ASX200 Break out of resistance?Updating my previous entry that was based on the trend... It seems the support level may be rising and a potential break out of resistance levels. We'll have to wait and see, I'm not going to trade this for now.
Clearly the market has been particularly strong the past few days....
Australia
CADAUD cypher and Gartley movementsNo trade setup here, just some formations and potential formations to give an insight into multiple harmonic patterns.
Look for the cypher that has already formed to swing into a Gartley formation.
Potential Gartley is perfect - exact confluence between the 0.786 retracement and 1.272 extension.
Ok Aussie Dollar, you can settle down now.Well we must applaud the Aussie for showing some real strength against an overral declining Australian rate of growth, Chinese slowdown + depressed levels of commodities. However I think the spike will soon run out of steam, potential reverse from here to 0.77 and then fall back to minimum of 7.56. Possibly lower.
It would be good to see some confirmation from the MACD before selling though.
$GBPAUD Wolfe Wave and Geo Off-Set RuleHello Traders,
Here we have 3 Wolfe Wave's(WW)
WW #1 - In the grey dotted line. This WW is near it's target at #1 Geo Off-Set Rule at point 4. The Geo Off-Set Rule here plays a role in the next 2 WW's.
WW #2 - In blue dashed lines. This WW is internal to both the first and third(in purple) WW's. The Geo Off-Set Rule in the first WW act's as a point of reversal for the internal WW which created a 5" (5 double prime) structure. 5" calls for a Geo Off-Set at point 3. Represented as #2 Geo Off-Set Rule. This second Geo plays a role in the third WW as well.
WW #3 - In purple solid line. This WW formed as price was making its way towards the #1 Geo Off-Set Rule of the first WW. The first Geo will act as point 3 of this third WW. When this target hits, ideally price will hit point 3 of the internal WW and give us point 4 of the third WW. The dashed purple line represents how I see this structure forming.
This is an observation of the Wolfe Wave and the Geo Off-Set Rule. I would be interested to see how the structure forms.
If you agree with this idea please like and follow for more interesting observations. :-}
-Chartistry
AUDNZD symmetrical triangle with 5 hitsSymmetrical triangle has been forming on the AUDNZD pair for 3 months now.
5 strong hit points .
Look for a break to the upside at hit point 6 or a break to the downside at hit point 7 after hit 6.
Profit targets are clearly indicated by green lines and are based on previous structure. The top profit target is unlikely but very hopeful if we get a break to the upside.
AUDCAD: Potentially very interesting setupIn the current enviroment, it's nice to add a 'long Canada/short Asia' trade, and this is what this setup is.
Currently the trend is up in the weekly but there seems to be a chance for a sharp decline in the daily chart.
Risk to reward makes for a great trade if it works, so it's worth it to risk at least 1/2 position on it.
Props to @Synapse here for mentioning this pair to me today, I've been waiting to long Canada again, and this seems like a good vehicle for such trade.
Good luck if taking it!
Cheers,
Ivan Labrie.
AUS200 - Two Patterns on the 4HRHigh Probability Setup:
2 x Advanced Patterns
Ratio Confluence
Harmonic Pattern (Symmetry)
Price testing at or around Major structure (Support Resistance)
Entry to Short at or around 5058 and 5096
Initial Targets around 4962 and second targets around 4884
Stops at 5147
Potential entry down at target 2 for a rally up
AUDUSD declines furtherI. AUDUSD on 4-hour chart is developing descending move targeting mid-term zones 0.7080/60 and 0.6970/50.
II. In short-term perspective we've come close but haven't yet reached first support area. Likely scenario is AUDUSD slide from 0.7140 resistance down to 0.7080 support.
Once we see bounce back from the mentioned barrier I expect correction up to levels 0.7160, 0.7190. Descending scenario remains as primary until AUDUSD trades below 0.7210.
GBP/AUD: long playConfluences:
1/ trend
2/ 50 ema bounce
3/ doji
4/ deceleration
5/ fib play 61.8%
6/ Bullish MACD
7/ 2.145 as support
Took this trade last thursday ( Sept 17 ) but again because of this pullback today, 400 pips are still on the table, 170 pips are currently in profit. I see this pair go to 2.20
GBPAUD LONG LOOKING FOR A BUYING OPPORTUNITY AT MY BUY ZONE WHICH IS IN CONFLUENCE WITH A FIB LEVEL AND A 3RD TOUCH OF THE TREND LINE. A BREAK OF THIS BUY ZONE WILL LEAD DOWN TO MY NEXT BUY ZONE. FUNDAMENTALLY THIS TRADE IS ONLY GOING IN ONE DIRECTION IN THE LONG TERM BECAUSE THE BOE (BANK OF ENGLAND) STATED THAT THEY ARE CLOSER TO RAISING RATES WHICH IS EXPECTED TO BE THE END OF THIS YEAR OR IN THE BEGINNING OF 2016 WHICH LEAVES GBP THE SECOND STRONGEST CURRENCY AFTER THE DOLLAR.ON THE FLIP SIDE AUD IS BEARISH ALONG SIDE THE OTHER COMMODITY CURRENCIES SUCH AS CAD AND NZD. CHINA SITUATION IS ALSO WEIGHING DOWN AUD. FIRST TARGET AT SWING HIGH/2.12000
AUDUSD 4 HOUR CHART SHORTI'M ALREADY IN A SHORT POSITION BUT IF PRICE RETRACES UP TO MY SELL ZONE I WILL LOOK AT PRICE ACTION TO ADD IN ANOTHER POSITION AND TARGET 0.75000. I STRONGLY BELIEVE WE CAN GET TO THERE IN THE SHORT TERM BECAUSE THE LABOUR MARKET IN THE U.S KEEPS COMING OUT GOOD WHICH WILL HAVE INVESTORS/TRADERS SPECULATING A RATE HIKE AS EARLY AS JULY. ON TOP OF THAT AUD CURRENCY IS STILL OVERVALUED AND THE AUSTRALIAN GOVERNMENT SAID HE.LL LIKE TO SEE AUD REACH 0.75000 WHICH IS ADDED CONFLUENCE THAT ITS ONLY A MATTER OF TIME UNTIL WE GET THERE. AUD IS DOVISH WHILE THE FED IS HAWKISH SO WE'VE GOT A GREAT DIVERGENCE ON THIS PAIR.
AUDUSD SELLShort Trade....Triple Top?
I think it may be a bit late to do this however I have been thinking about shorting the AUDUSD all morning.
I think that it is still a good short and you can still make a further 40-50 pips.
I would looking to get in at around 0.87900 (if it comes back).
If it doesn't then afraid this position may be too late.
As I wrote this message the AUDUSD fell by about 10 pips already.
LETS GET IN!!!!