Audusdshort
AUD/USD: Short at 1.0570-1.0580 Range
Following the remarks of the Chairman of the Federal Reserve, the market has returned to a state of volatility after two trading days of digestion. This volatility is unlikely to be broken before the release of US non-farm payroll data in February, and the market needs such adjustments to repair the impact of the previous sharp drop. Therefore, today's market trend will be relatively simple.
In the face of this volatility, the most suitable operation for AUD/USD is naturally to short on rallies. Based on the market situation, the following recommendations are given:
Short at the range of 0.6630-0.6640, with targets at 0.6610, 0.6590, and 0.6570, and stop loss to be determined based on individual circumstances.
FX:AUDUSD
AudUSD Analysis (price action)After price broke down from a long mature uptrend price is currently struggling to break the correction 62% fib level.
Currently price is consolidating and we know
we are at a 62% retracement level on daily so odds
are probably we need a pullback to go further
lower to follow the trend.
Another scenario can be a bearish break could
happen next week.
AUD/USD - Risk as markets price in possible RBA rate hikeThe minutes from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) showed the Board was leaning towards a rate hike of 50bps and dismissing the idea of a pause in rate hikes. Markets expect the bank to raise rates by 24bps at their next meeting and reach a terminal rate of 4.28%.
The RBA's recent decision and data regarding the Wage Price Index will likely affect the Australian dollar.
The 50bps rate hike anticipated by the RBA will likely put pressure on the AUD, but the actual rate increase could be lessened by weaker-than-expected data from the Wage Price Index. The higher terminal rate of 4.28% could also put further downward pressure on the AUD. Overall, the RBA's actions and the upcoming Wage Price Index data are likely to impact the direction of the AUD.
(As written on 21 February 2023)
I forgot to post last night
AUDUSD TRADE IDEA / SWING TRADE / SHORT (NFP - RISK EVENT)This is trade idea for AUD Swing Trade
-Sell in Fib Golden Ratio Area or H1 OB-, you can choose one according to the confirmation that will occur.
-Hawkish of Powell Speech (FED) pushes AUD to drop further to find Demand area for buy.
-Risk Reward 1:4
AUDUSD - Short from bearish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective of AUDUSD .
Here we are bearish from daily perspective, so I am looking for shorts. I expect price to make a retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block.
‼️Attention!!! Due to the fact that we have news events on USD on Friday, the analysis can be invalidated.
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AUD/USD:Price May Continue to Drop More After First Take ProfitsUOB Group's Economist Lee Sue Ann and Markets Strategist Quek Ser Leang believe that the AUD/USD may experience further declines in the coming weeks.
In the short term, they expected the AUD to weaken but were surprised when it dropped significantly lower than anticipated. They predict that the AUD may drop to 0.6550 before stabilizing, and any rebound is likely to stay below 0.6665.
Looking ahead, they had previously expected the AUD to trade within a range of 0.6695 and 0.6820. However, if the AUD were to break and stay below 0.6695, it would indicate weakness in the currency. Unfortunately, the AUD has already dropped below several strong support levels and hit a low of 0.6580.
Although they expect the AUD to weaken further, they believe that the decline will be slower and major support at 0.6500 may not be reached anytime soon. The downside risk remains as long as the AUD remains below the "strong resistance" level of 0.6700 over the next few days.
#AUDUSD-SETUP MUST TO TAKE!!Dear Traders, Hope you all are doing great, we have AUDUSD today, found an area where price is most likely to be rejected, DXY expected to drop a bit in order for price to do small pullback. We have also highlighted the area of entry, and when to close with stop loss.
GOOD LUCK AND TRADE SAFE!!
#AUDUSD- ANOTHER GREAT ENTRY LAST SETUP HIT TPDear Traders, hope you are doing great, I have another great setup for you to take since our last setup on AUDUSD hit TP, Entry would be the area where it described as order block and stop should not be more than above the limit as described. TP has been arrowed.
Good Luck and Trade Safe!!!
AUDUSD, Yeah! She is trendingAUDUSD just made a new lower low. Thats inviting. I'm setting myself up to take another sell on her.
I discuss the details in the video.
Today, I'm going live at 1:00 pm EST. If you can't make it be sure to catch the replay.
I'll be chatting on how to analyze your currency pair for trading success.
I hope to see you there.
-Shaquan
AUD/USD : Simple bearish setup with good R/RHi everyone!
The setup on $AUDUSD is very simple and clear and the chart speaks for itself. Technically, the pair could develop a harmonic structure with first target around 0.6670, but the most interesting thing is that this setup has a very good R/R (>1:3)
Trade with care! 👍 ...and if you think that my analysis is useful, please..."Like, Share and Comment" ...thank you! 💖
Cheers!
N.B.: Updates will follow below
AUDUSD Potential 1:3 up to 1:11 RR | POSITION | LONGAs seen in the chart, it was expected that the ideal "supply" zone was swept. As a retailer, your normal reaction is to buy on that support area; however, looking at the bigger picture, due to the momentum of the bears, there was no clear indication for us to buy in that area, hence using SMC, we should be buying at our actual discount/supply zone. By buying in this area, we can potentially reach 1:11 RR with a minimum RR of 1:3, a reward I am sure that most of us would like, especially for those trading with big lots.
Reminder: Do not risk more than 1-3% of your port so you can make up your losses.
Disclaimer: I am not a guru or a professional trader, I am simply sharing my insight based on my understanding of the market.
AUD/USD Running In 160 Pips 0 Drawdown,New Entry After D ClosureThis Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
AUD/USD: Shorting between 0.6790-0.6770
Today's release of China's impressive PMI data sparked a large inflow of funds into the yuan, causing the sudden decline of the US dollar index. This is clearly a short-term impact and will not change the overall market trend. Therefore, after this abnormal volatility is exhausted, the market will return to its original rhythm.
Regarding the operation of the US dollar index, it is still judged as a short-term opportunity to buy on dips, while for AUD/USD, it is advisable to short on rallies. Based on the market, the following recommendations are given:
Short between 0.6790-0.6770, with profit targets at 0.6750, 0.6730, and 0.6700.
FX:AUDUSD OANDA:AUDUSD TVC:DXY FX:EURUSD
The logic behind the AUDUSDThe head and shoulders pattern has formed, with the US dollar maintaining its strength, indicating that bearish momentum is inevitable for the Australian dollar
The January core inflation data, including CPI , PPI and retail sales, all rebounded. Combined with the wage data in the non-agricultural employment report, it shows that US inflation has rebounded in stages. Although the downward trend of inflation remains unchanged, it will stimulate Fed extends rate hikes
The U.S. dollar rebounded strongly due to the rise in inflation and stimulated the central bank to raise interest rates. Worries prompted investors to cover the U.S. dollar, and the U.S. dollar regained its dominance in the short-term situation. At the same time, the strong US dollar depresses commodity prices, and the Australian dollar loses its power. Interest rate hike expectations are also extremely detrimental to the performance of U.S. stocks. After the end of the earnings season, U.S. stocks lack guidance, and rising inflation suppresses market liquidity and puts pressure on stock market sentiment.
In this situation, the short position of the Australian dollar has the best time, location, and harmony.
Technical head and shoulders The head and shoulders pattern is a high chance of winning in the technical trend, and it is one of the skills that must be mastered
Seeking a bearish breakout on AUD/USDThe Australian economy has had a few of soft data points this week which, whilst not detrimental to the economy, will be duly noted by the RBA as they seek to cool the economy without completely breaking it (and ponder a pause in rate hikes). Yesterday we found inflation was 'only' 7.4% y/y, compared to 8.1% expected and 8.4% prior - and GDP was soft at 0.5% q/q.
Well today things got a little more interesting with housing and credit data. The S&P Global Ratings Agency noted in a report that mortgage arrears were on the rise, whilst dwelling approvals nosedived nearly 30% in January alone. Cleary, RBA's aggressive hiking path is beginning to bite, and we also need to consider that there's a large lag between hikes and such data points (so expect further weakness to come). And that matters, as it could force the RBA to stop hiking sooner than they currently expect, and that is likely to weigh further on AUD/USD whilst some Fed members continue to speak of interest rates being over 5.4% and ponder between a 25 or 50bp hike in March.
AUD/USD daily chart:
We can see on the 4-hour chart that the AU-US 2-year yield differential is pointing sharply lower as US yields continue to outpace their Australian counterparts. Prices are consolidating within a potential bear flag or retracement channel, whilst the RSI (14) remains below 50 and shows the potential for a lower high. If prices drift higher, bears could seek bearing setups below the 0.68200 (last week's VPOC) or the daily pivot point. Otherwise, they could wait for a bearish break of the bear-flag and assumes bearish continuation towards 0.6650 and 0.6570.
AUDUSD - Short from bearish order block ✅Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDUSD .
Here we are in a bearish market structure from H4 timeframe perspective, so I am looking for shorts. I expect price to continue the retracement to fill the imbalance higher and then to reject from bearish order block + institutional big figure 0.68000.
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AUD/USD: Sell in 0.6740-0.6750 range
Yesterday's sharp drop in the January durable goods data announced by the US Department of Commerce has caused concerns about the US economy and triggered a decline in the US dollar index. Today, the US dollar index is expected to continue its slow upward trend, so it may be a good opportunity to buy at a low price. However, in relation to AUD/USD, it may be a good opportunity to sell at a high price. Based on the market situation, the following suggestions are given for reference:
Sell in the range of 0.6740-0.6750, with a stop loss of 20 points and a target of 0.6720, 0.6700, and 0.6680.
FX:AUDUSD TVC:DXY OANDA:AUDUSD