AUDNZD: Important Breakout & Bearish Outlook 🇦🇺🇳🇿
AUDNZD broke and closed below a solid horizontal supply area on a daily.
The broken structure turned into a resistance now.
The market will most likely keep falling.
Next goal - major weekly rising trend line.
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Australiandollar
AUDUSD Sell due to rejection on Channel TopAUDUSD got rejection at the top of the medium term Channel Down and closed on the MA50 (4h) on Friday.
This is negating a Golden Cross on the (4h) time frame.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the opening market price.
Targets:
1. 0.63300 (Support 1).
Tips:
1. The MACD (4h) is on the verge of a Sell Cross, the same kind after the previous two Lower Highs on the Channel.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
GBPAUD: Oversold and in need of a reaction.GBPAUD turned briefly oversold on the 1D technical timeframe (RSI = 30.322, MACD = -0.013, ADX = 62.269) while pricing a LLL at the bottom of the Channel Down and the S1 level. The latter in particular can attract considerable buying power to push it for a 1D MA50 and R1 Zone test. This will determine the trend onwards but on the short term following 6 weeks of downtrend, a reaction should be expected. TP = 1.93000.
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EURAUD: Breakout & Bearish Continuation 🇪🇺 🇦🇺
EURAUD broke and closed below a support of a horizontal trading range on a daily.
Taking into consideration the fact that the pair is trading in a minor bearish trend
since the middle of August, such a violation may signify the remaining strength
of the sellers.
I expect a bearish continuation to 1.6275
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AUDUSD Very strong buy on 1 month stretchAUDUSD has held the bottom of the 2+ year Channel Down for 7 weeks straight.
With the exception of September 2022 (fundamentals) such trading action initiated a rebound to the 1week MA50 at least.
This is therefore a very strong buy opportunity to target the 1week 50. If it closes a week over it, you can extend buying to a little under the 1week MA100.
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AUDNZD: These Support levels favor a rebound.AUDNZD is almost oversold on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 32.701, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 44.479) hitting yesterday the July 14th Low. The long term pattern started as a Channel Up but recently has switched to a Rectangle. The 1D RSI has been a Rectangle through the whole year and being on its bottom currently, calls for a buy. We are long, targeting the LH trendline (TP = 1.10000).
Prior idea:
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AUDCHF Hit our bullish target. Now time to sell the Channel DownThe AUDCHF pair has hit the 0.58200 target (0.382 Fibonacci level) we set on our last buy call (see idea below) and is resting today at the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the Channel Down pattern since the January 27 2023 High:
The price price is now on the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) and just below the 0.5 Fibonacci level. There is also a chance that the dotted Channel Down will be materialized, so the technical Lower High max extension is a little higher. The sell confirmation typically comes when the 1D MACD makes a Bearish Cross. Our target is a potential -9.10% extension at 0.54000.
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EURAUD Close to hitting our target. Reverse to buy.The EURAUD pair is close to hitting the Target we set a month ago (see chart below) on the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up pattern since mid-September 2022:
Since the 1D MA100 (green trend-line) has held as Support for 9 straight sessions, the market may consider it as the new bottom. It would be best to take the good profit made throughout this month now and turn bullish. As you can see, it is potentially the new Higher Low on the dotted Channel Up. The blue Channel Up has always made its bottom just below the 1D MA100, which is why initially we selected that as the sell target.
If you don't want to buy now, you may enter upon confirmation, which comes when the 1D MACD makes a Bullish Cross below the 0.00 mark. In either case, our target is 1.75000 (less than +7.90% from the bottom).
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EURAUD, Gigantic ASCENDING-WEDGE, BEARISH Continuation SETUP!Hello There!
Welcome to my new analysis about EURAUD on several perspectives. The Eurozone inflationary pressures increased massively within the recent times determining a huge bearish edge against the AUD zone, especially as inflation in the Eurozone is not yet tackled by continued higher rate hikes with which the ECB, European Central Bank is trying to decrease inflation. Compared to the AUD zone this means that the EUR is much more bearishly inclined against the AUD and in this case it is also important on how the actual technical price action is confirming such a bearish inclination.
In my chart I am pointing out that the EURAUD is now setting up a gigantic ascending-wedge-formation with several resistances within the structures. The EURAUD is now approaching the major 50% Fibonacci-resistance within the 1.7 which is simultaneously determining the resistance by the upper boundary of the gigantic wedge formation and forming a coherent resistance-cluster within this level. Once EURAUD shows up with a major pullback off this zone this means that the possibility for an completion of the wedge-formation increases astronomically and a completion of it will point to the bearish target-zones to be reached.
Especially if the massive interest rate hikes within the Eurozone implemented by the ECB should not effectively decrease the inflation rate of the EUR this will put a lot of bearishness on the Euro and therefore also on EURAUD and with such a dynamic it is going to accelerate the bearish momentum. Once the whole ascending-wedge-formation has been finally completed the target-zones will be active and once the final target-zone has been reached the bearish momentum should be assessed again because with further developments to the downside this could actually lead to a major bearish wave-count extension for EURAUD and move to lower levels. In any case it will be a highly important development to consider here.
In this manner, thank you everybody for watching the analysis, support from your side is greatly appreciated.
VP
GBPAUD Most optimal buy here but bearish if broken.The GBPAUD pair has broken below the first Channel Up (dotted lines) and in extension the 1D MA100 (green trend-line). Currently it is testing the bottom of the second (and final) Channel Up (blue). Technically that is the most optimal level to buy for the medium-term and target 1.997800 (Resistance 1). On top of that, the 1D RSI bounced back after becoming oversold below 30.00, the lowest it has been since September 26 2022, which was the absolute market bottom.
If the price breaks below Support 1 (1.885250) we will have confirmation of a potential long-term bearish reversal. Then the ideal level to enter will be following a rebound on the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and a clear rejection near the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) as we will have confirmation that it has become a Resistance and the market sells long-term. In that case our target will be 1.75000 (towards Support 3).
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AUDNZD Low risk trading strategy.The AUDNZD pair has been neutral as of late, trading within a 1.073350 (Support) - 1.093250 (Symmetrical Resistance) range. The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) have both been turned into pivots in a peculiar sideways pattern. As long as the Support holds, buy and target 1.091500. On the slightest break and 1D candle close below the Support (thus the low risk), sell and target 1.064500 (Higher Lows trend-line).
If it closes a 1D candle above 1.093250, buy the break-out and target 1.101050 (Lower Highs trend-line). As you can see, the long-term pattern is a Triangle, thus the current tighter consolidation. The 1D MACD Bearish Cross last week shouldn't be taken lightly as the historic price action has shown that it delivers larger declines. Thus the 1.064500 target.
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AUDUSD DOWNTREND CONTINUATION FOLLOWING USD INTEREST RATES 09/23AUDUSD has been in a bear market July 2023.
Price stalled out and ranged since August 2023.
We have since seen bulls try to break out of this 3-month range and failed every time.
The resistance is around 0.6530, which is yet to be broken.
We recently have seen a strong rejection of that resistance following last weeks USD interest rates.
The Australian Dollar has been a weak currency in the basket of majors for several months this year and the United States Dollar has been getting stronger.
I am awaiting my trigger just below 0.64159 and am a bit late to the action so my P/L will not be as ideal as I planned but I will take what I can get and still be realistic with the target which is sitting at 0.6360 lows which is also where many longer term buyers may have their stop losses if the uptrend doesn't work out in their favor.
I will be utilizing a trailing stop loss along the progression of the trade and have my hard stop around today's daily highs in case it does not work out in my favor.
If the trade fails then the price may go back into chop or could be a possible reversal towards range highs of 0.64159.
AUDCHF - BULLISH MOVE 📈Hello Traders!
The AUDCHF Reached a Monthly Support Level !
Currently, The Price Failed To Create a New Lower Low📉
The Resistance Line of The Descending Channel is Broken🔥
So, I Expect a Bullish Move📈
i'm waiting for a retest...
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TARGET 1: 0.57660🎯
TARGET 2: 0.58500🎯
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AUDCAD One Low to go inside the Channel Down.The AUDCAD pair has been trading within a Channel Down since the February 09 High, having failed to achieve any 1D candle closing above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) since July 26. The current price action resembles the start of the Channel Down. Based on symmetry, we have one last Lower Low to achieve and then we should be expecting a rebound to test the 1D MA50. We will buy just below Support 2 (0.85915) and target 0.8700.
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AUDUSD: Next pump will be a sell entry.AUDUSD is trading inside a Channel Down pattern since the start of the year with the price consolidating at the moment on its bottom. Naturally, the 1D technical outlook is bearish (RSI = 41.632, MACD = -0.003, ADX = 25.040), under both the 1D MA50 and 1D MA200. The LL was made marginally over Fibonacci 2.0 extension, so there is a strong symmetry with the prior bearish wave. If it continues, we should be expecting a new rejection a little over the 1D MA50 to a new LL. Our sell target will be on S1 (TP = 0.62730).
Prior idea:
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AUD USD Bat forming I hope everyone enjoyed the Gold bat yesterday, I felt nervous about publishing it as everyone in the chats was saying to buy gold at the news. Anyway, all was good, and all the guys at XAU USD Elite earnt lots of lovely profit. It proves that if your strategy is sound then you always go with it, do not be swayed by others.
Anyway, here we are with the AUD USD, and a bat is forming. We know the rules; if it doesn't reach point D then the bat fails, we press delete, and go and find more bats.
Published 21st September 10:45am UTC+1
AUDUSD, Massive Double-Bottom To Complete, Solid Potentials!Hello,
Welcome to this analysis about AUDUSD on the 4-hour timeframe perspectives. As I detected AUDUSD in recent times is showing up with a considerable formation that has a high likelihood to move into a great opportunity with solid potentials. Therefore as when looking at my chart we can watch there how AUDUSD moved on to build up above the 0.7 level and form a double bottom formation above this level now already bouncing several times in the range and forming the first bottom as well as the second bottom. Furthermore, AUDUSD manages to hold up above the 300-EMA as well as the 65-EMA and form a local triangle-formation above these zones. For now, there is a high possibility given that AUDUSD stays above this area and continues to build up above the main support-base marked with the blue box in my chart, in this support-base there are coming several supports together and increasing the possibility for a bounce in this zone especially as the point-of-control support determined by the most volume in the volume profile marked in red in my chart is holding up the whole bullishness in this range. Once AUDUSD manages to settle above the neckline as shown in my chart the whole double bottom formation will be completed and AUDUSD will activate the double bottom target zones. Once the final targets as marked in my chart have been reached the situation needs to be elevated again and AUDUSD needs to show how it continues from there on, for now, the whole double bottom formation has great ability to complete and point to the further determinations.
In this manner, thank you for watching the analysis, all the best!
"The high destiny of the market is to explicate, rather than to speculate."
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.
AUD/JPY: A Currency Pair Poised for GrowthAUD/JPY currency pair is trading at around the marked levels. Please read the analysis on the chart, as well as the explanations in the comments. Thank you.
Technical Analysis:
On the 30-minute chart, the AUD/JPY currency pair is trading in a bullish trend. The price is above the 50-period and 200-period simple moving averages. The MACD indicator is also bullish, with the signal line above the MACD line.
The Elliot Wave Analysis in this case shows a continuation of the bullish impulse. I marked the first potential level of the Wave 5. It can extend after that level, or a correction may start (short term).
On the 4-hour chart, the AUD/JPY currency pair is also trading in a bullish trend. The price is above the 50-period and 200-period simple moving averages. The MACD indicator is also bullish, with the signal line above the MACD line.
On the daily chart, the AUD/JPY currency pair is trading in a bullish trend. The price is above the 50-period and 200-period simple moving averages. The MACD indicator is also bullish, with the signal line above the MACD line.
Overall, the fundamental and technical analysis suggests that the AUD/JPY currency pair is likely to continue trading in a bullish trend in the near term.
Fundamental Analysis:
The Australian economy is currently facing a number of challenges, including a slowdown in China, rising inflation, and a trade deficit. However, the Australian economy is still expected to grow at a modest pace in 2023.
The Japanese economy is also facing a number of challenges, including an aging population, a shrinking workforce, and a high debt burden. However, the Japanese economy is expected to avoid recession in 2023.
I hope this post is helpful.
This analysis represents my thoughts at the date it is posted.
This analysis does not represent professional and/or financial advice.
You alone assume the sole responsibility of evaluating the merits and risks associated with the use of any information or other content found on this profile before making any decisions based on such information.
Any feedback is encouraged and appreciated. Thank you and have a nice day!
AUDJPY Strong Lower Highs bullish break-out.The AUDJPY pair has turned the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) into Support since last week's bullish break-out signal above the Lower Highs trend-line. That is a major bullish continuation call following the bottom on the 3-month Higher Lows Zone on March 27. The dashed Higher Lows has been supporting this uptrend and this seems to be the new bullish leg. The previous two such rises during these 3 years have reached at least +17.40%. As a result our buy target is 101.000.
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AUDUSD, To Complete Broadening-Wedge And Point Target!Hello,
Welcome to this analysis about AUDUSD and the 4-hour timeframe perspectives. When looking at my chart we can watch there how AUDUSD is building this huge broadening-wedge-formation in the structure marked with the blue boundaries. Besides that AUDUSD has begun with this major wave-count to the upside and the wave-A already established. The wave-B is now consisting of the broadening-wedge-formation and also a coherent local wave-count within this formation which already completed from A to C. Now AUDUSD is building up above the 100-EMA in red and the 200-EMA in cyan, above these levels AUDUSD is forming this confirmational-flag-formation. Once this formation completed with a breakout to the upside and AUDUSD continues to breakout above the upper-boundary of the broadening-wedge-formation this will complete the whole formation and AUDUSD will continue with this dynamic to reach out the target-zone marked in my chart, after that the situation needs to be assessed anew, it will be an important development ahead.
In this manner, thank you for watching the analysis, it will be great when you support it with a like, follow and comment for more upcoming market analysis, all the best!
"The high destiny of the market is to explicate rather than to speculate."
Information provided is only educational and should not be used to take action in the markets.