Get started

AUS200

THE AUSSIES: WAKE UP GET READY!This is a 12H setup - like the weather - showing the case for a potential reversal south. Features: 1 - zone of congestion in what looks like a PRZ 2 - an alternate ABCD pattern. 3 - price just below 12H ATR line. Contrary to the received wisdom ABCD patterns do not have to be a precise pattern with a 61.8 retracement of initial limb. It can be a 78.6. In fact there are a whole range of ABCD patterns. The important issue from my observations is that AB is roughly equal to CD. As prices on most tradingview charts are mid-point we can't expect high accuracy. As usual this setup does NOT mean that price has to reverse. There is about a 51% chance of reversal south in my estimation. That leaves 49% chance for continued movement north. Keep that in mind and remember that you can't win without risking a loss. Make it an affordable one. Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. Chart positions shown are not suggestions. No predictions and no guarantees supplied or implied. Heavy losses can be expected. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
FX:AUS200
by Captain_Walker
1
POTENTIAL EXPLOIT: Aussies in trouble.The 4H position on the AUS200, could be an advantagious exploit for a controlled affordable loss. 1 - The Aussies tend to follow the DJI and USTech 100. 2 - But there is usually a time lag of between 30 mins and 2 hours. 3 - The DJI did a major leg down but the Aussies barley flinched after a major bull run yesterday. I've seen it many times, where they catch up after that delay. Then they panic. As the DJI could be moving south from the base of a head and shoulders pattern (see my posts), then if the Aussies follow south and panic - it could be a nice exploit. Remember your risk controls please. Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. Chart positions shown are not suggestions. No predictions and no guarantees supplied or implied. Heavy losses can be expected. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
FX:AUS200
by Captain_Walker
Aussies not looking happyThe current picture on the 3D time frame shows the following: 1. Price has rebounded to a 61.8 fib and is struggling. 2. The market has disallowed 6200 on four occasions. 3. Price is flattening in a structure zone. 4. The rebellion to current level has taken 5 times what it took for price to crash. 5. This is still a bear market as price has not nearly challenged the 6620 level. None of each of the above means anything on it's own. But taken together the probability is for the south around this time. How far south - nobody knows! The probability can change as new information emerges. Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. No predictions and no guarantees supplied or implied. Heavy losses can be expected. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, or miss opportunity, kindly sue yourself.
FX:AUS200Short
by Captain_Walker
1
Trend change is coming. Entry technicsThe Australian dollar rallied above 0.72 and was immediately rejected. But it still holds the above the daily trendline. Potentially this rally can be extended to 0.73. Buyers have to protect their positions with tight stops. Commercials (based on COT) keep adding to their short positions, the cycle is turning to the downside. That makes me believe a selloff is coming. Failure to make a new high or breakdown below the daily trendline is a sign of trend change.
Short
by UnknownUnicorn1156963
Will we see the Australian dollar gain strength vs the JPY?The monthly is looking interesting to me here. -Broken out of a possible demand zone -Clearly broken downtrend on the RSI and stoch 1M and starting to look positive for a swing I think its logical that AUD JPY has a attempt to go to 80 cents here at least. This is not a call to say buy now it will go up with a instant 10% increase lol.. It can pump but looks like it needs more retracement. IF we can find support on one of the blue order/demand zones and other technical analysis supports it then i will consider a trade at the moment i would prefer to get a good entry.
by Worth_The_Ri5k
1
Aussies heading into troubled zoneThere are no promises, guarantees or predictions in this. The Aussies have been flattening out at a top - it appears - at this time. There are only two directions for price - nothing new in that. What happens in situations like these is: 1 - either price collapses. 2 - it rockets north. You can imagine what bulls and bears would say to each of the above. Their inherent biases controls their minds. Biases predetermine - quite unconsciously - what logic will arrive at. Hence people get into 'predictions', then punch the air when price confirms their bias. Both the nature of confirmation bias and prevalence-induced concept change should be studied by all traders. Some say ' What's psychology got to do with this? ' I'm sorry for some. How does one control how wrong a bias may be? It's called a stoploss! Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. No predictions and no guarantees supplied or implied. Heavy losses can be expected. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
FX:AUS200Education
by Captain_Walker
AUS200 (1d) - probability south. No loss no gain. This is a risky position, obviously. I do not know if it will fall or head north. My estimate is for the south. Heavy losses may be involved. Disclaimers : This is not advice or encouragement to trade securities. No predictions and no guarantees supplied or implied. Heavy losses can be expected. Any previous advantageous performance shown in other scenarios, is not indicative of future performance. If you make decisions based on opinion expressed here or on my profile and you lose your money, kindly sue yourself.
FX:AUS200Short
by Captain_Walker