AUDCAD: What a Pattern! 🇦🇺🇨🇦
Update for my yesterday's post for AUDCAD.
The pair retested the broken neckline of a triangle on a daily.
And you know what. Retesting that, it formed the same tiny little triangle on 1H time frame and broke its neckline as well.
It gives a strong intraday confirmation.
The pair will most likely keep falling to 0.8977
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Aussie
EURAUD NOT convincing upward momentum We are still in short from Friday on this pair, the reason for not exiting the trade so far is failed breakout of the downtrend, all attempts failed as we see. The sole purpose is to hit the stop loss of many traders. Every deal we enter has an exit point and an entry point in our records. The exit point is a close above a supply area or a candle close below a demand area. This is how large corporations trade. And that's the right way.
AUDCHF: Time to Fall 🇦🇺🇨🇭
AUDCHF is trading in a bearish trend.
After the price set a new lower low, it started a correctional movement.
The pair reached a major falling trend line this week.
The market was stuck on that for a couple of days and formed a horizontal range on 4H.
Its support was broken yesterday.
It will most likely trigger a bearish trend continuation.
Goals will be 0.5935 / 0.588
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AUD/USD -3/5/2023-• Despite the hawkish surprise by the RBA yesterday, raising interest rates unexpectedly we are experiencing a fading momentum of the bullish reaction
• Reason behind this might be lack of conviction within the buyers
• US Dollar strength is back in the markets amid renewed fears amid banking woes and recession adding to that pricing of a continued Federal Reserve tightening policy
• Technically, picture doesn't seem really bright on the daily chart for the following reasons:
1- A potential head and shoulders pattern can be spotted and drawn on the chart
2 - 20 SMA is acting as a resistance with price unable to cross and close above it
3- The up trend support line which has been broken back in March has been re-tested from below several times with continuous rejection
4- Keep in mind that whether H&S pattern or any other, they have chance of failure and are subjective (other traders might see an inverse H&S on the same chart)
5- 0.6570 is the immediate strong support and longs can still be valid above that level with stops below it
6- After hitting a daily high of 0.67 following RBA surprise hike, we have seen some profit taking throughout the day and this might have happened due to the FED rate decision tomorrow and traders getting out of their positions while waiting for the outcome
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Here to answer all your questions,
Good luck
EUR/AUD in focus for RBA meeting and eurozone CPIWith the RBA due to meet and eurozone CPI data released tonight, EUR/AUD has caught our eye. It remains within a strong uptrend on the daily chart, although a bearish-outside day ahs slammed prices down to a 4-day low. But we’re keen on long opportunities if prices can remain above 1.6400, given the levels of technical support nearby including the 2021 high, 10/20day EMA’s and monthly pivot point. The initial target is 1.6800, a break above which brings the 1.7000 handle into focus.
🔥 NEW AUDUSD ✨ COUNTER-TREND TRADE 🔥SLO @ 0.6700 ⏳
SSO @ 0.6575 ⏳
TP1 @ 0.6460 (shaving 25%)
TP2 @ 0.6350 (closing all sell positions)
BLO @ 0.6325 ⏳
ADDITIONAL INFO:
00:00 Shout Out to @kristonperry
00:42 Supply Zone / Sell Limit Order
01:00 Support / Sell Stop Order
01:20 Position Sizing @ ~2-3%
01:50 Shaving 25% @ each TP
02:54 Demand Zone 2, preferred
04:40 Boost, Follow, Comment, Join
AUDCAD LongsI'm liking AUDCAD longs for a few reasons. Technical wise we have broken structure and we have a fib at the 61.8 from the swing high to swing low.. Looking at everything from a fundamental standpoint, there is a lot of optimism around the Aussie gaining strength from China reopenings, as well as a Hawkish RBA. Canada on the other hand has decided to pause rates and might continue to do so if the BoC see that inflation is starting to decelerate as well. This trade might take some time as most aussie pairs are slower but overall I like this trade.
AUD/JPY 3-wave rally stalls at resistanceA 3-wave rally has stalled at the 200-day EMA with a bearish Pinbar. This begs the question as to whether we've seen the end of an ABC correction and the cross is to now break to new lows.
Perhaps. But over the near-term, yen strength is favoured due to sticky inflation data from Japan, rumours that the BOJ are considering tweaking their YCC band later this year and a slight risk-off tone due to concerns over tighter liquidity and the US debt ceiling.
- The bias remains bearish beneath 90.25
- Next target is around the lows near 89.00
AUDCHF: Your Trading Plan For Today 🇦🇺🇨🇭
AUDCHF is approaching a key horizontal resistance.
The price formed a double top on that on 4H.
0.6026 - 0.603 is its neckline.
To short with a confirmation, wait for a bearish breakout of a neckline.
4H candle close below will confirm a violation.
Short aggressively or on a retest then.
Goals will be 0.601 / 0.5995
If the price sets a new high, the setup will become invalid.
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AUDUSD Shows Resumption Of A Bearish TrendUS CPI came out better than expected last week at 5.0%, so we have seen some USD weakness at the start of the week, but then some of the losses got erased on Friday, after FED officials said that there is room for another interest rate hike. Metals also came down, and put some bearish pressure on Aussie as well.
The pair has a sharp drop from 0.6805 which suggests that the pair will see more weakness ahead as A-B- C correction can be finished.