$AUDCHF | High Probability Reversal @ 0.78228 | Fib Wolfe GeoHello Traders,
Here I have utilized the the Wolfe Wave, Geo's Off-Set Rule, and Fib clusters.
Wolfe Wave - Within the Wolfe's 1-2 and 2-3 points you must look out for an ab=cd pattern which we clearly have stated here. Points 3-4 and 4-5 are less likely to have such patterns. In fact, as a WW trader, you want the 4-5 path to be carved out as smoothly as possible. Which we also have here. The Wolfe is near completion, but this alone will not give us a complete analysis.
Geo's Off-Set Rule - I have defined levels at 0.75558 and 0.71548 to clearly show where the Geo's Off-Set Targets lie.
Rule 1 - If WW completes at point 5, we will look at the 1-4 line as the exit point.
Rule 2 - If price hits 5', we will look at point 4, 0.71548, as the exit point.
Rule 3 - If price hits 5" we will look at point 3, 0.75558, as the exit point.
Fib Clusters - There are 2 Fibonacci Extensions I chose to display in this chart. The first one is the one on points 1 & 2. This gives us a maximum excursion point at which price will need to reach in order to complete the 1.618 ratio. The next Fibonacci Extension is used on the final leg down from 3-4 which gives us a 2.618 confluence zone with the previous Fib Extension.
With that said, 0.78228 is the point price will need to reach in order to reverse its direction. If this pair moves quickly we may touch the 5' line defined, which would give us a high probability target of 0.71548 as an exit. If price does not reach the 5' line I still expect 0.71548 to remain a high probability target.
Best,
Chartistry
Australia
$AUDUSD Bearish Wolfe Wave: 60 MinHello Traders,
Here is another short term demonstration for the Wolfe Wave. There is always a Wolfe Wave forming in the process of completion, or already completed in markets since it is a naturally occurring pattern. This post and my previous post on AUDUSD is a great example of that fact.
Best,
Chartistry
AUDUSD - time to take profit on long positions?Correction on commodity markets + strong jobs data supports AUD however ahead of the 0,79 (AUDUSD) big figure technicals might force institutional investor to lock in some profits from AUDUSD longs.
Technical resistance: 100 weekly EMA, downward channel since 2013.
ASX200 Break out of resistance?Updating my previous entry that was based on the trend... It seems the support level may be rising and a potential break out of resistance levels. We'll have to wait and see, I'm not going to trade this for now.
Clearly the market has been particularly strong the past few days....
CADAUD cypher and Gartley movementsNo trade setup here, just some formations and potential formations to give an insight into multiple harmonic patterns.
Look for the cypher that has already formed to swing into a Gartley formation.
Potential Gartley is perfect - exact confluence between the 0.786 retracement and 1.272 extension.
Ok Aussie Dollar, you can settle down now.Well we must applaud the Aussie for showing some real strength against an overral declining Australian rate of growth, Chinese slowdown + depressed levels of commodities. However I think the spike will soon run out of steam, potential reverse from here to 0.77 and then fall back to minimum of 7.56. Possibly lower.
It would be good to see some confirmation from the MACD before selling though.
$GBPAUD Wolfe Wave and Geo Off-Set RuleHello Traders,
Here we have 3 Wolfe Wave's(WW)
WW #1 - In the grey dotted line. This WW is near it's target at #1 Geo Off-Set Rule at point 4. The Geo Off-Set Rule here plays a role in the next 2 WW's.
WW #2 - In blue dashed lines. This WW is internal to both the first and third(in purple) WW's. The Geo Off-Set Rule in the first WW act's as a point of reversal for the internal WW which created a 5" (5 double prime) structure. 5" calls for a Geo Off-Set at point 3. Represented as #2 Geo Off-Set Rule. This second Geo plays a role in the third WW as well.
WW #3 - In purple solid line. This WW formed as price was making its way towards the #1 Geo Off-Set Rule of the first WW. The first Geo will act as point 3 of this third WW. When this target hits, ideally price will hit point 3 of the internal WW and give us point 4 of the third WW. The dashed purple line represents how I see this structure forming.
This is an observation of the Wolfe Wave and the Geo Off-Set Rule. I would be interested to see how the structure forms.
If you agree with this idea please like and follow for more interesting observations. :-}
-Chartistry
AUDNZD symmetrical triangle with 5 hitsSymmetrical triangle has been forming on the AUDNZD pair for 3 months now.
5 strong hit points .
Look for a break to the upside at hit point 6 or a break to the downside at hit point 7 after hit 6.
Profit targets are clearly indicated by green lines and are based on previous structure. The top profit target is unlikely but very hopeful if we get a break to the upside.
AUDCAD: Potentially very interesting setupIn the current enviroment, it's nice to add a 'long Canada/short Asia' trade, and this is what this setup is.
Currently the trend is up in the weekly but there seems to be a chance for a sharp decline in the daily chart.
Risk to reward makes for a great trade if it works, so it's worth it to risk at least 1/2 position on it.
Props to @Synapse here for mentioning this pair to me today, I've been waiting to long Canada again, and this seems like a good vehicle for such trade.
Good luck if taking it!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
AUS200 - Two Patterns on the 4HRHigh Probability Setup:
2 x Advanced Patterns
Ratio Confluence
Harmonic Pattern (Symmetry)
Price testing at or around Major structure (Support Resistance)
Entry to Short at or around 5058 and 5096
Initial Targets around 4962 and second targets around 4884
Stops at 5147
Potential entry down at target 2 for a rally up
AUDUSD declines furtherI. AUDUSD on 4-hour chart is developing descending move targeting mid-term zones 0.7080/60 and 0.6970/50.
II. In short-term perspective we've come close but haven't yet reached first support area. Likely scenario is AUDUSD slide from 0.7140 resistance down to 0.7080 support.
Once we see bounce back from the mentioned barrier I expect correction up to levels 0.7160, 0.7190. Descending scenario remains as primary until AUDUSD trades below 0.7210.