AUD USD TRADE SET UP AUD/USD pair has formed a head and shoulders pattern on the 4-hour timeframe, indicating a potential trend reversal.
A short entry will be executed upon a retest of the neckline on the lower timeframe.
The first target is set at a 1:2 risk-reward ratio, and the second target is at the 4-hour demand level.
Who else is watching AUD/USD?
Audusdsell
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Is Australian Dollar (AUDUSD) on the verge of collapse?
This is CoT index of Australian Dollars. As you can see every time Commercials(blue line) are in long term(3-year) negative extreme AND Retailers(green line) are in positive extreme, the asset tanks.
The vertical blue lines are the past identical situations. The last time we had this condition was September 2017 which resulted in multi-year downward momentum.
Here is the commercials net position. The last time they were negative in net positions was July 2020. which resulted in AUD going down up to now. Now they are negative again.
This is Retailers net positions. Interesting part is whenever their net position is around 10,000, AUDUSD seems to go down.
On top of that the 5, 10, and 15-year seasonality trends indicate that the market typically reaches its peak around July 24. Therefore, it is expected to decline from that point onward.
AUDUSD is maintaining horizontal accumulationAUDUSD: The AUDUSD is maintaining horizontal accumulation around the range from 0.6720-0.6760. However, it can be seen that in this price range there was a previous GAP decrease and yesterday this GAP area was filled. Therefore, in today's session, AUDUSD may continue its downtrend. You can consider selling with AUDUSD.
audusd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
AUDUSD: dropped sharply right from the resistance zoneAUDUSD: The AUD the day past fell sharply from the resistance location round 0.6680. Still preserving round the buildup zone. Therefore, in today`s session, it's miles anticipated that AUDUSD will nonetheless fall to the 0.6600 location and can get better whilst it touches this guide zone. You can remember quick promoting with AUDUSD today.
AUDUSD: maintains narrow accumulationAUDUSD: this pair is still maintaining a fairly narrow accumulation around the 0.6640-0.6670 threshold with selling pressure above the resistance area being quite strong. The scenario in today's session is expected that AUDUSD will not have many changes and breakthroughs. Mostly it will still maintain accumulation until the end of this week. You can consider selling with AUDUSD around 0.6670.
AUDUSD: AUD outlook adjusted upward in the short termAUDUSD: The AUD also has the prospect of an upward adjustment in the short term. Therefore, it is expected that ace can continue to maintain the buying trend with AUDUSD in the short term to the 0.6640 area and sell above this price range. In the context that the USD is adjusting to fill the gap
A cautious bounce for AUD/USD ahead of US CPI, FOMCFriday's nonfarm payroll report took many by surprise to send the USD dollar sharply higher against all of its major peers. And that clearly took it toll on the Aussie, which suffered its worst day in five weeks. A bearish outside week formed, all thanks to an elongated bearish engulfing candle on Friday.
AUD/USD managed a minor rebound from its 100 and 200-day EMAs on Monday, but it was a public holiday in Australia and China so the move is assume to corrective.
The 1-hour chart shows prices are sitting around the monthly pivot point and 38.2% Fibonacci level, so we're looking for a swing trade short whilst prices remain beneath 0.6630 and for a move down to 0.6560.
AUD/USD Made A Reversal Pattern ,H&S Will Change The Direction ?This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
AUDUSD: slight correction from the peak areaAUDUSD: The AUD in the short term has also had a slight correction from the peak of 0.6680. It is expected that in the short term, AUDUSD will fluctuate and accumulate with the support area around the 0.6600 threshold. In today's session, it is possible that AUD will test this price range again. Ace can consider waiting to buy up AUDUSD today.
AUDUSD: The AUD has also returned to rising momentumAUDUSD: The AUD has also returned to its upward momentum, especially surpassing the 0.6660 zone, showing that the flag pattern has broken to maintain the previous upward trend, so AUDUSD has a high risk of continuing to rise above it. resistance zone 0.67 to move to higher price area. The target is expected to be above the 0.68 threshold. Therefore, in the short term, you can consider buying up AUDUSD today. Recommended to buy around the current price range
GBPUSD: in the short term there is also a recoveryGBPUSD: In the quick time period, the British Pound is likewise recuperating to check the resistance round 1.2770. On the H1 frame, it could be visible that this resistance region has promoting stress acting on GU, so withinside the quick time period and with high-quality records which could come to the USD tonight, it's far anticipated that GU will even flip down whilst tested. Check this resistance zone. Ace considers promoting down with GU round 1.2770, quick-time period goal returns to 1.2700
AUDUSD: In the short term, the AUD is recoveringAUDUSD: In the quick term, the AUD is recuperating from the aid vicinity round 0.6600. And in today`s context, it's miles predicted that AUDUSD will now no longer have many fluctuations. Most will acquire strain from the 0.66-0.sixty seven vicinity, so that you can take into account ready to promote across the 0.sixty seven resistance vicinity.
AUDUSD: maintaining narrow range accumulationAUDUSD: The AUD withinside the quick time period is likewise preserving a slender accumulation variety with a corrective downtrend wherein the aid place of 0.6590 is likewise touching the EMA200 withinside the H4 frame. The predicted situation is that AUDUSD may also lower from the modern-day rate variety. If AUDUSD falls beneath 0.6590, it'll verify a longer-time period downtrend. It is usually recommended to promote with this forex pair.
AUDUSD: The AUD in the short term turned downAUDUSD: In the short term, the AUD has also turned down. Currently located around the 0.6600 support zone. Because this is an important neckline support area as well as touching the EMA 200 H4 frame, we need to observe the price reaction around this area. If AUDUSD continues to penetrate the current price range, it will create a double peak pattern confirming a deep downtrend. Ace may explore selling down on AUDUSD in the context that the USD is currently rising strongly, reinforcing this short position.
AUDUSD: The AUD is also having downward adjustmentsAUDUSD: The AUD is also having downward adjustments in the context of the USD index recovering. Therefore, in today's session, it is expected that AUD will still maintain short-term correction momentum to retest around the 0.6600 area. It is recommended to briefly sell AUD and then monitor the price reaction when AUDUSD tests 0.6600.
AUDUSD : Short Trade , 4hHello traders, we want to check the AUDUSD chart. The price has broken the ascending channel to the bottom and the price trend is now bearish. The price has pulled back to the specified support level and we expect this level to maintain the downward trend and the price will fall to around 0.65600. Good luck.
AUDUSD Bearish Butterfly Pattern Signals ReversalThe AUDUSD pair is currently forming a Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern (XABCD), a classical harmonic formation that signals potential trend reversals. The critical Point D, known as the Potential Reversal Zone (PRZ), is where the pattern completes, indicating a high probability of a bearish reversal.
Confluence Factors:
Key Resistance Area: Point D aligns precisely with a significant resistance level, suggesting strong selling pressure at this zone.
4-Hour Trend Line: The PRZ also coincides with a descending trend line on the 4-hour chart, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
RSI Bearish Divergence: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is exhibiting bearish divergence, where the price is making higher highs while the RSI is making lower highs, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
Entry and Risk Management:
Entry: Based on the confluence factors, an entry is recommended at 0.66730.
Stop Loss: To manage risk, place the stop loss at 0.67180, just above the resistance and PRZ, providing a buffer against potential volatility.
Take Profit Levels:
TP-1: 0.66280
TP-2: 0.65830
TP-3: 0.65380
These profit levels are strategically placed at key support zones and Fibonacci retracement levels, offering a structured exit plan as the market potentially moves in our favor.
Conclusion:
Given the alignment of the Bearish Butterfly Harmonic Pattern, key resistance, trend line, and RSI divergence, a bearish reversal is anticipated from Point D. This setup presents a high-probability trading opportunity, supported by multiple technical factors. The proposed trade setup provides a favorable risk-reward ratio, making it a prudent entry for traders looking to capitalize on a potential trend reversal in the AUDUSD pair.
AUD/USD: Westpac's Bullish Perspective The AUD/USD and NZD/USD are trending higher due to risk-on flows boosting these currency pairs.
For AUD/USD, on the downside, immediate support could lie at 0.6594, just above the 100 Daily Moving Average. The RSI is almost levelling off at around 80.
Westpac recently highlighted a bullish stance on AUD/USD:
“...there is no clear path to significantly higher US yields at the moment, especially with Powell reiterating that persistent inflation trends prolong restrictive policies rather than suggesting imminent rate hikes. Additionally, there are increasing risks of a weakening job market, as indicated by softer April payrolls and last week's rise in jobless claims.”
In essence, Powell has tentatively ruled out rate hikes, while Nonfarm Payrolls and other job data have started to soften.
Furthermore, recent US CPI data revealed that the annual inflation rate eased to 3.4% in April 2024 from 3.5% in March. Although inflation remains stubbornly high, the downward trend may not support USD bulls.
Extra gains might push the AUD/USD to test 0.6700, before approaching the key 0.6750 level.