ASX200/AUS200 "Australia 200" Indices Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤🐱🏍
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the ASX200/AUS200 "Australia 200" Indices Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on!
however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest.
Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (8360) swing Trade Basis Using the 3H period, the recent / swing high or low level.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 8000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Sentimental Outlook:
ASX200/AUS200 "Australia 200" Indices Market is currently experiencing a Bearish trend in short term, driven by several key factors.
⭐Fundamental Analysis
Earnings: Q4 2024 EPS growth strong for ASX 200 firms (e.g., banks, miners); Q1 2025 prelims suggest resilience—bullish.
Rates: RBA at 4.35% (stable, Feb 2025)—high yields vs. ECB (2.5%) pressure equities—bearish.
Inflation: Australia at 2.8% (Jan 2025)—above RBA’s 2-3% target, mixed impact.
Growth: GDP ~1.5% (Q4 2024 est.)—steady, mildly bullish.
Geopolitics: U.S.-China tariffs shift trade to Australia—bullish for miners.
⭐Macroeconomic Factors
U.S.: Fed at 3-3.5%, PCE 2.6%—USD softness aids AUD—bullish (Eurostat/U.S. data).
Eurozone: PMI 46.2—stagnation pressures global equities—bearish
Global: China 4.5%, Japan 1%—slow growth, commodity demand soft—bearish (ECB forecasts).
Commodities: Iron ore ~$100/ton, oil $70.44—stable, neutral for ASX miners/energy (global data).
Trump Policies: Tariffs (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China)—benefits Australian exports—bullish.
⭐Global Market Analysis
Equity Markets: S&P 500 at 5,990, DAX ~19,000—range-bound, neutral correlation with ASX.
Commodities Influence: Stable mining/energy sectors (BHP, Rio Tinto) support ASX—bullish.
Liquidity: High trading volume reflects global interest—bullish stability.
⭐Commitments of Traders (COT) Data
Speculators: Net long ~60,000 contracts (down from 70,000)—cautious bullishness (global futures).
Hedgers: Net short ~65,000—stable, locking in highs.
Open Interest: ~130,000 contracts—steady global interest, neutral.
⭐Market Sentiment Analysis
Retail: 55% short contrarian upside—bullish potential.
Institutional: Mixed—optimism for miners, caution on rates—neutral.
Corporate: Firms hedge at 8,600-8,650—neutral.
Social media Trends: Bearish bias to 8,200-8,160—bearish short-term (
⭐Positioning Analysis
Speculative: Longs target 8,675-8,700, shorts aim for 8,080-8,000.
Retail: Shorts at 8,568-8,600—squeeze risk if price rises.
Institutional: Balanced, commodity-focused optimism.
⭐Next Trend Move
Technical:
Support: 8080-8000
Resistance: 8,675-8,700
Below 8,080 targets 8,000; above 8,675 aims for 8,750.
Short-Term (1-2 Weeks): Dip to 8,000 if risk-off persists; rebound to 8,700 if support holds.
Medium-Term (1-3 Months): Range 8,080-8,800, tariff-driven.
⭐Overall Summary Outlook
ASX 200 at 8,080.00 balances bullish fundamentals (earnings, tariffs, commodity stability) with bearish pressures (global slowdown, RBA rates, sentiment). COT shows cautious longs, positioning suggests short-term caution, and global trends support a dip before recovery. Short-term downside to 8,000 likely, with medium-term upside to 8,800 if macro stabilizes.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
Aus200short
AUS200 shortI opened a short position yesterday based on 4H and daily chart.
My reasoning is as follows:
Daily
1) The price broked above the previous high (8525), failed it hold, and dropped and closed below the previous higher high.
2) It moved and closed below the ascending trendline.
3) All momentum indicators are now moving to the downside.
4H
1) The candles consolidated below the ascending treandine and failing to move above the line.
2)The price broked beow Fib 0.238.
3)Both MACD and RSI entered the bear territory.
Entry - 8483
S/L - 8580
Target - 8256
Risk:Reward - 1:2.65
AUS200 - WHAT THE STRATEGY FOR THE LAST DAYTeam, for those who love AUS200/ASX200 - we finally got 5/5 this week
We are now watching if the AUS200 may retest and try to break the 8280-8282; we will wait for the opportunity to short at 8311-8320. If not, each is at those levels, so we will not trade further and wait until next week. There will be volatility during the RATE announcement
SETTING SHORT AUS200.ASX200 ZONE at 8311-8320, STOP LOSS at 8345-55
Target at 8286-79
Target 2 at 8256-49
Target 3 at 8226-32
NOTE: Once the 1st target hit, ensure take PARTIAL and bring stop loss to BE.
AUS200Dear friends, what we are going to see in this post is why I'm waiting to go long on AUS200.
Price was travelling in the downward direction in the 4h time frame and now it is the verge of a breakout. As it is a breakout for the first time from the downward parallel channel, price will reverse as there is a supply zone at 7146.00 to 7183.80. Even though price is near to the 8h supply zone still price is coming from the strong demand zone. Now you can see there is a heavy buying pressure. Whatever AUS200 goes towards the supply zone still it is coming from a strong demand zone. So, shorting at this time is little is a bit risky but small profit can be expected. Don't expect too much. Just book the profit if you are shorting and sit quietly for the price action. Because it is very important to stay protected our capital in the stock market.
If you look at this chart the price has a strong support to retest to go upside. Trend is down in the lower time frame, and it is up in the higher time frame. As we all know that higher time frame controls the lower time. So, if you want to go short, yes you can. But don't expect too much. Price may or may not go up quickly. But all I expect is that the price will go down to take a strong support and then go up. If you are a breakout trader and you're on the verge of the market high, then you can plan your risk accordingly.
The current supply zone will prevent the price from going up. The traders who have taken the long position entrap bulls. Everyone rushes to open a long position as the price is going up rapidly. But after opening the long position the price starts to fall after the frenzy that heats up our head. If the price of this script starts falling, then the best place to open a long position is at 7029.00 or 6921.00.
Look at the chart attached for a better clarity. Avoid buying in haste. Perhaps 7110.00 is a good place to buy this stock if it closes above 7200.00.
But it is wise to follow your risk management before taking entry.
I love to share my ideas. Feel free to revise the text and provide feedback. It makes it so personal and improve us in better ways.
Thanks & Regards,
Alpha Trading Station
Disclaimer: This view is for educational purpose only & any stock mentioned here should not be taken as a trading/investing advice. We may or may not have position in the stocks mentioned here. Please consult your financial advisor before investing. Because Price is the "King of Market".
FXOPEN:AUS200
AUS200 as expected is trying to break the 7620 resistanceToday AUS200 tried to break a stong resistance at 7620. The market is not ready to drop just yet. It could be here for a while, possibly trying to go up once again to 7595- I doubt it will go higher than 7620.
The momentum is still there. On Monday is holiday in Australia and we expect some inflation news next week that might affect the market.
I am planning to open sell position around 7600, waiting for confirmation.
This is only my analysis, not a trading advice. Trade carefully
Short opportunity on AUS200 /SPI200 According to Resistance Level on 4H timeframe
Divergence on 1h time frame
Fibo retracement to 61%
TP ans SL