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AUD could retest the March lows if the Fed are not that dovishAUD/USD is hinting at a potential swing high on the daily chart. And if my hunch that the Fed won’t be as dovish as market pricing currently suggest, it leaves room for USD strength and a lower Aussie. AUD/USD seems to have completed a 3-wave retracement which perfectly respected a 38.2% Fibonacci ratio. Our bias remains bearish beneath the cycle highs, and we anticipate a move back to the March lows should the Fed stick to their hawkish guns, given the RBA delivered a dovish hike and dovish minutes this month.
Short
by CityIndex
4
AUDUSD BuyThe Australian dollar is slightly stronger this morning when valued against the Greenback. The Australian dollar jumped to an overnight high of 0.6758, after the Federal Reserve decision. It is testing the critical resistance zone around 0.6760, amid the broad-based Dollar’s weakness. Yesterday, investors looked past the Reserve Bank of Australia’s (RBA) hint of a rate pause as the prevalent selling bias around the US Dollar (USD) turns out to be a key factor that assists the AUD/USD pair to regain positive traction. It is worth recalling that the minutes of the RBA meeting held on March 7 revealed a step down in hawkishness as policymakers only considered a 25 bps hike and agreed to revisit the case for a pause at the April meeting amid the uncertain economic outlook. Looking ahead today and we will see the release of the Conference Board Leading Index a combination of 7 economic indicators related to money supply, building approvals, profits, exports, inventories, and interest rate spreads. Finally, on Friday we will see the release of the Purchasing Managers’ Index (PMI), a survey of about 400 purchasing managers, which asks respondents to rate the relative level of business conditions including employment, production, new orders, prices, supplier deliveries, and inventories. AUDUSD h1 price is sideways in the 0.6670-0.6730 zone. Today it is possible that the pair will move up to the 0.6730 resistance area once again. Recommended buy to current price 0.6692, SL: 0.6660, TP: 0.6730
Long
by VTmarkets
AUDUSD BuyAUD/USD remains mildly bid above 0.6700, around 0.6715 by the press time, as upbeat comments from the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) Official joins the market’s cautious optimism over the UBS-Credit Suisse deal during early Monday. However, fears of more banking sector rout and anxiety ahead of this week’s top-tier data/events probe the Aussie pair buyers of late. Christopher Kent, Assistant Governor (Financial Markets), gave a speech on "Long and Variable Monetary Policy Lags" at the KangaNews Debt Capital Market Summit, in Sydney, early Monday morning in Asia-Pacific. The policymaker initially followed the suit of global central bankers while trying to rule out fears of the US and European banking sector fallout. More importantly, RBA’s Kent said that RBA is very conscious of the challenges facing borrowers from rapid rate rises. AUDUSD main trend is still bullish. Currently on the h1 chart the price is consolidating and waiting for a breakout. Recommended to wait to buy around 0.6690, SL: 0.6660, TP: 0.6760
Long
by VTmarkets
1
AUDUSD 4h long entryHello guys, Today we are going to take a long entry in OANDA:AUDUSD currency pair. Right now, the price is coming down to take the support of 4h time frame . If you look at this currency pair of the 4-hour chart you can clearly see the price is going upward by taking the support its 4hr trendline. So, from here, there is a chance for this currency pair to go up. Once it has given a breakout from the resistance line there will be a big move ahead. Thanks & regards, Alpha Trading Station Disclaimer: This view is for educational purpose only & any stock mentioned here should not be taken as a trading/investing advice. We may or may not have position in the stocks mentioned here. Please consult your financial advisor before investing. Because Price is the "King of Market".
Long
by AlphaTradingStation
AUDUSDAUDUSD has been examined in different dimensions: 1- Strong supply and demand levels that I identify with my own indicator and system. 2- The structure of recently formed waves 3- Current market momentum 4- The structure of classical and price patterns In this idea, I identified the direction of the market in different ways and in the second step, I analyzed the potential of continuation or reversal. Usually, paying attention to the trend and strength of the trend can greatly increase the accuracy of the analysis. In general, I tried to describe the continuation of the movement in the simplest possible way in the diagram. ⚠️ Disclaimer: This is a personal opinion and you are responsible for any trading decisions.
Short
by HamidRamezani1992
AUDUSD BuyThe Australian dollar trended upward through trade on Thursday as market sentiment improved following reports Credit Suisse will access as much as 50 billion Swiss Franc as a liquidity backstop. Having slipped below US$0.66 on Wednesday the AUD climbed steadily pushing back through US$0.6650 to mark intraday highs at US$0.6665. Better than anticipated domestic employment data helped underpin the AUD and AU rates as the market sought to price future rate adjustments. The events of the last week have dramatically changed the monetary policy landscape with analyst now expecting just one more rate hike before entertaining the possibility of rate cuts. With financial markets still absorbing this last shock price action will continue to be driven by offshore volatility. A sustained improvement in sentiment could help lift the AUD back through 0.67, although we anticipate markets will sideline major bets until after next weeks Fed Policy meeting. With US rate expectations tempered markets will be keenly attuned to the Fed’s response to this latest banking crisis. AUDUSD h1 price is accumulating for a short period of time waiting to be discovered. Today, it is possible that the pair will go to the 0.6700 resistance area. Recommended to buy at current short price 0.6663, SL: 0.6630, TP: 0.6700
Long
by VTmarkets
1
AUDUSD - CURRENT SITUATION AND FUNDA & TECHNICAL BIAS#AUDUSD - Currently the MARKET SENTIMENT for AUD is slightly UP SIDE according to the MARKET SENTIMENT. Even now, if RISK ON for AUDUSD happens in the near future, it can definitely go UP. Therefore, AUDUSD currently has an UPSIDE BIAS. Several RBA HAWKISH COMMENTS have been released. Also USD has become STRONG in short term with FED SENTIMENT. It will most likely be temporary. Therefore, STOCKS and COMMODITIES MARKETS are going down quite a bit. It is heavily influenced by the Australian dollar. And AUSTRALIA INFLATION DATA was very POSITIVE. Due to this, the RBA made a RATE HIKE. - It is definitely possible to break the AUDUSD STRUCTURE and go up to the higher RESISTANCE LEVEL. Accordingly, AUDUSD can go up to the 0.7127 level. After that, if MARKET RISK OFF, AUDUSD can SELL to AUDUSD 0.6500 LEVEL if MARKET SENTIMENT changes and STOCKS and COMMODITIES start going down. If the dollar becomes strong, you can sell until the level of 0.6552. For that, the MARKET STRUCTURE should be BREAK. And RISK should be OFF.
by benny_marshall
AUDUSD SellThe AUD/USD had the best day in months on Monday, boosted by a sharp decline of the US Dollar Index (DXY), despite risk aversion. The pair rose almost a hundred pips and stabilized around 0.6675 after hitting five-day highs above 0.6700. The collapse of Silicon Valley Bank (SVB) on Friday triggered a crisis and a run to safety. The rally in Treasury bonds weighed on the DXY, which dropped more than 1% on Monday, falling below 103.70. The US 10-year yield fell more than 4% to 3.50%. The Aussie held relatively well despite market jitters. Volatility is set to remain elevated. If panic persists, it would be more difficult for AUD/USD to hold at current levels or extend the rally. AUDUSD term trend is still down. In today's price it is possible that the price will sweep up to the 0.6700 resistance area again then continue to go down. Recommended to wait to sell to 0.6700, SL: 0.6750, TP: 0.6650-0.6575
Short
by VTmarkets
AUDUSD SellThe Australian dollar is slightly stronger this morning when valued against the Greenback. The Aussie dollar finished the week on a soft note closing at 0.6580 and this saw NZD/AUD back above 0.93. Last week the Australian Dollar fell as the Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) and Federal Reserve went their separate ways on monetary policy and high beta risk assets met headwinds going into the weekend. The RBA raised interest rates for the 10th consecutive meeting, with rates now sitting 3.5 per cent above where they were when the rate rise cycle began. It’s worth noting that recently financial markets were pricing in a cash rate as high as 4.35 per cent. Ultimately, the peak level of the cash rate is a key piece of the puzzle that will decide the trajectory of everything from home prices to the broader economy. The AUD/USD pair is currently trading at 0.6590. Looking ahead this week and on Tuesday we will see the release of the Westpac Consumer Sentiment and National Australia Bank (NAB) Business Confidence. Both surveys are leading indicators of economic health. On Thursday all eyes will be on the unemployment rate decision by the Australian Bureau of Statistics. NAB is forecasting the unemployment rate to rise sharply to 4.7 per cent next year and 4.8 per cent in 2025 while Commonwealth Bank of Australia (CBA) economist Gareth Aird’s number crunching provides a similar outlook. “We expect the unemployment rate to be 4.3 per cent compared with the RBA’s forecast of 3.8 per cent,” he said. The Australian unemployment rate is currently at 3.7 per cent. AUDUSD h1 price is moving sideways in the 0.6575-0.6640 zone. In the short term it is possible that the pair will fall to the 0.6575 support area once again. Recommended to sell to the current price 0.6640, SL: 0.6690, TP: 0.6575
Short
by VTmarkets
20 Reasons For Long AUDUSD 🔆MULTI-TIME FRAME TOP-DOWN ANALYSIS OVERVIEW☀️ 1:✨Eagle eye: Multi years Bearish Trend is here 2:📆Monthly: making an insider high and low also rejected from monthly order block 3:📅Weekly: and weekly Choch is formatted, but the price does not confirm high yet. After a correction, prices are halted on the previous monthly low and equilibrium area so that there is a high chance prices can go high from here 4:🕛Daily: a clear up trend now 3rd move id started on the proper discount area and also forted appropriate price actions and structure setup 😇7 Dimension analysis 🟢 analysis time frame: H4 5: 1 Price Structure: bearish & market start forming lower high 6: 2 Pattern Candle Chart: equal lows at bottom long wick candles also lower high monthly weekly and daily lows also 7: 3 Volume: 8: 4 Momentum UNCONVENTIONAL Rsi: Rsi also shift their range from bearish to sideways properly 9: 5 Volatility measure Bollinger bands: Bollinger band in a tight squeeze /also proper w pattern is formatted so walking on the band is excepted 10: 6 Strength ADX: total neutral 11: 7 Sentiment ROC: Aud is more substantial than USD on the base on Rate of change ✔️ Entry Time Frame: H1 12: Entry TF Structure: bullish 13: entry move: impulsive 14: Support resistance base: H1 equilibrium support H1 last swing support or 2nd option H1 premium breaks 15: FIB: ☑️ final comments: Buy 16: 💡decision: LOng 17: 🚀Entry: 0.6780 18: ✋Stop losel:0.6695 19: 🎯Take profit: 0.7129 20: 😊Risk to reward Ratio: 1:4 🕛 Excepted Duration: 10 Days
Long
by Optimum369
1
AUDUSDAfter reacting to the dynamic ceiling of the decreasing range and forming a divergence, it showed a negative reaction. Now with the breaking of the static 0.66280 area of the previous trend floor, we can expect two ranges of 0.62681-0.60259 to form a zigzag at 61.8 and 78.6 He expected the Fibonacci percentage. Between Fibonacci percentages, two ranges based on pivot points at 0.61555-0.59134 can also be predicted. In case of failure of all targets, we can expect the range of 0.57360 to complete ABCD and the bottom of the specified range. There is no reason to touch all the goals and every goal is a resistance to reach the next goals
by maryammh