Audusdshort
AUDUSD SELL 106 PIPS LIVE EXCAUTION AND EDUCATIONAL BREAKDOWN AUD/USD has ereased earlier gains to edge lower below 0.6300 in the Asian session on Monday. Trump's tariff concerns outweigh mixed Chinese NBS March PMI data, Australia's hot private inflation data and broad US Dollar weakness, exerting downward pressure on the pair as risk-aversion intensifies.
Continue to be bullish.Economic Fundamentals
Australia: Its economic growth, inflation and export prices affect the Aussie. Growth aids appreciation; inflation undermines it. Higher resource prices boost the currency.
US: Strong US data strengthens the dollar, weakening AUD/USD; weak data has the opposite effect.
Market & Geopolitical Factors
High risk appetite benefits the Aussie; low appetite favors the dollar. Geopolitical tensions prompt a flight to the dollar, hurting the Aussie.
💎💎💎 AUDUSD 💎💎💎
🎁 Buy@0.62500 - 0.62800
🎁 TP 0.63500 - 0.64000
The market has been extremely volatile lately. If you can't figure out the market's direction, you'll only be a cash dispenser for others. If you also want to succeed,Follow the link below to get my daily strategy updates
AUD/USD at a Crossroads: The Battle of Breakouts and SupportsTrade frictions remain a headwind in the market. US trade measures have triggered concerns, and the Australian economy, which is dependent on exports to China, may be impacted. Meanwhile, inflation triggered by tariffs conflicts with concerns about a slowdown in the US economy. The Federal Reserve has maintained the interest rate unchanged and adjusted its economic forecasts.
The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) cut interest rates in February, and future actions will depend on inflation data. Employment positions decreased in February while the unemployment rate remained stable. The upcoming release of the monthly CPI indicator for February is of great concern. The net short - positions of the Australian dollar have increased, and market sentiment is bearish.
Technically, if the AUD/USD breaks through key levels, there is upward potential. If the bears dominate, there are multiple support levels. Momentum indicators show mixed performance.
AUDUSD
sell@0.63500-0.63000
tp:0.62500-0.62000
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AUDUSD Short based on interest rates decision Australianas inflation slowing down,before next interest rates decision .Possible rates cuts
USA: Inflation up, FED no changes in interest rates,possible rate hikes
2 APPORACHES FOR TODAY;OR IF YOU WANNA WAIT ENTRY with more cautiios(Conservative entry)
Yellow zones are areas where we can cover more shorts
Short Idea - AUDUSDTrade entered. Entry rules met.
Confluences:
✅ Bearish overall bias
✅ Bearish demand zone
✅ Bearish ABCD extension pattern
✅ Bearish divergence
✅ Bearish break of structure
✅ Entering London close zone
✅ Price is in entry zone
✅ Required risk:reward met
⭐ I shared this watch zone in my weekly forex outlook this week, you can subscribe by clicking the link in my bio.
Mon 24th Mar 2025 AUD/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a AUD/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
Week of 3/23/25: AUDUSD AnalysisAnalysis of my main pair AUDUSD, last week resulted in the bears taking over and my analysis explains why my bias is bearish going into the new week.
Not much volatile news except for Unemployment Claims on Thursday.
Let me know what you guys think, your analysis, and if you want to see anything else!
Goodluck this week traders, let's kill it.
AUD/USD– Bearish Momentum Unleashed!AUD/USD 🐨💵 – Bearish Momentum Unleashed! 🚨📉
Price rejected from Daily & H4 FVG zones 🔥
Pullback expected… then a potential drop toward 0.61872 💔
Weekly Bias = Bearish ✅
Eyes on liquidity grab below recent lows 👀💣
Are you ready for the move? 💼💸 #ForexTrading #AUDUSD #SmartMoneyConcepts #FVG #PriceAction #LiquidityHunt
Setup #006 - AUDUSD - Long (Not the cleanest)Trade entered. I used the 5 min for entry but Tradingview doesn't let me post it on a small time frame.
We should find out if this is a winner or loser during the rest of US/UK overlap. I personally think price wants to drop more, but my strategy says to buy, so I'm listening to the strategy, plus there is a nice risk to reward for this trade.
Confluences:
✅ Bullish overall bias
✅ Bulllish demand zone
✅ Bullish ABCD on 15 min chart, bullish impulse crab on H4
✅ Bullish divergence in price reversal zone
✅ Buillish break of structure
✅ Entering NY open
✅ Break of structure confirmed
✅ Required risk:reward met
audusd buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
AUDUSD BUY signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
AUCTION Is Breaking Down—More Pain Ahead?Yello, Paradisers! #AUCTION has been under heavy selling pressure, just like the broader crypto market. The price action remains weak, and the recent break below its ascending trendline support confirms that buyers are losing control. This breakdown is a crucial signal that the bullish structure has been invalidated, and unless something changes, the probability of further downside remains high.
💎#AUCTIONUSDT is trading just below this broken trendline, which has now flipped into a resistance zone, making it difficult for buyers to reclaim lost ground.Adding to the bearish momentum, the previous support level has now turned into a strong resistance, creating another obstacle for any potential recovery. The more a level gets tested as resistance after a breakdown, the stronger it becomes.
💎On top of that, there is an additional trendline resistance, meaning that even if AUCTION attempts a push upward, it will face multiple rejection points before any significant breakout can occur. This kind of price action suggests that sellers are still in control, and buying pressure is not strong enough to force a reversal.
💎Further reinforcing this bearish outlook is the 1D 12EMA, which is now acting as a dynamic resistance. Moving averages like this often act as barriers in downtrends, preventing price recoveries and leading to further declines. Additionally, the Multi-Timeframe VWAP (Quarterly) is also aligning with these resistance areas, making it even more challenging for AUCTION to break above these levels. When multiple technical indicators confirm the same resistance zones, it significantly increases the probability of the market rejecting any bullish attempts and continuing lower.
💎Another critical factor supporting the bearish thesis is the Fibonacci retracement level, which is also acting as resistance. This means that even from a retracement perspective, the price is struggling to move higher and remains capped under key technical levels. With all these resistances stacked against AUCTION, it is no surprise that the probability of a further downward move is increasing.
💎If the selling pressure persists, the next major downside target lies between $10.20 - $9.60, a key support area that could provide temporary relief. However, if bearish momentum continues, we must be prepared for a deeper correction, with the next significant support zone sitting between $8.85 - $8.30. These levels are crucial to monitor because they represent areas where buyers might step in to slow down the decline.
💎That said, there is one key level that could invalidate this bearish outlook—a 4H candle closing above $14.48. If AUCTION manages to break and hold above this level, it would indicate that buyers are regaining strength, and we could start reconsidering a shift in market structure. Until then, the trend remains bearish, and the higher probability play is to the downside.
The market is ruthless right now, and only traders who stick to disciplined strategies will come out on top. If you want to be among the winners, don’t let emotions dictate your trades—wait for the highest probability setups and execute with precision. Stay patient, stay smart, and make sure you’re on the right side of the trade, Paradisers!
MyCryptoParadise
iFeel the success🌴
Short AUDUSD The Perfect Storm: Stagflation, GeopoliticsIn a world increasingly defined by geopolitical volatility and economic uncertainty, a perfect storm is brewing, casting a long shadow over the Australian dollar. The confluence of persistent stagflationary pressures, escalating trade tensions, and a resurgent U.S. dollar is creating a formidable headwind for the AUDUSD pair. This article delves into the intricate web of factors driving this bearish sentiment, offering a comprehensive analysis for macro traders and financial viewers seeking clarity amidst market turbulence.
The Stagflationary Grip: A Global Economic Quagmire
The global economic landscape is ensnared in a precarious dance between "sticky" inflation and a palpable slowdown. Core Personal Consumption Expenditures (PCE) remains stubbornly elevated, while Producer Price Index (PPI) figures signal continued upward pressure on consumer prices. This persistent inflation, coupled with a weakening housing market, declining consumer confidence, and a sharp contraction in global trade activity (as evidenced by the plummeting Shanghai and China Containerized Freight Indices), paints a stark picture of a "Stagflationary Weakness."
www.census.gov
The Federal Reserve finds itself trapped between a rock and a hard place, grappling with the unenviable task of taming inflation while averting a looming recession. Policy missteps are increasingly probable, further amplifying market anxieties.
Geopolitical Fault Lines and Trade Wars: Fueling the Fire
Adding to the economic woes are escalating geopolitical tensions and trade disputes. The contentious US-Ukraine situation, heightened US-China strategic competition (including technology decoupling and potential military tensions in the South China Sea), and the ever-present threat of cyberattacks are creating an environment of heightened risk aversion.
President Trump's aggressive tariff policies, targeting Canada, Mexico, and China, have ignited fears of retaliatory measures and further disruptions to global trade flows. The market's reaction has been swift and decisive, with the S&P 500 experiencing consecutive weekly declines, reflecting growing investor unease.
The AUDUSD Under Siege: A Technical and Fundamental Breakdown
Against this backdrop, the AUDUSD pair is experiencing a decisive bearish breakdown. The U.S. dollar (DXY), fueled by its safe-haven appeal and the prevailing risk-off sentiment, is exhibiting robust strength, targeting 109.900. This dollar resurgence is exerting significant downward pressure on the risk-sensitive Australian dollar.
Gaining Traction Amidst Global Uncertainty
The AUDUSD has decisively breached the critical 0.64000 level, signaling a clear shift in market sentiment. While rising commodity prices, particularly in energy, have historically provided support for the AUD, the current environment is unique. Geopolitical risks and global economic uncertainties are overshadowing the positive impact of rising commodity prices.
Technical indicators, such as the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and the Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD), confirm the bearish momentum. The 20-day, 50-day, and 200-day moving averages are all trending downwards, reinforcing the bearish outlook.
Key Support Zone and Outlook:
We have identified a key support zone between 0.61435 and 0.60838. This zone represents a potential area of consolidation or a temporary pause in the downtrend. However, given the strong bearish momentum and the prevailing fundamental factors, we anticipate a continued downward trajectory.
Impact of Strong Dollar and Risk Aversion"
Traders should closely monitor the DXY and global risk sentiment for further confirmation of the bearish trend. Any sustained break of the 0.64000 level would confirm the current outlook.
The AUDUSD pair is currently navigating a perfect storm of stagflationary pressures, geopolitical risks, and a resurgent U.S. dollar. This confluence of factors has created a compelling bearish outlook, with technical indicators and fundamental analysis aligning to support continued downward momentum.
In this environment, vigilance and a deep understanding of the global macroeconomic landscape are paramount. Traders must remain attuned to the evolving geopolitical and economic narratives, adapting their strategies to navigate the turbulent waters of the current market. FX:AUDUSD CAPITALCOM:DXY
audusd buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
Mon 24th Feb 2025 AUD/USD Daily Forex Chart Sell SetupGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified a new trade setup this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the chart for my thoughts on this setup. The trade being a AUD/USD Sell. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
AUD/USD Bearish Breakout PotentialThe chart shows AUD/USD on a 1-hour timeframe, highlighting a consolidation phase with multiple rejections at resistance (labelled 1-4). The price has recently rejected the upper boundary and is breaking down from the range, suggesting bearish momentum. A significant liquidity grab appears to have occurred near the highs, followed by a strong rejection. The projected move suggests a further decline toward the next support level around 0.6300. Traders might look for confirmation via increased selling pressure and volume before entering short positions.