Is Australian Dollar (AUDUSD) on the verge of collapse?
This is CoT index of Australian Dollars. As you can see every time Commercials(blue line) are in long term(3-year) negative extreme AND Retailers(green line) are in positive extreme, the asset tanks.
The vertical blue lines are the past identical situations. The last time we had this condition was September 2017 which resulted in multi-year downward momentum.
Here is the commercials net position. The last time they were negative in net positions was July 2020. which resulted in AUD going down up to now. Now they are negative again.
This is Retailers net positions. Interesting part is whenever their net position is around 10,000, AUDUSD seems to go down.
On top of that the 5, 10, and 15-year seasonality trends indicate that the market typically reaches its peak around July 24. Therefore, it is expected to decline from that point onward.
Audusdshort
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AUDUSD - Long from liquidity zone !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bullish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for a long position. My point of interest is if price makes a retracement to fill the imbalance lower and then rejects from liquidity zone + FIBO 0.618 level.
Fundamental news: Today (GMT+3) we have news on USD, we will see results of CPI, news with high impact on currency.
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AUDUSD is maintaining horizontal accumulationAUDUSD: The AUDUSD is maintaining horizontal accumulation around the range from 0.6720-0.6760. However, it can be seen that in this price range there was a previous GAP decrease and yesterday this GAP area was filled. Therefore, in today's session, AUDUSD may continue its downtrend. You can consider selling with AUDUSD.
audusd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
AUD/USD Faces Potential Reversal: Key Supply Zones in FocusDespite a backdrop of improved risk aversion on Monday, the Australian Dollar (AUD) appreciated, bolstered by domestic economic factors. Persistent high inflation, robust Retail Sales, and a strong Services PMI have provided support to the AUD, leading the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) to delay potential rate cuts. However, this upward momentum is tempered by renewed demand for the US Dollar (USD), which puts pressure on the AUD/USD pair.
The USD's outlook is complicated by recent US employment data. While Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) for June exceeded market expectations, the growth rate was slower compared to May's increase. Additionally, the Unemployment Rate edged higher in June. These indicators suggest that the Federal Reserve (Fed) might face pressure to consider reducing interest rates sooner than anticipated, which could weigh on the USD.
In our analysis, the AUD/USD price is nearing a significant area marked by recent Supply zones, where we anticipate a potential price reversal. These zones are critical as they align with historical trends; over the past two years, the AUD has typically started a bearish trend around this time of year. This seasonal pattern, combined with the technical presence of Supply zones, informs our strategy to look for a short setup.
In conclusion, the Australian Dollar's recent appreciation is supported by strong domestic economic indicators, but the potential for a bearish reversal looms. The combination of Supply zones and historical seasonality trends points to a possible downturn. We will be closely monitoring these factors to execute a well-timed short trade.
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audusd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
AUDUSD: dropped sharply right from the resistance zoneAUDUSD: The AUD the day past fell sharply from the resistance location round 0.6680. Still preserving round the buildup zone. Therefore, in today`s session, it's miles anticipated that AUDUSD will nonetheless fall to the 0.6600 location and can get better whilst it touches this guide zone. You can remember quick promoting with AUDUSD today.
AUDUSD Technical Analysis and Trade Idea - Trading A Range👉🔍 In this video, we take an in-depth look at the AUDUSD currency pair. You'll notice that it is clearly range-bound on the daily, 4-hour, and lower timeframes. We explore the possibility of a breakout on either side of the range and focus on how to capitalize on this during the London Open when a potential break of the 15-minute timeframe Asian range occurs.
Additionally, we cover essential topics such as trend analysis, market structure, price action, and other key aspects of technical analysis. Please remember, this video is for educational purposes only and does not constitute financial advice. 📊✅
AUDUSD: maintains narrow accumulationAUDUSD: this pair is still maintaining a fairly narrow accumulation around the 0.6640-0.6670 threshold with selling pressure above the resistance area being quite strong. The scenario in today's session is expected that AUDUSD will not have many changes and breakthroughs. Mostly it will still maintain accumulation until the end of this week. You can consider selling with AUDUSD around 0.6670.
AUD/USD - H1 Chart - Wedge BreakoutThe AUD/USD FX:AUDUSD pair on the H1 timeframe presents a potential selling opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Wedge pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the downside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Sell Entry: Consider entering a short position around the current price of 0.6644, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 0.6611
2nd Support – 0.6590
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order above 0.6663. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Thank you.
AUDUSD - Bearish price action !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on AUDUSD.
Technical analysis: Here I expect bearish price action as price took buy side liquidity and rejected from bearish order block + institutional big figure 0.67000. My target is imbalance lower.
Fundamental news: Tomorrow (GMT+3) we will see results of Unemployment Rate on AUD, news with high impact on currency.
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AUDUSD: AUD outlook adjusted upward in the short termAUDUSD: The AUD also has the prospect of an upward adjustment in the short term. Therefore, it is expected that ace can continue to maintain the buying trend with AUDUSD in the short term to the 0.6640 area and sell above this price range. In the context that the USD is adjusting to fill the gap
A cautious bounce for AUD/USD ahead of US CPI, FOMCFriday's nonfarm payroll report took many by surprise to send the USD dollar sharply higher against all of its major peers. And that clearly took it toll on the Aussie, which suffered its worst day in five weeks. A bearish outside week formed, all thanks to an elongated bearish engulfing candle on Friday.
AUD/USD managed a minor rebound from its 100 and 200-day EMAs on Monday, but it was a public holiday in Australia and China so the move is assume to corrective.
The 1-hour chart shows prices are sitting around the monthly pivot point and 38.2% Fibonacci level, so we're looking for a swing trade short whilst prices remain beneath 0.6630 and for a move down to 0.6560.
audusd sell signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
AUD/USD Made A Reversal Pattern ,H&S Will Change The Direction ?This Is An Educational + Analytic Content That Will Teach Why And How To Enter A Trade
Make Sure You Watch The Price Action Closely In Each Analysis As This Is A Very Important Part Of Our Method
Disclaimer : This Analysis Can Change At Anytime Without Notice And It Is Only For The Purpose Of Assisting Traders To Make Independent Investments Decisions.
AUDUSD: slight correction from the peak areaAUDUSD: The AUD in the short term has also had a slight correction from the peak of 0.6680. It is expected that in the short term, AUDUSD will fluctuate and accumulate with the support area around the 0.6600 threshold. In today's session, it is possible that AUD will test this price range again. Ace can consider waiting to buy up AUDUSD today.
🤔AUDUSD: example of an unclear market🤔☝️Do not act based on my analysis, do your own research!!
Learn from my experience, with all the mistakes and pain shared on the way to the main goal - consistency. I'm always glad to discuss and answer questions.
⚠️ ALL videos and ideas here are for sharing my experience purposes only, not financial advice, NOT A SIGNAL. YOUR TRADES ARE YOUR COMPLETE RESPONSIBILITY. Everything here should be treated as a simulated, educational environment. DO NOT act based on my analysis, do your own research!!