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AUDUSD BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisAUDUSD is moving in an UPtrend channel. The chart broke through the dynamic Resistance line, which now acts as support. We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level which suggests that the price will continue to rise Hello Traders, here is the full analysis. I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity EURUSD I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment. ------------------- Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
Long
by TheGrove
7
AUD/USD: Westpac's Bullish Perspective The AUD/USD and NZD/USD are trending higher due to risk-on flows boosting these currency pairs. For AUD/USD, on the downside, immediate support could lie at 0.6594, just above the 100 Daily Moving Average. The RSI is almost levelling off at around 80. Westpac recently highlighted a bullish stance on AUD/USD: “...there is no clear path to significantly higher US yields at the moment, especially with Powell reiterating that persistent inflation trends prolong restrictive policies rather than suggesting imminent rate hikes. Additionally, there are increasing risks of a weakening job market, as indicated by softer April payrolls and last week's rise in jobless claims.” In essence, Powell has tentatively ruled out rate hikes, while Nonfarm Payrolls and other job data have started to soften. Furthermore, recent US CPI data revealed that the annual inflation rate eased to 3.4% in April 2024 from 3.5% in March. Although inflation remains stubbornly high, the downward trend may not support USD bulls. Extra gains might push the AUD/USD to test 0.6700, before approaching the key 0.6750 level.
by BlackBull_Markets
AUDUSD: Fed and BoE interest rate decisions, economic data and UEconomic calendar with market-impacting events including the latest Fed and BoE monetary policy decisions, US NFP reports, German and Eurozone fourth-quarter growth, manufacturing PMIs and Chinese services, German and Euro zone inflation data. In addition to the economic calendar, a series of major US technology companies will announce their latest fourth quarter business results. On Tuesday, Alphabet (GOOG) and the world's largest company Microsoft (MSFT) will release financial reports, while on Thursday, Amazon (AMZN), Apple (APPL) and Meta Platform (META) will release financial reports. Announce earnings after the market closes. The US stock market continues to set new records as investors remain determined to take risks. The upcoming earnings announcement of the "Magnificent 7" will weigh on the indexes due to the large proportion of these businesses and put the market at risk. Last week Tesla (TSLA) disappointed the market and fell about 12% following their earnings release.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
AUDUSD I Potential corrective bounce or consolidation Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments! ** AUDUSD Analysis - Listen to video! We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met. Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future. Thanks for your continued support!
Long
by BKTradingAcademy
1
Countdown to RBA rate decision Countdown to RBA rate decision The nine members of the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) are set announce its latest interest rate decision that could significantly impact the Australian dollar. This comes amidst remarks from Warren Hogan, Chief Economic Advisor at Judo Bank, who suggests that the central bank might soon need to raise rates to over 5%, a notable increase from the current 4.35%. Hogan asserts, "We're nearing two years since the commencement of rate hikes, and it appears that it's not yielding the desired outcomes." The money market indicates only a small probability of a rate hike today. However, Economic Editor John Kehoe from the Australian Financial Review raises doubts about whether the market is downplaying the likelihood of such an increase. According to Kehoe, over the last 25 years, the RBA has consistently raised interest rates promptly when confronted with a quarterly inflation rate as high as the current one, barring exceptional economic conditions. In contrast, Gareth Aird, Head of Australian Economics at CommBank, posits that Australia's neutral cash rate likely lies between 2.5% to 3%, and any rate exceeding 3% is sufficiently constraining. On the daily chart, the price has once more approached a significant resistance zone at 0.6650, where the pair encountered rejection in both April and March. Should the Reserve Bank of Australia adopt a more hawkish stance today, even in the absence of a rate hike, it might catalyze a breakthrough of this resistance level for the pair. Conversely, a downward move could find support around the 100-day moving average.
by BlackBull_Markets
AUDUSD: Asian foreign exchange was little changed, the dollar leThe greenback fell from a almost five-month excessive after Powell`s remarks The greenback index and greenback index futures fell barely in Asian trading, extending in a single day losses after Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell gave blended indicators on a reduce. lessen US hobby fees. While Powell stated the Fed might subsequently reduce hobby fees later this year, he gave scant indicators at the timing and length of cappotential cuts. Powell additionally stated the crucial financial institution will want to be extra assured that inflation is shifting towards its annual goal of 2%. Powell's remarks come simply in advance of key March nonfarm payrolls data, due out on Friday. Steady inflation and the electricity of the hard work marketplace are the Fed's largest issues in its capacity to reduce hobby fees. Ahead of the hard work data, there has been additionally recognition on speeches from different participants of the Fed's hobby rate-placing committee. FOMC participants Michelle Bowman and Thomas Barkin will communicate at separate occasions afterward Thursday.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
4
AUDUSD: Dollar steady, CPI data awaitedThe dollar index and dollar index futures steadied above the 102 level on Monday, after recording sharp declines last week. The greenback was beset by comments from Fed Chairman Jerome Powell that the central bank was close to having enough evidence of easing inflation. Powell also made clear that he does not expect inflation to reach 2% to begin considering interest rate cuts. Adding to this pressure, data on Friday showed nonfarm payrolls rose more than expected in February. But January's figures were revised significantly lower, while other figures showed unemployment rising, suggesting the labor market has cooled somewhat. Powell's comments kept markets more focused on Tuesday's CPI data, especially as several other Fed officials also signaled that any rate cuts by the Fed would depend largely on the path of inflationary
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
2
AUDUSD high probability possible 1000 pips tradehello guys , today we are looking at AUDUSD , this pair provides a very good opportunity for a bullish setup on the daily tf the price made a double bottom and broke its neckline however on friday the daily candle closed as an inverted hammer. it is possible that the price might pullback towards the neckline to do a retest that also overlaps with the 4h orderblock which is going to be my point of interest and my entry point . id wait for confirmation to enter on 50% of the OB.
Long
by xAB777
1
AUDUSD: The USD stabilized amid the Fed's speculative cutsThe US greenback remained beneathneath a three-month top on Thursday, as marketplace individuals assessed the timing of capacity hobby fee cuts with the aid of using the Federal Reserve following remarks from Fed officers on inflation statistics. currently released. The yen, even though beneathneath stress this week, did now no longer fall to a three-month low towards the greenback on Tuesday, whilst Japan`s financial system entered recession with an sudden contraction in consecutive quarters because of vulnerable home demand. Inflation statistics from americaA shifted marketplace expectancies of a Fed fee reduce to mid-yr after the purchaser rate index confirmed a 3.1% upward push in January from a yr earlier, exceeding over the predicted 2.9% increase. Current marketplace valuations factor to no fee reduce in March, a giant alternate from a month in the past while there has been a 77% hazard of a reduce beginning there, in step with CME's FedWatch tool. The chance of hobby fees closing unchanged on the Fed's May assembly is presently at 60%. Chicago Fed President Austan Goolsbee, talking on Wednesday, stated the Fed ought to now no longer postpone reducing hobby fees for too long, although inflation is barely better than predicted withinside the coming months. Meanwhile, Fed Vice Chairman for Supervision Michael Barr mentioned that the adventure to accomplishing a 2% inflation fee can be challenging, as evidenced with the aid of using January CPI figures. The senior marketplace analyst from City Index cited that the Fed is taking a long-time period view in their course to 2% inflation, which lets in for a few deviation alongside the way. This sentiment is regular with remarks from Fed officers after the discharge of a better-than-predicted inflation document. The greenback index, a gauge of the dollar towards a basket of six fundamental currencies, consolidated beneathneath a three-month excessive of 104.ninety seven hit on Wednesday, in advance of americaA retail income document for the month January. It became ultimate recorded at 104.69.
Short
by Chart_MasterPro
A Golden Opportunity for Buyers?The AUDUSD has been on a bit of a slide since the end of 2023, but now it's shaping up to look like a solid pick for a short-term buy that could turn into a longer term move here's why. We're hitting a really important spot on the charts - the Monthly BUY zone that popped up last November after a big jump from the low in early October. Back in October, I shared an idea about buying when price dipped below 0.63, aiming for a climb up to 0.68. That’s exactly what has happened (you can check out related post below). Now, if you take a look at the Daily chart below, you'll notice the price is starting to slow as it gets closer to the 0.645 support level, which was a previous resistance area. What’s got me interested in this BUY idea is just as we touched the 0.645 support this week, my TRFX indicator popped up with a strong bullish signal. And when we zoom into the 4-hour charts, we're seeing even more buy signals occurring alongside slowly momentum. All this is telling me it’s a pretty good time to think about buying, aiming for a rise up to 0.67 or even higher. I’m thinking of putting a tight stop loss around 0.642 just in case things go south. But, if it does drop below 0.64, that might just be another chance to buy, as it could mean a deeper dip into the Monthly BUY zone. For now, I’m getting in on this pair and will keep an eye on how things unfold. Hope you found this interesting!
Long
by TheFxAce
12
AUDUSD: USD reached its highest level in 8 weeksThe US Dollar Index rose to 104.18, its highest level since December 2023. The US jobs report released on Friday (February 2) far exceeded market expectations. This information reinforced Fed Chairman Jerome Powell's statement at the end of the agency's policy meeting last week that an interest rate cut in March 2024 was unlikely. Expert Chris Weston, head of research at Pepperstone, said that the optimistic US jobs report basically showed that an interest rate cut in March 2024 is very fragile. According to CME's FedWatch tool, traders are assessing just a 20% chance that the Fed could begin easing interest rates in March 2024, compared with nearly 50% a week ago. The possibility of cutting interest rates in May 2024 is also possible. Currency expert Carol Kong at Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) said that the USD is likely to stabilize at its recent increase. US Treasury bond yields also skyrocketed due to expectations that interest rates will increase in the long term. Benchmark 10-year yield increased 5 basis points to 4.0829%
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
AUDUSD: AUD/USD eased slightly, while the Australian stock markeImmediately after better-than-expected inflation data, the Australian dollar fell again. In addition, weakening inflation has also provided the market with more information about the RBA's interest rates in the coming time when the Reserve Bank of Australia has had many difficulties in controlling inflation and has only stopped raising interest rates. interest rate in November. Currently, the market is expecting that the RBA will have a 50 bps interest rate cut in 2024.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro