AUS200
AUS200 : DOWNTREND | PRICE ACTION ANALYSIS | SHORT SETUP ⚡️Welcome back Traders,
Detailed analysis from INDEX_INSIDERS Team.
Please support our Idea by hitting the LIKE 👍 button
Traders, if you like this idea or have your own opinion about it, please write your own in the comment box . We will be glad for this.
Feel free to request any pair/instrument analysis or ask any questions in the comment section below.
Have a Good Day Trading !
AUS200 turning bullish?I see very bullish signs on AUS200 chart. My only problem is: was it just Friday afternoon rally or beginning of bear rally for next week?
Overall it seems like a strong bullish move. Earning season Q2 is coming soon - but will it be good enough for the market to continue move upside?
One is certain - there is still a lot of volatility in the markets. Trade carefully.
This is not a trading advice. Trading is risky- do your own analysis.
Steve's Gun2Head - Selling Australia 200 (AUS200AUD)Trade Idea: Sell Australia 200
Reasoning: Bearish engulfing forming on daily chart, Stalled at resistance and turned lower under Ichimoku cloud on 4-hour chart.
Entry Level: 6494.5
Take Profit Level: 6254.5
Stop Loss: 6554.5
Risk/Reward: 4:1
Disclaimer – Signal Centre. Please be reminded – you alone are responsible for your trading – both gains and losses. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. The technical analysis, like all indicators, strategies, columns, articles and other features accessible on/though this site is for informational purposes only and should not be construed as investment advice by you. Your use of the technical analysis, as would also your use of all mentioned indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features, is entirely at your own risk and it is your sole responsibility to evaluate the accuracy, completeness and usefulness (including suitability) of the information. You should assess the risk of any trade with your financial adviser and make your own independent decision(s) regarding any tradable products which may be the subject matter of the technical analysis or any of the said indicators, strategies, columns, articles and all other features.
HIGH ALERT: Bad weather and death crossesI won't say much here because I've narrated much of what I think is going on across several indices.
These are very troubled and dangerous times in the markets.
Some say it is not possible to time the markets. I disagree.
Whilst death crosses come and go, the important contextual issue is when they happen.
These death crosses have occurred after a most ridiculous expansion of markets, in the context of reckless Q/E.
PE ratios have been off the scale. We know the markets are overbought.
So death crosses in the particular context of the markets are significant now.
Disclaimer: This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities or any asset class. This is not investment advice. Chart positions shown are not suggestions intended to assure you of an advantage. No predictions and no guarantees are supplied or implied. The author trades mostly trend following set ups which have a low win rate of approximately 40%. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts or investing in any asset class. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
AUS200 Forecast 25 April 2022I don’t really like Mondays in trading. Will the market continue Friday bearish move? Or consolitate and try to go up to 20EMA?
Based on technical analisys and indicators on 4hrs chart AUS200 is oversold, 50 EMA is holding a support, on the daily chart the market has room to go lower towards trent line to 7200 area.
Does it happen tomorrow? Don’t think so. Tomorrow is Bank Holiday in Australia and I don’t expect big movement either way. Momentum is definitely towards downside but these days anything can happen and markets often are unpredictable.
It’s not a trading advice, trade safe!
AUS200 as expected is trying to break the 7620 resistanceToday AUS200 tried to break a stong resistance at 7620. The market is not ready to drop just yet. It could be here for a while, possibly trying to go up once again to 7595- I doubt it will go higher than 7620.
The momentum is still there. On Monday is holiday in Australia and we expect some inflation news next week that might affect the market.
I am planning to open sell position around 7600, waiting for confirmation.
This is only my analysis, not a trading advice. Trade carefully
AUS200 - Bullish StrategyAccording to chart analysis, We can see a bullish trend and a double bottom but there is a resistance that needs to be broken, and make sure to ride the trend because there is a bearish divergence on RSI.
Plan A: Long
Entry: 7613.3 (Current)
SL: 7524.6
TP: 7755.6
Plan B: Long
Entry: 7663.4
SL: 7561.4
TP: 7904.3
AUS200 up or downAUS200 is kind of interesting to watch. We reached 7606 resistance, if we break it, we go to 7648. We def have enough momentum to go higher, inflations is a big problem, recession is about to start but it can take few months. We’re also in April- one of the most bulish month.
I don’t recommend to follow it but behind saying ‘sell in May and go away’ is a lot of truth. I think, and it’s only my opinion, it’s something that is happening right now.
I’m getting ready to open sell position next week- I expect market to try break the resistance at least once.
Please trade carefully.
AUS200 - Trading StrategyAccording to chart analysis, it is a bullish rectangle breakdown so it can be a bullish ride so we have a breakpoint at 7646.12 to make sure. If it did not test this point then strategy 2 will be short.
Plan A: Long
Entry: 7646.12
SL: 7567.88
TP: 7725.74
Plan B: Short
Entry: 7510.22
SL: 7567.88
TP: 7414.14
AUS200 : FUNDAMENTAL ANALYSIS + LONG FORECAST | LONG SETUPAustralia stocks were higher after the close on Thursday, as gains in the IT, Consumer Discretionary and Financials sectors led shares higher.
At the close in Sydney, the S&P/ASX 200 rose 1.10%.
The best performers of the session on the S&P/ASX 200 were Flight Centre Ltd (ASX:FLT), which rose 6.61% or 1.17 points to trade at 18.87 at the close. Meanwhile, Webjet Ltd (ASX:WEB) added 5.83% or 0.31 points to end at 5.63 and Qantas Airways Ltd (ASX:QAN) was up 5.79% or 0.27 points to 4.93 in late trade.
The worst performers of the session were Nickel Mines Ltd (ASX:NIC), which fell 13.17% or 0.19 points to trade at 1.22 at the close. Rio Tinto Ltd (ASX:RIO) declined 7.73% or 9.27 points to end at 110.61 and Beach Energy Ltd (ASX:BPT) was down 5.90% or 0.10 points to 1.60.
Rising stocks outnumbered declining ones on the Sydney Stock Exchange by 857 to 547 and 380 ended unchanged.
The S&P/ASX 200 VIX, which measures the implied volatility of S&P/ASX 200 options, was up 1.91% to 17.12.
Gold Futures for April delivery was down 0.14% or 2.70 to $1,985.50 a troy ounce. Elsewhere in commodities trading, Crude oil for delivery in April rose 2.37% or 2.58 to hit $111.28 a barrel, while the May Brent oil contract rose 3.51% or 3.90 to trade at $115.04 a barrel.
TROUBLE: In a land down under!The Aussies are in trouble but they may not know it as yet.
Caution : this is not a prediction that the AUS200 is about to crash, or will crash. All observations and comment are based on this snapshot in time. Next week this analysis may be irrelevant if the picture changes dramatically.
Features on the chart:
1 - A clear sign of rebellion after panic selling.
2 - The rebellion is actually weak, in technical terms.
3 - The retracement up into 61.8 fib was unsurprising.
4 - Price struggled in the first (lower) zone of congestion.
5- Price was rejected twice from the second (higher) zone of congestion.
6. Price remains under the Daily ATR (amber line) - which represents a big change in sentiment at a macro-economic level.
I don't trade daily time frames, as they take too long to deliver and they are too risky for me. I would go long and short in a daily time frame bull or bear market on much lower time frames e.g. 3 to 15 min (which in trend following cant take days to complete).
Disclaimer: This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities or any asset class. This is not investment advice. Chart positions shown are not suggestions intended to assure you of an advantage. No predictions and no guarantees are supplied or implied. The author trades mostly trend following set ups which have a low win rate of approximately 40%. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts or investing in any asset class. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
LONG AUS200Better sentiment after Russia circus and all the geopolitical risk stop escalating. Room for AUS200 for rising. Good R:R
AUS200 (1H): Potential move northThis is a theory of curves setup (TOCS) ; looking at the price action of the AUS200.
In TOCS, thee is usually a 55% chance of movement in the leading half of the curve (based on personal experience). Better than 50% is good in finding entry points for trend following positions. Zoom into the chart if text overlaps candles.
The AUS200 has been curving up nicely. Of course charts don't obey these curves - that's why there is a remaining 45% chance of the setup failing.
There is no target for an exit point in trend following. So, entry is the big issue. Exit points are determined by the market when price moves threw a trailing stop on a lower time frame. There is no prescription as to how to work that out because it depends on the price action in a lower timeframe. It is no possible to know that until if happens.
What's in favour of a north side attempt? Always look higher e.g. the daily time frame where the RSI is in a deep trough and which will appear attractive to 'punters'.
Disclaimer: This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities or any asset class. This is not investment advice. Chart positions shown are not suggestions intended to assure you of an advantage. No predictions and no guarantees are supplied or implied. The author trades mostly trend following set ups which have a low win rate of approximately 40%. Heavy losses can be expected if trading live accounts or investing in any asset class. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
Short opportunity on AUS200 /SPI200 According to Resistance Level on 4H timeframe
Divergence on 1h time frame
Fibo retracement to 61%
TP ans SL