AUDUSD buy trade ideaLooking for AUDUSD to make similar moves as EURUSD as we can hopefully get more weakness for the USD. So when price reaches the area of 0.71700 I will be looking for rejection and a push back up, if price breaks below the last higher low of 0.71500 this idea is invalid. Ill try update, and another reminder to always risk manage make sure you have a plan and stick to it!! good luck everyone
Audusdbuy
AUDUSD - BUY strategyWe moved lower based on all USD movements and some decline in precious metals.
I still remain the view of buying for a larger move upwards at current levels 0.7200-0.7225 (add to positions if bought yesterday 0.7250-0.7260). As a note the 4-hourly is slightly negative, so I hope we can remain above the stop level.
Keep the stop-loss at < 0.7187 below and profit objective 0.7550.
AUDUSD - BUY strategyI really like the behavior of the AUDUSD. The trend seems to start going north, and it is supported by metal prices, i.e. gold and silver all are moving higher.
Currently the KAGI shows its a buy and also the MACD is positive.
Buy current 0.7250-0.7260 for a move to 0.7550. Place stop-loss below 0.7187 for now.
AUDUSD | Buy Opportunity. Get ready to get in!If you find this technical analysis useful, please like & share our ideas with the community. Coming to the technical analysis of AUDUSD , I think we are going to see an upward movement. If you are going to go short now, make sure to place the stop below the previous support area .
What do you think is more likely to happen? Please share your thoughts in comment section. And also give a thumbs up if you find this idea helpful. Any feedback & suggestions would help in further improving the analysis.
Good Luck!
Disclaimer!
This post does not provide financial advice. It is for educational purposes only! You can use the information from the post to make your own trading plan for the market. But you must do your own research and use it as the priority. Trading is risky, and it is not suitable for everyone. Only you can be responsible for your trading.
AUD/USD: Move Higher Challenging Late November ResistanceThe AUD/USD has been able to sustain its highs above the 0.72000 level for a few days of trading in a row. Taking into account the holiday season and the fact that transactional volumes are extremely low, technical information about short and mid-term highs being challenged could be brushed aside. However, the recent move of the AUD/USD may be more than wishful thinking for bullish speculators who are feeling optimistic about the trend which has emerged.
As of this writing, the AUD/USD is trading near the 0.72400 level and this ratio is bouncing along highs seen on the 23rd of December, but also importantly the value is within sight of higher marks demonstrated on the 22nd of November. On the 5th of December the AUD/USD approached the 0.70000 juncture below which was last sincerely challenged in November of 2020. And in July of 2020 the AUD/USD after suffering a bearish trend due to economic implications surrounding coronavirus, was able to puncture the 0.70000 value and has essentially remained above since then except for slight outliers.
The ability of the AUD/USD to fall below the 0.70000 mark in early December and then spark a reversal is intriguing. The reversal higher since the first week of December has been solid, but choppy. Yet it has been accomplished in the midst of global central bank pronouncements and fresh worries about the Omicron variant. If the AUD/USD is able to sustain its value above the 0.72300 to 0.72200 support ratios, this may be a positive sign for bullish traders who may believe targeting higher realms is realistic.
Because of the holiday trading season, traders should be careful about sudden spurts of volatility occurring which can knock open positions out of the market with losses. Traders should use stop loss orders appropriately. However, looking for potential bullish momentum and aiming for the 0.72500 to 0.72600 levels for quick hitting trades may be a solid short term wager, when buying on slight downticks which may be demonstrated.
Speculators who are considering a buying position of the AUD/USD near current support levels cannot be faulted. Certainly traders need to use their risk management wisely. If support levels erode, further downside price action can develop. However, cautious wagers looking for upside within the current price range of the AUD/USD may prove to be a worthwhile opportunity.
AUD/USD Short-Term Outlook
Current Resistance: 0.72760
Current Support: 0.72150
High Target: 0.73130
Low Target: 0.71650
AUDUSD Long with 3 confluences (Zero Indicators)
List of confluences:
1. Trendline breakout
2. Breakout and close Key Level around 0.7184* on Daily Chart required as confirmation. This will mean change in market structure and new high created.
3: Inverse Head and Shoulder Pattern which can be seen on both the Daily Chart and The Four Hour Chart.
Summary: This trade has a potential Risk Reward (RR) of 3.28 to 1. We will only look of entries on the retest of key level 0.7184*.
The trade will be executed either using manual entry or pending order, depending on the location of price after the breakout.
AudUsd- Continuation to 0.73?In my last AudUsd analysis I had drawn the attention that 0.7 zone represents a strong demand zone and we can have a reversal from this point.
Indeed, the pair reversed strongly last week and at this moment is trading above August's low.
I'm bullish on this pair as long as 0.71 support holds and dips towards this zone should be bought.
0.73 could be bulls target
More upside to come for AUDUSD before range bound.THe aussie dollar saw a rebound this week and it looks like there will be more upside in the weeks to come. Early next week, we may see a short downward retrace to 0.706 before upside comes. I think this will coincide with Jerome Powell's announcement of the taper plans. Our price target to exit the long trade is 0.73
AUDUSD: Manipulation ZonePrice is pushing into the hourly supply and it is slowing down.
We may see some sellers try and break the bullish trend line that has been respected on the way up.
I think a fake breakout to the downside will occur before we push up again after filling imbalances.
What are your thoughts?
The tone has taken a turn. More downside for AUDUSDThere are two new macro uncertainties we are going through right now.
1. Omnicron strain
2. Fed bringing forth the date to raise rates
Both of which spells trouble for the global economy which explains the risk off attitudes we are seeing in the market this week. We should see more downside come for the aussie dollar in the coming weeks unless there is a 180 degrees shift in macro sentiments.
BEAR CASE
It looks like price is ready to dump from here to retest the 0.67 levels.
BULL CASE
If we see a short consolidation to the upside this coming week, we will be looking for our shorts.
AudUsd is in a very important buy zoneAfter breaking under the huge flag's support that I've spoken about 2 weeks ago, AudUsd has continued its descent breaking under 2 more important support.
However, at this moment, the pair is in a strong buy zone and, considering an almost straight fall of 500 pips, a correction is needed.
I will look for opportunities to buy this pair for a rebound to 0.73 zone
AUD/USD Forex Signal: Extremely Bullish Above 0.7170Bullish View
Buy the AUD/USD and set a take-profit at 0.7230.
Add a stop-loss at 0.7070.
Timeline: 1-2 days.
Bearish View
Set a sell-stop at 0.7100 and a take-profit at 0.7000.
Add a stop-loss at 0.7200.
The AUD/USD pair wavered on Thursday morning as the market reflected on the hawkish tone by the Federal Reserve chair and the positive numbers from the US and Australia. The pair is also wavering as investors focus on the upcoming jobs numbers from the United States. The pair is trading at 0.7143, which is slightly higher than this week’s lowest point.
Hawkish Federal Reserve
The biggest catalyst for the AUD/USD and the US dollar has been the relatively hawkish statement by the Federal Reserve chair. On his first day of congressional testimony, Jerome Powell sent shockwaves by his statement on quantitative easing and tapering.
He said that the central bank will continue tapering its asset purchases at a quicker pace than expected. In its interest rate decision in November, the bank signalled that it will end its purchases in June next year. Therefore, there is a likelihood that the bank will now wind down the policy in the first quarter of 2022.
This statement will therefore put pressure on the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which will start its meeting on Monday and deliver its decision on Tuesday. There is a likelihood that the bank will signal that it will start hiking rates earlier than 2024. In the previous meeting, the bank signalled that it will hike in 2024.
Therefore, with data from Australia being relatively strong, there is a likelihood that the bank will also turn hawkish next week. On Wednesday, data published by the country’s statistics agency showed that the economy contracted by 1.9% in the third quarter. This was a better figure than the median estimate of -2.7%. The economy grew by 3.9% on a year-on-year basis,
In addition, the manufacturing sector did well in November, according to numbers by Markit and Australia Industry Group. And today, numbers showed that the country’s retail sales rebounded in October.
AUD/USD Forecast
The four-hour chart shows that the AUD/USD pair declined to a low of 0.7065 this week. This price was along the first support of the standard pivot points. It then rebounded and is now trading at 0.7130, which is slightly below the standard pivot point.
The pair is still below the 50-day moving average while the MACD has started moving upwards. Therefore, the pair will likely keep rising as bulls target the first resistance at 0.7230.
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AudUsd- Long trade with 1:5 R:RAudUsd is trading around 0.72 zone, just above very important daily support and a correction is probable from this point on.
Also, the last leg down is a falling wedge and a break above 0.7230 would confirm a reversal, and bulls target can be above 0.73
A drop under 0.7170 would negate this scenario
AUDUSD breaks out!The aussie dollar spent some time at the bottom of the channel this week and finally broke out near the close of the week. Over the next few weeks, we should see more downside for this pair. We've marked out three levels where resistance could be met. If you're not already in a short, wait for a pull back at those resistance lines. Otherwise, take some profits a long the way down.
1) 0.71680
2) 0.71052
3) 0.70381