ASX STO Oil Play LongFeb 12: 23.00 AEDT
Ok here is one for the oil bulls.
This stock has been beaten up recently,
but the falling wedge and solid volume support
at $3.60 and $3.90 suggests ST potential.
Weekly Support is rising underneath, but at $3.50+
Ok the Trade:
Buy now on the bullish gap bar at $3.90 SL $3.80 TP#1 $4.10 TP#2 $4.40
RR := 50/10
If it fails - re-enter at the bottom of the body gap/Weekly support.
Buy $3.60 SL $3.50 Tgt $4.40
Profit less our loss above RR 70/10
Tgt is the upper body gap during WTI push higher and the rising tide.
Warnings:
It has not broken downtrend;
There is a 13m short position overhang;
The body gap under;
Positives:
Oil and USD rising - good for the bottom line;
Bullish last 3 bars and its above the T-Line;
Indicators and BBs (not shown) are positive.
My position: Break out (fake) then pull back to lower gap
then rally - but it depends upon Oil, $US an the S&P500
:= Quick long, short, long
This is an opinion not a guarantee and
... just my 2c worth ...
AUS200
AUS200 WES D ShortWES is ex dividend Mon 20 Feb by $1.03 so $43.09 - $1.03 := $42+/-.
Allowing for slippage, it could trade down to $41.85 Monday
before attempting to rally back to support at $42.
But over the next few days I believe it will drift lower
towards old resistance now support at $41.50
There is also that break away body gap at $40.98-41.18
which needs to fill.
The keys will be XJO and AUS200 Futures prices and the bears.
So my thoughts are to stay short until I get a candle(s) or indicator(s)
or gut feel its time to close and reverse.
I will continue to post on this chart and others (STO, Oil, Banks, reader interest etc)
... for just my 2c worth
AUS200 Shorting opportunity This is a good opportunity to Short AUS200
There is a double top after a rally and had broken through the trend on H4.
At the higher time frame D1 and W1, the price is currently at the extreme on a Parallel Channel with the last candle indicating a bearing move.
I am taking 2 different levels of entries:
• First entry would be at Market Price
• Second is a retracement at 5688.
SL above 5725
T1 @ 5500
T2 @ 5380
Sell signal on AUS200 using the Parabolic SAR strategyGoing back to the basics on this trading idea.
Suppose you have an AUS200 long position, it is a good time to sell it now, as shown by the Parabolic SAR indicator.
As for me, I'm taking a short position at the break of last session's low.
Short at 5659.
Stop loss at 5724.7.
Target profit at 5500 (2.44x reward-to-risk ratio).
Good luck!
A very premature but possible outcome for those down under!I'm not normally one for pointing out patterns before they're close to trigger, but this ASX (XJO, AUS200 whichever you follow) has a beautiful H&S pattern emerging having now made a distinct lower high from the 5600 area. It will be interesting to see how it handles the overhead resistance this week but I'll be watching this like a hawk if we see further downside in this index!
EWA: Australia is a longThe trend is now up, and we have a weekly 'Time at mode' signal pointing to 22.59 as the target.
Risk is a drop under 19.37. You can buy dips, or speculate on copper, or on FXA or AUDUSD as well.
Steel/Iron ore is also looking great, which makes this a sure buy.
Shares of X or STLD would be a nice buy as well.
Good luck,
Ivan Labrie.