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Audusdforecast

AudUsd could drop under 0.63 againFor the past 3 years, AudUsd has been in a downtrend, with the pair dropping almost 2,000 pips from its peak in February 2021, which was around the 0.8 zone. In November 2023, the pair initiated a reversal from a support zone, and by December, it even broke above the descending trend line, reaching a horizontal resistance level at 0.69. However, this upward breakout, initially perceived as a reversal of the downtrend, turned out to be a false break. AudUsd dropped back below the descending trend line, signaling strong bearish implications. Currently, the Australian dollar is hovering around the crucial 0.65 support level. A breach here could lead to a drop and a test of support around the 0.63 zone once again. I maintain a bearish outlook at this moment and will continue to do so as long as the pair remains below 0.66.
Short
by Mihai_Iacob
AUD/USD remains trapped beneath its 200-day EMAAUD/USD fell from the late-December high to mid-January low in a fairly straight line, so it is no surprise to see prices have consolidated. However, the consolidation cannot last forever so we're looking for its next directional. Given the Aussie has failed to rally despite 'good news' from China, perhaps a spell of bad news could send it lower. That, or a softer-than-expected inflation report on Wednesday. The daily chart shows the Aussie has repeatedly failed to post a daily close above its 200-day EMA, and has left a series of shooting star candles along the way. Bears could consider fading into retracements towards the 200-day EMA wit a stop well above it, and target the 0.6500 - 0.6520 support zone. AN RSI (2) above 90 could also help time a short trade as it could indicate a near-term top.
Short
by CityIndex
AUDUSD: AUD/USD eased slightly, while the Australian stock markeImmediately after better-than-expected inflation data, the Australian dollar fell again. In addition, weakening inflation has also provided the market with more information about the RBA's interest rates in the coming time when the Reserve Bank of Australia has had many difficulties in controlling inflation and has only stopped raising interest rates. interest rate in November. Currently, the market is expecting that the RBA will have a 50 bps interest rate cut in 2024.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
AUDUSD - Accumulation phase ✅Hello traders! ‼️ This is my perspective on AUDUSD. Technical analysis: Here we are in an acccumulation phase so I expect we could see AMD pattern, price firstly to manipulate buy side liquidity and to fill the imbalance higher, then to distribute lower. Fundamental news: On Friday we will see results of NFP and Unemployment Rate. Pay attention to the results in order to validate the analysis. Like, comment and subscribe to be in touch with my content!
Long
by Snick3rSD
AUDUSD: Fed and BoE interest rate decisions, economic data and UEconomic calendar with market-impacting events including the latest Fed and BoE monetary policy decisions, US NFP reports, German and Eurozone fourth-quarter growth, manufacturing PMIs and Chinese services, German and Euro zone inflation data. In addition to the economic calendar, a series of major US technology companies will announce their latest fourth quarter business results. On Tuesday, Alphabet (GOOG) and the world's largest company Microsoft (MSFT) will release financial reports, while on Thursday, Amazon (AMZN), Apple (APPL) and Meta Platform (META) will release financial reports. Announce earnings after the market closes. The US stock market continues to set new records as investors remain determined to take risks. The upcoming earnings announcement of the "Magnificent 7" will weigh on the indexes due to the large proportion of these businesses and put the market at risk. Last week Tesla (TSLA) disappointed the market and fell about 12% following their earnings release.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
AUDUSD: The foreign exchange market is quiet, the USD is stable Most Asian currencies remained weak on Wednesday, with the dollar hovering near a six-week high as markets awaited further signals on when the Federal Reserve would start cutting interest rates. The Australian dollar weakened by 0.1%, although January's PMI data showed improvement in manufacturing and services activity. The Australian dollar, which is often used as an indicator of overall Asian markets' risk appetite, is also trading near seven-week lows. The US dollar has stabilized near six-week highs as the economy continues to grow. Data, Fed meeting underway The dollar index and dollar index futures each fell 0.1% in Asian trade, after rising earlier to their highest since early December. The dollar got off to a strong start to 2024, with solid inflation and jobs data showing traders' expectations that a Fed rate cut was imminent have largely dissipated. That perception was further exacerbated by a series of hawkish comments from Fed officials last week. The focus now shifts to fourth-quarter gross domestic product (GDP) data scheduled for release on Thursday and data on the PCE price index, the Fed's preferred inflation measure, scheduled for release on Friday. Signs of a recovery in economic growth and inflation would give the Fed more incentive to keep interest rates high for longer periods of time. The reading also came days before the Fed's first meeting in 2024, when the Fed is widely expected to keep interest rates at a 23-year high. However, the Fed is still expected to start cutting rates before the end of the year, and traders will be watching for any such signals from the meeting.
Long
by Chart_MasterPro
AUD/USD Trade alert: Strong USD vs RBA's rate decisionAUD/USD Trade alert: Strong USD vs RBA's rate decision Talk of a US$278 billion (1 trillion yuan) rescue package for Chinese shares might not be enough to support AUD/USD. Countering this positive signal for the AUD is general US dollar strength, caused by a shift in the market regarding the likelihood of a March rate cut. At the turn of the year, it was priced above 80% probability, but that's now fallen to 42%. On the daily chart, we can see the AUD/USD testing on the key support zone at 0.6550 with some consolidation just above this level before the next move. Looking a little further ahead, AUD might find the upwards momentum it needs with Australia's inflation rate data released on January 30 next week, followed closely by the Reserve Bank of Australia's interest rate decision on February 5. The inflation figure is the last major report the RBA will have to consider before it meets next week for its first interest rate decision of 2024. Will they keep their rate unchanged on February 5 or surprise the market with another 25-basis-points hike and give a pop to the AUD/USD?
by BlackBull_Markets
1
AUD/USD, NZD/USD hint at a round of risk-offIf commodity FX is anything to go by, we could be in for a bout of risk-off. The yen and US dollar were the strongest majors, which saw AUD/JPY and NZD/JPY pull back from cycle highs and form bearish outside days alongside AUD/USD and NZD/USD. The fact that AUD/USD reversed at its 200-day average and closed beneath the 200-day EMA makes it likely the 2-day bounce from support we anticipated has run its course. And with NZD/USD hitting new cycle lows with a bearish engulfing day and closed beneath its 100/200-day EMAs likely brings 60c into mind for bears, and 65c for AUD/USD bears.
Short
by CityIndex
Potential swing trade long on AUD/USDLike NZD/USD, the Aussie is refusing to roll over despite a strong US inflation report. That is in itself a sign of strength. The daily chart is yet to see a close beneath the Q3 open, and the lows are holding above the 50-day EMA and 38.2% Fibonacci level. A bullish RSI divergence also formed from the oversold zone to suggest a swing low has formed or is near. The bias remains bullish above last week's low ad for an initial move to 0.6750 - a break above which assumes a move for 0.6800.
Long
by CityIndex