AUDUSD Bearish Breakout – Macro and Technicals AlignAUDUSD has broken below a rising wedge formation on the 4H chart, signaling a bearish continuation. With the Reserve Bank of Australia pausing rates and weak local data weighing on sentiment, while the Federal Reserve maintains a hawkish hold due to sticky labor costs, this trade sets up well both technically and fundamentally. I'm watching for downside continuation toward 0.6379 and potentially 0.6350. The bearish bias is invalidated on a move above 0.6475.
🔍 Technical Analysis
Structure: Price broke down from a rising wedge and continues forming bear flags — each followed by further selling pressure.
Current Price Action:
Rejected sharply at ~0.6475 (last swing high)
Confirmed breakout with downside momentum
Key Support Levels:
0.6379 – minor structural support
0.6350 – major support zone from April
Resistance / Invalidation:
Above 0.6475 – would break the bearish structure and negate the setup
Bias: Bearish — clean structure, breakout momentum, and sustained lower highs
🌏 Fundamental Context
🇦🇺 Bearish AUD Drivers:
Weak domestic data:
Building Approvals: -8.8% vs -1.7% forecast
RBA on hold:
No rate hike in sight; cautious due to housing and China concerns
China slow-down:
PBOC cut rates and reduced reserve requirements — signals broader economic softness
🇺🇸 Bullish USD Drivers:
Fed holding firm:
Benchmark rate held at 4.25–4.50%
Labor costs surged +5.3% q/q
Productivity dropped -0.4%, reinforcing inflation concerns
Market repricing rate cuts:
Cuts now expected later in 2025 or even 2026
Political pressure from Trump:
Despite attacks on Jerome Powell, Fed appears unmoved
Trump teasing a “major trade deal” — potentially USD-positive if credible
🎯 Trade Setup
Entry Area: Watching 0.6420–0.6435 as a pullback zone for potential shorts
Target Levels:
First target: 0.6379
Second target: 0.6350
Stop Loss: Placed above 0.6475 (last swing high) to protect against false breakouts
Trade Thesis:
Technical structure supports downside continuation
Macro fundamentals favor USD strength and AUD weakness
Clean reward-to-risk if structure holds
🧭 Conclusion
AUDUSD setup is supported by a strong confluence of technical breakdown and macro divergence. With the Fed staying firm and the RBA cautious amid weak data, the fundamentals validate the bearish trend. As long as price stays below 0.6475, the outlook remains bearish, with 0.6379 and 0.6350 as the next logical levels. Caution around U.S. data releases or trade deal news is advised, but the path of least resistance remains downward.
Audusdsell
AUDUSD BEARISH(SELL) TECHNICAL SCENARIO.AUD/USD Market Analysis Scenario
Pair: AUD/USD
Bias: Bearish
Entry Consideration: Upon confirmation of rejection or reversal near the resistance zone.
Key Levels
Resistance: 0.64960 (critical supply zone)
1st Target: 0.64200
Final Target: 0.63800
Technical Scenario
The AUD/USD pair is currently trading below a strong resistance at 0.64960, which has acted as a key reversal zone in the recent past. Price action near this level indicates a potential bearish reversal pattern, such as a bearish engulfing, double top, or rejection wicks on higher time frames (H4 or D1).
If the pair fails to break above 0.64960, we can expect a downward movement toward the first support target at 0.64200, where minor demand might provide temporary consolidation. If bearish momentum continues, the pair could head further down to the final target at 0.63800, a previous swing low and stronger demand area.
The trend next weekJudging from the price trend presented in the chart, the current market is clearly in a bearish state 📉. Previously, after the price reached the key resistance level of 0.64500, it failed to break through effectively and continue the upward trend. Instead, it entered a consolidation pattern 📊. This indicates that the bullish forces encountered strong resistance near this price level and found it difficult to push the price higher 👎.
It is expected that in the coming period, without significant positive news stimuli, the price is highly likely to continue its downward trend 📉. Investors should closely monitor whether the support level of 0.63340 holds 👀. If this support level is broken, they may consider selling short on rallies ⏬.
⚡⚡⚡ AUDUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Sell@0.6500 - 0.6450
🚀 TP 0.6350 - 0.6300
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
AUD/USD Opening Trends and Trading Strategies Next WeekThe AUD/USD has been in a range - bound fluctuation recently. 📈 In the short term, if the price can stay above the support level of 0.63340 and market risk - appetite sentiment rises, the AUD/USD is expected to challenge the target level of 0.64500. 🎯 However, if it breaks below the support level, it may trigger further downward adjustments. 📉
⚡⚡⚡ AUDUSD ⚡⚡⚡
🚀 Buy@0.6350 - 0.6380
🚀 TP 0.6400 - 0.6450
Accurate signals are updated every day 📈 If you encounter any problems during trading, these signals can serve as your reliable guide 🧭 Feel free to refer to them! I sincerely hope they'll be of great help to you 🌟
AUDUSD: Neutral View First Buy and Then Sell! Hey everyone!
Our first buy swing entry is going swimmingly! We’ve got over 500 pips running positively, and we reckon price can keep going up and then when it hits our selling zone, you can swing sell too. This is a fantastic opportunity where we can wait for price to do its thing and then when it reaches the sell zone, we can execute our order. But if you’re feeling adventurous and want to take a bit of a risk, you can take a buy entry at the given point and keep it up until it reaches our sell area.
With just one shot, we can make two entries!
Good luck and trade safely!
Thanks a bunch for your unwavering support! 😊
If you’d like to lend a hand, here are a few ways you can contribute:
- Like our ideas
- Comment on our ideas
- Share our ideas
Cheers,
Team Setupsfx_
❤️🚀
AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D2 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D2 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅Intraday 15' order block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅Intraday 15' order block trading levels
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The Xrest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT
AUDUSD(20250430)Today's AnalysisTechnical analysis:
Today's buying and selling boundaries: 0.6402
Support and resistance levels:
0.6475
0.6447
0.6430
0.6374
0.6356
0.6329
Trading strategy:
If the price breaks through 0.6402, consider buying, the first target price is 0.6430
If the price breaks through 0.6374, consider selling, the first target price is 0.6356
AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D30 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D30 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅Intraday 15' order block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅Intraday 15' order block trading levels
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The Xrest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT
AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D29 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D29 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅Intraday 15' order block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅Intraday 15' order block trading levels
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D25 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D25 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅Daily highs rejection
✅Previous daily candle bearish close
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
SHORT ON AUD/USDAUD/USD has given us a double top at a major resistance area/zone.
It has currently formed a lower high after giving us a change of character (choc) to the downside.
I expect price to drop to the next demand level for 200-300 pips.
Dxy News for the rest of the week should help fuel the move if positive for the dollar.
AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Trade confluences
- Weekly 50 EMA rejection
- 5’ order block created
- Intraday bearish breaks of structure
- Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
audusd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D17 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D17 Y25
GM GM.
Summary
+ Daily high rejection
+ Weekly order block rejection
+ Weekly 50 EMA edging closer to price action
+ 4H bearish close
+ 1H continued short
+ 15' intraday breaks of structure
Just a few confluences mentioned.
Entry Model
Tap
Lower time frame break of structure/ Bearish candle stick formation from point of interest.
FRGNT X
AUD/USD Bearish Trade Setup – Trendline Rejection & SBR Zone📉 Trendline & Market Structure
🔵 Downward trendline connects lower highs (🔴🔴🔴), showing a bearish trend.
🔵 Price is forming lower highs and lower lows, confirming the downtrend.
🟦 SBR Zone (Support Became Resistance)
🔵 SBR Zone (🟦) was previously a support but now acts as resistance.
🔵 Price is testing this area → Possible rejection and move down.
📌 Trade Setup
✅ Entry: Short (Sell) near SBR zone if rejection occurs.
❌ Stop Loss: 0.60650 (🔺 Above SBR Zone)
🎯 Target Point: 0.59150 (🔻 Downside goal)
📉 Potential Drop: -2.08% (-125.4 pips)
📊 Confirmation Checklist
✔️ Price must reject 🟦 SBR Zone.
✔️ Bearish candles like Pin Bars or Engulfing confirm entry.
✔️ DEMA (9) at 0.60175 → If price drops below, trade is valid.
⚠️ Risk Management
🚀 Good Risk-to-Reward Ratio → Worth considering if rejection occurs.
🔄 Invalidation: If price breaks above 0.60650, setup is canceled.
AUD/USD Supply Zone Rejection Trade Setup🔵 Supply Zone → (Blue highlighted area) The price is expected to reverse from here.
🔹 Entry Point → 0.60610 📍 (Marked with a blue line) The trade is planned to start here.
🟠 Stop Loss → 0.60934 ❌ (Marked with an orange line) If the price goes above this, the trade will be exited to prevent further loss.
🔻 Target Point → 0.59400 🎯 (Marked at the bottom) Expected profit zone if the trade moves as planned.
📉 Trade Plan:
✅ Short position (Sell trade) expected to drop from the supply zone.
🚀 Risk-to-reward ratio looks good as the potential profit is higher than the risk.
⚠️ Risk Factor: If price breaks above the supply zone, the setup might fail.
audusd buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
AUD/USD at a Crossroads: The Battle of Breakouts and SupportsTrade frictions remain a headwind in the market. US trade measures have triggered concerns, and the Australian economy, which is dependent on exports to China, may be impacted. Meanwhile, inflation triggered by tariffs conflicts with concerns about a slowdown in the US economy. The Federal Reserve has maintained the interest rate unchanged and adjusted its economic forecasts.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut interest rates in February, and future actions will depend on inflation data. Employment positions decreased in February while the unemployment rate remained stable. The upcoming release of the monthly CPI indicator for February is of great concern. The net short - positions of the Australian dollar have increased, and market sentiment is bearish.
Technically, if the AUD/USD breaks through key levels, there is upward potential. If the bears dominate, there are multiple support levels. Momentum indicators show mixed performance.
AUDUSD
sell@0.63500-0.63000
tp:0.62500-0.62000
I will share trading signals every day. All the signals have been accurate for a whole month in a row. If you also need them, please click on the link below the article to obtain them.
audusd buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
audusd buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade