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AUD/USD Bearish Setup-Trendline Breakout Signals Potential Drop📉 AUD/USD Bearish Setup – Trendline Breakout Signals Potential Drop! The AUD/USD pair has broken below a key ascending trendline, signaling a shift in momentum from bullish to bearish. 🔍 Key Highlights: Price was previously trading within an ascending channel. Strong resistance was confirmed around the 0.6619 level. A decisive break of the trendline and the key support zone (0.6500) now points to increased bearish pressure. Market is currently retesting the broken support zone, which may act as new resistance before the next leg down. 🎯 Target Point: 0.6371 If bearish momentum continues, we anticipate price to move toward the target support zone near 0.6371, offering a solid risk-reward setup. 📌 Watch For: Bearish confirmation on retest + momentum indicators aligning to the downside.
Short
by Pips_Hunter_Forex
1
AUDUSD BUY AUD/USD rises to near 0.6480 as accelerating Fed dovish bets weigh on US Dollar The AUD/USD pair moves higher to near 0.6480 during the European trading session on Monday. The Aussie pair gains as demand for risk-perceived assets has increased, following an increase in market expectations that the Fed could resume its monetary expansion cycle in the September meeting The AUD/USD currency pair, commonly known as the “Aussie”, represents how many US dollars (the quote currency) are needed to purchase one Australian dollar (the base currency). Alongside the New Zealand Dollar (NZD) and the Canadian Dollar (CAD), the AUD is considered a commodity currency due to Australia’s significant exports of raw materials such as precious metals, Oil, and agricultural products. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has historically maintained higher interest rates compared to other industrialized nations. Combined with the relatively high liquidity of the AUD, this has made the AUD attractive for carry traders looking for higher yields. SUPPORT 0.64852 SUPPORT 0.65074 SUPPORT 0.65285 RESISTANCE 0.64498
Short
by Mark804
AUD/USD) Bearish Trend Read The captionSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of AUD/USD (Australian Dollar / U.S. Dollar) on the 4-hour timeframe, with a likely setup for further downside. Here's a breakdown of the idea: --- Technical Summary Pair: AUD/USD Timeframe: 4H Current Price: 0.64688 EMA 200: 0.65140 (price is below = bearish bias) RSI (14): 48.23 (neutral to slightly bearish) -- Key Observations 1. Break of Trendline: The previous ascending trendline (black) was broken to the downside. This indicates a shift in market structure from bullish to bearish. 2. Resistance Rejection Zone: Price recently retested a strong supply/resistance zone (yellow box near 0.65140) and was rejected. This aligns with the 200 EMA → strong confluence for a sell setup. 3. Market Structure: Price is forming lower highs, indicating sellers are gaining control. The chart shows a projection of a bearish continuation pattern (zig-zag decline). 4. Target Zone: Final target marked near 0.63700–0.63699, a previous support level. This gives the setup a decent risk-reward ratio if the rejection holds. 5. RSI: RSI is below 50, suggesting bearish momentum, but not oversold—still room to move down. Mr SMC Trading point --- Conclusion & Trade Idea Bias: Bearish Sell Zone: Near the resistance area (0.65000–0.65150) Target: 0.63700 zone Stop Loss: Likely above 0.65200 (above resistance and EMA 200) Confirmation: Price action forming lower highs and staying below EMA 200 Please support boost 🚀 this analysis)
Short
by SMC-Trading-Point
AUDUSD BUYThe AUD/USD pair is trading around 0.6520 on Tuesday. The daily chart’s technical analysis indicates a prevailing bullish bias as the pair remains within the ascending channel pattern. However, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has moved below the 50 mark, indicating that a bearish bias is active. Additionally, the pair is positioned below the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), indicating that short-term price momentum is weaker. The US and EU reached a framework trade agreement on Sunday that sets 15% tariffs on most European goods, taking effect on August 1. This deal has ended a months-long stand-off, per Bloomberg. Traders keep their eyes on further developments in the US-China trade talks. The discussions are set to resume on Tuesday after top economic officials from both nations held over five hours of negotiations in Stockholm on Monday. The purpose of this meeting is to resolve ongoing disputes and extend their trade truce by another three months. US Treasury Chief Scott Bessent met with China’s Vice Premier He Lifeng at Sweden’s Rosenbad government offices. The meeting comes ahead of an August 12 deadline to finalize a long-term tariff agreement with the Trump administration, building on preliminary deals reached in May and June that had helped ease tensions. The US Federal Reserve (Fed) is widely expected to keep the benchmark interest rate steady between 4.25% and 4.50% at its July meeting. The FOMC press conference will be observed for any signs that rate cuts may start in September. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) is expected to closely watch the June labor force data and second-quarter inflation figures before deciding on a potential rate cut. Both the monthly and quarterly CPI reports are scheduled for release later this week. SUPPORT 0.65593 SUPPORT 0.65424 SUPPORT 0.65593 RESISTSNCE 0.65050 RESISTANCE 0.64973
Short
by Mark804
1
AUD/USD - Breakout (25.07.2025)The AUD/USD Pair on the M30 timeframe presents a Potential Selling Opportunity due to a recent Formation of a Trendline Pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming hours. Possible Short Trade: Entry: Consider Entering A Short Position around Trendline Of The Pattern. Target Levels: 1st Support – 0.6551 2nd Support – 0.6513 🎁 Please hit the like button and 🎁 Leave a comment to support for My Post ! Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you. Best Regards, KABHI_TA_TRADING Thank you. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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by KABHI_TA_TRADING
37
AUDUSD(20250724)Today's AnalysisMarket news: U.S. President Trump continued to lash out at the Federal Reserve on Tuesday, but seemed to back off from the remaining plan to fire Chairman Powell. "I think he's doing a bad job, but he's going to be out of office soon anyway," Trump said in an exchange with reporters at the White House. "In eight months, he'll be out of office." Technical analysis: Today's buying and selling boundaries: 0.6580 Support and resistance levels: 0.6639 0.6617 0.6603 0.6558 0.6543 0.6521 Trading strategy: Upward breakthrough of 0.6603, consider entering the market to buy, the first target price is 0.6617 Downward breakthrough of 0.6580, consider entering the market to sell, the first target price is 0.6558
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by NicolaZhu
AUDUSD: Bearish Flag Retest Within Macro HeadwindsAUDUSD is developing a clean bearish technical setup just as macro fundamentals increasingly weigh on the Australian dollar. The pair recently completed a rising wedge breakout and is now retesting broken structure within a larger downtrend. With risk sentiment shaky due to U.S. tariff threats and dovish repricing of the RBA’s outlook, Aussie bulls may struggle to sustain momentum. A confirmed breakdown below 0.6458 could open the door toward June’s swing low near 0.6390. 🧠 Technical Breakdown: ✅ Bearish Flag Structure: The chart shows a sequence of bearish flags and rising wedges, all of which have historically broken lower. The latest breakout to the downside was sharp, and the current rally appears corrective. ✅ Fib Levels & Confluence: Price is hovering near the 38.2% retracement (0.6510) from the last leg down. The invalidation zone around 0.6565 aligns with a supply zone, making it an ideal SL area. ✅ Target Zones: First support: 0.6458 Measured move: 0.6390 - 0.6370 These coincide with Fib 61.8% & 100%, adding technical confluence. 📉 Fundamental Drivers: Dovish RBA Signals: Labour data missed expectations, and June inflation slowed (4.8% vs. 4.9% expected), softening the RBA’s hawkish stance. Stronger USD Outlook: Powell’s reappointment risk and rate-cut delay pricing have supported the dollar. U.S. data (Retail Sales, CPI) still signal sticky inflation and strong labor. Tariff Risk from Trump: With the U.S. floating global 10% tariffs, risk assets like AUD (a high-beta currency) face downside pressure. ⚠️ Risks to Bearish Bias: Stronger-than-expected China stimulus could support AUD as a proxy. A dovish Fed pivot or soft U.S. data might undercut USD strength.
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by ultreosforex
2
AUDUSD: Sell The Rip!Welcome back to the Weekly Forex Forecast for the week of July 21-25th. In this video, we will analyze the following FX market: AUDUSD AUDUSD has been difficult to trade, as it chops its slow grind upwards. Last week it gave a bearish close. With the USD expected to continue to gain strength, look for sells directed to the liquidity lows in AUDUSD. Enjoy! May profits be upon you. Leave any questions or comments in the comment section. I appreciate any feedback from my viewers! Like and/or subscribe if you want more accurate analysis. Thank you so much! Disclaimer: I do not provide personal investment advice and I am not a qualified licensed investment advisor. All information found here, including any ideas, opinions, views, predictions, forecasts, commentaries, suggestions, expressed or implied herein, are for informational, entertainment or educational purposes only and should not be construed as personal investment advice. While the information provided is believed to be accurate, it may include errors or inaccuracies. I will not and cannot be held liable for any actions you take as a result of anything you read here. Conduct your own due diligence, or consult a licensed financial advisor or broker before making any and all investment decisions. Any investments, trades, speculations, or decisions made on the basis of any information found on this channel, expressed or implied herein, are committed at your own risk, financial or otherwise.
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by RT_Money
9
AUDUSD SELLAUD/USD dives to three-week lows near 0.6560 after weak Australian employment data The Australian Dollar is one of the weakest performers of the G8 currencies on Thursday, hammered by a disappointing Australian Employment report and the overall risk-averse market, which is boosting demand for safe-haven assets, such as the US Dollar The battle between the Australian Dollar (AUD) and the US Dollar (USD) will be one worth watching in 2025, with central banks stealing the limelight. The Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) has kept interest rates at record highs whilst most of its overseas counterparts started the loosening process. The US Federal Reserve (Fed), on the other hand, has trimmed the benchmark interest rate by 100 bps through 2024 and aims to slow the pace of cuts in 2025. The central banks’ imbalance aims for record lows in AUD/USD TP 1 0.650 TP 2 0.649 TP 3 0.648 RESISTANCE 0.653
Short
by Mark804
AUDUSD SHORT & LONG FORECAST Q3 D15 W29 Y25AUDUSD SHORT & LONG FORECAST Q3 D15 W29 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified ✅1H Order Block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDUSD SHORT & LONG – WEEKLY FORECAST Q3 | W 29 | Y25💼 AUDUSD SHORT & LONG – WEEKLY FORECAST Q3 | W 29 | Y25 📊 MARKET STRUCTURE OVERVIEW AUDUSD is currently trading around a previously mitigated Daily and 4H Order Block zone. Price has shown signs of short-term bearish momentum on lower timeframes (1H & 15m), but the broader structure still allows for bullish re-entries from deeper discounted levels. We’re entering a key decision zone with potential for both short and long opportunities, depending on intraday confirmation. 🔍 Confluences to Watch 📝 ✅ Daily OB – Previously Mitigated Larger structure still holds room for bullish continuation if key internal supports hold. ✅ 4H OB – Mitigated with Initial Rejection ✅ 1H & 15m OBs – Valid for Intraday Shorts Clean bearish structure on intraday timeframes. Potential shorts available 📈 Risk Management Protocols 🔑 Core Principles Risk per trade: Max 1% Only act at planned levels — never chase RR minimum: 1:2 Use scaling techniques on intraday shorts, and hold conviction for swings when structure confirms 🧠 Your risk plan is your protection. Without it, your strategy is meaningless. 🧠 Weekly FRGNT Insight “Bias is flexible. Discipline is not.” Adapt to what price gives — but never abandon your risk framework. 🏁 Final Thoughts from FRGNT 📌 Both short and long opportunities are valid this week. 📌 Choose your bias based on structure + confirmation. 📌 Let the order flow lead and risk management guide. ❤️ Stay sharp, stay structured. I’ll see you at the very top. 🎯 Trade consistent. FRGNT X
Long
by JCFRGNT
AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q3 D10 W28 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q3 D10 W28 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified ✅1H Order Block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDUSD 4H: Sell Zone Confirmed📉 AUDUSD Analysis – Current Trend & Trade Opportunity Hello Traders, I’ve prepared an updated analysis for the AUDUSD pair. At the moment, AUDUSD has shifted out of its previous bullish structure and has now entered a bearish trend. Based on this shift, I’m planning to enter a limit sell trade at the level shared below: 🔹 Limit Sell Entry: 0.65232 🔹 Stop Loss: 0.65576 🔹 Targets: • TP1: 0.64591 • TP2: 0.64591 • TP3: 0.63738 🔸 Risk/Reward Ratio: 4.27 Considering the trend reversal, I’m looking to open a position from these levels. I meticulously prepare these analyses for you, and I sincerely appreciate your support through likes. Every like from you is my biggest motivation to continue sharing my analyses. I’m truly grateful for each of you—love to all my followers💙💙💙
Short
by TraderTilki
6
AUDUSD SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D2 W27 Y25AUDUSD SHORT DAILY FORECAST Q3 D2 W27 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified ✅1H Order Block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
AUDUSD WEEKLY HIGHER TIME FRAME FORECAST Q3 W27 Y25AUDUSD WEEKLY HIGHER TIME FRAME FORECAST Q3 W27 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 👀 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly 50EMA Rejection ✅Daily Order block identified ✅4H Order Block identified 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
1
AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D27 Y25AUDUSD SHORT FORECAST Q2 W26 D27 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Daily order block ✅1H Order block ✅Intraday breaks of structure ✅4H Order block 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT