AUDUSD: breaking out of ascending wedgeAUDUSD is breaking out of ascending wedge, which might indicate a correction move downside and a risk-on scenario.
Aussie is currently trading around 17% higher since march lows and pretty much correlated with bullish sentiment in equity market.
The first support level can be found around 0.6250-06270 price, which is between 0.23-0.382 Fibonacci retracement level.
After breaking that zone, the price can continue going lower to around 0.6040 level.
Fundamentally, I still think that we are going to see lower level in equities (or at least a correction move lower), thus lower price in AUDUSD as well.
Joining bears from around 0.64700 price with S/L above 0.66000 and T/P around 0.60400 provides decent R/R.
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Aussiedollar
GBPAUD POSSIBLE SCENARIO EXPLAINED|additional chart in the post.The pair has returned into the 4 year upward channel and is now trading inside a big horizontal structure.
It is possible that it will bounce back from the level and follow the direction outlined by the black lines on the chart, hitting the resistance of the upward channel again, before reaching the support of it which will by that time comfortably rest inside the horizontal structure. That scenario is supported by the fact that the RSI indicates the pair is significantly oversold and therefore some correction up is inevitable.
However, if zoomed out(chart below), it can be seen that the price has violated a local support level, and did not show any strength which begs a question of whether there are any buyers left at this levels. If the lack of buyers assumption is correct, then the pair is most likely to keep falling within the downward channel to the intersection of the diagonal upward channel support line and the horizontal support level.
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AUSSIE DOLLAR FOR A SHORT? AUDUSDFOREXCOM:AUDUSD
Note: (MARKET IS REACTIVE AND NOT PREDICIVE)
From a daily perpective, price has clearly rejected the resistance zone and has created a historical double top.
Price is also at a support zone and we can see a break in support
Since market price moves in waves, the price can break the support and retest the broken support before making a move to the target of 0.61764
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With this 200 pips can be caught.
Also we see there are two uptrend lines which acts as a support, one has been broken, with a few candles the other will be broken. If this happens we can confirm with the strategy used to initiate a short position
Entries will be initiated using one hour or four hour timeframe.
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EURAUD POTENTIAL SHORT| MULTI TIMEFRAME ANALYSISAs I have already mentioned, in my previous analysis of the pair, the link to which you can find below, there was a potential for returning into the massive diagonal channel, which can be seen on the daily chart attached.
The return into the channel was confirmed by the daily candle closing inside the channel, below the resistance area, which gives us a short opportunity.
Current 1.6846 level, is not a good one to go short in terms of risk reward, for I expect the pair to find support in the middle of the channel, at around the take2 area. The support line is shown in the blue. There is also a horizontal structure at this level.
So, I will be waiting for the pair to bounce back, from a small horizontal support it has found. To the levels that are indicated by the arrows.
You might choose to enter the short piecemeal, adding to the position as the pair goes higher. This way you will get a good average price.
The first take is 1:1 risk reward, as always. The second take level I've discussed above already.
I will be monitoring the price action closely.
On a side note, one might actually go long now, and ride the bounce up, to the short levels, but I will not be doing that.
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GA Short [one last time]GBP AUD has a clear downtrend but as we come ever closer to the weekly and monthly level - we need to be careful.
Note our trade is risk free: - we are just awaiting the market open - ofcourse if there is a gap down - expect a possible attempt to fill the gap.
We have a strong supply at 0.236 on the four hour. Not the Stop loss is the number of pips we wish to enter. price will change, this is just to show our range of where to enter.
There will be a retracement, however with fundamentals in play this can be ignored. Always have two scenarios in mind.
COT report; GBP shorts added on the COT report against the USD, the final push down the demand zone will occur. just await price action.
Happy Trading this week ahead. We will update accordingly.
Lupa.
AUDUSD | Preparing to melt? This pair has formed a double top and started to drop aggressively with big bearish candles. It has also broken a ascending trendline and currently doing a retest.
Additionally, it did also break a Support level and currently is retesting it as a Resistance level. If AUDUSD fails to break back above, then we can expect further downside movement.
Watch the pair closely and only sell when you see a clear bearish candle close below the current resistance level.
Fundamentals to look out for during the week.
1) USD CPI m/m (Tue)
2) USD Core CPI m/m (Tue)
3) AUD Employment Change (Thu)
4) AUD Unemployment Rate (Thu)
5) USD Core Retail Sales m/m (Fri)
6) USD Retail Sales m/m (Fri)
Risk ONLY: 2-3%
Good Luck
AUD/ USD Just to show the community, that if you truly grasp the concepts outlined in scott carneys books you can draw the patterns before the software picks them up. i this pattern drew last week on AUD/ USD, and overnight (US TIME) the pattern drew and completed and started to move. this is not the first time i have drawn a pattern before the HPC Software. It just shows me that that when it comes to understanding the principles of the patterns I have it down. i hope everyone trades well. This commodity currency is one of my favorite pairs to trade along with the vast majority of the majors.
#RiskFreeOrBust
OANDA:AUDUSD
AUD/ USD AUDUSD here we have a great situation on our hands for next week. We have a deep Gartley, which is a new pattern all together, and a dirty bat pattern. We have a trading oppritunity either way PA wants to go. im going to discuss the the two patterns next.
the deep gartley is a little gem that scott carney has not really talked about pubilicly but in his 3rd volume of the Harmonic Trading series. its the traditional gartley but with an 886 xa leg. now this is only used if the abcd pattern completes past the 886. now the completion point of the pattern is determined by the ABC EXTENSION and NOT the recipocal measurement.
now on to the "dirty" patterns. i prefer to go from wick to wick on my measurements my xa points are strictly wick to wick and this does not waiver. now what does have a little room for movement is the "B" and "C" points. if the B and/ or C point wick wicks below the desired fibo ratio but closes at or slightly above/below , usually within 1-3 pips ill count the point valid. if not ill stop measureing. the reason for this is becasue i have found that the atterns are still successful after the pattern completes when the wicks violate the ratio but PA respects it. i call it dirty becasue its not a nice clean wick to wick pattern through and through.
#RiskFreeOrBust
OANDA:AUDUSD
AUDUSD - small correction before new highsAUDUSD ie tracing the early stages of a primary C wave up that should lead prices to around 0.80 in years to come. Short-term opportunities will happen as the next one that should appear when minor wave 2 is complete. The most probable next target is at 0.60 before prices increase again. FOLLOW SKYLINEPRO TO GET UPDATES.
AUD/USD- SHORT Setup Hello Everyone !
Here we have a pretty clear SHORT setup on this pair.
as we can notice Price has broken the 1H Trendline, as we know after the breakout we need the retest ( which is already finished ), we will wait next week for some candle confirmation, so we can get a nice R:R trade on this Pair
1. Broken 1h Trendline
2. Retest Completed
3. Price has been failing to break through the resistance for 3 times, which also correlates with 78,6% Fib Retracement giving us some more confidence on a bearish Reversal
AUDJPY Update - The Trend is Your Friend, Part IIHello friends, please observe our previous analysis on AUDJPY was spot on resulting in 2 perfect targets both hit. Now, we face a crossroads in AUDJPY at the current Fibonacci channel resistance level. These are the same channels utilized in the original analysis;
Now, its time for us to keep an eye on AUDJPY as it reacts to this resistance. Possibly, this fight could decide the coming weeks of price action. Good luck
Aussie - AUDUSD Risk off!Almost time to load up on Shorts on the Aussie, we are currently in a risk off environment, a flight to cash, a forced liquidation of the aging population of assets to fund retirement etc is going to be another causation of the commodity driven Australian economy to be in a recession and negative growth in the coming years and decade. A lot of Risk currencies are setting up as a good sell in the coming weeks stay tuned to my forecast. expecting Aussie to trade well below the all time lows dropping well below 50 cents to the low 40s possibly. expect further short term upside though could rally up to 65-68 region before heading down. AUDUSD is a Short term Buy, Medium and Long term SELL