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AUD/USD: Move Higher Challenging Late November ResistanceThe AUD/USD has been able to sustain its highs above the 0.72000 level for a few days of trading in a row. Taking into account the holiday season and the fact that transactional volumes are extremely low, technical information about short and mid-term highs being challenged could be brushed aside. However, the recent move of the AUD/USD may be more than wishful thinking for bullish speculators who are feeling optimistic about the trend which has emerged. As of this writing, the AUD/USD is trading near the 0.72400 level and this ratio is bouncing along highs seen on the 23rd of December, but also importantly the value is within sight of higher marks demonstrated on the 22nd of November. On the 5th of December the AUD/USD approached the 0.70000 juncture below which was last sincerely challenged in November of 2020. And in July of 2020 the AUD/USD after suffering a bearish trend due to economic implications surrounding coronavirus, was able to puncture the 0.70000 value and has essentially remained above since then except for slight outliers. The ability of the AUD/USD to fall below the 0.70000 mark in early December and then spark a reversal is intriguing. The reversal higher since the first week of December has been solid, but choppy. Yet it has been accomplished in the midst of global central bank pronouncements and fresh worries about the Omicron variant. If the AUD/USD is able to sustain its value above the 0.72300 to 0.72200 support ratios, this may be a positive sign for bullish traders who may believe targeting higher realms is realistic. Because of the holiday trading season, traders should be careful about sudden spurts of volatility occurring which can knock open positions out of the market with losses. Traders should use stop loss orders appropriately. However, looking for potential bullish momentum and aiming for the 0.72500 to 0.72600 levels for quick hitting trades may be a solid short term wager, when buying on slight downticks which may be demonstrated. Speculators who are considering a buying position of the AUD/USD near current support levels cannot be faulted. Certainly traders need to use their risk management wisely. If support levels erode, further downside price action can develop. However, cautious wagers looking for upside within the current price range of the AUD/USD may prove to be a worthwhile opportunity. AUD/USD Short-Term Outlook Current Resistance: 0.72760 Current Support: 0.72150 High Target: 0.73130 Low Target: 0.71650
Long
by SmoothJB
1
AUDUSD Long with 3 confluences (Zero Indicators) List of confluences: 1. Trendline breakout 2. Breakout and close Key Level around 0.7184* on Daily Chart required as confirmation. This will mean change in market structure and new high created. 3: Inverse Head and Shoulder Pattern which can be seen on both the Daily Chart and The Four Hour Chart. Summary: This trade has a potential Risk Reward (RR) of 3.28 to 1. We will only look of entries on the retest of key level 0.7184*. The trade will be executed either using manual entry or pending order, depending on the location of price after the breakout.
Long
by NDOBObanks
The tone has taken a turn. More downside for AUDUSDThere are two new macro uncertainties we are going through right now. 1. Omnicron strain 2. Fed bringing forth the date to raise rates Both of which spells trouble for the global economy which explains the risk off attitudes we are seeing in the market this week. We should see more downside come for the aussie dollar in the coming weeks unless there is a 180 degrees shift in macro sentiments. BEAR CASE It looks like price is ready to dump from here to retest the 0.67 levels. BULL CASE If we see a short consolidation to the upside this coming week, we will be looking for our shorts.
Short
by IkanBilisCapital
AUD/USD Forex Signal: Extremely Bullish Above 0.7170Bullish View Buy the AUD/USD and set a take-profit at 0.7230. Add a stop-loss at 0.7070. Timeline: 1-2 days. Bearish View Set a sell-stop at 0.7100 and a take-profit at 0.7000. Add a stop-loss at 0.7200. The AUD/USD pair wavered on Thursday morning as the market reflected on the hawkish tone by the Federal Reserve chair and the positive numbers from the US and Australia. The pair is also wavering as investors focus on the upcoming jobs numbers from the United States. The pair is trading at 0.7143, which is slightly higher than this week’s lowest point. Hawkish Federal Reserve The biggest catalyst for the AUD/USD and the US dollar has been the relatively hawkish statement by the Federal Reserve chair. On his first day of congressional testimony, Jerome Powell sent shockwaves by his statement on quantitative easing and tapering. He said that the central bank will continue tapering its asset purchases at a quicker pace than expected. In its interest rate decision in November, the bank signalled that it will end its purchases in June next year. Therefore, there is a likelihood that the bank will now wind down the policy in the first quarter of 2022. This statement will therefore put pressure on the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA), which will start its meeting on Monday and deliver its decision on Tuesday. There is a likelihood that the bank will signal that it will start hiking rates earlier than 2024. In the previous meeting, the bank signalled that it will hike in 2024. Therefore, with data from Australia being relatively strong, there is a likelihood that the bank will also turn hawkish next week. On Wednesday, data published by the country’s statistics agency showed that the economy contracted by 1.9% in the third quarter. This was a better figure than the median estimate of -2.7%. The economy grew by 3.9% on a year-on-year basis, In addition, the manufacturing sector did well in November, according to numbers by Markit and Australia Industry Group. And today, numbers showed that the country’s retail sales rebounded in October. AUD/USD Forecast The four-hour chart shows that the AUD/USD pair declined to a low of 0.7065 this week. This price was along the first support of the standard pivot points. It then rebounded and is now trading at 0.7130, which is slightly below the standard pivot point. The pair is still below the 50-day moving average while the MACD has started moving upwards. Therefore, the pair will likely keep rising as bulls target the first resistance at 0.7230.
BITSTAMP:BTCUSDLong
by SmoothJB
Is there still downside for the AUDUSD? The AUDUSD moved down as we predicted last week. I hope you guys took the trade. The price is now trading in a neutral zone and we've to proceed with caution. If we look at 2013, the last time the fed announced a taper, the price of AUDUSD dumped all the way down to the bottom of the channel and beyond and this time round it could be the same. We've a neutral bias for the AUDUSD this week. BEAR CASE Price look due for some upward consolidation before dumping down to the 61.8 or even to the bottom of the channel where it coincides to with the 0.725 level. BULL CASE If the fed taper is already priced in and the market is bullish on this risk on currency, 9.757 and 0.768 are in play. PS: If you control your risk, take both sides of the trade and and time your entry perfectly with a 1:3 risk reward ratio. There is still profit to be made even if you're direction neutral. Making money in the markets has always been mind over matter. Control only what you can.
by IkanBilisCapital