AUDUSD - Long from bullish OB !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long. My point of interest is imbalance filled + rejection from bullish OB.
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Audusdshort
AUDUSD Potential 1:3 up to 1:11 RR | POSITION | LONGAs seen in the chart, it was expected that the ideal "supply" zone was swept. As a retailer, your normal reaction is to buy on that support area; however, looking at the bigger picture, due to the momentum of the bears, there was no clear indication for us to buy in that area, hence using SMC, we should be buying at our actual discount/supply zone. By buying in this area, we can potentially reach 1:11 RR with a minimum RR of 1:3, a reward I am sure that most of us would like, especially for those trading with big lots.
Reminder: Do not risk more than 1-3% of your port so you can make up your losses.
Disclaimer: I am not a guru or a professional trader, I am simply sharing my insight based on my understanding of the market.
SHORT AUDUSDI'm looking for further movement to the downside on AUDUSD, targeting a price level of 0.59784. Price has been bearish since October of last year. There is still a key level residing below 0.59815 that would be of interest to seek out if downside momentum continues. Volume has been decreasing as price started its retracement from 0.61311, price traded back into a fair value gap and proceeded to close below it. I'm currently in a short position, this is a swing trade. Patience is all is takes, let's see if price continues to trend bearish. Let me know your thoughts if it differs from my perspective.
Ghost Traders FX AUD/USD Trend Continuation [SHORT]The Ghost Traders FX gang has been taking shorts pretty much off every pump for very easy wins, as per last idea for Short, price is still yet to take the weak low which I would attribute to just manipulation & speculation in the market during Trump's Inauguration week.
My bias is still short until 0.613 is taken and 0.6 - 0.611 is tapped into.
Trade Record for GTFX stands at 126 wins, 17 breakevens, 7 losses with a 94%+ W/R & +2670 pips gained.
Best of luck to everyone.
#AUDUSD 1HAUDUSD (1H Timeframe) Analysis
Market Structure:
The price has broken below a key trendline support, indicating a potential shift in market momentum toward the downside. The breakdown suggests that buyers could not maintain control, and selling pressure has begun to dominate.
Forecast:
A sell opportunity may arise if the price retests the broken trendline as resistance and confirms rejection, signaling further bearish movement.
Key Levels to Watch:
- Entry Zone: After the price retests the broken trendline and shows signs of rejection.
- Risk Management:
- Stop Loss: Placed above the retest level or the recent swing high to manage risk.
- Take Profit: Target the next support levels or significant price zones below for potential downside objectives.
Market Sentiment:
The breakdown of the trendline support highlights a bearish sentiment in the short term. Waiting for a retest provides a more strategic entry point, minimizing risk and aligning with market confirmation. Proper risk management is essential.
AUDUSD Retest of Key breakout area at 0.62060-Fakeout or Retest.Following US CPI coming out as expected, (showing a slight uptick in inflation for December) TVC:DXY pushed back to 108.6-108.4 area:
-> A rising wedge was identified on AUD/USD with an exit on the upside following CPI release.
-> Aussie is trading at a key area around 0.6260, whether it will be a retest of the top of the wedge or a reclaim of this resistance and become a fakeout is still to be determined.
Bulls narrative:
-> Bulls see the current set up as a breakout from a wedge followed by a three leg pullback (5 min the time frame), they want a retest of 0.6260 followed by a follow through buying around 0.6260 and a reclaim of the 5 min EMA. bulls need to see follow through buying and consecutive bull bars. Previous 4H close above 0.62070 shows the market is willing to go above.
Bears narrative
-> After breakout there was no significant follow through buying followed by 5 consecutive bear bars on the 30 min. >A reclaim of the 0.62025 on the 4H timeframe would open the door to downside targets for at least a test of the bottom of the wedge at 0.61700. W
-> Bears want weak buying around the 0.6260 and trap bulls for follow through selling and put them in a loosing trade
For now, trade favors bulls with potential for upside targets around the daily 20EMA and a retest of the 0.62800 and 0.63000 area. If none of these scenarios play out in the coming hours, market will go sideways to down.
AUDUSD BUY SIGNAL. Don't forget about stop-loss.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
Ghost Traders FX AUD/USD 4H Continuation [SHORT]Price formed a weak low @ 0.613 on Friday last week.
It looks to me that most of this rally has just been big money taking profit on short positions as opposed to any real buying pressure on AUD or we would of seen a faster recovery, not a slow drip up.
Price has rejected the previous 4H ranges BOS and close back below it forming strong consolidation.
I'm anticipating news today sweep one last time below the low set @ 0.613, tapping into a key level used in 2020 COVID recovery and the Higher Time Frame analysis heading into full swing.
Goodluck gang.
AUD/USD Retests Key Support: Will the Downtrend Continue?AUD/USD remains in a downtrend, facing multiple rejections from the falling trendline. The price is currently retesting the breakdown of a key support level.
If it fails to break above the marked green zone, we could see a potential downward move toward the previous swing low.
Mon 13th Jan 2025 Daily Forex Charts: 4x New Trade SetupsGood morning fellow traders. On my Daily Forex charts using the High Probability & Divergence trading methods from my books, I have identified 4x new trade setups this morning. As usual, you can read my notes on the charts for my thoughts on these setups. The trades being a AUD/USD Sell, EUR/USD Sell, GBP/USD Sell & NZD/USD Sell. I also discuss some trade management. Enjoy the day all. Cheers. Jim
AUD/USD Is Crashing—Don’t Miss This Massive Opportunity!In this analysis, we dive deep into the AUD/USD pair, highlighting its ongoing bearish momentum and key levels to watch. Starting from the monthly timeframe, we explore the AUD’s struggles against the USD, identifying a strong bearish close in December and potential continuation downward.
Key Highlights:
• The Aussie Dollar has been in a 14-week downtrend , with the .6130 support level now in focus.
• On the H4 timeframe , we’re looking for a pullback to areas like .6180 or a liquidity sweep around .6200 for potential sell opportunities.
• Why the USD matters: The Dollar Index (DXY) shows bullish strength with strong volume increases, higher highs, and key resistance levels broken. These indicate continued pressure on AUD/USD.
Expectations:
• A potential break of the .6130 support level with further bearish movement as the USD strengthens.
• Watch for reactions at key levels and pullbacks before entering short positions.
If this breakdown was helpful, boost the post, share it with your trading circle, and let us know in the comments what pair you’d like analyzed next. Let’s keep dominating the markets! 💼📊
#AUDUSD #ForexAnalysis #TradingInsights #DXY
AUDUSD WEEKLY FORECAST : SHORT | SELL (W/B: 13/01/25)AUDUSD will keep on being bearish for a very long time. If we take a look at the weekly - the lowest prices haven’t been swept as of yet - price needs to attack those. Price will re enter the new range it has created. Whether or not the range stays as so, that will be confirmed by Monday market close, however one thing that we can say 100% is that the high of 0.63015 is protected.
As it stands RR is 2.5, it may get bigger once range is fully confirmed.
N.B.: This is not financial advice. Trade safely and with caution.
AUD/USD SellThe bearish trend on AUD/USD continues to dominate, as the pair has successfully broken a key support level around 0.6320. This breakdown confirms the strength of the bearish momentum, with USD gaining further strength across the board due to positive macroeconomic factors.
Key Points:
Trend: Bearish.
Broken Support: The price has breached the critical 0.6320 support, turning it into a resistance level.
Fundamental Outlook: USD strength is supported by robust economic data, adding downward pressure on AUD/USD.
Expectation:
Further downside is likely, with potential targets around 0.6044, 0.5941, and 0.5795 in the medium term.
Traders should monitor for any retracements toward the resistance zone, which could offer fresh selling opportunities.
Where is AUDUSD Headed Now - Fxdollars - {10/01/2025}Updating my previous Idea, Let's see how it goes.
Educational Analysis says AUDUSD may move UP or DOWN from this range, according to my technical.
Broker - FXCM
AUD & EURO are the two currencies that have been getting stronger against USD for months in this range, It finally did liquidity has taken out on buy-side orders to show a sign of a downtrend, and I am looking to counter-trend this position.
If this continues, AUDUSD will be around 0.35 from early 2027 to 2030.
Let's see what this pair brings to the table for us in the future.
Please check the comment section to see how this turned out.
DISCLAIMER:-
This is not an entry signal. THIS IS ONLY EDUCATIONAL PURPOSE ANALYSIS.
I have no concerns with your profit and loss from this analysis.
I HAVE NO CONCERNS WITH YOUR PROFIT OR LOSS,
Happy Trading, Fx Dollars.
AUDUSD FUTURE PROJECTION AUDUSD was quite interesting- I did expect it to buy due to the bullish week it has had, however in hindsight, seeing how both GU and EU moved this week, I can see why it too wasn’t bullish. With that being said, I’m expecting a further break downwards. Once it does, I expect it to pull back once more to complete the sell and take out the most recent weekly low.
Another interesting point to note is that there was a further lower price level (Weekly) which wasn’t as recent as the aforementioned price point. Price CAN seek that low - that’s something to also look out for.
N.B.: This is not financial advice. Trade safely and with caution.
AUDUSD ANALYSIS The Australian Dollar rises as the Financial Times reported that the PBoC is signaling potential rate cuts this year. The AUD recovered from two-year lows as stronger commodity prices provided support, particularly Oil and Gold. The US Dollar Index corrects downwards from a new multi-year high of 109.56 reached on Thursday.
AUD/USD trades near 0.6210 on Thursday, maintaining a bearish outlook as it remains within a descending channel on the daily chart. However, the 14-day Relative Strength Index (RSI) has bounced back above the 30 level, suggesting the potential for a near-term upward correction despite the prevailing downtrend.
The AUD/USD pair may find immediate resistance at the nine-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA) at 0.6220, with the next obstacle at the 14-day EMA at 0.6244. A key resistance level is the descending channel’s upper boundary, around the psychological mark of 0.6300.
🦘🦘 Aussie Kangaroo Returns Home In The OutbackThe Australian dollar has been taking a bath. It’s gone from buying 71 US cents at the beginning of the year to netting you just 63.3 US cents against the benchmark greenback.
The dollar is down over the last year against most currencies, and down over the past few weeks against almost every currency.
The humble Aussie dollar is suffering in particular against European currencies: Pound Sterling, the Swiss Franc and the Euro.
However, even in Japan where the AUD is up over the year so far, it is down in recent weeks.
What’s going on? The answer is two-fold.
👉 America’s economy is stronger than expected. And China is weaker, so Chinese yuan has little to no chance of dethroning the US dollar, even as global de-dollarization happens.
👉 Australia gets hit on both of those trades.
Difference between 10-Year United States and Australian Govt Debt becomes lower
Technical graph for FX:AUDUSD indicates that Aussie has a lot down to deliver.
AUDUSD to continue in the downward move?AUDUSD - 24h expiry
Broken out of the channel formation to the downside.
Trades at the lowest level in 26-months.
Buying posted in Asia.
Bespoke resistance is located at 0.6246.
The previous swing high is located at 0.6246.
We look to Sell at 0.6246 (stop at 0.6276)
Our profit targets will be 0.6166 and 0.6146
Resistance: 0.6246 / 0.6271 / 0.6275
Support: 0.6179 / 0.6150 / 0.6130
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The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
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AUDUSD Clear level AUDUSD Clear level
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AUDUSD Top-down analysis Hello traders, this is a complete multiple timeframe analysis of this pair. We see could find significant trading opportunities as per analysis upon price action confirmation we may take this trade. Smash the like button if you find value in this analysis and drop a comment if you have any questions or let me know which pair to cover in my next analysis.