex market and has seen lots of action. The price of this currency pair ended last week right near its low after falling by more than 1.66%, closing at an 18-month low price with strong bearish momentum. These are all bearish signs and there is a good chance that the price will see another strong fall like last week, so there will probably be an opportunity for a short trade here.
Bearish Cycle.AUDUSD is continuing the cycle to the downside with the completion of wave Y in the minute(green) degree, currently we are in a correction in wave 4 of the submicro(orange) degree of which if we do not get a double(unlikely) then we should continue lower making Lower-Lows & Lower-Highs repeatedly(about 7 swings) after of which we will see a significant bounce to the upside.
AUD/USD SHORT More Extended Downturn (Monetary Policy Move)Pip Movers are taking the AUD/USD SHORT.
Nice zone in the 2hr frame.
Entry .73477 - .73719
Stop - 73840
T1 - 71938
T2 - 71135
Looking to bounce off the AUD Monetary policy announcement.
Can be a short ride.
Watching closely as we move past T1 (Might close trade early if it starts staggering.
AUDUSD Sell On Strong USDLook to go short if USD were to strengthen (Since AUD is closely Linked to Gold, It could have a profound effect on this pair compared to others if XAU/USD were to continue lower)
Here is my analysis on DXY:
Short on these confluences:
Retest of Pivot Zone
Retest of counter-trend Line (RED)
Break and Retest of Level 0.72000
Bearish Structure
Retest on FIB level (Best 61.8%)
Break of minor counter-trend line (Once formed from retracement)
* Best trades would be on 2 or more confluences
AUDUSD: Feelin' Bearish...?In this video, I present my analysis for your consideration.
- Price has hit a 4H Supply Zone
- The bullish "news candle" is due a pullback
- Hit the 70% fib
- Bear Flag pattern is playing out
- Looking for the H&S pattern to complete on the 1H TF.
Check out the video... and learn to earn.